Conséquences pour le secteur agricole français de diverses options en matière de réforme de la Politique Agricole Commune

Etudes et recherches ; 12Trois volets composent cette étude. Le premier consiste en la mesure de la variabilité des charges variables, des marges et des revenus bruts par culture dans la population agricole de différentes régions françaises ou de différents pays de la CEE. Cette variabilité doit être mesurée non sur la seule espérance mathématique (la "moyenne") mais aussi sur la variance. L'idée sous-jacente est que la prise en compte de cette variabilité devrait permettre de mieux cerner les effets d'une réforme de la PAC donnant un rôle important à des seuils déterminés à partir de critères moyens (les rendements des cultures par exemple). Les modèles à coefficients aléatoires mis en œuvre donnent des résultats peu satisfaisants. Le second volet porte sur l'incidence effective des mesures réformant la PAC sur le secteur de production végétale. Le modèle AROPAJ qui repose sur un système d'offre multiproducteur (38 groupes de producteurs) et multiproduit (les principales cultures de vente, les fourrages et prairies, l'auto-consommation de céréales pour l'alimentation animale) est utilisé à cet effet. Nous restons ici dans le cas où les groupes sont différenciés selon leurs caractéristiques moyennes, chaque groupe étant supposé homogène. Différents scénarios sont simulés et analysés dans une optique de court terme. Ce sont d'une part une extrapolation des mesures actuelles (baisse des prix, aide au retrait des terres), et d'autre part une mise en oeuvre des mesures "Mac Sharry". Cette partie est complétée par un volet "environnement" (impact d'une taxation des engrais). Sont en particulier présentés les effets de ces mesures sur les offres et surfaces de différents produits, la marge brute agricole et le budget hors restitution du FEOGA. Le dernier volet s'attache particulièrement à représenter des échanges intracommunautaires d'une part, entre membres de la CEE et pays tiers d'autre part en réaction aux mesures affectant les prix et les niveaux de production. Ces effets sont mesurés à l'aide de modèles économétriques d'exportation prenant en compte un effet de report entre marché communautaire et marché avec les pays tiers, ceci pour chacun des principaux pays exportateurs de la CEE, et pour chacune des trois céréales principales : le blé tendre, le maïs et l'orge. Sur les deux derniers volets de l'étude, il apparaît que les mesures Mac Sharry se traduisent pas un transfert monétaire important au sein des groupes de producteurs (des producteurs de grande culture vers les éleveurs), et des consommateurs vers le contribuable. Le surplus collectif augmenterait faiblement (si l'on considère un coût public nul pour la dépense budgétaire) au prix d'un accroissement sensible du budget du FEOGA hors restitution. L'effet sur les restitutions qui permettrait ce gain collectif serait toutefois limité

Boxy/peanut/X bulges, barlenses and the thick part of galactic bars: What are they and how did they form?

Bars have a complex three-dimensional shape. In particular their inner part is vertically much thicker than the parts further out. Viewed edge-on, the thick part of the bar is what is commonly known as a boxy-, peanut- or X- bulge and viewed face-on it is referred to as a barlens. These components are due to disc and bar instabilities and are composed of disc material. I review here their formation, evolution and dynamics, using simulations, orbital structure theory and comparisons to observations.Comment: 21 pages, 7 figures, invited review to appear in "Galactic Bulges", E. Laurikainen, R. Peletier, D. Gadotti, (eds.), Springe

Roadwork:Expertise at work building roads in the Maldives

This article engages critically with concepts of ‘skill’, ‘expertise’, and ‘capacity’ as they operate as markers of distinction and domination and shape migratory labour relations among road construction workers from across South Asia in the Maldives archipelago. The article examines roadwork at three levels: the professional biographies leading to ‘flexible specialization’ rather than technical expertise amongst Maldivian managers; the technical expertise and social incorporation of ‘skilled’ Sri Lankan supervisors; and the key material expertise of ‘non-skilled’ Bangladeshi labourers in precarious employment. Whilst discussions of South Asian labour migration have been dominated by caste and class, this article argues that it is important to consider how the cultural production and understanding of concepts such as ‘expertise’, ‘capacity’, and ‘exposure’ at worksites can (also) become distinguishing factors in (hierarchical) migratory labour relations

Heritability of attention problems in children II: longitudinal results from a study of twins age 3 to 12.

