Risk stratification for sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most common cause of mortality in childhood onset hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Despite this, our understanding of risk factors and ability to identify those at highest risk is limited. The aims of this thesis were to perform the first systematic investigation of SCD in childhood HCM and develop a novel paediatric-specific risk model. Using a large, retrospective, international multi-centre cohort of children with HCM this thesis firstly describes the natural history of childhood onset disease. The second part of the thesis presents the results of the first systematic review and metaanalysis of clinical risk factors for SCD in childhood HCM identifying four major clinical risk factors; previous malignant arrhythmic event, unexplained syncope, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) and extreme left ventricular hypertrophy. In the third part of this thesis, the current risk stratification guidelines are shown to have only moderate discriminatory ability (C statistic 0.62 (95% CI 0.55-0.70)) with a corresponding 5-year positive and negative predictive value of 9.0% and 94.5%. Thus, a novel paediatric model is developed using pre-selected clinical variables from the meta-analysis (unexplained syncope, NSVT, left atrial diameter, maximal wall thickness and left ventricular outflow tract gradient). The model's ability to predict risk at 5 years was validated; C statistic 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66-0.72) and calibration slope 0.98 (95% CI, 0.59-1.38). In the final part of this thesis the role of additional novel risk factors, including 12-lead electrocardiograph and genotype, are explored. In summary, this thesis is the first systematic and comprehensive investigation of risk factors for SCD in childhood HCM. Important differences between adult and childhood disease are described and the first validated risk model for use in paediatric clinical care is presented

The role of the electrocardiographic phenotype in risk stratification for sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Aims The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is routinely performed in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). An ECG risk score has been suggested as a useful tool for risk stratification, but this has not been independently validated. This aim of this study was to describe the ECG phenotype of childhood HCM in a large, international, multi-centre cohort and investigate its role in risk prediction for arrhythmic events. Methods and results Data from 356 childhood HCM patients with a mean age of 10.1 years (±4.5) were collected from a retrospective, multi-centre international cohort. Three hundred and forty-seven (97.5%) patients had ECG abnormalities at baseline, most commonly repolarization abnormalities (n = 277, 77.8%); left ventricular hypertrophy (n = 240, 67.7%); abnormal QRS axis (n = 126, 35.4%); or QT prolongation (n = 131, 36.8%). Over a median follow-up of 3.9 years (interquartile range 2.0–7.7), 25 (7%) had an arrhythmic event, with an overall annual event rate of 1.38 (95% CI 0.93–2.04). No ECG variables were associated with 5-year arrhythmic event on univariable or multivariable analysis. The ECG risk score threshold of >5 had modest discriminatory ability [C-index 0.60 (95% CI 0.484–0.715)], with corresponding negative and positive predictive values of 96.7% and 6.7% Conclusion In a large, international, multi-centre cohort of childhood HCM, ECG abnormalities were common and varied. No ECG characteristic, either in isolation or combined in the previously described ECG risk score, was associated with 5-year sudden cardiac death risk. This suggests that the role of baseline ECG phenotype in improving risk stratification in childhood HCM is limited.post-print967 K

Risk of sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: Time to solve the mystery

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is defined as left ventricular hypertrophy in the absence of loading conditions sufficient to cause the observed abnormality. The true prevalence in childhood is unknown; the aetiology is more heterogeneous than that seen in adult populations, and includes inborn errors of metabolism, malformation syndromes and neuromuscular syndromes. However, one of the greatest clinical challenges in managing young patients with HCM is identifying those at greatest risk of sudden cardiac death

