Fire Weather Index application in north-western Italy

International audiencePiedmont region is located in North-Western Italy and is surrounded by the alpine chain and by the Appennines. The region is covered by a wide extension of forests, mainly in its mountain areas (the forests cover 36% of the regional territory). Forested areas are interested by wildfire events. In the period 1997?2005 Piedmont was interested by an average 387 forest fires per year, covering an average 1926 ha of forest per year. Meteorological conditions like long periods without precipitation contribute to create favourable conditions to forest fire development, while the fire propagation is made easier by the foehn winds, frequently interesting the region in winter and spring particularly. The meteorological danger index FWI (Fire Weather Index) was developed by Van Wagner (1987) for the Canadian Forestry Service, providing a complete description of the behaviour of the different forest components in response to the changing weather conditions. We applied the FWI to the Piedmont region on warning areas previously defined for fire management purposes. The meteorological data-set is based on the data of the very-dense non-GTS network of weather stations managed by Arpa Piemonte. The thresholds for the definition of a danger scenarios system were defined comparing historical FWI data with fires occurred on a 5 years period. The implementation of a prognostic FWI prediction system is planned for the early 2008, involving the use of good forecasts of weather parameters at the station locations obtained by the Multimodel SuperEnsemble post-processing technique

Optical Coherence Tomography May Be Used to Predict Visual Acuity in Patients with Macular Edema

Purpose. To determine whether the volume of retinal tissue passing between the inner and outer retina in macular edema could be used as an indicator of visual acuity. Methods. Diabetic and uveitic patients with cystoid macular edema (81 subjects, 129 eyes) were recruited. Best corrected logMAR visual acuity and spectral optical coherence tomography (OCT/SLO; OTI, Toronto, ONT, Canada) were performed in all patients. Coronal OCT scans obtained from a cross section of the retina between the plexiform layers were analyzed with a grid of five concentric radii (500, 1000, 1500, 2000, and 2500 μm centered on the fovea). The images were analyzed to determine the amount of retinal tissue present within each ring. A linear regression model was developed to determine the relationship between tissue integrity and logMAR visual acuity. Results. A linear relationship between tissue integrity and VA was demonstrated. The volume of retinal tissue between the plexiform layers in rings 1 and 2 (up to 1000 μm from the foveal center) predicted 80% of visual acuity. By contrast, central macular thickness within the central 1000 μm predicted only 14% of visual acuity. Conclusions. This study showed that the cross-sectional area of retinal tissue between the plexiform layers in cystoid macular edema, as imaged by OCT, is the best indicator of visual function at baseline. Further prospective treatment trials are needed to investigate this parameter as a predictor of visual outcome after intervention

Post-Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation (HSCT) Outcomes in Patients With AML Transplanted Prior to Achieving Platelet Recovery

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Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant (HSCT) for Patients in the 6th and 7th Decades of Life with AML or MDS Using Myeloablative, Reduced Toxicity IV Busulfan/Fludarabine (BuFlu) Conditioning Regimen

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Digital droplet PCR is a specific and sensitive tool for detecting IDH2 mutations in acute myeloid leukemia patients

Isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 and 2 (IDH1 and IDH2) interfere with cellular metabolism contributing to oncogenesis. Mutations of IDH2 at R140 and R172 residues are observed in 20% of acute myeloid leukemias (AML), and the availability of the IDH2 inhibitor Enasidenib made IDH2 mutational screening a clinical need. The aim of this study was to set a new quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technique, the drop-off digital droplet PCR (drop-off ddPCR), as a sensitive and accurate tool for detecting IDH2 mutations. With this technique we tested 60 AML patients. Sanger sequencing identified 8/60 (13.5%) mutated cases, while ddPCR and the amplification refractory mutation system (ARMS) PCR, used as a reference technique, identified mutations in 13/60 (21.6%) cases. When the outcome of IDH2-mutated was compared to that of wild-type patients, no significant difference in terms of quality of response, overall survival, or progression-free survival was observed. Finally, we monitored IDH2 mutations during follow-up in nine cases, finding that IDH2 can be considered a valid marker of minimal residual disease (MRD) in 2/3 of our patients. In conclusion, a rapid screening of IDH2 mutations is now a clinical need well satisfied by ddPCR, but the role of IDH2 as a marker for MRD still remains a matter of debate

The assessment of minimal residual disease versus that of somatic mutations for predicting the outcome of acute myeloid leukemia patients

