LAM modelling of East European economies: Methodology, EU accession and privatisation

The paper presents a new approach to modelling economies in transition, where the adjustment processes are often nonlinear and data series are short. The model presented in the paper, the LAM-3 model, is the latest development in a series of long-run adjustment models, used for simulation and forecasting of several East European Economies. In particular the model contains short-run equations with bilinear error correction derived from a structural vector autoregressive model. The paper also gives derivations of two long-run relationships of the model, those for full-capacity output (reformable and non-reformable labour) and the relationship linking prices, money, incomes and exchange rates. The short-run part evolves around the specification of price and wage dynamics according to the NAIRU principle. Due to the fact that series of data for Eastern European countries are short, the parameters are evaluated with the use of global optimization technique (repetitive stochastic guestimation) rather than by a traditional econometric method. The model was estimated and applied for Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovak Republic, Romania and Ukraine. For each country it consists of 3 long-run and 21 short-run relationships. Examples of simulations presented here evaluate European Union accessibility through inflation correlation measures and Aghion-Blanchard optimal speed of privatisation

The effect of surface oxide layer on the rate of hydrogen emission from aluminum and its alloys in a high vacuum

The influence of surface oxide layers on the kinetics of hydrogen emission at the high vacuum of 10 to the minus 8th power torr was investigated at temperatures from 20 to 450 C using samples of pure AB00 aluminum and the cast alloy AMg. Cast and deformed samples of AMts alloy were used to study the effect of oxide film thickness on the rate of hydrogen emission. Thermodynamic calculations of the reactions of the generation and dissociation of aluminum oxide show that degasification at elevated temperatures (up to 600 C) and high vacuum will not reduce the thickness of artificially-generated surface oxide layers on aluminum and its alloys

Zonal Velocity Bands and the Solar Activity Cycle

We compare the zonal flow pattern in subsurface layers of the Sun with the distribution of surface magnetic features like sunspots and polar faculae. We demonstrate that in the activity belt, the butterfly pattern of sunspots coincides with the fast stream of zonal flows, although part of the sunspot distribution does spill over to the slow stream. At high latitudes, the polar faculae and zonal flow bands have similar distributions in the spatial and temporal domains.Comment: To appear in Solar Physic

Distribution of the freshwater snail species fagotia (Gastropoda, Melanopsidae) in Ukraine according to climatic factors. I. Fagotia еsperi

Распространение пресноводных молюсков рода Fagotia (Gastropoda, Melanopsidae)на территории Украины в соответствии с климатическими условиями I. Fagotia Esperi. Титар В., Макарова Н. - Моделирование экологической ниши методом максимальной энтропии было использовано для выяснения роли климатических условий в формировании ареала пресноводных моллюсков F. еsperi (Ferussac, 1823) на территории Украины при современных и прогнозируемых на 2050 г. климатических условиях

Regional population expenditure for foodstuffs in the Russian Federation: componential and cluster analyses

The article describes the solving of the problem of conducting the component and cluster analyses of population expenditure on food as one of the most important components of the standard of living. The purpose of the analysis is to develop the regional clusters of the Russian Federation, which vary in the structure of household expenditure for foodstuffs. The foodstuffs are presented in absolute units taking into integral account the standard of living index. The methods of intellectual analysis such as component and cluster analyses are applied as the research methods. The procedure for the data intellectual analysis based on the interconnected performance of component and cluster analyses is proposed. The procedure of the data intellectual analysis considers the interrelation between the results received by different methods, and also the possibility to return to the previous method for the purpose of repeating the analysis to specify consistently the clusters composition. Few clusters of the wealthy regions characterized by the high and average levels of expenditure for foodstuffs are revealed as well as the quite many clusters of not enough wealthy and not wealthy regions characterized by the low level of expenditure for foodstuffs. It is shown that the growth of standard of living characterized by the size of a gross regional product per capita is followed by the growth of the Gini coefficient, which indicates both the inequality of income distribution and reduction in expenditure for low-value foodstuffs. The results of the analysis can be applied to the development of the decision-making support system intended for the analysis of the scenarios of macroeconomic regulation in the eld of income policy for the purpose of increasing the standard of living of population. The analysis of the population expenditure for foodstuffs has allowed to reveal the cluster structure of the regions of the Russian Federation, to show it according to the generalized indications, to formulate the specific characteristics of the clusters of the regions and important management decisions

The professional transspective of the students in the conflicting realities of the post-industrial society

The topicality of the issue under investigation is determined by the rising demand of the Russian society in the mastering and controlling conflicting realities that are capable of changing the integral notional structure of an individual, leading to the evolution or degradation of such individual’s social and professional life activity. The purpose of the article is to identify the professional positions and views of the modern students in conditions of affecting their internalities, motives, and values of the conflicting realities, defining methods of negotiation of the latter. The leading methods of the research of this problem are the art technology that consists of the representation of the personal professional path in future, the postpictural interview, the questionnaire method, qualitative data analysis, allowing to identify the features of the professional transspective of the students in the conflicting realities. The following results have been achieved: the analysis of the professional transspective of the students, whose self-realization occurs in the post-industrial society, was provided, the reasons (conflicting realities) of the obtained data were found, the methods to overcome the impact of the conflicting realities on the personality were proposed. The research materials may be useful for the psychologists of the professional education, the teachers of the vocational training in the organization of accompaniment and rendering assistance in the professional self-realization of young people in realities of the post-industrial society. © 2016 Zinnatova, Konovalova and Makarova

Synthesis and properties of interaction product of rosin and diethylenetriamine

Amides of rosin resin acids are a promising material for use in the technology of paper and cardboard in order to increase its strength characteristics. Therefore product of rosin resin acids interaction with diethylenetriamine arouses interest. The influence of temperature and duration of the process of interaction of rosin resin acids with diethylenetriamine on the acid number of the product are examined in this article. Melting point of the received rosin amides was defined. The thermal stability of the reaction product of abietic acid with diethylenetriamine was studied. It was proved that this product contains the appropriate functional groups using IRspectroscopy

Information and Communications Technologies and Their Implementation in Musical Education of Senior Pupils

При финансовой поддержке Российского гуманитарного научного фонда, проект № 08-06-14135

From the History of Children Variety Song and the Peculiarities of Choosing Repertoire in the Work With Today's Preschoolers

При финансовой поддержке Российского гуманитарного научного фонда, проект № 08-06-14134