Prediction of acute kidney injury in patients with femoral neck fracture utilizing machine learning

BackgroundAcute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication associated with significant morbidity and mortality in high-energy trauma patients. Given the poor efficacy of interventions after AKI development, it is important to predict AKI before its diagnosis. Therefore, this study aimed to develop models using machine learning algorithms to predict the risk of AKI in patients with femoral neck fractures.MethodsWe developed machine-learning models using the Medical Information Mart from Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database. AKI was predicted using 10 predictive models in three-time windows, 24, 48, and 72 h. Three optimal models were selected according to the accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and the hyperparameters were adjusted using a random search algorithm. The Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis was used to determine the impact and importance of each feature on the prediction. Compact models were developed using important features chosen based on their SHAP values and clinical availability. Finally, we evaluated the models using metrics such as accuracy, precision, AUROC, recall, F1 scores, and kappa values on the test set after hyperparameter tuning.ResultsA total of 1,596 patients in MIMIC-IV were included in the final cohort, and 402 (25%) patients developed AKI after surgery. The light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model showed the best overall performance for predicting AKI before 24, 48, and 72 h. AUROCs were 0.929, 0.862, and 0.904. The SHAP value was used to interpret the prediction models. Renal function markers and perioperative blood transfusions are the most critical features for predicting AKI. In compact models, LightGBM still performs the best. AUROCs were 0.930, 0.859, and 0.901.ConclusionsIn our analysis, we discovered that LightGBM had the best metrics among all algorithms used. Our study identified the LightGBM as a solid first-choice algorithm for early AKI prediction in patients after femoral neck fracture surgery

Iron Deposition following Chronic Myocardial Infarction as a Substrate for Cardiac Electrical Anomalies: Initial Findings in a Canine Model

Purpose: Iron deposition has been shown to occur following myocardial infarction (MI). We investigated whether such focal iron deposition within chronic MI lead to electrical anomalies. Methods: Two groups of dogs (ex-vivo (n = 12) and in-vivo (n = 10)) were studied at 16 weeks post MI. Hearts of animals from ex-vivo group were explanted and sectioned into infarcted and non-infarcted segments. Impedance spectroscopy was used to derive electrical permittivity () and conductivity (). Mass spectrometry was used to classify and characterize tissue sections with (IRON+) and without (IRON-) iron. Animals from in-vivo group underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) for estimation of scar volume (late-gadolinium enhancement, LGE) and iron deposition (T2*) relative to left-ventricular volume. 24-hour electrocardiogram recordings were obtained and used to examine Heart Rate (HR), QT interval (QT), QT corrected for HR (QTc) and QTc dispersion (QTcd). In a fraction of these animals (n = 5), ultra-high resolution electroanatomical mapping (EAM) was performed, co-registered with LGE and T2* CMR and were used to characterize the spatial locations of isolated late potentials (ILPs). Results: Compared to IRON- sections, IRON+ sections had higher, but no difference in. A linear relationship was found between iron content and (p1.5%)) with similar scar volumes (7.28%±1.02% (Iron (1.5%)), p = 0.51) but markedly different iron volumes (1.12%±0.64% (Iron (1.5%)), p = 0.02), QT and QTc were elevated and QTcd was decreased in the group with the higher iron volume during the day, night and 24-hour period (p<0.05). EAMs co-registered with CMR images showed a greater tendency for ILPs to emerge from scar regions with iron versus without iron. Conclusion: The electrical behavior of infarcted hearts with iron appears to be different from those without iron. Iron within infarcted zones may evolve as an arrhythmogenic substrate in the post MI period

Childhood Sexual Abuse and the Development of Recurrent Major Depression in Chinese Women

Background Our prior study in Han Chinese women has shown that women with a history of childhood sexual abuse (CSA) are at increased risk for developing major depression (MD). Would this relationship be found in our whole data set? Method Three levels of CSA (non-genital, genital, and intercourse) were assessed by self-report in two groups of Han Chinese women: 6017 clinically ascertained with recurrent MD and 5983 matched controls. Diagnostic and other risk factor information was assessed at personal interview. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated by logistic regression. Results We confirmed earlier results by replicating prior analyses in 3,950 new recurrent MD cases. There were no significant differences between the two data sets. Any form of CSA was significantly associated with recurrent MD (OR 4.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) [3.19–5.24]). This association strengthened with increasing CSA severity: non-genital (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.58–3.15), genital (OR 5.24, 95% CI 3.52–8.15) and intercourse (OR 10.65, 95% CI 5.56–23.71). Among the depressed women, those with CSA had an earlier age of onset, longer depressive episodes. Recurrent MD patients those with CSA had an increased risk for dysthymia (OR 1.60, 95%CI 1.11–2.27) and phobia (OR 1.41, 95%CI 1.09–1.80). Any form of CSA was significantly associated with suicidal ideation or attempt (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.20–1.89) and feelings of worthlessness or guilt (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.02–2.02). Intercourse (OR 3.47, 95%CI 1.66–8.22), use of force and threats (OR 1.95, 95%CI 1.05–3.82) and how strongly the victims were affected at the time (OR 1.39, 95%CI 1.20–1.64) were significantly associated with recurrent MD

