Smooth tail index estimation

Both parametric distribution functions appearing in extreme value theory - the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution - have log-concave densities if the extreme value index gamma is in [-1,0]. Replacing the order statistics in tail index estimators by their corresponding quantiles from the distribution function that is based on the estimated log-concave density leads to novel smooth quantile and tail index estimators. These new estimators aim at estimating the tail index especially in small samples. Acting as a smoother of the empirical distribution function, the log-concave distribution function estimator reduces estimation variability to a much greater extent than it introduces bias. As a consequence, Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the smoothed version of the estimators are well superior to their non-smoothed counterparts, in terms of mean squared error.Comment: 17 pages, 5 figures. Slightly changed Pickand's estimator, added some more introduction and discussio

4-phenylbutyrate restores localization and membrane repair to human dysferlin mutations

Dysferlinopathies are muscular dystrophies caused by recessive loss-of-function mutations in dysferlin (DYSF), a membrane protein involved in skeletal muscle membrane repair. We describe a cell-based assay in which human DYSF proteins bearing missense mutations are quantitatively assayed for membrane localization by flow cytometry and identified 64 localization-defective DYSF mutations. Using this platform, we show that the clinically approved drug 4-phenylbutryric acid (4-PBA) partially restores membrane localization to 25 mutations, as well as membrane repair to cultured myotubes expressing 2 different mutations. Two-day oral administration of 4-PBA to mice homozygous for one of these mutations restored myofiber membrane repair. 4-PBA may hold therapeutic potential for treating a subset of humans with muscular dystrophy due to dysferlin deficiency

Single agent rituximab in patients with follicular or mantle cell lymphoma: clinical and biological factors that are predictive of response and event-free survival as well as the effect of rituximab on the immune system: a study of the Swiss Group for Clinical Cancer Research (SAKK)

Background: Predictive factors of rituximab efficacy and its effect on the immune system are still not defined. Patients and methods: Three hundred and six patients with follicular or mantle cell lymphoma received four weekly doses of rituximab (induction) and no further treatment (arm A) or four more doses at 2-month intervals (arm B). Results: Response rate to induction was 44%. Independent predictive factors for response were disease bulk <5 cm, follicular histology, normal hemoglobin and low lymphocyte count. Factors associated with event-free survival (EFS) were having responded to induction, having received not more than one line of therapy, Ann Arbor stage I-III, high lymphocyte count, disease bulk <5 cm, Fc-gamma receptor genotype VV and receiving prolonged treatment. B cells were suppressed by treatment but recovered after a median of 12 months in arm A and 18 months in arm B. The median IgM level after 1 year was normal in arm A but was decreased to 73% of baseline in arm B. We observed 24 serious adverse events, equally distributed between arms. Ten patients receiving induction only and six patients receiving prolonged treatment developed a second tumor. Conclusions: We defined the characteristics predicting response and EFS to rituximab. Prolonged treatment results in longer EFS at the cost of a longer reduction in B cell and IgM levels, but without additional clinical toxicit

P.165 Clinical outcome study of dysferlinopathy: lower limb water T2 predicts functional decline in patients with dysferlinopathy

Water-T2 (T2H2O) mapping is used in muscular dystrophies to assess disease activity. It has been suggested as a surrogate outcome measure for clinical trials. However, the prognostic utility of T2H2O to identify changes in muscle function over time has not been described. A cohort of 18 patients (7 male) from two sites (Newcastle and Paris) with genetically confirmed dysferlinopathy were assessed as part of the Jain Foundation Clinical Outcomes Study of dysferlinopathy. Imaging used 3.0 T MRI clinical scanners with acquisition parameters standardised across sites. A multi-spin-echo sequence, with 17 equidistant echoes at 9.5ms spacing, was used for T2H2O mapping. T2H2O value was defined as higher or lower than the median in each muscle bilaterally. The degree of deterioration on four functional tests over three years was assessed in a linear model against covariates of high or low T2H2O at baseline, age, disease duration and baseline function. The T2H2O threshold which best predicted functional decline was determined. Higher T2H2O value correlated with greater functional decline in 21/35 muscles, and was never associated with slower decline (p0.6). Higher T2H2O values in adductor magnus, vastus intermedius, vastus lateralis and vastus medialis were the most sensitive, being associated with greater decline in timed tests. Patients with a higher than median T2H2O value (40.6 milliseconds (ms)) in these muscles deteriorated 11 points more on the North Star Ambulatory Assessment for Dysferlinopathy (NSAD) and lost an additional 86 metres on the six-minute walk than those with a lower T2H2O value (p<0.05). In dysferlinopathy, T2H2O did not correlate with current functional ability. However, T2H2O at baseline was higher in patients who worsened more rapidly on functional tests. With its capacity to predict progression, T2H2O mapping could be used to improve prognostication, patient selection and disease modelling for clinical trials

Intensive Teenage Activity Is Associated With Greater Muscle Hyperintensity on T1W Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Adults With Dysferlinopathy

