Model for Cumulative Solar Heavy Ion Energy and Linear Energy Transfer Spectra

A probabilistic model of cumulative solar heavy ion energy and LET spectra is developed for spacecraft design applications. Spectra are given as a function of confidence level, mission time period during solar maximum and shielding thickness. It is shown that long-term solar heavy ion fluxes exceed galactic cosmic ray fluxes during solar maximum for shielding levels of interest. Cumulative solar heavy ion fluences should therefore be accounted for in single event effects rate calculations and in the planning of space missions

Near-Earth Space Radiation Models

Review of models of the near-Earth space radiation environment is presented, including recent developments in trapped proton and electron, galactic cosmic ray and solar particle event models geared toward spacecraft electronics applications

Time Exceedances for High Intensity Solar Proton Fluxes

A new model is presented for the total time during a space mission that specified solar proton flux levels are exceeded. It is applicable to any time period during the solar cycle and covers a broad proton energy range for both shielded and unshielded conditions

Radially restricted linear energy transfer for high-energy protons: A new analytical approach

Radially restricted linear energy transfer (LET) is a basic physical parameter relevant to radiation biology and radiation protection. In this report a convenient method is presented for the analytical computation of this quantity without the need for complicated simulation. The method uses the energy-re-stricted LETL, as recently redefined in a 1993 ICRU draft document and supplements it by a relatively simple term that represents the energy of fast rays lost within distancer from the track core. The method provides a better fit than other models and is valid over the entire range of radial distance from track center to the maximum radial distance traveled by the most energetic secondary electrons.L r computed by this approach differs only a few percent from the values Contribution to the international symposium on heavy ions research: space, radiation protection and therapy, 21–24 March 1994, Sophia-Antipolis, Franc

Probabilistic Models for Solar Particle Events

Probabilistic Models of Solar Particle Events (SPEs) are used in space mission design studies to provide a description of the worst-case radiation environment that the mission must be designed to tolerate.The models determine the worst-case environment using a description of the mission and a user-specified confidence level that the provided environment will not be exceeded. This poster will focus on completing the existing suite of models by developing models for peak flux and event-integrated fluence elemental spectra for the Z>2 elements. It will also discuss methods to take into account uncertainties in the data base and the uncertainties resulting from the limited number of solar particle events in the database. These new probabilistic models are based on an extensive survey of SPE measurements of peak and event-integrated elemental differential energy spectra. Attempts are made to fit the measured spectra with eight different published models. The model giving the best fit to each spectrum is chosen and used to represent that spectrum for any energy in the energy range covered by the measurements. The set of all such spectral representations for each element is then used to determine the worst case spectrum as a function of confidence level. The spectral representation that best fits these worst case spectra is found and its dependence on confidence level is parameterized. This procedure creates probabilistic models for the peak and event-integrated spectra

Periods of High Intensity Solar Proton Flux

Analysis is presented for times during a space mission that specified solar proton flux levels are exceeded. This includes both total time and continuous time periods during missions. Results for the solar maximum and solar minimum phases of the solar cycle are presented and compared for a broad range of proton energies and shielding levels. This type of approach is more amenable to reliability analysis for spacecraft systems and instrumentation than standard statistical models

Time Exceedances for High Intensity Solar Proton Fluxes

A model is presented for times during a space mission that specified solar proton flux levels are exceeded. This includes both total time and continuous time periods during missions. Results for the solar maximum and solar minimum phases of the solar cycle are presented and compared for a broad range of proton energies and shielding levels. This type of approach is more amenable to reliability analysis for spacecraft systems and instrumentation than standard statistical models

How Long Can the Hubble Space Telescope Operate Reliably? A Total Dose Perspective

The Hubble Space Telescope has been at the forefront of discoveries in the field of astronomy for more than 20 years. It was the first telescope designed to be serviced in space and the last such servicing mission occurred in May 2009. The question of how much longer this valuable resource can continue to return science data remains. In this paper a detailed analysis of the total dose exposure of electronic parts at the box level is performed using solid angle sectoring/3-dimensional ray trace and Monte Carlo radiation transport simulations. Results are related to parts that have been proposed as possible total dose concerns. The spacecraft subsystem that appears to be at the greatest risk for total dose failure is identified. This is discussed with perspective on the overall lifetime of the spacecraft

A Bayesian Treatment of Risk for Radiation Hardness Assurance

They construct a Bayesian risk metric with a method that allows for efficient and systematic use of all relevant information and provides rational basis for RHA decisions in terms of costs and mission requirement