Common mortality modeling and coherent forecasts. An empirical analysis of worldwide mortality data

A new common mortality modeling structure is presented for analyzing mortality dynamics for a pool of countries, under the framework of generalized linear models (GLM). The countries are first classified by fuzzy c-means cluster analysis in order to construct the common sparse age-period model structure for the mortality experience. Next, we propose a method to create the common sex difference age-period model structure and then use this to produce the residual age-periodmodel structure for each country and sex. The time related principal components are extrapolated using dynamic linear regression (DLR) models and coherent mortality forecasts are investigated. We make use of mortality data from the “Human Mortality Database”

A dynamic parameterization modeling for age-period-cohort mortality

An extended version of Hatzopoulos and Haberman (2009) dynamic parametric model is proposed for analyzing mortality structures, incorporating the cohort effect. A one-factor parameterized exponential polynomial in age effects within the generalized linear models (GLM) framework is used. Sparse principal component analysis (SPCA) is then applied to time-dependent GLM parameter estimates and provides (marginal) estimates for a two-factor principal component (PC) approach structure. Modeling the two-factor residuals in the same way, in age-cohort effects, provides estimates for the (conditional) three-factor age–period–cohort model. The age-time and cohort related components are extrapolated using dynamic linear regression (DLR) models. An application is presented for England & Wales males (1841–2006)

Latitudinal clines of allelic frequencies in Mediterranean populations of Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann)

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Identification and discrimination of eight Greek grape cultivars (Vitis vinifera L.) by random amplified polymorphic DNA markers

Fifteen decamer primers of an arbitrary nucleotide sequence were used to amplify genomic DNA by polymerase chain reaction (PCR-RAPD) in order to identify and discriminate between 8 cultivars of Vitis vinifera L., grown at the Island of Crete. Over 140 reproducible polymorphic fragments were generated by this method. Each grape cultivar showed a unique banding pattern for more than 5 of the primers used. Herefrom, the degree of genetic similarity was calculated and the dendrogram of the 8 cultivars was constructed. The results show that RAPD is a reliable and very useful method for the identification and genomic analysis of grape cultivars

Operation speed of polariton condensate switches gated by excitons

We present a time-resolved photoluminescence (PL) study in real- and momentum-space of a polariton condensate switch in a quasi-1D semiconductor microcavity. The polariton flow across the ridge is gated by excitons inducing a barrier potential due to repulsive interactions. A study of the device operation dependence on the power of the pulsed gate beam obtains a satisfactory compromise for the ON/OFF-signal ratio and -switching time of the order of 0.3 and $\thicksim50$ ps, respectively. The opposite transition is governed by the long-lived gate excitons, consequently the OFF/ON-switching time is $\thicksim200$ ps, limiting the overall operation speed of the device to $\thicksim3$ GHz. The experimental results are compared to numerical simulations based on a generalized Gross-Pitaevskii equation, taking into account incoherent pumping, decay and energy relaxation within the condensate.Comment: 11 pages, 11 figure

Polariton Condensate Transistor Switch

A polariton condensate transistor switch is realized through optical excitation of a microcavity ridge with two beams. The ballistically ejected polaritons from a condensate formed at the source are gated using the 20 times weaker second beam to switch on and off the flux of polaritons. In the absence of the gate beam the small built-in detuning creates potential landscape in which ejected polaritons are channelled toward the end of the ridge where they condense. The low loss photon-like propagation combined with strong nonlinearities associated with their excitonic component makes polariton based transistors particularly attractive for the implementation of all-optical integrated circuits