European regulatory agenices should employ full time statisticians

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Male reproductive health and environmental xenoestrogens

EHP is a publication of the U.S. government. Publication of EHP lies in the public domain and is therefore without copyright. Research articles from EHP may be used freely; however, articles from the News section of EHP may contain photographs or figures copyrighted by other commercial organizations and individuals that may not be used without obtaining prior approval from both the EHP editors and the holder of the copyright. Use of any materials published in EHP should be acknowledged (for example, "Reproduced with permission from Environmental Health Perspectives") and a reference provided for the article from which the material was reproduced.Male reproductive health has deteriorated in many countries during the last few decades. In the 1990s, declining semen quality has been reported from Belgium, Denmark, France, and Great Britain. The incidence of testicular cancer has increased during the same time incidences of hypospadias and cryptorchidism also appear to be increasing. Similar reproductive problems occur in many wildlife species. There are marked geographic differences in the prevalence of male reproductive disorders. While the reasons for these differences are currently unknown, both clinical and laboratory research suggest that the adverse changes may be inter-related and have a common origin in fetal life or childhood. Exposure of the male fetus to supranormal levels of estrogens, such as diethlylstilbestrol, can result in the above-mentioned reproductive defects. The growing number of reports demonstrating that common environmental contaminants and natural factors possess estrogenic activity presents the working hypothesis that the adverse trends in male reproductive health may be, at least in part, associated with exposure to estrogenic or other hormonally active (e.g., antiandrogenic) environmental chemicals during fetal and childhood development. An extensive research program is needed to understand the extent of the problem, its underlying etiology, and the development of a strategy for prevention and intervention.Supported by EU Contract BMH4-CT96-0314

Enterprise Education Competitions: A Theoretically Flawed Intervention?

The demand for including enterprise in the education system, at all levels and for all pupils is now a global phenomenon. Within this context, the use of competitions and competitive learning activities is presented as a popular and effective vehicle for learning. The purpose of this chapter is to illustrate how a realist method of enquiry – which utilises theory as the unit of analysis – can shed new light on the assumed and unintended outcomes of enterprise education competitions. The case developed here is that there are inherent flaws in assuming that competitions will ‘work’ in the ways set out in policy and guidance. Some of the most prevalent stated outcomes – that competitions will motivate and reward young people, that they will enable the development of entrepreneurial skills, and that learners will be inspired by their peers – are challenged by theory from psychology and education. The issue at stake is that the expansion of enterprise education policy into primary and secondary education increases the likelihood that more learners will be sheep dipped in competitions, and competitive activities, without a clear recognition of the potential unintended effects. In this chapter, we employ a realist-informed approach to critically evaluate the theoretical basis that underpins the use of competitions and competitive learning activities in school-based enterprise education. We believe that our findings and subsequent recommendations will provide those who promote and practice the use of competitions with a richer, more sophisticated picture of the potential flaws within such activities.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio

Clinical applicability of current pharmacokinetic models: Splanchnic elimination of 5-fluorouracil in cancer patients

What can be inferred from limited clinical data by using current models of hepatic elimination? We examined this question by analyzing previously published data on the steady-state uptake of the anticancer agent 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) in seven cancer patients in terms of the venous equilibration model, the undistributed and distributed forms of the sinusoidal perfusion model, and the convection-dispersion model. Because of appreciable extrasplanchnic removal of 5-FU, the value of the steady infusion rate was not used in our analysis. When the data from all patients were pooled by plotting the measured hepatic venous concentration against the measured hepatic arterial concentration, the high concentration data fell on a limiting straight line of slope 1, indicating that at high dose rates elimination of 5-FU in both the liver and gastrointestinal tract was close to saturation. The intercept of this line gave a model-independent estimate of V max /Q= 48.0± 11.6 (SD) μM for the pooled data set, where V max is the maximum splanchnic elimination rate of 5-FU, and Q is the hepatic blood flow. The low concentration data points fell on a limiting straight line through the origin, from which model-dependent values of the Michaelis constant were determined. The venous equilibration model gave K m =9.4 μM , while the undistributed sinusoidal perfusion model gave K m * =26,5 μM. With these values of K m , both models fit the pooled data equally well. These methods were applied to analyses of the five individual data sets which contained sufficiently high concentration data points. The resulting mean values were V max /Q=41.0±5.1 (sem) μM, K m =8.4±1.3μM and K m * =23.2±3.2 μM. However, the splanchnic region is a highly heterogeneous organ system, for which an undistributed analysis provides no more than an upper bound on the Michaelis constant K m + ( K m + ⩽ K m * ). A perfusion model distributed to represent total splanchnic elimination is developed in the Appendix. Using previous estimates of the degree of functional heterogeneity in the liver alone, this model yields K m + values for individual patients which have a mean of 20.3±2.8 μM .Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/45038/1/10928_2005_Article_BF01062135.pd

Multiple primary tumours: incidence estimation in the presence of competing risks

