Context and decision : three approaches to representing preferences

We present three approaches to representing families of preference relations indexed by context over a set of alternatives. Our main motivation is that existing models of preferences typically assume that there is a unique order that ranks alternatives and contexts alike, that is preferences are context-free. We argue that this is often an unnecessary and unrealistic burden on the decision-maker’s capacity to decide. The first chapter is a geometric approach that improves upon the model of Gilboa and Schmeidler (2003) and casebased decision theory. The second is a general, topological approach with applications to choice under uncertainty; for context preferences it emulates the classical representation of Debreu (1954) and (1964). Finally, as a practical alternative the previous two models we extend the model of Herstein and Milnor (1953) and hence von Neumann and Morgernstern (1944) to obtain a representation for unions of mixture spaces

Differences in the epidemiology of theileriosis on smallholder dairy farms in contrasting agro-ecological and grazing strata of highland Kenya

A prospective cohort study was conducted in five purposively-sampled agro-ecological zone (AEZ)-grazing system strata in Murang’a District, Kenya, between March 1995 and June 1996. The study strata were selected based on a preliminary characterization study to represent the widest range of risks to East Coast fever (ECF) in the District and included zero-grazing and open-grazing farms. In total, 225 calves from 188 smallholder farms were examined from birth to 6 months of age and visited within the first 2 weeks of life and thereafter at bi-weekly intervals for up to 14 visits. The purpose of the study was to characterize the differences in epidemiology (risks of infection, morbidity and mortality) and potential control of ECF between the selected strata. Evidence of Theileria parva infection was assessed by increased antibody levels as measured in an indirect ELISA assay by the percent positivity (PP) of serum samples relative to a strong positive reference serum. Sero-conversion risks of T. parva were highest in the open-grazing strata. Antibody prevalence in adult cattle and ECF morbidity and mortality risks were also highest in open-grazing strata. While different, all five AEZ-grazing strata were considered to be endemically unstable for ECF. East Coast fever challenge was low in all zero-grazing strata and this challenge is likely to remain low due to continuing intensification of smallholder farming in the central highlands. In the open-grazing strata, there was higher challenge and a greater impact of ECF. ILRI publication no.: 99017

Dynamics and calcium sensitivity of the Ca2+/myristoyl switch protein hippocalcin in living cells

Hippocalcin is a neuronal calcium sensor protein that possesses a Ca2+/myristoyl switch allowing it to translocate to membranes. Translocation of hippocalcin in response to increased cytosolic [Ca2+] was examined in HeLa cells expressing hippocalcin–enhanced yellow fluorescent protein (EYFP) to determine the dynamics and Ca2+ affinity of the Ca2+/myristoyl switch in living cells. Ca2+-free hippocalcin was freely diffusible, as shown by photobleaching and use of a photoactivable GFP construct. The translocation was dependent on binding of Ca2+ by EF-hands 2 and 3. Using photolysis of NP-EGTA, the maximal kinetics of translocation was determined (t1/2 = 0.9 s), and this was consistent with a diffusion driven process. Low intensity photolysis of NP-EGTA produced a slow [Ca2+] ramp and revealed that translocation of hippocalcin–EYFP initiated at around 180 nM and was half maximal at 290 nM. Histamine induced a reversible translocation of hippocalcin–EYFP. The data show that hippocalcin is a sensitive Ca2+ sensor capable of responding to increases in intracellular Ca2+ concentration over the narrow dynamic range of 200–800 nM free Ca2+

Stress in silicon interlayers at the SiO(x)/Ge interface

Materials such as germanium display an advantage relative to silicon in terms of carrier mobilities but form poor quality interfaces to oxides. By sandwiching silicon layers between a germanium substrate and the oxide, advantages of the silicon oxide/silicon (SiO(x)/Si) interface can be retained combined with the advantage of a high mobility germanium substrate. Using density functional theory calculations, stress within the silicon interlayer is quantified for different interlayer thicknesses revealing that for up to three silicon layers, the stress in the interlayer is compensated for by the energy gained by forming silicon-oxygen bonds at the interface. (c) 2007 American Institute of Physics. (DOI:10.1063/1.2713122

