A Mathematical Model to Study the Meningococcal Meningitis

AbstractThe main goal of this work is to introduce a novel mathematical model to study the spreading of meningococcal meningitis. Specifically, it is a discrete mathematical model based on cellular automata where the population is divided in five classes: sus- ceptible, asymptomatic infected, infected with symptoms, carriers, recovered and died. It catches the individual characteristics of people in order to give a prediction of both the individual behavior, and whole evolution of population

Hydrological evidence for a North Atlantic oscillation during the Little Ice Age outside its range observed since 1850.

An annual-resolved precipitation reconstruction for the last 800 yr in Southern Spain has been performed using stable carbon isotope (δ13C) of Pinus nigra tree rings. The reconstruction exhibits high- to low-frequency variability and distinguishes a Little Ice Age (LIA, AD 13501850) characterized by lower averaged rainfall than both in the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the LIA and in the 20th century. The driest conditions are recorded during the Maunder solar Minimum (mid 17thearly 18th centuries), in good agreement with the Spanish documentary archive. Similar linkage between solar activity (maximum/minimum) and precipitation (increase/decrease) is observed throughout the entire LIA. Additionally, the relationship between the hydrological pattern in the Iberian Peninsula and Morocco during the LIA suggests different spatial distribution of precipitation in the south-eastern sector of the North Atlantic region such as it is known currently. Whereas in the instrumental record the precipitation evolves similarly in both regions and opposite to the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) index, the coldest periods of the LIA shows a contrasting pattern with drier conditions in the South of Spain and wetter in Northern Africa. We suggest an extreme negative NAO conditions, accompanied by a southward excursion of the winter rainfall band beyond that observed in the last century, can explain this contrast. The sustained NAO conditions could have been triggered by solar minima and higher volcanic activity during the LIA

Combustion Synthesis of Ultrafine Powders of Co3O4 for Selective Surfaces of Solar Collectors

Solar selective paints, with the addition of Co3O4 as a pigment, are used to improve energetic efficiency in solar collectors. Although Co3O4has been obtained by different methods, references about combustion synthesis are scarce. Co3O4 powders have been synthesized by stoichiometric and non-stoichiometric routes using aspartic acid (Asp) or tri-hydroxi-methyl-aminomethane (Tris) as fuels. The samples were calcined in air at 500 °C. They were characterized by X-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, transmission electron microscopy, thermogravimetric analysis, differential scanning calorimetry, Fourier transform infrared spectrum and the specific surface area of the samples was determined by means of the Brunauer–Emmett–Teller technique. The optical properties of pigments were assessed by means of a spectrophotometer. In all cases, powders exhibited the crystalline structure of Co3O4. A minimum crystallite average size of 29 nm was observed for powders obtained by the “stoichiometric/Asp” combustion route, while a maximum value of 41 nm was stated for powders obtained by the “non-stoichiometric/Asp” combustion process. The average particle size ranged between 50 and 100 nm. The powders obtained by the“stoichiometric/Asp” method were selected to study their optical properties; their solar absorption value was 86%. Solar selective surfaces composed by Co3O4 pigments and an alkyd resin were obtained and applied over copper or aluminum substrates. In both cases, solar absorptance was of 93% and comparable with similar solar selective surfaces, but the thermal emittance value was higher than 90%, as a consequence of the large width of the films

Aircraft icing: in-cloud measurements and sensitivity to physical parameterizations

The prediction of supercooled cloud drops in the atmosphere is a basic tool for aviation safety, owing to their contact with and instant freezing on sensitive locations of the aircraft. One of the main disadvantages for predicting atmospheric icing conditions is the acquisition of observational data. In this study, we used in‐cloud microphysics measurements taken during 10 flights of a C‐212 research aircraft under winter conditions, during which we encountered 37 regions containing supercooled liquid water. To investigate the capability of the Weather Research and Forecasting model to detect regions containing supercooled cloud drops, we propose a multiphysics ensemble approach. We used four microphysics and two planetary boundary layer schemes. The Morrison parameterization yielded superior results, whereas the planetary boundary layer schemes were essential in evaluating the presence of liquid water content. The Goddard microphysics scheme best detected the presence of ice water content but tended to underestimate liquid water content