this paper we present data of large samples of twin families, with an equal number of girls and boys. The well-known gender difference with boys displaying more OA and AP was observed at each age. Even at the age of 3, boys display more OA problems than girls. Clinical studies have indicated that severe problem behavior can be identified in very young children (see for review, Campbell, 1995; Keenan & Wakschlag, 2000; Shaw, Owens, Giovannelli, & Winslow, 2001) and that the onset of ADHD is during the pre-school period (Barkley, Fisher, Edelbrock, & Smallish, 1990; Table 6 Top part includes percentages of total variances (diagonal) and covariances (off-diagonal) explained by additive genetic, genetic dominance, and unique environmental components based on best fitting models. Percentages for boys and girls are reported below and above diagonal, respectively. Lower part includes correlations calculated for additive genetic, genetic dominance, and unique environmental sources of variance between different ages. Correlations for boys and girls are reported below and above diagonal, respectively Relative proportions of variance and covariance BoysnGirls A% D% E% OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 50n41 73 79 75 22n33 17 13 14 28n26 10 8 11 AP 7 59 33n57 50 53 31 39n16 31 28 10 28n27 19 19 AP 10 86 31 41n48 47 6 51 31n25 32 8 18 28n27 21 AP 12 71 24 31 40n54 16 55 45 30n18 13 21 24 30n28 Correlations between different ages BoysnGirls ADE OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 AP 7 AP 10 AP 12 OA 3 1.00 .60 .66 .57 1.00 .30 .16 .20 1.00 .15 .12 .14 AP 7 .57 1.00 .62 .57 .41 1.00 .99 1.00 .15 1.00 .46 .41 AP 10 .68 .56 1.00 .61 .08 .94 1.00 1.00 .11 .42 1.00 .50 AP 12 .49 .42 .53 1.00 .20 .98 .99 1.00 .14 .45 .58 1.00 ..

Ambivalence towards discourse of disaster resilience

This paper investigates empirically how the international aid community (IAC)—donors and practitioners—considers and implements disaster resilience in a specific country setting, Nepal, and throughout the rest of the world. A key finding is that there is ambivalence about a concept that has become a discourse. On a global level, the IAC utilises the discourse of resilience in a cautiously positive manner as a bridging concept. On a national level, it is being used to influence the Government of Nepal, as well as serving as an operational tool of donors. The mythical resilient urban community is fashioned in the IAC's imaginary; understanding how people create communities and what type of linkages with government urban residents desire to develop their resilience strategies is missing, though, from the discussion. Disaster resilience can be viewed as another grand plan to enhance the lives of people. Yet, regrettably, an explicit focus on individuals and their communities is lost in the process

Mechanisms underlying a thalamocortical transformation during active tactile sensation

During active somatosensation, neural signals expected from movement of the sensors are suppressed in the cortex, whereas information related to touch is enhanced. This tactile suppression underlies low-noise encoding of relevant tactile features and the brain’s ability to make fine tactile discriminations. Layer (L) 4 excitatory neurons in the barrel cortex, the major target of the somatosensory thalamus (VPM), respond to touch, but have low spike rates and low sensitivity to the movement of whiskers. Most neurons in VPM respond to touch and also show an increase in spike rate with whisker movement. Therefore, signals related to self-movement are suppressed in L4. Fast-spiking (FS) interneurons in L4 show similar dynamics to VPM neurons. Stimulation of halorhodopsin in FS interneurons causes a reduction in FS neuron activity and an increase in L4 excitatory neuron activity. This decrease of activity of L4 FS neurons contradicts the "paradoxical effect" predicted in networks stabilized by inhibition and in strongly-coupled networks. To explain these observations, we constructed a model of the L4 circuit, with connectivity constrained by in vitro measurements. The model explores the various synaptic conductance strengths for which L4 FS neurons actively suppress baseline and movement-related activity in layer 4 excitatory neurons. Feedforward inhibition, in concert with recurrent intracortical circuitry, produces tactile suppression. Synaptic delays in feedforward inhibition allow transmission of temporally brief volleys of activity associated with touch. Our model provides a mechanistic explanation of a behavior-related computation implemented by the thalamocortical circuit

Change and continuity in Japanese compensation practices: the case of occupational pensions since the early 2000s

This article analyses changes in the provision of Japanese occupational pensions since the early 2000s. It shows how Japanese companies have followed strategies of cost and risk reduction by creating multi-layered benefit systems that offer a combination of defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) plans whose benefits are becoming increasingly performance-oriented. Analysing the reasons behind the resilience of DB schemes in Japan, the article concludes that enterprise union behaviour has had less influence than regulatory issues and continued corporate commitment to long-standing employment practices for regular workers. These findings highlight the embeddedness of Japanese employment practices in their institutional context