Characterization of Hysteretic Multiphase Flow from the MM to M Scale in Heterogeneous Rocks

Incorporating mm-m scale capillary pressure heterogeneity into upscaled numerical models is key to the successful prediction of low flow potential plume migration and trapping at the field scale. Under such conditions, the upscaled, equivalent relative permeability incorporating capillary pressure heterogeneity is far from that derived conventionally at the viscous limit, dependent on the heterogeneity structure and flow rate, i.e. dependent on the capillary number. Recent work at the SCA 2017 symposium (SCA2017-022) demonstrated how equivalent functions can be obtained on heterogeneous rock cores from the subsurface under drainage conditions; going beyond traditional SCAL. Experimental observations using medical CT scanning can be combined with numerical modelling so that heterogeneous subsurface rock cores can be directly characterized and used to populate field scale reservoir models. In this work, we extend this characterization approach by incorporating imbibition cycles into the methodology. We use a Bunter sandstone core with several experimental CO2 – Brine core flood datasets at different flow rates (2x drainage, 1x imbibition and 2x trapping) to demonstrate the characterization of hysteretic multiphase flow functions in water-wet rocks. We show that mm-m scale experimental saturations and equivalent, low flow potential relative permeabilities can be predicted during drainage and imbibition, along with trapping characteristics. Equivalent imbibition relative permeabilities appear as a function of capillary number, as in the drainage cases. We also find that the form of capillary pressure function during imbibition has a large impact on the trapping characteristics, with local heterogeneity trapping reduced (or removed), if the capillary pressure drops to zero, or below at the residual saturation

A numerical study on the viscous fingering instability of immiscible displacement in Hele-Shaw cells

In this thesis, the viscous fingering instability of radial immiscible displacement is analysed numerically using novel mesh-reduction and interface tracking techniques. Using a reduced Hele-Shaw model for the depth averaged lateral flow, viscous fingering instabilities are explored in flow regimes typical of subsurface carbon sequestration involving supercritical CO2 - brine displacements, i.e. with high capillary numbers, low mobility ratios and inhomogeneous permeability/temperature fields. A high accuracy boundary element method (BEM) is implemented for the solution of homogeneous, finite mobility ratio immiscible displacements. Through efficient, explicit tracking of the sharp fluid-fluid interface, classical fingering processes such as spreading, shielding and splitting are analysed in the late stages of finger growth at low mobility ratios and high capillary numbers. Under these conditions, large differences are found compared with previous high or infinite mobility ratio models and critical events such as plume break-off and coalescence are analysed in much greater detail than has previously been attempted. For the solution of inhomogeneous mobility problems, a novel meshless radial basis function-finite collocation method is developed that utilises a dynamic quadtree dataset and local enforcement of interface matching conditions. When coupled with the BEM, the numerical scheme allows the analysis of variable permeability effects and the transition in (de)stabilising mechanisms that occurs when the capillary number is increased with a fixed, spatially varying permeability. Finally, thermo-viscous fingering is explored in the context of immiscible flows, with a detailed mechanistic study presented to explain, for the first time, the immiscible thermo-viscous fingering process

A numerical study on the viscous fingering instability of immiscible displacement in Hele-Shaw cells

In this thesis, the viscous fingering instability of radial immiscible displacement is analysed numerically using novel mesh-reduction and interface tracking techniques. Using a reduced Hele-Shaw model for the depth averaged lateral flow, viscous fingering instabilities are explored in flow regimes typical of subsurface carbon sequestration involving supercritical CO2 - brine displacements, i.e. with high capillary numbers, low mobility ratios and inhomogeneous permeability/temperature fields. A high accuracy boundary element method (BEM) is implemented for the solution of homogeneous, finite mobility ratio immiscible displacements. Through efficient, explicit tracking of the sharp fluid-fluid interface, classical fingering processes such as spreading, shielding and splitting are analysed in the late stages of finger growth at low mobility ratios and high capillary numbers. Under these conditions, large differences are found compared with previous high or infinite mobility ratio models and critical events such as plume break-off and coalescence are analysed in much greater detail than has previously been attempted. For the solution of inhomogeneous mobility problems, a novel meshless radial basis function-finite collocation method is developed that utilises a dynamic quadtree dataset and local enforcement of interface matching conditions. When coupled with the BEM, the numerical scheme allows the analysis of variable permeability effects and the transition in (de)stabilising mechanisms that occurs when the capillary number is increased with a fixed, spatially varying permeability. Finally, thermo-viscous fingering is explored in the context of immiscible flows, with a detailed mechanistic study presented to explain, for the first time, the immiscible thermo-viscous fingering process

Government Misconduct and Convicting the Innocent: The Role of Prosecutors, Police and Other Law Enforcement

This is a report about the role of official misconduct in the conviction of innocent people. We discuss cases that are listed in the National Registry of Exonerations, an ongoing online archive that includes all known exonerations in the United States since 1989, 2,663 as of this writing. This Report describes official misconduct in the first 2,400 exonerations in the Registry, those posted by February 27, 2019. In general, we classify a case as an “exoneration” if a person who was convicted of a crime is officially and completely cleared based on new evidence of innocence. The Report is limited to misconduct by government officials that contributed to the false convictions of defendants who were later exonerated—misconduct that distorts the evidence used to determine guilt or innocence. Concretely, that means misconduct that produces unreliable, misleading or false evidence of guilt, or that conceals, distorts or undercuts true evidence of innocence

BMQ

BMQ: Boston Medical Quarterly was published from 1950-1966 by the Boston University School of Medicine and the Massachusetts Memorial Hospitals. Pages 49-52, v17n2, provided courtesy of Howard Gotlieb Archival Research Center

High stakes and low bars: How international recognition shapes the conduct of civil wars

