516 research outputs found
Low-frequency interaction between horizontal and overturning gyres in the ocean
Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2008. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Geophysical Research Letters 35 (2008): L18614, doi:10.1029/2008GL035206.Low-frequency variability of the horizontal circulation in an idealized, eddy-permitting, numerical model drives the dominant mode of low-frequency variability in the meridional overturning circulation. This coupling takes place through the influence of lateral advection in the cyclonic high-latitude boundary current on the mixed layer depth along the boundary. The mean and low-frequency variability of the meridional overturning circulation are well predicted by a diagnostic estimate that assumes the downwelling is controlled by the thermal wind shear within the mixed layer along the boundary, which is in turn determined by a simple balance between lateral advection and surface cooling. The more general result is the demonstration that the mean and low frequency variability of the meridional overturning streamfunction are controlled by the baroclinic pressure gradient within the mixed layer along the boundary, which may be influenced by numerous factors such as low-frequency variability in lateral advection, wind stress, surface buoyancy fluxes, or ice melt and freshwater runoff.This work was supported by NSF grants
OCE-0423975 and OCE-0726339
The North Icelandic Jet and its relationship to the North Icelandic Irminger Current
Author Posting. © The Authors, 2017. This article is posted here by permission of Sears Foundation for Marine Research for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Marine Research 75 (2017): 605-639, doi:10.1357/002224017822109505.Shipboard hydrographic and velocity sections are used to quantify aspects of the North Icelandic Jet (NIJ), which transports dense overflow water to Denmark Strait, and the North Icelandic Irminger Current (NIIC), which imports Atlantic water to the Iceland Sea. The mean transports of the two currents are comparable, in line with previous notions that there is a local overturning cell in the Iceland Sea that transforms the Atlantic water to dense overflow water. As the NIJ and NIIC flow along the north side of Iceland, they appear to share a common front when the bottom topography steers them close together, but even when they are separate there is a poleward flow inshore of the NIJ. The interannual variability in salinity of the inflowing NIIC is in phase with that of the outflowing NIJ. It is suggested, however, that the NIIC signal does not dictate that of the NIJ. Instead, the combination of liquid and solid freshwater flux from the east Greenland boundary can account for the observed net freshening of the NIIC to the NIJ for the densest half of the overturning circulation in the northwest Iceland Sea. This implies that the remaining overturning must occur in a different geographic area, consistent with earlier model results. The year-to-year variability in salinity of the NIJ can be explained by applying annual anomalies of evaporation minus precipitation over the Iceland Sea to a one-dimensional mixing model. These anomalies vary in phase with the wind stress curl over the North Atlantic subpolar gyre, which previous studies have shown drives the interannual variation in salinity of the inflowing NIIC.Funding for the project was provided by the National Science Foundation
under grants OCE-1558742 (RSP, MAS, DJT, CN), OCE-1433170 (MAS), and OCE-0959381 (DM);
the Norwegian Research Council under grant agreement no. 231647 (KV); the Bergen Research
Foundation (KV); the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7 2007-2013) under grant
agreement 308299 (NACLIM project, KV, HV, and SJ); and the Natural Sciences and Engineering
Research Council of Canada (GWKM)
A Hybrid Global Minimization Scheme for Accurate Source Localization in Sensor Networks
We consider the localization problem of multiple wideband sources in a
multi-path environment by coherently taking into account the attenuation
characteristics and the time delays in the reception of the signal. Our
proposed method leaves the space for unavailability of an accurate signal
attenuation model in the environment by considering the model as an unknown
function with reasonable prior assumptions about its functional space. Such
approach is capable of enhancing the localization performance compared to only
utilizing the signal attenuation information or the time delays. In this paper,
the localization problem is modeled as a cost function in terms of the source
locations, attenuation model parameters and the multi-path parameters. To
globally perform the minimization, we propose a hybrid algorithm combining the
differential evolution algorithm with the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm.
