Paleoseismological and morphological evidence of slip rate variations along the North Tabriz fault (NW Iran)

International audienceNorthwest Iran is characterized by a high level of historical and instrumental seismicity related to the ongoing convergence between the Arabian and Eurasian plates. In this region, the main right-lateral strike-slip fault known as the North Tabriz fault (NTF) forms the central portion of a large crustal fault system called the Tabriz fault system (TFS). The NTF is a major seismic source along which at least three strong and destructive earthquakes have occurred since 858 AD. The two most recent destructive seismic events occurred in 1721 AD and 1780 AD, rupturing the SE and NW fault segments, respectively. This paper reports paleoseismological and quantitative geomorphologic investigations on the SE segment of the NTF, between the cities of Bostanabad and Tabriz. These observations help to improve our understanding of the seismic hazard for Tabriz city and its surrounding areas. Our field investigations revealed evidence of successive faulting events since the Late Quaternary. Paleoseismic investigations indicate that since 33.5 kyr, the SE segment of the NTF has experienced at least three major (M>7.5) seismic events, including the 1721 AD earthquake (M=7.6–7.7). Along the NW segment of the fault, however, our results suggest that the amount of strong (M~7.5) seismic events during the same period is significantly greater than along the SE segment. One possible explanation of such a difference in seismic activity is that the Late Quaternary-Holocene coseismic slip rate is decreasing along the NTF from the northwest to the southeast. This explanation contradicts the former hypothesis of a constant slip rate along the whole length of the NTF. In addition, more distributed deformation along several parallel fault branches, in a wider fault zone of the SE segment of the NTF may be considered as additional evidence for the estimation of lower rate of deformation along the fault segment. Such a slip distribution pattern can explain the existence of smaller (~300 m) Pliocene-Quaternary cumulative dextral offsets along the SE fault segment than the measured cumulative offsets along the NW segment (~800 m) of the NTF

Paleoearthquakes and slip rates of the North Tabriz Fault, NW Iran: preliminary results

The North Tabriz Fault is a major seismogenic fault in NW Iran. The last damaging earthquakes on this fault occurred in 1721, rupturing the southeastern fault segment, and in 1780, rupturing the northwestern one. The understanding of the seismic behavior of this fault is critical for assessing the hazard in Tabriz, one of the major cities of Iran; the city suffered major damage in both the 1721 and 1780 events. Our study area is located on the northwestern fault segment, west of the city of Tabriz. We performed geomorphic and trenching investigations, which allowed us to recognize evidence for repeated faulting events since the Late Pleistocene. From the trenches, we found evidence for at least four events during the past 3.6 ka, the most recent one being the 1780 earthquake. On the basis of different approaches, horizontal slip per event and slip rates are found in the ranges of 4 ± 0.5 m and 3.1-6.4 mm/yr, respectively. We also attempted an estimate of the average recurrence intervals which appears to be in the range 350-1430 years, with a mean recurrence interval of 821 ± 176 years. On the basis of these results, the northwestern segment of the North Tabriz Fault does not appear to present a major seismic potential for the near future, however, not enough is known about the southeastern segment of the fault to make a comparable conclusion

イラン南部のバム断層において2003年12月26日バム地震によって生じた地表変位

During the December 26th, 2006 Bam earthquake, continuous ruptures with a consistent rightlateral strike-slip of a few centimeters occurred north of Bam. A 3km long strand of ruptures coincides exactly with the trace of the geologic Bam fault. These ruptures were possibly caused by the tectonic slip on the source fault of the 2006 earthquake. The Bam scarp south of the Zehedan highway might have grown during the earthquake. The extension of the area around the scarp indicated by the scarp-parallel fissures may represent the coseismic stretch of the surface. South of the Bam scarp, there was no systematic surface effect. The absence of significant tectonic offset at the surface is concordant with the intermediate magnitude of Mw 6.6 Only a small and deep portion of the Bam fault, or another adjacent blind fault plane was ruptured in 2006. The geologic evidence of the over 50km long Bam fault suggests a large, probably M 7.5 or larger, event in the future, however, there is no historic and geologic data to quantify the risks