Disopyramide is a safe and effective treatment for children with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular outflow tract obstruction (LVOTO) is present in 1/3 of children with Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (HCM). Disopyramide improves symptoms associated with LVOTO and delays surgical intervention in adults, but it is not licensed in children. AIM: To describe a single-centre thirty-year experience of using disopyramide to treat LVOTO-related symptoms in a paediatric HCM cohort. METHODS: Clinical data were collected for all patients meeting diagnostic criteria for HCM (<18 years) at the time of initiation, 6 months after, and last follow-up or end of disopyramide treatment. It included demographics, clinical history, 12‑lead electrocardiography, and echocardiography. Comparisons between baseline and 6 month follow up, and end of follow up respectively were performed. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients with HCM were started on disopyramide at a mean age 10.2±5.3 years. At 6 months, of those previously symptomatic, 33(86.8%) reported an improvement of symptoms and 12(31.6%) were asymptomatic. PR interval, corrected QT interval and maximal LVOT gradient had not significantly changed, but fewer participants were noted to have systolic anterior motion of the mitral valve 31 (72.1%) vs. 26 (57.80%). Patients were followed up for a median of 1.9 years (IQR 0.83-4.5). Nine patients (17.6%) reported side effects, and eleven patients (33.3%) with initial improvement in symptoms reported a return or worsening of symptoms requiring a change in medication (n = 4, 12.1%) or left ventricular septal myomectomy (n = 7, 21.2%) during follow up. CONCLUSION: Disopyramide is a safe and effective treatment for LVOTO-related symptoms in childhood obstructive HCM. Any delay in the need for invasive intervention, particularly during childhood, is of clear clinical benefit

Clinical Features and Natural History of Preadolescent Nonsyndromic Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; Outcomes; PhenotypeMiocardiopatía hipertrófica infantil; Resultados; FenotipoMiocardiopatia hipertròfica infantil; Resultats; FenotipBackground Up to one-half of childhood sarcomeric hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) presents before the age of 12 years, but this patient group has not been systematically characterized. Objectives The aim of this study was to describe the clinical presentation and natural history of patients presenting with nonsyndromic HCM before the age of 12 years. Methods Data from the International Paediatric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Consortium on 639 children diagnosed with HCM younger than 12 years were collected and compared with those from 568 children diagnosed between 12 and 16 years. Results At baseline, 339 patients (53.6%) had family histories of HCM, 132 (20.9%) had heart failure symptoms, and 250 (39.2%) were prescribed cardiac medications. The median maximal left ventricular wall thickness z-score was 8.7 (IQR: 5.3-14.4), and 145 patients (27.2%) had left ventricular outflow tract obstruction. Over a median follow-up period of 5.6 years (IQR: 2.3-10.0 years), 42 patients (6.6%) died, 21 (3.3%) underwent cardiac transplantation, and 69 (10.8%) had life-threatening arrhythmic events. Compared with those presenting after 12 years, a higher proportion of younger patients underwent myectomy (10.5% vs 7.2%; P = 0.045), but fewer received primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (18.9% vs 30.1%; P = 0.041). The incidence of mortality or life-threatening arrhythmic events did not differ, but events occurred at a younger age. Conclusions Early-onset childhood HCM is associated with a comparable symptom burden and cardiac phenotype as in patients presenting later in childhood. Long-term outcomes including mortality did not differ by age of presentation, but patients presenting at younger than 12 years experienced adverse events at younger ages.This work was supported by the British Heart Foundation (grant FS/16/72/32270) to Drs Norrish and Kaski. This work is (partly) funded by the National Institute for Health Research Great Ormond Street Hospital Biomedical Research Centre. Dr Norrish is supported by Great Ormond Street Hospital Children’s Charity. Drs Field and Kaski are supported by Max’s Foundation and Great Ormond Street Hospital Children’s Charity. Dr Kaski is supported by a Medical Research Council–National Institute for Health Research Clinical Academic Research Partnership award. This work was financially supported by the Foundation for Paediatric Research of Finland (Dr Ojala). Dr Fernandez has received speaker fees from Sanofi-Genzyme. Dr Kubus is supported by MH CZ – DRO, Motol University Hospital (00064203). All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose

Relationship Between Maximal Left Ventricular Wall Thickness and Sudden Cardiac Death in Childhood Onset Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