Practice of sports during childhood or adolescence correlates with an earlier onset and more rapidly progressing phenotype in dysferlinopathies. To determine if this correlation relates to greater muscle pathology that persists into adulthood, we investigated the effect of exercise on the degree of muscle fatty replacement measured using muscle MRI. We reviewed pelvic, thigh and leg T1W MRI scans from 160 patients with genetically confirmed dysferlinopathy from the Jain Foundation International clinical outcomes study in dysferlinopathy. Two independent assessors used the Lamminen-Mercuri visual scale to score degree of fat replacement in each muscle. Exercise intensity for each individual was defined as no activity, minimal, moderate, or intensive activity by using metabolic equivalents and patient reported frequency of sports undertaken between the ages of 10 and 18. We used ANCOVA and linear modeling to compare the mean Lamminen-Mercuri score for the pelvis, thigh, and leg between exercise groups, controlling for age at assessment and symptom duration. Intensive exercisers showed greater fatty replacement in the muscles of the pelvis than moderate exercisers, but no significant differences of the thigh or leg. Within the pelvis, Psoas was the muscle most strongly associated with this exercise effect. In patients with a short symptom duration of <15 years there was a trend toward greater fatty replacement in the muscles of the thigh. These findings define key muscles involved in the exercise-phenotype effect that has previously been observed only clinically in dysferlinopathy and support recommendations that pre-symptomatic patients should avoid very intensive exercise

The Clinical Outcome Study for dysferlinopathy: An international multicenter study

Objective: To describe the baseline clinical and functional characteristics of an international cohort of 193 patients with dysferlinopathy. Methods: The Clinical Outcome Study for dysferlinopathy (COS) is an international multicenter study of this disease, evaluating patients with genetically confirmed dysferlinopathy over 3 years. We present a cross-sectional analysis of 193 patients derived from their baseline clinical and functional assessments. Results: There is a high degree of variability in disease onset, pattern of weakness, and rate of progression. No factor, such as mutation class, protein expression, or age at onset, accounted for this variability. Among patients with clinical diagnoses of Miyoshi myopathy or limb-girdle muscular dystrophy, clinical presentation and examination was not strikingly different. Respiratory impairment and cardiac dysfunction were observed in a minority of patients. A substantial delay in diagnosis was previously common but has been steadily reducing, suggesting increasing awareness of dysferlinopathies. Conclusions: These findings highlight crucial issues to be addressed for both optimizing clinical care and planning therapeutic trials in dysferlinopathy. This ongoing longitudinal study will provide an opportunity to further understand patterns and variability in disease progression and form the basis for trial design

Assessment of disease progression in dysferlinopathy: A 1-year cohort study

ObjectiveTo assess the ability of functional measures to detect disease progression in dysferlinopathy over 6 months and 1 year.MethodsOne hundred ninety-three patients with dysferlinopathy were recruited to the Jain Foundation's International Clinical Outcome Study for Dysferlinopathy. Baseline, 6-month, and 1-year assessments included adapted North Star Ambulatory Assessment (a-NSAA), Motor Function Measure (MFM-20), timed function tests, 6-minute walk test (6MWT), Brooke scale, Jebsen test, manual muscle testing, and hand-held dynamometry. Patients also completed the ACTIVLIM questionnaire. Change in each measure over 6 months and 1 year was calculated and compared between disease severity (ambulant [mild, moderate, or severe based on a-NSAA score] or nonambulant [unable to complete a 10-meter walk]) and clinical diagnosis.ResultsThe functional a-NSAA test was the most sensitive to deterioration for ambulant patients overall. The a-NSAA score was the most sensitive test in the mild and moderate groups, while the 6MWT was most sensitive in the severe group. The 10-meter walk test was the only test showing significant change across all ambulant severity groups. In nonambulant patients, the MFM domain 3, wrist flexion strength, and pinch grip were most sensitive. Progression rates did not differ by clinical diagnosis. Power calculations determined that 46 moderately affected patients are required to determine clinical effectiveness for a hypothetical 1-year clinical trial based on the a-NSAA as a clinical endpoint.ConclusionCertain functional outcome measures can detect changes over 6 months and 1 year in dysferlinopathy and potentially be useful in monitoring progression in clinical trials.ClinicalTrials.gov identifier:NCT01676077

FP.34 Clinical outcome study of dysferlinopathy: correlation between MRI fat fraction in lower limbs and clinical outcome assessments over a 3-year period

The Jain Foundation COS of dysferlinopathy is an international study in genetically confirmed dysferlinopathy patients, with the aim to identify relevant outcome measures to facilitate trial readiness. Due to its wide range of clinical phenotypes and rates of disease progression, an objective marker to quantify disease progression would be ideal. We assessed the application of quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) as a prognostic tool for these patients. Our aim is to establish whether there is a correlation between fat fraction (FF) in thigh and/or lower leg muscles and clinical outcome assessments (COA) when comparing baseline (BL) values and changes from BL to year 1 (Y1) and to year 3 (Y3). We selected 84 patients from COS1 who had a Dixon MRI of the lower limbs (LL) and at least one of the following COA: time to rise from floor (RFF), time to climb / descend 4 steps (4SC/4SD), time up and go (TUG), time to walk 10m (10MWT), 6 min walk test (6MWT) and North Star Assessment for limb girdle type muscular dystrophy (NSAD) score. Spearman correlation (rs) was performed using SPSS statistics, p value 0.05. We found a significant correlation at BL between LL FF values and all COA, with the highest rs between thigh FF and NSAD (-.675) and 6MWT (-.665). We didn't find any correlations between changes in FF between BL and Y1 and changes in COA during that same period, but we did observe a significant correlation with changes in TUG (.445) and 4SC (.41) between BL and Y3. We observed a significant correlation between changes in thigh FF between BL and Y3 and changes in TUG (.706), RFF (.607), 4SC (.545) and NSAD[HR1] (-.374). No correlations were found when analysing changes in lower legs FF and COA. Our results show that changes in FF of the thigh muscles over one year could predict functional changes at a later stage, in a three-year period, suggesting that MRI could be used to identify dysferlinopathy patients at risk of more severe disease progression in routine clinical care