Background: In addition to morphological and cytogenetic features, acute myeloid leukemias are characterized by mutations that can be used for target-therapy; also the minimal/measurable residual disease (MRD) could be an important prognostic factor. The purpose of this retrospective study was to investigate if somatic mutations could represent an additional prognostic value in respect of MRD alone. Method: At baseline, 98 patients were tested for NPM1, FLT3, and for WT1 expression; 31 for ASXL1, TET2, IDH1, IDH2, N-RAS, WT1, c-KIT, RUNX1, and DNMT3A. The same genes have been also tested after induction and consolidation. Results: Overall, 60.2% of our patients resulted mutated: 24.5% carried mutations of FLT3-ITD, 38.7% of NPM1, 48.4% of c-KIT, 25.8% of N-RAS and 19.3% of IDH2. The probability of achieving a complete response (CR) was higher for younger patients, with low ELN risk score, NPM1-mutated, with low WT1 levels, and without FLT3. The presence of additional mutations represented a poor predictive factor: only 19% of these cases achieved CR in comparison to 43% of subjects without any of it. Concerning survival, it was conditioned by a lower ELN risk score, younger age, reduction > 1 log of the NPM1 mutational burden, disappearance of FLT3 mutations and lower WT1 expression. Regarding the role of the additional mutations, they impaired the outcome of 20% of the already MRD-negative patients. Concerning the possibility of predicting relapse, we observed an increase of the NPM1 mutational burden at the time-point immediately preceding the relapse (about 2 months earlier) in 50% of subjects. Similarly concerning WT1, an increase of its expression anticipated disease recurrence in 64% of cases. Conclusions: We demonstrated that additional somatic mutations are able to impair outcome of the already MRD-negative subjects. About MRD, we suggest a prognostic role also for the WT1 expression. Finally, we considered as relevant the assessment of NPM1 quantity clearance instead of the presence/absence of mutations alone. Still remains in doubt the utility in terms of long-term prognosis of a baseline more complex mutational screening; we could hypothesize that it would be useful for those patients where other markers are not available or who reached the MRD negativity

Barrett's esophagus: proton pump inhibitors and chemoprevention II.

The following on proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and chemoprevention in relation to Barrett's esophagus includes commentaries on 48-h pH monitoring, pH-impedence, bile acid testing, dyspepsia, long/short segment Barrett's esophagus, nonerosive reflux disease (NERD), functional heartburn, dual-release delivery PPIs, immediate-release PPIs, long-term PPI use, prokinetic agents, obesity, baclofen, nocturnal acid breakthrough, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and new PPIs

The Italian open data meteorological portal: MISTRAL

At the national level, in Italy, observational and forecast data are collected by various public bodies and are often kept in various small, heterogeneous and non-interoperable repositories, released under different licenses, thus limiting the usability for external users. In this context, MISTRAL (the Meteo Italian SupercompuTing PoRtAL) was launched as the first Italian meteorological open data portal, with the aim of promoting the reuse of meteorological data sets available at national level coverage. The MISTRAL portal provides (and archives) meteorological data from various observation networks, both public and private, and forecast data that are generated and post-processed within the Consortium for Small-scale Modeling-Limited Area Model Italia (COSMO-LAMI) agreement using high performance computing (HPC) facilities. Also incorporated is the Italy Flash Flood use case, implemented with the collaboration of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which exploits cutting edge advances in HPC-based post-processing of ensemble precipitation forecasts, for different model resolutions, and applies those to deliver novel blended-resolution forecasts specifically for Italy. Finally, in addition to providing architectures for the acquisition and display of observational data, MISTRAL also delivers an interactive system for visualizing forecast data of different resolutions as superimposed multi-layer maps

A Comparison of the Conditioning Regimens BEAM and FEAM for Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Lymphoma: An Observational Study on 1038 Patients From Fondazione Italiana Linfomi

Abstract Background Carmustine (BCNU)-Etoposide-Citarabine-Melphalan (BEAM) chemotherapy is the standard conditioning regimen for autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) in lymphomas. Owing to BCNU shortages, many centers switched to Fotemustine-substituted BEAM (FEAM), lacking proof of equivalence. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study in 18 Italian centers to compare safety and efficacy of BEAM and FEAM regimens for ASCT in lymphomas performed from 2008 to 2015. Results We enrolled 1038 patients (BEAM n=607, FEAM n=431), of which 27% had Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL), 14% indolent Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (iNHL) and 59% aggressive NHL (aNHL). Baseline characteristics including age, sex, stage, B-symptoms, extranodal involvement, previous treatments, response before ASCT, overall conditioning intensity, were well balanced between BEAM and FEAM; notable exceptions were: ASCT year (median: BEAM=2011 vs FEAM=2013, p Conclusions BEAM and FEAM do not appear different in terms of survival and disease control. However, due to concerns of higher toxicity, Fotemustine substitution in BEAM does not seem justified, if not for easier supply