Intrauterine Growth and Intelligence Within Sibling Pairs: Findings From the Mater-University Study of Pregnancy and its Outcomes

Objective: To examine the association between intrauterine growth and intelligence. Design: Population based birth cohort study of sibling pairs born within a maximum of three years of each other. Setting: Mater-University women and children's hospital, Brisbane, Australia. Participants: 235 (470 children) sibling pairs. Results: Among one randomly selected sibling from each pair verbal comprehension at age 5, general intelligence at age 14, and reading ability at age 14 increased linearly with increasing gestational age and sex standardised birth weight z scores. With adjustment for maternal age, race, and smoking during pregnancy, birth order, family income, and parental education the associations with verbal comprehension at age 5 and general intelligence at age 14 remained, whereas the association with reading ability at age 14 was attenuated to the null. Within sibling pairs, differences in intrauterine growth were positively associated with differences in verbal comprehension at age 5 (test score difference per one unit difference in birth weight z score = 1.52 (0.11 to 3.26)) and general intelligence at age 14 (1.09 (0.01 to 2.18)), but not with reading ability at age 14. Conclusions: Socioeconomic position or other fixed maternal characteristics do not seem to explain the positive association between intrauterine growth and childhood intelligence

A randomized clinical trial of methylnaltrexone for the treatment of opioid induced constipation & gastrointestinal stasis in intensive care patients; results from the MOTION trial

PurposeConstipation can be a significant problem in critically unwell patients, associated with detrimental outcomes. Opioids are thought to contribute to the mechanism of bowel dysfunction. We tested if methylnaltrexone, a pure peripheral mu-opioid receptor antagonist, could reverse opioid induced constipationMethodsThe MOTION trial is a multi-centre, double blind, randomised placebo controlled trial to investigate whether methylnaltrexone alleviatesopioid induced constipation (OIC) in critical care patients. Eligibility criteria included adult ICU patients who were mechanically ventilated, receiving opioids and were constipated (had not opened bowels for a minimum 48 hours) despite prior administration of regular laxatives as per local bowel management protocol. The primary outcome was time to significant rescue-free laxation. Secondary outcomes included gastric residual volume, tolerance of enteral feeds, requirement for rescue laxatives, requirement for prokinetics, average number of bowel movements per day,escalation of opioid dose due to antagonism/reversal of analgesia, incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia, incidence of diarrhoea and Clostridium difficileinfection and finally 28 day, ICU and hospital mortality.ResultsA total of 84 patients were enrolled and randomized (41 to methylnaltrexone and 43 to placebo). The baseline demographic characteristics of the two groups were generally well balanced. There was no significant differencein time to rescue-free laxation between the groups (Hazard ratio 1.42, 95%CI 0.82-2.46, p=0.22). There were no significant differencesin the majority of secondary outcomes, particularly days 1-3. However, during days 4-28, there were fewer median number of bowel movements per day in the methylnaltrexone group, (p=0.01) and a greater incidence of diarrhoea in the placebo group (p=0.02). There was a marked difference in mortality between the groups, with ten deaths in the methylnaltrexone group and two in the placebo group during days 4-28. (p=0.007).ConclusionWe found no evidence to support the addition of methylnaltrexone to regular laxatives for the treatment of opioidinduced constipation in critically ill patients, however the confidence interval was wide and a clinically important difference cannot be excluded

Epidemiological patterns of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in highly endemic areas