Besides the proposed combination of optimization schemes, supporting the
technical details such as closed forms of cost function sensitivity matrices
are provided. Finally, the validity of the proposed method is examined in
several localization scenarios, taking into account the noise in the
environment, the multi-path phenomenon and considering the sensors not being
synchronized
Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease
A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, whenand to whom to apply an intervention.We develop a framework for using data to informthese decisionsin realtime.We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, oneper treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious diseaseto a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategyoptimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographicfootprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategyfor an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interferencebetween locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number oflocations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at outbreak.We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combinessimulation–optimization with Thompson sampling.The estimator proposed performs favourablyin simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread ofwhite nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations inNorth America
Mediation in the Law Curriculum
Cited by Lord Neuberger in ‘Educating Future Mediators’ at the 4th Civil Mediation Council National Conference, May 201
Seasonal evolution of Aleutian low pressure systems: Implications for the North Pacific subpolar circulation
The seasonal change in the development of Aleutian low pressure systems from early fall to early winter is analyzed using a combination of meteorological reanalysis fields, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) data, and satellite wind data. The time period of the study is September–December 2002, although results are shown to be representative of the long-term climatology. Characteristics of the storms were documented as they progressed across the North Pacific, including their path, central pressure, deepening rate, and speed of translation. Clear patterns emerged. Storms tended to deepen in two distinct geographical locations—the Gulf of Alaska in early fall and the western North Pacific in late fall. In the Gulf of Alaska, a quasi-permanent “notch” in the SST distribution is argued to be of significance. The signature of the notch is imprinted in the atmosphere, resulting in a region of enhanced cyclonic potential vorticity in the lower troposphere that is conducive for storm development. Later in the season, as winter approaches and the Sea of Okhotsk becomes partially ice covered and cold, the air emanating from the Asian continent leads to enhanced baroclinicity in the region south of Kamchatka. This corresponds to enhanced storm cyclogenesis in that region. Consequently, there is a seasonal westward migration of the dominant lobe of the Aleutian low. The impact of the wind stress curl pattern resulting from these two regions of storm development on the oceanic circulation is investigated using historical hydrography. It is argued that the seasonal bimodal input of cyclonic vorticity from the wind may be partly responsible for the two distinct North Pacific subarctic gyres
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Manganese tricarbonyl complexes with asymmetric 2 2‑iminopyridine ligands: toward decoupling steric and electronic 3 factors in electrocatalytic CO2 reduction
Manganese tricarbonyl bromide complexes incorporating IP
(2-(phenylimino)pyridine) derivatives, [MnBr(CO)3(IP)], are demonstrated as a new group of catalysts for CO2 reduction, which represent the first example of utilization of (phenylimino)pyridine ligands on manganese centers for this purpose. The key feature is the asymmetric structure of the redox-noninnocent ligand that permits independent tuning of its steric and electronic properties. The α-diimine ligands and five new Mn(I) compounds have been synthesized, isolated in high yields, and fully characterized, including X-ray crystallography. Their electrochemical and electrocatalytic behavior was investigated using cyclic voltammetry and UV−vis−IR spectroelectrochemistry within an OTTLE cell. Mechanistic investigations under an inert atmosphere have revealed differences in the nature of the reduction products as a function of steric bulk of the ligand. The direct ECE (electrochemical−chemical−electrochemical) formation of
a five-coordinate anion [Mn(CO)3(IP)]−, a product of two-electron reduction of the parent complex, is observed in the case of the bulky DIPIMP (2-[((2,6-diisopropylphenyl)imino)methyl]pyridine), TBIMP (2-[((2-tert-butylphenyl)imino)methyl]-pyridine), and TBIEP (2-[((2-tert-butylphenyl)imino)ethyl]pyridine) derivatives. This process is replaced for the least sterically demanding IP ligand in [MnBr(CO)3(IMP)] (2-[(phenylimino)methyl]pyridine) by the stepwise formation of such a monoanion via an ECEC(E) mechanism involving also the intermediate Mn−Mn dimer [Mn(CO)3(IMP)]2. The complex [MnBr(CO)3(IPIMP)] (2-[((2-diisopropylphenyl)imino)methyl]pyridine), which carries a moderately electron donating, moderately bulky IP ligand, shows an intermediate behavior where both the five-coordinate anion and its dimeric precursor are jointly detected on the time scale of the spectroelectrochemical experiments. Under an atmosphere of CO2 the studied complexes, except for the DIPIMP derivative, rapidly coordinate CO2, forming stable bicarbonate intermediates, with no dimer being observed. Such behavior indicates that the CO2 binding is outcompeting another pathway: viz., the dimerization reaction between the five-coordinate anion and the neutral parent complex. The bicarbonate intermediate species undergo reduction at more negative potentials (ca. −2.2 V vs Fc/Fc+
), recovering [Mn(CO)3(IP)]− and triggering the catalytic production of CO
Stochastic rainfall-runoff forecasting: parameter estimation, multi-step prediction, and evaluation of overflow risk
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The Coherent Structures of Shallowwater Turbulence: Deformationradius Effects, Cyclone/Anticyclone Asymmetry and Gravitywave Generation
Over a large range of Rossby and Froude numbers, we investigate the dynamics of initially balanced decaying turbulence in a shallow rotating fluid layer. As in the case of incompressible two‐dimensional decaying turbulence, coherent vortex structures spontaneously emerge from the initially random flow. However, owing to the presence of a free surface, a wealth of new phenomena appear in the shallow‐water system. The upscale energy cascade, common to strongly rotating flows, is arrested by the presence of a finite Rossby deformation radius. Moreover, in contrast to near‐geostrophic dynamics, a strong asymmetry is observed to develop as the Froude number is increased, leading to a clear dominance of anticyclonic vortices over cyclonic ones, even though no β effect is present in the system. Finally, we observe gravity waves to be generated around the vortex structures, and, in the strongest cases, they appear in the form of shocks. We briefly discuss the relevance of this study to the vortices observed in Jupiter’s atmosphere
The North Atlantic subpolar gyre in four high resolution models
The authors present the first quantitative comparison between new velocity datasets and high-resolution models in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre [1/10° Parallel Ocean Program model (POPNA10), Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM), ° Atlantic model (ATL6), and Family of Linked Atlantic Ocean Model Experiments (FLAME)]. At the surface, the model velocities agree generally well with World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) drifter data. Two noticeable exceptions are the weakness of the East Greenland coastal current in models and the presence in the surface layers of a strong southwestward East Reykjanes Ridge Current. At depths, the most prominent feature of the circulation is the boundary current following the continental slope. In this narrow flow, it is found that gridded float datasets cannot be used for a quantitative comparison with models. The models have very different patterns of deep convection, and it is suggested that this could be related to the differences in their barotropic transport at Cape Farewell. Models show a large drift in watermass properties with a salinization of the Labrador Sea Water. The authors believe that the main cause is related to horizontal transports of salt because models with different forcing and vertical mixing share the same salinization problem. A remarkable feature of the model solutions is the large westward transport over Reykjanes Ridge [10 Sv (Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) or more
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