When rebel groups engage incumbent governments in war for control of the state, questions of international recognition arise. International recognition determines which combatants can draw on state assets, receive overt military aid, and borrow as sovereigns—all of which can have profound consequences for the military balance during civil war. How do third-party states and international organizations determine whom to treat as a state's official government during civil war? Data from the sixty-one center-seeking wars initiated from 1945 to 2014 indicate that military victory is not a prerequisite for recognition. Instead, states generally rely on a simple test: control of the capital city. Seizing the capital does not foreshadow military victory. Civil wars often continue for many years after rebels take control and receive recognition. While geopolitical and economic motives outweigh the capital control test in a small number of important cases, combatants appear to anticipate that holding the capital will be sufficient for recognition. This expectation generates perverse incentives. In effect, the international community rewards combatants for capturing or holding, by any means necessary, an area with high concentrations of critical infrastructure and civilians. In the majority of cases where rebels contest the capital, more than half of its infrastructure is damaged or the majority of civilians are displaced (or both), likely fueling long-term state weakness

Vitamin D metabolites are associated with musculoskeletal injury in young adults: a prospective cohort study.

The relationship between vitamin D metabolites and lower body (pelvis and lower limb) overuse injury is unclear. In a prospective cohort study, we investigated the association between vitamin D metabolites and incidence of lower body overuse musculoskeletal and bone stress injury in young adults undergoing initial military training during all seasons. In 1637 men and 530 women (age, 22.6 ± 7.5 years; BMI, 24.0 ± 2.6 kg∙m−2; 94.3% white ethnicity), we measured serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and 24,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (24,25(OH)2D) by high-performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry, and 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (1,25(OH)2D) by immunoassay during week 1 of training. We examined whether the relationship between 25(OH)D and 1,25(OH)2D:24,25(OH)2D ratio was associated with overuse injury. During 12 weeks training, 21.0% sustained ≥1 overuse musculoskeletal injury, and 5.6% sustained ≥1 bone stress injury. After controlling for sex, BMI, 2.4 km run time, smoking, bone injury history, and Army training course (Officer, standard, or Infantry), lower body overuse musculoskeletal injury incidence was higher for participants within the second lowest versus highest quartile of 24,25(OH)2D (OR: 1.62 [95%CI 1.13–2.32; P = 0.009]) and lowest versus highest cluster of 25(OH)D and 1,25(OH)2D:24,25(OH)2D (OR: 6.30 [95%CI 1.89–21.2; P = 0.003]). Lower body bone stress injury incidence was higher for participants within the lowest versus highest quartile of 24,25(OH)2D (OR: 4.02 [95%CI 1.82–8.87; P < 0.001]) and lowest versus highest cluster of 25(OH)D and 1,25(OH)2D:24,25(OH)2D (OR: 22.08 [95%CI 3.26–149.4; P = 0.001]), after controlling for the same covariates. Greater conversion of 25(OH)D to 24,25(OH)2D, relative to 1,25(OH)2D (i.e., low 1,25(OH)2D:24,25(OH)2D), and higher serum 24,25(OH)2D were associated with a lower incidence of lower body overuse musculoskeletal and bone stress injury. Serum 24,25(OH)2D may have a role in preventing overuse injury in young adults undertaking arduous physical training

Error Analysis of Stored Grain Inventory Determination

Citation: Turner A., J. Jackson, N. Koeninger, S. McNeill, M. Montross, M. E. Casada, J. M. Boac, R. Bhadra, R. G. Maghirang, and S. A. Thompson. 2016. Error Analysis of stored grain inventory determination. Transactions of ASABE 59(3): 1061-1072Estimation of the quantity of stored grain is important for crop insurance, financial statements, and inventory control. Traditionally, the height of grain has been measured using weighted tape measures, and the volume is subsequently computed using standard geometric shapes (cylinders and cones) along with visual correction of the grain surface. Field measurements by four trained USDA Farm Service Agency and crop insurance agents on older farm-sized bins (8.2 to 11.0Â m, or 27 to 36 ft, in diameter) resulted in standard deviations between 0.02 and 0.30 m for the equivalent height when the grain surface was not level. The largest errors were observed with off-center surface profiles. When the grain surface inside the bins was manually leveled, the standard deviation of the equivalent height varied between 0.02 and 0.18 m. Error propagation analysis was performed to evaluate the error in measuring the volume of stored grain caused by the uncertainty associated with measuring the bin diameter and grain height as a function of the ratio of equivalent level grain height to bin diameter (EH/D). The errors were examined using an assumed range of uncertainties to explore how each factor contributed to the error in different scenarios. The uncertainty increased as the EH/D ratio decreased, especially in small-diameter bins with shallow grain heights where the volume bounded by the surface profile of the grain represented a large percentage of the total volume within the structure. Therefore, any errors in defining the surface profile resulted in large errors in the total estimated volume of grain in small-diameter bins. Conversely, for large-diameter bins with large grain heights, the surface profile represented a very small percentage of the total volume of grain. Consequently, any errors in defining the profile produced much smaller errors in the total grain volume. For accurate measurements, defined as a standard deviation of 1.2 cm (0.04 ft) in the diameter and 7.6 cm (0.25 ft) in the equivalent level height, the overall uncertainty in the volume measurement never exceeded 5% for smaller bins (10 m in diameter). A sensitivity analysis was performed on the three most common methods used to convert the measured volume to a quantity of grain. In each method, the quantity of grain stored in a bin is the product of the volume measurement and the pack factor. With all three methods, the sensitivity of the pack factor determination resulted in an error of less than 1% in the estimated total quantity of stored grain. The volume measurement accounted for the majority of the error in the estimation of bin inventory. As a result, accurate measurement of the bin volume is critical for determining the quantity of stored grain