This paper uses meta-analysis of published data and a deterministic mathematical model of hepatitis B virus (HBV) transmission to describe the patterns of HBV infection in high endemicity areas. We describe the association between the prevalence of carriers and a simple measure of the rate of infection, the age at which half the population have been infected (A50), and assess the contribution of horizontal and perinatal transmission to this association. We found that the two main hyper-endemic areas of sub-Saharan Africa and east Asia have similar prevalences of carriers and values of A50, and that there is a negative nonlinear relationship between A50 and the prevalence of carriers in high endemicity areas (Spearman's Rank, P = 0·0086). We quantified the risk of perinatal transmission and the age-dependent rate of infection to allow a comparison between the main hyper-endemic areas. East Asia was found to have higher prevalences of HBeAg positive mothers and a greater risk of perinatal transmission from HBeAg positive mothers than sub-Saharan Africa, though the differences were not statistically significant. However, the two areas have similar magnitudes and age-dependent rates of horizontal transmission. Results of a simple compartmental model suggest that similar rates of horizontal transmission are sufficient to generate the similar patterns between A50 and the prevalences of carriers. Interrupting horizontal transmission by mass immunization is expected to have a significant, nonlinear impact on the rate of acquisition of new carriers

Circannual Alterations in the Circadian Rhythm of Melatonin Secretion

To determine if a circadian rhythm known to be functionally related to the reproductive axis varies on a circannual basis, we monitored the circadian secretion of melatonin at monthly intervals for 2 years in four ovariectomized, estradiol-implanted ewes held in a constant short-day photoperiod. Prior to the study, ewes had been housed in a short-day (8L:16D) photoperiod for 4 years and were exhibiting circannual reproductive rhythms as assessed by serum luteinizing hormone (LH) levels. Three of the four sheep showed unambiguous deviations from the expected nocturnal melatonin secretion at two different times approximately 1 year apart. Nocturnal rises in melatonin, which usually last the duration of the dark phase, were delayed by 3-14 h or were missing. Altogether, five of the seven melatonin alterations observed in these three ewes occurred during the nadir of the circannual LH cycle. In the remaining ewe, we did not observe an altered melatonin secretory pattern during this period, and this ewe also failed to show a high amplitude circannual cycle of LH. The results provide evidence for a circannual change in the circadian rhythm of melatonin secretion. This alteration in melatonin secretion may serve as a "functional" change in daylength, and thereby may influence the expression of the circannual reproductive rhythm of sheep held in a fixed photoperiod for an extended time.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/68029/2/10.1177_074873049501000104.pd

Non-invasive measurement of hepatic venous oxygen saturation (ShvO₂) with quantitative susceptibility mapping in normal mouse liver and livers bearing colorectal metastases

PURPOSE: The purpose of this prospective study was to investigate the potential of QSM to noninvasively measure hepatic venous oxygen saturation (ShvO2). Materials & Methods: All animal studies were performed in accordance with the UK Home Office Animals Science Procedures Act (1986) and UK National Cancer Research Institute (NCRI) guidelines. QSM data was acquired from a cohort of mice (n=10) under both normoxic (medical air, 21% O2/balance N), and hyperoxic conditions (100% O2). Susceptibility measurements were taken from large branches of the portal and hepatic vein under each condition and were used to calculate venous oxygen saturation in each vessel. Blood was extracted from the IVC of three mice under norm- and hyperoxic conditions, and oxygen saturation was measured using a blood gas analyser to act as a gold standard. QSM data was also acquired from a cohort of mice bearing colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). SvO2 was calculated from susceptibility measurements made in the portal and hepatic veins, and compared to the healthy animals. RESULTS: SvO2 calculated from QSM measurements showed a significant increase of 14.93% in the portal vein (p < 0.05), and an increase of 21.39% in the hepatic vein (p < 0.01). Calculated results showed excellent agreement with those from the blood gas analyser (26.14% increase). ShvO2 was significantly lower in the disease cohort (30.18 ± 11.6%), than the healthy animals (52.67 ± 17.8%) (p < 0.05), but differences in the portal vein were not significant. CONCLUSION: QSM is a feasible tool for non-invasively measuring hepatic venous oxygen saturation and can detect differences in oxygen consumption in livers bearing colorectal metastases