Markets and operations: 2010 Q2

This article reviews developments in sterling financial markets since the 2010 Q1 Quarterly Bulletin up to 21 May 2010. The article also reviews the Bank’s official operations.

Markets and operations 2009 Q4

This article reviews developments in sterling financial markets since the 2009 Q3 Quarterly Bulletin up to end-November 2009. The article also reviews the Bank’s official operations.

Corporate ‘excesses’ and financial market dynamics

The recent corporate failures in the US and in Europe have considerably damaged investors’ confidence in the functioning of financial markets and the ability of the regulatory framework to safeguard their interest and prevent fraud. These episodes demonstrate that market failures exist, which can undermine the effectiveness of market discipline to ensure the appropriate allocation of capital. Specifically the paper considers four particular features of financial markets that may have given rise to market failures: (a) perverse incentives/conflict of interests, (b) destabilising trading/investment strategies, (c) lack of disclosure/transparency and (d) concentrated versus fragmented ownership structures. The paper reviews the theoretical arguments and empirical evidence related to these four possible types of market failures, illustrating these with evidence drawn from the most recent corporate scandals. The last part of the paper is devoted to the policy responses both in the US and in Europe to prevent these failures.

Markets and operations: 2010 Q3

This article reviews developments in sterling financial markets, including the Bank’s official operations, since the 2010 Q2 Quarterly Bulletin up to 27 August 2010. The article also summarises market intelligence on selected topical issues relating to market functioning.

Markets and operations - 2009 Q3

This article reviews developments in global financial markets since the 2009 Q2 Quarterly Bulletin up to end-August 2009. The article also reviews the Bank’s official operations.

Interpreting recent movements in sterling

The sterling effective exchange rate has depreciated significantly since the start of the financial market crisis in August 2007. Movements in sterling affect UK monetary policy via their potential impacts on CPI inflation prospects, where it is important to consider the reasons behind the change in the exchange rate. Sterling’s movements potentially reflect a wide range of factors in the United Kingdom and overseas, in both the real economy and in financial markets. Indicative evidence suggests that sterling’s depreciation reflected a combination of perceived changes to UK relative cyclical prospects, the perceived riskiness of UK assets and the apparent need for the UK economy to rebalance, the effects of which may have been amplified by financial market factors. But there is substantial uncertainty about the precise role of each factor.

LSST: from Science Drivers to Reference Design and Anticipated Data Products

(Abridged) We describe here the most ambitious survey currently planned in the optical, the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST). A vast array of science will be enabled by a single wide-deep-fast sky survey, and LSST will have unique survey capability in the faint time domain. The LSST design is driven by four main science themes: probing dark energy and dark matter, taking an inventory of the Solar System, exploring the transient optical sky, and mapping the Milky Way. LSST will be a wide-field ground-based system sited at Cerro Pach\'{o}n in northern Chile. The telescope will have an 8.4 m (6.5 m effective) primary mirror, a 9.6 deg$^2$ field of view, and a 3.2 Gigapixel camera. The standard observing sequence will consist of pairs of 15-second exposures in a given field, with two such visits in each pointing in a given night. With these repeats, the LSST system is capable of imaging about 10,000 square degrees of sky in a single filter in three nights. The typical 5$\sigma$ point-source depth in a single visit in $r$ will be $\sim 24.5$ (AB). The project is in the construction phase and will begin regular survey operations by 2022. The survey area will be contained within 30,000 deg$^2$ with $\delta<+34.5^\circ$, and will be imaged multiple times in six bands, $ugrizy$, covering the wavelength range 320--1050 nm. About 90\% of the observing time will be devoted to a deep-wide-fast survey mode which will uniformly observe a 18,000 deg$^2$ region about 800 times (summed over all six bands) during the anticipated 10 years of operations, and yield a coadded map to $r\sim27.5$. The remaining 10\% of the observing time will be allocated to projects such as a Very Deep and Fast time domain survey. The goal is to make LSST data products, including a relational database of about 32 trillion observations of 40 billion objects, available to the public and scientists around the world.Comment: 57 pages, 32 color figures, version with high-resolution figures available from https://www.lsst.org/overvie

The provisioning experience of the major UK banks: a small panel investigation

Using panel regression analysis, the factors that may help to explain increases in loan-loss provisions for the major UK banks are investigated. Explanatory variables reviewed include aggregate variables such as GDP growth as well as bank-specific factors such as the composition of the loan portfolio. The main findings are that a number of macroeconomic variables can indeed inform about banks' provisions, in particular real GDP growth, real interest rates and lagged aggregate lending growth. Bank-specific behaviour is also important - increased lending to riskier sectors, such as commercial property companies, has generally been associated with higher provisions.