Child; Death; Hypertrophic cardiomyopathyNiño; Muerte; Miocardiopatía hipertróficaNen; Mort; Miocardiopatia hipertròficaBackground: Maximal left ventricular wall thickness (MLVWT) is a risk factor for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). In adults, the severity of left ventricular hypertrophy has a nonlinear relationship with SCD, but it is not known whether the same complex relationship is seen in childhood. The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between left ventricular hypertrophy and SCD risk in a large international pediatric HCM cohort. Methods: The study cohort comprised 1075 children (mean age, 10.2 years [±4.4]) diagnosed with HCM (1–16 years) from the International Paediatric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy Consortium. Anonymized, noninvasive clinical data were collected from baseline evaluation and follow-up, and 5-year estimated SCD risk was calculated (HCM Risk-Kids). Results: MLVWT Z score was <10 in 598 (58.1%), ≥10 to <20 in 334 (31.1%), and ≥20 in 143 (13.3%). Higher MLVWT Z scores were associated with heart failure symptoms, unexplained syncope, left ventricular outflow tract obstruction, left atrial dilatation, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. One hundred twenty-two patients (71.3%) with MLVWT Z score ≥20 had coexisting risk factors for SCD. Over a median follow-up of 4.9 years (interquartile range, 2.3–9.3), 115 (10.7%) had an SCD event. Freedom from SCD event at 5 years for those with MLVWT Z scores <10, ≥10 to <20, and ≥20 was 95.6%, 87.4%, and 86.0, respectively. The estimated SCD risk at 5 years had a nonlinear, inverted U-shaped relationship with MLVWT Z score, peaking at Z score +23. The presence of coexisting risk factors had a summative effect on risk. Conclusions: In children with HCM, an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between left ventricular hypertrophy and estimated SCD risk. The presence of additional risk factors has a summative effect on risk. While MLVWT is important for risk stratification, it should not be used either as a binary variable or in isolation to guide implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation decisions in children with HCM

External validation of the HCM Risk-Kids model for predicting sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Aims Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is the most common mode of death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). The newly developed HCM Risk-Kids model provides clinicians with individualized estimates of risk. The aim of this study was to externally validate the model in a large independent, multi-centre patient cohort. Methods and results A retrospective, longitudinal cohort of 421 patients diagnosed with HCM aged 1-16 years independent of the HCM Risk-Kids development and internal validation cohort was studied. Data on HCM Risk-Kids predictor variables (unexplained syncope, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, maximal left ventricular wall thickness, left atrial diameter, and left ventricular outflow tract gradient) were collected from the time of baseline clinical evaluation. The performance of the HCM Risk-Kids model in predicting risk at 5 years was assessed. Twenty-three patients (5.4%) met the SCD end-point within 5 years, with an overall incidence rate of 2.03 per 100 patient-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.48-2.78]. Model validation showed a Harrell's C-index of 0.745 (95% CI 0.52-0.97) and Uno's C-index 0.714 (95% 0.58-0.85) with a calibration slope of 1.15 (95% 0.51-1.80). A 5-year predicted risk threshold of >= 6% identified 17 (73.9%) SCD events with a corresponding C-statistic of 0.702 (95% CI 0.60-0.81). Conclusions This study reports the first external validation of the HCM Risk-Kids model in a large and geographically diverse patient population. A 5-year predicted risk of >= 6% identified over 70% of events, confirming that HCM Risk-Kids provides a method for individualized risk predictions and shared decision-making in children with HCM.Peer reviewe

Penetrance of Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy in Sarcomere Protein Mutation Carriers

[Abstract] Background. Predictive genetic screening of relatives of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) caused by sarcomere protein (SP) gene mutations is current standard of care, but there are few data on long-term outcomes in mutation carriers without HCM. Objectives. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of new HCM diagnosis in SP mutation carriers. Methods. This was a retrospective analysis of adult and pediatric SP mutation carriers identified during family screening who did not fulfill diagnostic criteria for HCM at first evaluation. Results. The authors evaluated 285 individuals from 156 families (median age 14.2 years [interquartile range: 6.8 to 31.6 years], 141 [49.5%] male individuals); 145 (50.9%) underwent cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). Frequency of causal genes was as follows: MYBPC3 n = 123 (43.2%), MYH7 n = 69 (24.2%), TNNI3 n = 39 (13.7%), TNNT2 n = 34 (11.9%), TPM1 n = 9 (3.2%), MYL2 n = 6 (2.1%), ACTC1 n = 1 (0.4%), multiple mutations n = 4 (1.4%). Median follow-up was 8.0 years (interquartile range: 4.0 to 13.3 years) and 86 (30.2%) patients developed HCM; 16 of 50 (32.0%) fulfilled diagnostic criteria on CMR but not echocardiography. Estimated HCM penetrance at 15 years of follow-up was 46% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 38% to 54%). In a multivariable model adjusted for age and stratified for CMR, independent predictors of HCM development were male sex (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.91; 95% CI: 1.82 to 4.65) and abnormal electrocardiogram (ECG) (HR: 4.02; 95% CI: 2.51 to 6.44); TNNI3 variants had the lowest risk (HR: 0.19; 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.55, compared to MYBPC3). Conclusions. Following a first negative screening, approximately 50% of SP mutation carriers develop HCM over 15 years of follow-up. Male sex and an abnormal ECG are associated with a higher risk of developing HCM. Regular CMR should be considered in long-term screening