Obtaining cloud top height from WRF model vertical profiles: application to the EUSO program

The objective of the Extreme Universe Space Observatory (EUSO) program is detection and measurement of high-energy particles that reach earth?s atmosphere from space. Clouds at mid and upper levels of the troposphere can interfere with such detection. Therefore, determining cloud top height with high accuracy is crucial to estimating the effect of clouds on these measurements.With this aim, we developed a method to extract that height using cloud temperature via vertical profiles predicted by the WRF model

Van der Waals interactions mediating the cohesion of fullerenes on graphene

Fullerenes on single-layer epitaxial graphene are a model system to study very faint interactions at a molecular level. By a variable temperature scanning tunneling microscope we have been able to study ordered fullerene layers at 40 K, exclusively bound by van der Waals interactions. The experimentally determined adsorption geometry of the molecules is computationally confirmed only if van der Waals interactions are included in the calculation formalism. The relative orientation of fullerenes in their close-packed arrangement is found to be the crucial factor for determining the total energy. Observation of collective movements of fullerene islands points out the weak coupling to the substrate and the important role of the van der Waals cohesion forces withinP.M. acknowledges financial support from a Rafael Calvo Rodés scholarship. M.S. and P.J. acknowledge Grant No. GAAV IAA100100905 GACR, Project No. 204/10/0952. C.G. acknowledges the José Castillejo Grant from the Spanish Education Ministry and the CSIC JAE-DOC positio

Discrete Nonholonomic LL Systems on Lie Groups

This paper applies the recently developed theory of discrete nonholonomic mechanics to the study of discrete nonholonomic left-invariant dynamics on Lie groups. The theory is illustrated with the discrete versions of two classical nonholonomic systems, the Suslov top and the Chaplygin sleigh. The preservation of the reduced energy by the discrete flow is observed and the discrete momentum conservation is discussed.Comment: 32 pages, 13 figure

Symmetries in Classical Field Theory

The multisymplectic description of Classical Field Theories is revisited, including its relation with the presymplectic formalism on the space of Cauchy data. Both descriptions allow us to give a complete scheme of classification of infinitesimal symmetries, and to obtain the corresponding conservation laws.Comment: 70S05; 70H33; 55R10; 58A2

Disease severity in familial cases of IBD

Background: Phenotypic traits of familial IBD relative to sporadic cases are controversial, probably related to limited statistical power of published evidence. Aim: To know if there are phenotype differences between familial and sporadic IBD, evaluating the prospective Spanish registry (ENEIDA) with 11,983 cases. Methods: 5783 patients (48.3%) had ulcerative colitis (UC) and 6200 (51.7%) Crohn's disease (CD). Cases with one or more 1st, 2nd or 3rd degree relatives affected by UC/CD were defined as familial case. Results: In UC and CD, familial cases compared with sporadic cases had an earlier disease onset (UC: 33 years [IQR 25–44] vs 37 years [IQR 27–49]; p b 0.0001); (CD: 27 years [IQR 21–35] vs 29 years [IQR 22–40]; p b 0.0001), higher prevalence of extraintestinal immune-related manifestations (EIMs) (UC: 17.2% vs 14%; p = 0.04); (CD: 30.1% vs 23.6%; p b 0.0001). Familial CD had higher percentage of ileocolic location (42.7% vs 51.8%; p = 0.0001), penetrating behavior (21% vs 17.6%; p = 0.01) and perianal disease (32% vs 27.1%; p = 0.003). Differences are not influenced by degree of consanguinity. Conclusion: When a sufficiently powered cohort is evaluated, familial aggregation in IBD is associated to an earlier disease onset, more EIMs and more severe phenotype in CD. This feature should be taken into account at establishing predictors of disease course