A Roof over your Head; House Price Peaks in the UK and Ireland

We analyse, following recent work of Roehner, changes in house prices for both the UK and Ireland. We conclude that prices in London have reached a tipping point and prices relative to inflation are set to fall over the next few years. If inflation does not rise then a hard landing seems likely. House prices in the Irish Republic are shown to have broken away from the moderate rise still to be found in Northern Ireland and Dublin has emerged as another global 'hot spot'. An evolution of Dublin house prices similar to that in London can be anticipated. Keywords: Econophysics, house prices, real estate, prediction PACS: 89.65.Gh, 89.90.+nComment: 7 pages, 7 figure

Phosphorylation of SU(VAR)3-9 by the chromosomal kinase JIL-1

The histone methyltransferase SU(VAR)3-9 plays an important role in the formation of heterochromatin within the eukaryotic nucleus. Several studies have shown that the formation of condensed chromatin is highly regulated during development, suggesting that SU(VAR)3-9's activity is regulated as well. However, no mechanism by which this may be achieved has been reported so far. As we and others had shown previously that the N-terminus of SU(VAR)3-9 plays an important role for its activity, we purified interaction partners from Drosophila embryo nuclear extract using as bait a GST fusion protein containing the SU(VAR)3-9 N-terminus. Among several other proteins known to bind Su(VAR)3-9 we isolated the chromosomal kinase JIL-1 as a strong interactor. We show that SU(VAR)3-9 is a substrate for JIL-1 in vitro as well as in vivo and map the site of phosphorylation. These findings may provide a molecular explanation for the observed genetic interaction between SU(VAR)3-9 and JIL-1

Statistical analysis of global surface air temperature and sea level using cointegration methods

Global sea levels are rising which is widely understood as a consequence of thermal expansion and melting of glaciers and land-based ice caps. Due to physically-based models being unable to simulate observed sea level trends, semi-empirical models have been applied as an alternative for projecting of future sea levels. There is in this, however, potential pitfalls due to the trending nature of the time series. We apply a statistical method called cointegration analysis to observed global sea level and surface air temperature, capable of handling such peculiarities. We find a relationship between sea level and temperature and find that temperature causally depends on the sea level, which can be understood as a consequence of the large heat capacity of the ocean. We further find that the warming episode in the 1940s is exceptional in the sense that sea level and warming deviates from the expected relationship. This suggests that this warming episode is mainly due to internal dynamics of the ocean rather than external radiative forcing. On the other hand, the present warming follows the expected relationship, suggesting that it is mainly due to radiative forcing. In a second step, we use the total radiative forcing as an explanatory variable, but unexpectedly find that the sea level does not depend on the forcing. We hypothesize that this is due to a long adjustment time scale of the ocean and show that the number of years of data needed to build statistical models that have the relationship expected from physics exceeds what is currently available by a factor of almost ten.

Escape angles in bulk chi(2) soliton interactions

We develop a theory for non-planar interaction between two identical type I spatial solitons propagating at opposite, but arbitrary transverse angles in quadratic nonlinear (or so-called chi(2)) bulk media. We predict quantitatively the outwards escape angle, below which the solitons turn around and collide, and above which they continue to move away from each other. For in-plane interaction the theory allows prediction of the outcome of a collision through the inwards escape angle, i.e. whether the solitons fuse or cross. We find an analytical expression determining the inwards escape angle using Gaussian approximations for the solitons. The theory is verified numerically.Comment: V1: 4 pages, 4 figures. V2: Accepted for publication in Physical Review E. 5 pages, 4 figures. Fig. 2 changed to be for fixed soliton width and to show soliton power. New simple relations in terms of power and pahse mismatch are include

The generating function of the number of subpatterns of a DOL sequence

AbstractThe generating function of the number of subpatterns of a DOL sequence is shown to be rational. The computation of the generating function is based on a recursion formula which expresses this function by the generating functions of subpatterns of smaller length and by the Magnus transform of the homomorphism