Empirical Uncertainty Estimators for Astrometry from Digital Databases

In order to understand the positional uncertainties of arbitrary objects in several of the current major databases containing astrometric information, a sample of extragalactic radio sources with precise positions in the International Celestial Reference Frame (ICRF) is compared with the available positions of their optical counterparts. The discrepancies between the radio and various optical positions are used to derive empirical uncertainty estimators for the USNO-A2.0, USNO-A1.0, Guide Star Selection System (GSSS) images, and the first and second Digitized Sky Surveys (DSS-I and DSS-II). In addition, an estimate of the uncertainty when the USNO-A2.0 catalog is transferred to different image data is provided. These optical astrometric frame uncertainties can in some cases be the dominant error term when cross-identifying sources at different wavelengths.Comment: 12 pages including 2 figures and 1 table. Accepted for publication in The Astronomical Journal, October 1999. Values in Table 1 for DSS I corrected 99-07-1

Influence of pore-scale disorder on viscous fingering during drainage

We study viscous fingering during drainage experiments in linear Hele-Shaw cells filled with a random porous medium. The central zone of the cell is found to be statistically more occupied than the average, and to have a lateral width of 40% of the system width, irrespectively of the capillary number $Ca$. A crossover length $w_f \propto Ca^{-1}$ separates lower scales where the invader's fractal dimension $D\simeq1.83$ is identical to capillary fingering, and larger scales where the dimension is found to be $D\simeq1.53$. The lateral width and the large scale dimension are lower than the results for Diffusion Limited Aggregation, but can be explained in terms of Dielectric Breakdown Model. Indeed, we show that when averaging over the quenched disorder in capillary thresholds, an effective law $v\propto (\nabla P)^2$ relates the average interface growth rate and the local pressure gradient.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figures, submitted to Phys Rev Letter

The Coherent Radio Emission from the RS CVn Binary HR 1099

We used the Australia Telescope in March-April 2005 to observe the RS CVn binary HR 1099 at 1.384 and 2.368 GHz at two epochs, each of 9 h in duration and 11 days apart. During two episodes of coherent emission, we employed a recently installed facility to sample the data at 78 ms intervals to measure the fine temporal and spectral structure of HR 1099. Our main observational results include: ~100% left hand circularly polarised emission was seen at both 1.384 and 2.368 GHz during both epochs; in the first event the emission feature drifted across the spectrum; three 22 min integrations made at 78 ms time resolution showed that the modulation index of the Stokes V parameter increased monotonically as the integration time was decreased and was still increasing at our resolution limit; we believe that the highly polarised emission is due to electron-cyclotron maser emission (ECME) operating in the corona of one of the binary components. We discuss two kinds of maser sources that may be responsible for driving the observed events. We suggest that the ECME source may be an aurora-like phenomenon due to the transfer of plasma from the K2 subgiant to the G5 dwarf in a strong stellar wind.Comment: Accepted for publication in the Publications of the Astronomical Society of Australi

Stationary axisymmetric exteriors for perturbations of isolated bodies in general relativity, to second order

Perturbed stationary axisymmetric isolated bodies, e.g. stars, represented by a matter-filled interior and an asymptotically flat vacuum exterior joined at a surface where the Darmois matching conditions are satisfied, are considered. The initial state is assumed to be static. The perturbations of the matching conditions are derived and used as boundary conditions for the perturbed Ernst equations in the exterior region. The perturbations are calculated to second order. The boundary conditions are overdetermined: necessary and sufficient conditions for their compatibility are derived. The special case of perturbations of spherical bodies is given in detail.Comment: RevTeX; 32 pp. Accepted by Phys. Rev. D. Added references and extra comments in introductio

Studies Related to Nutrients Entering Groundwater From the Heber Valley Sewer Farm and Dairies

