Leptin and incident cardiovascular disease: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

OBJECTIVE: Higher serum leptin levels have been associated with a modestly higher incidence of cardiovascular disease in studies involving mostly Caucasian men. We aimed to assess the hypothesis that higher baseline levels of serum leptin are associated with higher risk of future cardiovascular disease in a diverse cohort. METHODS: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) is a modern, community-based, ethnically-diverse, and sex-balanced prospective cohort study of US adults free from cardiovascular disease. Serum leptin was measured in an ancillary study in 2002-2005. This analysis included 1,905 MESA participants with baseline leptin and incident cardiovascular event data. Leptin levels were modeled as a log-transformed continuous variable and multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was performed for the primary outcome of hard cardiovascular disease, including coronary heart disease and stroke. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 7.6 years (25(th)-75(th) 7.1-8.3) with 7,051 and 6,738 person-years of follow-up in women and men. A hard cardiovascular disease event occurred in 47 women and 63 men. The age- and ethnicity-adjusted hazard ratio estimates for a 1 standard deviation increase in ln(leptin) were 1.16 in women (95% CI 0.78-1.73, p=0.46) and 0.91 (95% CI 0.69-1.20, p=0.51) in men. Pooling sexes, and adjusting for sex in addition to age and ethnicity, estimates were 0.98 (95% CI 0.78-1.23, p=0.89). With additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, the results remained nonsignificant: 0.87 (95% CI 0.68-1.11, p=0.26). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, in a modern, US prospective cohort study of multi-ethnic women and men of multi-ethnic backgrounds, leptin levels are not associated with incident cardiovascular events

Identification of new susceptibility loci for type 2 diabetes and shared etiological pathways with coronary heart disease

To evaluate the shared genetic etiology of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and coronary heart disease (CHD), we conducted a genome-wide, multi-ancestry study of genetic variation for both diseases in up to 265,678 subjects for T2D and 260,365 subjects for CHD. We identify 16 previously unreported loci for T2D and 1 locus for CHD, including a new T2D association at a missense variant in HLA-DRB5 (odds ratio (OR) = 1.29). We show that genetically mediated increase in T2D risk also confers higher CHD risk. Joint T2D–CHD analysis identified eight variants—two of which are coding—where T2D and CHD associations appear to colocalize, including a new joint T2D–CHD association at the CCDC92 locus that also replicated for T2D. The variants associated with both outcomes implicate new pathways as well as targets of existing drugs, including icosapent ethyl and adipocyte fatty-acid-binding protein.D.S. has received support from NHLBI, NINDS, Pfizer, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Genentech, and Eli Lilly. Genotyping in PROMIS was funded by the Wellcome Trust, UK, and Pfizer. Biomarker assays in PROMIS have been funded through grants awarded by the NIH (RC2HL101834 and RC1TW008485) and Fogarty International (RC1TW008485). The RACE study has been funded by NINDS (R21NS064908), Fogarty International (R21NS064908), and the Center for Non-Communicable Diseases (Karachi, Pakistan). B.F.V. was supported by funding from the American Heart Association (13SDG14330006), the W.W. Smith Charitable Trust (H1201), and the NIH/NIDDK (R01DK101478). J.D. is a British Heart Foundation Professor, European Research Council Senior Investigator, and NIHR Senior Investigator. V.S. was supported by the Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research. S. Ripatti was supported by the Academy of Finland (251217 and 255847), the Center of Excellence in Complex Disease Genetics, the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme projects ENGAGE (201413) and BioSHaRE (261433), the Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, Biocentrum Helsinki, and the Sigrid Juselius Foundation. The Mount Sinai IPM Biobank Program is supported by the Andrea and Charles Bronfman Philanthropies. S. Anand is supported by grants from the Canada Research Chair in Ethnic Diversity and CVD and from the Heart and Stroke Michael G. DeGroote Chair in Population Health, McMaster University. Data contributed by Biobank Japan were partly supported by a grant from the Leading Project of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan. We thank the participants and staff of the Copenhagen Ischemic Heart Disease Study and the Copenhagen General Population Study for their important contributions. The CHD Exome+ Consortium was funded by the UK Medical Research Council (G0800270), the British Heart Foundation (SP/09/002), the UK NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, the European Research Council (268834), the European Commission’s Framework Programme 7 (HEALTH-F2-2012-279233), Merck, and Pfizer. PROSPER has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agreement HEALTH-F2-2009-223004

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination modelling for safe surgery to save lives: data from an international prospective cohort study

Background Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 vaccination could support safer elective surgery. Vaccine numbers are limited so this study aimed to inform their prioritization by modelling. Methods The primary outcome was the number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one COVID-19-related death in 1 year. NNVs were based on postoperative SARS-CoV-2 rates and mortality in an international cohort study (surgical patients), and community SARS-CoV-2 incidence and case fatality data (general population). NNV estimates were stratified by age (18-49, 50-69, 70 or more years) and type of surgery. Best- and worst-case scenarios were used to describe uncertainty. Results NNVs were more favourable in surgical patients than the general population. The most favourable NNVs were in patients aged 70 years or more needing cancer surgery (351; best case 196, worst case 816) or non-cancer surgery (733; best case 407, worst case 1664). Both exceeded the NNV in the general population (1840; best case 1196, worst case 3066). NNVs for surgical patients remained favourable at a range of SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates in sensitivity analysis modelling. Globally, prioritizing preoperative vaccination of patients needing elective surgery ahead of the general population could prevent an additional 58 687 (best case 115 007, worst case 20 177) COVID-19-related deaths in 1 year. Conclusion As global roll out of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination proceeds, patients needing elective surgery should be prioritized ahead of the general population.The aim of this study was to inform vaccination prioritization by modelling the impact of vaccination on elective inpatient surgery. The study found that patients aged at least 70 years needing elective surgery should be prioritized alongside other high-risk groups during early vaccination programmes. Once vaccines are rolled out to younger populations, prioritizing surgical patients is advantageous