The 2014 Earthquake Model of the Middle East: seismogenic sources

The Earthquake Model of Middle East (EMME) project was carried out between 2010 and 2014 to provide a harmonized seismic hazard assessment without country border limitations. The result covers eleven countries: Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Cyprus, Georgia, Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Pakistan, Syria and Turkey, which span one of the seismically most active regions on Earth in response to complex interactions between four major tectonic plates i.e. Africa, Arabia, India and Eurasia. Destructive earthquakes with great loss of life and property are frequent within this region, as exemplified by the recent events of Izmit (Turkey, 1999), Bam (Iran, 2003), Kashmir (Pakistan, 2005), Van (Turkey, 2011), and Hindu Kush (Afghanistan, 2015). We summarize multidisciplinary data (seismicity, geology, and tectonics) compiled and used to characterize the spatial and temporal distribution of earthquakes over the investigated region. We describe the development process of the model including the delineation of seismogenic sources and the description of methods and parameters of earthquake recurrence models, all representing the current state of knowledge and practice in seismic hazard assessment. The resulting seismogenic source model includes seismic sources defined by geological evidence and active tectonic findings correlated with measured seismicity patterns. A total of 234 area sources fully cross-border-harmonized are combined with 778 seismically active faults along with background-smoothed seismicity. Recorded seismicity (both historical and instrumental) provides the input to estimate rates of earthquakes for area sources and background seismicity while geologic slip-rates are used to characterize fault-specific earthquake recurrences. Ultimately, alternative models of intrinsic uncertainties of data, procedures and models are considered when used for calculation of the seismic hazard. At variance to previous models of the EMME region, we provide a homogeneous seismic source model representing a consistent basis for the next generation of seismic hazard models within the region.Published3465-34966T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremotoJCR Journa

Tectonic History and Present-Day Deformation in the Zagros Fold-Thrust Belt

This thesis uses various approaches such as observation of satellite images, field investigations, analogue modeling and GPS measurements to constrain deformation of the basement and sedimentary cover of the Zagros fold-thrust belt in time and space. Focal mechanism solutions of most earthquakes indicate that deformation in the Zagros basement is due to shortening and thickening through numerous thrust faults. However, observations of strike-slip faulting recognized on satellite images imply that N-S trending faults in the Zagros, inherited from Pan-African basement, rotated about vertical axes to accommodate the convergence between Arabia and central Iran. Field studies suggest that southwestward advance of the Zagros front has been recorded by syn-sedimentary structures. These structures indicate that deformation started as early as end Eocene in the northeast of the Simply Folded Zone and propagated progressively to the southwest. The deformation front drove the foreland basin to its present position along the Persian Gulf and Mesopotamia. Scaled analogue models suggest that the seismicity due to orogenic shortening depends largely on the friction between the cover and its basement. Models show that fold-thrust belts with low tapers shortened above low friction ductile decollements involve several long-lived thrust faults generating low to moderate earthquakes over wide areas at the same time. By contrast, earthquakes with larger magnitudes are expected to occur along a few short-lived thrust ramps in fold-thrust belts with larger tapers shortened above high-friction decollments. GPS-derived velocities across and along the Zagros suggest that only about one third (10 ± 3 mm/yr) of the current convergence between Arabia and Eurasia is accommodated within the Zagros by thickening to the east of the Kazerun Fault and thickening and lateral movement to the west. The remaining (21 ± 3 mm/yr) is transferred beyond the Zagros suture to central Iran and the northern Iranian mountains

Surface effects of the December 26th,2003 Bam earthquake along the Bam fault in southeastern Iran

During the December 26th, 2006 Bam earthquake, continuous ruptures with a consistent rightlateral strike-slip of a few centimeters occurred north of Bam. A 3km long strand of ruptures coincides exactly with the trace of the geologic Bam fault. These ruptures were possibly caused by the tectonic slip on the source fault of the 2006 earthquake. The Bam scarp south of the Zehedan highway might have grown during the earthquake. The extension of the area around the scarp indicated by the scarp-parallel fissures may represent the coseismic stretch of the surface. South of the Bam scarp, there was no systematic surface effect. The absence of significant tectonic offset at the surface is concordant with the intermediate magnitude of Mw 6.6 Only a small and deep portion of the Bam fault, or another adjacent blind fault plane was ruptured in 2006. The geologic evidence of the over 50km long Bam fault suggests a large, probably M 7.5 or larger, event in the future, however, there is no historic and geologic data to quantify the risks