Foreword: This report includes the results from a two year study in the Heber Valley to determine amounts of nutrients that are entering the groundwaters of the Heber Valley, and might ultimately enter Deer Creek Reservoir. Since Deer Creek Reservoir in Heber Valley, Utah supplies approximately 65 percent of the water distributed to Salt Lake County, the maintenance of its quality is of considerable importance. To maintain the quality of this reservoir and limit its eutrophication best management practices for surface water have been implemented gradually during the past decade in Heber Valley. These practices have significantly improved the qualities of surface streams flowing into the reservoir. However, data for amounts of phosphorus and nitrogen in groundwater inflows to the reservoir are several times larger than predicted from 1967 data. Concern has been voiced that perhaps cleaning up the surface inflows by spreading treated sewage on land, retaining dairy wastes in lagoon, etc, have only delayed the arrival time of nutrients into Deer Creek Reservoir, and that their transmission through gruondwaters into the reservoir will result in eutrophication unless other measures are implemented. To provide data for better understanding of the processes assocaited with soil sorption and transmission of chemicals (with a focus on phosphorus and nitrogen) into the saturated groundwater and ultimately into Deer Creek Reservoir, a three pronged research program was initiated by Utah State University during the Spring of 1989. This program consisted of: 1. Installation of unsaturated zone (Vandose zone) samples that extract water from the partially saturated soil at 6 sites (with two samplers at different depths at each site) within the land disposal area of the Heber Valley Special Service District (referred to as the sewer farm hereafter), and adjacent to two liquid manure lagoons at dairy farms. 2. Laboratory sorption studies on soil columns that were acquired in an undistrubed state from the 6 sites in the above sewer farm , and 3. Development of computer solutions to estimate the transmission of nutrients through the unsaturated top soil into the groundwater. An earlier 1990 preliminary report Interim Report for Studies related to Nutrients Entering Groundwater from the Heber Valley Sewer Farm and Dairies provided information related to the results of the laboratory sorption studies, and tentative results from the field studies based on the data collected during the summer of 1989. Since the field data given in the earlier report covered only a portion of ayear, and the study was continued for a second year that report is superceded by this report. This report provides the data collected over the two year period of the study, 1989-1990. Included in this report are field data obtained from the most critical spring period of 1990 when the surface soils recieve the relatively large quantities of snow melt water. The 1990 water year was again a dry year in which precipitation was considerably below normal. Thus the field collection period did not include a truly wet condition as will undoubtedly occur during years of above normal precipitation. Above normal rainfall did occur during the months of April and May, 1991. However this was not anticipated and the field samplers were unfortunately removed prior to these occurences to allow more easy working of the farm area. Since only a few copies of the above mentioned interim report were reproduced, this report duplicates the description of the field instrumentation, and the laboratory sorption studies. The data tables contained in that report have been updated to include field data from the second year through 1990. The results from the computer solutions that were contained in the interim report as Appendix A are not included herein, however. That report must be consulted for this detail. Field data collected from the first year indicated that larger quantities of nitrogen in the form of nitrate (NO3) than phophorus were within the unsaturated surface soils of the farm irrigated by the treated sewage, and by the dairy lagoons. Based on this information an additional research program, or changing the emphasis of the research, was directed to studying the nitrogen cycle in the groundwater system of Heber Valley to determine in natural processes reduce the amount of NO3- reaching Deer Creek Reservoir through the Heber Valley aquifers. More specifically the additional emphasis was deirected to determine whether conditions exist that favor denitrification and the extent by which such process might be reducing the amounts of NO3- input to Deer Creek Reservoir from the irrigated farm of the Heber Valley Special Service District, and two dairy lagoons. Denitrification is a process whereby bacteria transfer electrons from compounds, known as electron donors, to NO3-, an electron acceptor. The end products of this reduction are gases of N2O and N2, both of which escape to the atmosphere and thus reduce the amount of nitrogen in the water. The results of this sadditional research will be reported in a forthcoming project report consisting of the Ph.D. dissertation by Scott F. Korom Denitrification in the Unconsolidated Deposits of the Heber Valley Aquifer. This dissertation is being written in the format now allowed by Utah State University where different sections are designed as separate papers for submission to professional journals. Therefore the results of the denitrification phases of the research should also be available in future professional journal papers

Forecasting emergency medical service call arrival rates

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings. We directly model the count-valued arrivals per hour, rather than using an artificial assumption of normality. This is crucial for the emergency medical service context, in which the volume of calls may be very low. Smoothing splines are used in estimating the factor levels and loadings to improve long-term forecasts. We impose time series structure at the hourly level, rather than at the daily level, capturing the fine-scale dependence in addition to the long-term structure. Our analysis considers all emergency priority calls received by Toronto EMS between January 2007 and December 2008 for which an ambulance was dispatched. Empirical results demonstrate significantly reduced error in forecasting call arrival volume. To quantify the impact of reduced forecast errors, we design a queueing model simulation that approximates the dynamics of an ambulance system. The results show better performance as the forecasting method improves. This notion of quantifying the operational impact of improved statistical procedures may be of independent interest.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS442 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Effect of Gender and Defensive Opponent on the Biomechanics of Sidestep Cutting