Biomarkers for Predicting Left Atrial or Left Atrial Appendage Thrombus in Anticoagulated Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

Purpose. Although atrial fibrillation (AF) is often associated with thromboembolic complications, there is no definite biomarker for detecting the presence of thrombi in the left atrial (LA) or left atrial appendage (LAA) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Methods. NVAF patients who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) to evaluate LA/LAA thrombus and spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) before AF ablation were included. Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses were performed to explore the independent risk factors of LA/LAA thrombus and indicate the best cutoff point. Results. Of the 260 consecutive subjects (mean age: 63.67 ± 9.39 years; 42% women), 45 (17.3%) patients were with LA/LAA thrombus, 131 (50.4%) were with SEC, and 84 (32.3%) were with neither thrombus nor SEC. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (OR, 2.179; 95% CI: 1.191–3.987; p=0.012) and red cell distribution width (RDW) (OR, 2.398; 95% CI: 1.075–5.349; p=0.033) were independently correlated with the presence of LA/LAA thrombus but not D-dimer (OR, 0.999; 95% CI: 0.998–1.000; p=0.210). When all patients were divided into four groups based on the combination between RDW (cutoff value: 12.95%) and NT-proBNP levels (cutoff value: 368.9 ng/L), the rate of LA/LAA thrombus was the highest in the high RDW and NT-proBNP group. Conclusion. In anticoagulation patients with NVAF, elevated NT-proBNP and RDW are related to LA/LAA thrombus. Therefore, these might be considered as useful prognostic markers in the management and treatment of NVAF patients

Efficacy of Wenxin Keli Plus Amiodarone versus Amiodarone Monotherapy in Treating Recent-Onset Atrial Fibrillation

Background. Use of amiodarone (AMIO) in atrial fibrillation (AF) has significant side effects over prolonged periods. Wenxin Keli (WXKL), a Chinese herb extract, has been shown to be effective in atrial-selective inhibiting peak INa and hence beneficial in treating atrial arrhythmias, including atrial fibrillation. The aim of this randomized controlled trial was to evaluate potential effects of AMIO plus WXKL on conversion rate and time in patients with recent-onset AF. Methods. A total of 41 patients (71 ± 12 years, 44% male) with recent-onset (<48 h) AF eligible for conversion were randomized to receive either intravenous amiodarone (loading dose 5 mg/kg in 1 hour followed by 50 mg/h; n=21) or amiodarone with same dosage plus oral WXKL 18 g thrice daily (n=20) for 24 hours. Results. Conversion rate at 24 hours was of no difference between the two groups (75.0% vs. 81.0%, P=0.72); however, conversion time was markedly shorter in the AMIO + WXKL group compared to the AMIO group (291 ± 235 minutes vs. 725 ± 475 minutes, P=0.003). There were no serious adverse events during the study. Conclusion. Administration of amiodarone plus WXKL for recent-onset AF conversion was safe and effective, with faster sinus rhythm restoration compared with amiodarone alone

Dependence on the probability of observing ILPs based on substrate type and number of ILPS relative to substrate burden visualized on the basis of co-registered EAM and CMR images (LGE and T2*).

<p>(<b>A</b>) Shows the overall incidence of ILPs (fraction of the total) that were coincident with regions containing iron (IRON+) and regions without iron (IRON−). (<b>B</b>) Shows the mean number of ILPs per volume of substrate, with the substrate being the total scar (i.e., scar with and without iron), scarred regions with iron (IRON+) and scarred regions without iron (IRON−).</p

Representative co-registered CMR images and endocardial EAMs showing the association between ILPs and iron deposition following myocardial infarction.

<p>Co-registered late-gadolinium enhancement images projected onto the segmented blood pool surface (<b>A</b>) with infarcted territory (color coded in red), border zone (yellow and blue shades) and remote territories (purple)) with the corresponding bipolar map (<b>B</b>, color-coded to indicate low voltage areas) are shown. For reference, an ILP deep within the scar tissue (white arrow) is shown. The voltage traces from V1 and at the coronary sinus (CS), along with bipolar and unipolar mapping traces are also shown. Note the presence of an isolated low-voltage sharp late potential in the bipolar and unipolar traces following the local ventricular activation (yellow arrow) in <b>C</b>. The activation map (<b>D</b>), a map of the ILPs (<b>E</b>), and iron containing regions (in red, <b>F</b>) are also shown for reference. Note that iron-containing regions have a greater incidence of ILPs and slow activation regions.</p