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Estimating the risk of developing subsequent primary tumours in a population is difficult since the occurrence probability is conditioned to the survival probability.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We proposed to apply Markov models studying the transition intensities from first to second tumour with the Aalen-Johansen (AJ) estimators, as usually done in competing risk models. In a simulation study we applied the proposed method in different settings with constant or varying underlying intensities and applying age standardisation. In addition, we illustrated the method with data on breast cancer from the Piedmont Cancer Registry.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The simulation study showed that the person-years approach led to a sensibly wider bias than the AJ estimators. The largest bias was observed assuming constantly increasing incidence rates. However, this situation is rather uncommon dealing with subsequent tumours incidence. In 9233 cases with breast cancer occurred in women resident in Turin, Italy, between 1985 and 1998 we observed a significant increased risk of 1.91 for subsequent cancer of corpus uteri, estimated with the age-standardised Aalen-Johansen incidence ratio (AJ-IR^stand), and a significant increased risk of 1.29 for cancer possibly related to the radiotherapy of breast cancer. The peak of occurrence of those cancers was observed after 8 years of follow-up.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The increased risk of a cancer of the corpus uteri, also observed in other studies, is usually interpreted as the common shared risk factors such as low parity, early menarche and late onset of menopause. We also grouped together those cancers possibly associated to a previous local radiotherapy: the cumulative risk at 14 years is still not significant, however the AJ estimators showed a significant risk peak between the eighth and the ninth year. Finally, the proposed approach has been shown to be reliable and informative under several aspects. It allowed for a correct estimation of the risk, and for investigating the time trend of the subsequent cancer occurrence.</p

PKQuest: capillary permeability limitation and plasma protein binding – application to human inulin, dicloxacillin and ceftriaxone pharmacokinetics

BACKGROUND: It is generally assumed that the tissue exchange of antibiotics is flow limited (complete equilibration between the capillary and the tissue water). This assumption may not be valid if there is a large amount of plasma protein binding because the effective capillary permeability depends on the product of the intrinsic capillary permeability (PS) and the fraction of solute that is free in the blood (fw(B)). PKQuest, a new generic physiologically based pharmacokinetic software routine (PBPK), provides a novel approach to modeling capillary permeability in which the only adjustable parameter is the PS of muscle. METHODS: All the results were obtained by applying PKQuest to previously published human pharmacokinetic data. RESULTS: The PKQuest analysis suggests that the highly protein bound antibiotics dicloxacillin and ceftriaxone have a significant capillary permeability limitation. The human muscle capillary PS of inulin, dicloxacillin and ceftriaxone was 0.6, 13 and 6 ml/min/100 gm, respectively. The ceftriaxone protein binding is non-linear, saturating at high plasma concentrations. The experimental ceftriaxone data over a wide range of intravenous inputs (0.15 to 3 gms) was well described by PKQuest. PKQuest is the first PBPK that includes both permeability limitation and non-linear binding. CONCLUSIONS: Because of their high degree of plasma protein binding, dicloxacillin and ceftriaxone appear to have a diffusion limited exchange rate between the blood and tissue and are not flow limited as had been previously assumed. PKQuest and all the examples are freely available at

Breast cancer risk among women with psychiatric admission with affective or neurotic disorders: a nationwide cohort study in Denmark

There is a considerable interest in the possible relationship between psychosocial factors and the onset of breast cancer. This cohort study was based upon two nationwide and population-based central registers: The Danish Psychiatric Central Register, which contains all cases of psychiatric admissions, and The Danish Cancer Registry, which contains all cases of cancer. The register-linkage was accomplished by using a personal identification number. The study population comprised all women admitted to psychiatric departments or psychiatric hospitals in Denmark between 1969 and 1993 with an affective or a neurotic disorder. Overall, 66 648 women comprising 199 910 admissions and 775 522 person-years were included. The incidence of breast cancer in the cohort was compared with the national breast cancer incidence rates adjusted for age and calendar time. In all, 1270 women with affective or neurotic disorders developed breast cancer subsequent to the first admission as compared with the 1242 women expected, standardized incidence ratio (SIR) = 1.02 (95% confidence interval 0.97–1.08). None of the hypothetical risk factors: type of diagnosis, age or calendar period at cohort entry, age at breast cancer, alcohol abuse, alcohol/drug abuse without further specification, total number of admissions, total length of admissions, or time from first admission showed a statistically significant effect on the relative risk of breast cancer. We found no support for the hypothesis that women admitted to a psychiatric department with an affective or a neurotic disorder subsequently have an increased risk of breast cancer. © 1999 Cancer Research Campaig

Melt inclusion constraints on the magma source of Eyjafjallajökull 2010 flank eruption

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THz commensurate echoes: Periodic rephasing of molecular transitions in free-induction decay

We report the first study of coherent transients excited by ultrafast pulses of THz radiation. Using a newly developed optoelectronic source of well-collimated beams of subpicosecond pulses of THz radiation to excite N2O vapor, we have observed the subsequent emission from the vapor of coherent THz pulse trains extending to as long as 1 nsec. The origin of these subpicosecond THz pulses (echoes) is a periodic rephasing, during the free-induction decay, of the more than fifty coherently excited rotational lines with commensurate transition frequencies. From the decay and reshaping of the echoes the coherent relaxation time T2 and the anharmonicity factor for the N2O molecule are evaluated.Peer reviewedElectrical and Computer Engineerin