18,842 research outputs found

    Rainfall data simulation by hidden Markov model and discrete wavelet transformation

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    In many regions, monthly (or bimonthly) rainfall data can be considered as deterministic while daily rainfall data may be treated as random. As a result, deterministic models may not sufficiently fit the daily data because of the strong stochastic nature, while stochastic models may also not reliably fit into daily rainfall time series because of the deterministic nature at the large scale (i.e. coarse scale). Although there are different approaches for simulating daily rainfall, mixing of deterministic and stochastic models (towards possible representation of both deterministic and stochastic properties) has not hitherto been proposed. An attempt is made in this study to simulate daily rainfall data by utilizing discrete wavelet transformation and hidden Markov model. We use a deterministic model to obtain large-scale data, and a stochastic model to simulate the wavelet tree coefficients. The simulated daily rainfall is obtained by inverse transformation. We then compare the accumulated simulated and accumulated observed data from the Chao Phraya Basin in Thailand. Because of the stochastic nature at the small scale, the simulated daily rainfall on a point to point comparison show deviations with the observed data. However the accumulated simulated data do show some level of agreement with the observed data. © Springer-Verlag 2008.postprin

    Rainfall data simulation by hidden Markov model and discrete wavelet transformation

    Get PDF
    In many regions, monthly (or bimonthly) rainfall data can be considered as deterministic while daily rainfall data may be treated as random. As a result, deterministic models may not sufficiently fit the daily data because of the strong stochastic nature, while stochastic models may also not reliably fit into daily rainfall time series because of the deterministic nature at the large scale (i.e. coarse scale). Although there are different approaches for simulating daily rainfall, mixing of deterministic and stochastic models (towards possible representation of both deterministic and stochastic properties) has not hitherto been proposed. An attempt is made in this study to simulate daily rainfall data by utilizing discrete wavelet transformation and hidden Markov model. We use a deterministic model to obtain large-scale data, and a stochastic model to simulate the wavelet tree coefficients. The simulated daily rainfall is obtained by inverse transformation. We then compare the accumulated simulated and accumulated observed data from the Chao Phraya Basin in Thailand. Because of the stochastic nature at the small scale, the simulated daily rainfall on a point to point comparison show deviations with the observed data. However the accumulated simulated data do show some level of agreement with the observed data. © Springer-Verlag 2008.postprin

    Hospital quality and costs: evidence from England

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    A knowledge-based weighting framework to boost the power of genome-wide association studies

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    Background: We are moving to second-wave analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWAS), characterized by comprehensive bioinformatical and statistical evaluation of genetic associations. Existing biological knowledge is very valuable for GWAS, which may help improve their detection power particularly for disease susceptibility loci of moderate effect size. However, a challenging question is how to utilize available resources that are very heterogeneous to quantitatively evaluate the statistic significances. Methodology/Principal Findings: We present a novel knowledge-based weighting framework to boost power of the GWAS and insightfully strengthen their explorative performance for follow-up replication and deep sequencing. Built upon diverse integrated biological knowledge, this framework directly models both the prior functional information and the association significances emerging from GWAS to optimally highlight single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for subsequent replication. In the theoretical calculation and computer simulation, it shows great potential to achieve extra over 15% power to identify an association signal of moderate strength or to use hundreds of whole-genome subjects fewer to approach similar power. In a case study on late-onset Alzheimer disease (LOAD) for a proof of principle, it highlighted some genes, which showed positive association with LOAD in previous independent studies, and two important LOAD related pathways. These genes and pathways could be originally ignored due to involved SNPs only having moderate association significance. Conclusions/Significance: With user-friendly implementation in an open-source Java package, this powerful framework will provide an important complementary solution to identify more true susceptibility loci with modest or even small effect size in current GWAS for complex diseases. © 2010 Li et al.published_or_final_versio

    High-sensitivity optical preamplifier for WDM systems using an optical parametric amplifier

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    We propose and demonstrate a novel preamplifier to improve receiver sensitivity for a 10-Gb/s return-to-zero on-off keying format by using a fiber optical parametric amplifier. Receiver sensitivity can reach down to -42 dBm at bit-error rate = 10-9 This sensitivity is only 1.1 dB off the quantum limit. The crosstalk issue is also investigated for this dual-end detection scheme in a wavelength-division-multiplexing system. © 2009 IEEE.published_or_final_versio

    FastPval: A fast and memory efficient program to calculate very low P-values from empirical distribution

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    Motivation: Resampling methods, such as permutation and bootstrap, have been widely used to generate an empirical distribution for assessing the statistical significance of a measurement. However, to obtain a very low P-value, a large size of resampling is required, where computing speed, memory and storage consumption become bottlenecks, and sometimes become impossible, even on a computer cluster. Results: We have developed a multiple stage P-value calculating program called FastPval that can efficiently calculate very low (up to 10-9) P-values from a large number of resampled measurements. With only two input files and a few parameter settings from the users, the program can compute P-values from empirical distribution very efficiently, even on a personal computer. When tested on the order of 109 resampled data, our method only uses 52.94% the time used by the conventional method, implemented by standard quicksort and binary search algorithms, and consumes only 0.11% of the memory and storage. Furthermore, our method can be applied to extra large datasets that the conventional method fails to calculate. The accuracy of the method was tested on data generated from Normal, Poison and Gumbel distributions and was found to be no different from the exact ranking approach. © The Author(s) 2010. Published by Oxford University Press.published_or_final_versio

    Frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles

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    Objective: To review the outcomes of frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles. Design: Retrospective review. Setting: Tertiary assisted reproduction centre, Hong Kong. Patients: Subfertile patients undergoing frozen-thawed embryo transfer between July 2005 and December 2007. Main outcome measures: Clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates. Results: A total of 983 frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles performed during the study period were reviewed. The clinical pregnancy and ongoing pregnancy rates were 35% and 30%, respectively. Factors associated with successful outcome included younger maternal age (≤35 years) and 4 or more blastomeres at replacement, but not the method of insemination, the cause of subfertility, or the type of frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycle. The overall multiple pregnancy rate was 18%. For cycles with a single embryo replaced, embryos having 4-cell or higher stages at replacement gave an ongoing pregnancy rate of 25%, whereas those with less than 4 cells had a significantly lower ongoing pregnancy rate of 5% only. Blastomere lysis after thawing significantly reduced the clinical pregnancy and ongoing pregnancy rates of cycles with one embryo replaced. Conclusions Clinical pregnancy and ongoing pregnancy rates of frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles were 35% and 30%, respectively. Higher pregnancy rates were associated with younger maternal age (≤35 years), blastomere numbers of 4 or more, and no blastomere lysis after thawing.published_or_final_versio

    Tunable repetition rate multiplier based on fiber optical parametric oscillator

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    We demonstrate a tunable repetition rate multiplier based on fiber optical parametric oscillator. 2-6 times repetition rate multiplication of a 10-GHz pulse source is achieved with a tuning range of 20 nm in the L-band. © 2010 IEEE.published_or_final_versionThe IEEE Photonics Society Summer Topical Meetings, Playa del Carmen, Mexico, 19-21 July 2010. In Proceedings of PHOSST, 2010, p. 133-13
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