Racial Variation in Echocardiographic Reference Ranges for Left Chamber Dimensions in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review.

Echocardiography plays a critical role in the assessment of cardiac disease. Important differences in echocardiographically derived cardiac chamber dimensions have been previously highlighted in different population groups in adult studies, but this has not been systematically studied in children, whose body size changes throughout childhood. The aim of this study was to review the distribution of available reference ranges for the left cardiac chamber dimensions in older children and adolescents. The following electronic data bases were searched: Medline, Embase and Web of Science were searched to identify studies which have established echocardiographic reference ranges of left heart parameters in children and adolescents from 1975 to December 2017. There was no geographical limitation. All results were imported into Endnote. Retrieved articles were screened and data extracted by two independent reviewers. A total of 4398 studies were retrieved, with 36 studies finally included in this review. 29 (81%) references were from North America and European (Caucasians) populations, with only one study each from Africa and South America. Two-dimensional and M-mode techniques were the most commonly used echocardiography techniques. There were methodological variations in techniques and normalisation of references. Comparison of selected cardiac measures showed significant differences for interventricular septal thickness among Black African, Indian, German and US American children. Available echocardiographic references cannot be generalised to all settings and therefore, there is need for locally relevant reference ranges. Africa and South America are particularly under-represented. Future studies should focus on developing comprehensive echocardiographic reference ranges for children from different racial backgrounds and should use standardised techniques

Cardiac Manifestations of Myotonic Dystrophy in a Pediatric Cohort

Myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1) is the most prevalent inherited neuromuscular dystrophy in adults. It is a multisystem disease with cardiac manifestations. Whilst these are well-defined in adults, there are scarce published data in the pediatric population. This study aimed to investigate the yield and progression of cardiac disease in pediatric DM1 patients, focusing on congenital DM1 (cDM1). Methods: A retrospective observational study of all pediatric DM1 patients referred to our center (December 2000-November 2020) was conducted. Patients were classified into DM1 forms according to age of symptom onset and disease severity. Patients underwent clinical and cardiac evaluation with 12-lead ECG, transthoracic echocardiography and 24-h ECG Holter monitoring. Results: 67 DM1 pediatric patients were included: 56 (83.6%) cDM1 and 11 (16.4%) non-cDM1. Median follow-up time of cDM1 patients was 8.0 [3.25-11.0] years. 49 (87.5%) cDM1 patients had baseline 12-lead ECG and 44 (78.6%) had a follow-up 12-lead-ECG, with a median follow-up time from diagnosis to baseline ECG of 2.8 [1.0-8.5] years and to follow-up ECG of 10.9 [5.7-14.2] years. Overall, 43 (87.8%) presented ECG abnormalities, most commonly in the form of asymptomatic conduction disease (n = 23, 46.9%), of which 21 (42.9%) had first degree atrioventricular block (1st AVB). There was an increase of prevalence from baseline to follow-up ECG in low QRS voltage (16.7%), poor R wave progression (13.9%), abnormal repolarisation (11.9%) and 1st AVB (7.6%). one patient (1.8%) underwent pacemaker implantation for syncope in the context of progressive conduction disease. No patients developed left ventricular systolic dysfunction. 4 (7.1%) cDM1 patients died during follow up, including three who died suddenly with no clear cause of death. Conclusions: This study is the first to analyse the prevalence and progression of ECG abnormalities in cDM1 pediatric patients. The high prevalence of abnormal findings, progressive changes and number of potentially associated events (1 pacemaker implantation and 3 unexplained sudden deaths) stresses the importance of systematic and continued cardiac evaluation of these patients