Purpose: Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries often occur in women during cutting maneuvers to evade a defensive player. Gender differences in knee kinematics have been observed, but it is not known to what extent these are linked to abnormal neuromuscular control elsewhere in the kinetic chain. Responses to defense players, which may be gender-dependent, have not been included in previous studies. This study determined the effects of gender and defense player on entire lower extremity biomechanics during sidestepping. Methods: Eight male and eight female subjects performed sidestep cuts with and without a static defensive opponent while 3D motion and ground reaction force data were recorded. Peak values of eight selected motion and force variables were, as well as their between-trial variabilities, submitted to a two-way (defense × gender) ANOVA. A Bonferroni-corrected alpha level of 0.003 denoted statistical significance. Results: Females had less hip and knee flexion, hip and knee internal rotation, and hip abduction. Females had higher knee valgus and foot pronation angles, and increased variability in knee valgus and internal rotation. Increased medial ground reaction forces and flexion and abduction in the hip and knee occurred with the defensive player for both genders. Conclusions: A simulated defense player causes increased lower limb movements and forces, and should be a useful addition to laboratory protocols for sidestepping. Gender differences in the joint kinematics suggest that increased knee valgus may contribute to ACL injury risk in women, and that the hip and ankle may play an important role in controlling knee valgus during sidestepping. Consideration of the entire lower extremity contributes to an understanding of injury mechanisms and may lead to better training programs for injury prevention

Chemoanatomical organization of the noradrenergic input from locus coeruleus to the olfactory bulb of the adult rat.

The locus coeruleus contains noradrenergic neurons which project widely throughout the CNS. A major target of locus coeruleus projections in the rat is the olfactory bulb (Shipley et al.: Brain Res. 329:294–299, '85) but the organization of the projections within the bulb has not been systematically examined. In this study, the laminar distribution and densities of locus coeruleus-noradrenergic fibers in the main and accessory olfactory bulbs were determined with anterograde tracing and immunocytochemical techniques. Following iontophoretic injections of 1% wheat germ agglutinin-horseradish peroxidase into the locus coeruleus, the densest anterograde label in the accessory olfactory bulb was observed in the external plexiform layer, granule cell layer, and especially in the internal part of the mitral cell layer. Virtually no label was observed in the glomerular layer. In the main olfactory bulb, labelled axons were observed in the granule cell layer, in the internal and external plexiform layers, occasionally in the mitral cell layer, and least often in the glomerular layer. Noradrenergic fibers in the olfactory bulb were identified by using immunocytochemistry with an antibody to dopamine-β-hydroxylase. Laminar patterns and densities of noradrenergic innervation were determined with quantitative image analysis. In the accessory olfactory bulb, the densest innervation was in the innermost portion of the mitral cell layer followed by the granule cell layer, the superficial part of the mitral cell layer, and the external plexiform layer. The density of fibers in the glomerular layer was least. The laminar pattern of noradrenergic fiber distribution in the main olfactory bulb was similar to that in accessory olfactory bulb. The present studies demonstrate that locus coeruleus-noradrenergic fibers terminate preferentially in the internal plexiform, granule cell, and external plexiform layers. This suggests that the major influence of the locus coeruleus input to both the main and accessory the olfactory bulbs is on the predominant neuronal element in those layers, the granule cells. Additional studies are needed to resolve how this input influences specific olfactory bulb circuits

The Resonance in the B-P-a Reaction

The yield of alpha particles of range greater than 2 cms. from boron bombarded by protons has been studied as a function of bombarding energy in the range from 100 to 200 ekv, using a thin target, either methyl borate or boron trifluoride at pressures of 1 mm. of Hg. The yield vs. energy curve shows an approximately exponential rise on which is superposed a sharp (half breadth ~ 6 ekv) intense line at 150 ± ekv. There is some indication of a weaker and much broader line at 190 ekv. Number range curves are not yet available, but the appearance of pulses on the oscillograph screen leads us to suppose that the high yield (line) at 150 ekv is due to emission of a homogeneous long-range group