Estimation du PIB mensuel canadien : 1962 à 1985

Cet article estime une série mensuelle du Produit Intérieur Brut au prix du marché pour le Canada et un indice de prix correspondant pour la période 1962 à 1985. Ces estimés sont compatibles avec l’estimé trimestriel à la base de la nouvelle mesure du revenu national de Statistique Canada. Nous combinons les estimés trimestriels de Statistique Canada avec des données mensuelles en utilisant un filtre de Kalman. En plus de fournir un estimé mensuel du PIB réel, nous calculons aussi le seul indice de prix mensuel disponible associé à toute mesure de revenu au Canada.In this paper, we estimate a monthly series for Gross Domestic Product at market prices for Canada and a price deflator for the period 1962 to 1985. These estimates are consistent with the quarterly estimates which form the basis of the new national income measures of Statistics Canada. We combine the quarterly estimates from Statistics Canada with monthly data in a Kalman filter framework. In addition to presenting estimates of real GDP which can be used in monthly models, we present the only monthly price deflator or any income measure in Canada

Two-particle interference in standard and Bohmian quantum mechanics

The compatibility of standard and Bohmian quantum mechanics has recently been challenged in the context of two-particle interference, both from a theoretical and an experimental point of view. We analyze different setups proposed and derive corresponding exact forms for Bohmian equations of motion. The equations are then solved numerically, and shown to reproduce standard quantum-mechanical results.Comment: Minor corrections, 2 references added, version to appear in J. Phys.

Comparative analysis of classic brain component sizes in relation to flightiness in birds

Increased encephalization has been linked to a range of behavioural traits and scenarios. However, studies of whole brain size in this context have been criticised for ignoring the role of specific brain areas in controlling behaviour. In birds, the response to potential threats is one such behaviour that may relate to the way in which the brain processes sensory information. We used a phylogenetic generalised least squares (PGLS) analyses, based on five different phylogenetic hypotheses, to analyse the relationship of relative sizes of whole brain and brain components with Flight-Initiation Distance (FID), the distance at which birds flee from an approaching human, for 41 bird species. Starting distance (the distance at which an approach to a bird commences), body mass and eye size have elsewhere been shown to be positively associated with FID, and consequently were included as covariates in our analysis. Starting distance and body mass were by far the strongest predictors of FID. Of all brain components, cerebellum size had the strongest predictor weight and was negatively associated with FID but the confidence intervals on the average estimate included zero and the overall predictor weight was low. Models featuring individual brain components were generally more strongly weighted than models featuring whole brain size. The PGLS analyses estimated there to be no phylogenetic signal in the regression models, and hence produced results equivalent to ordinary least squares regression analysis. However analyses that assumed strong phylogenetic signal produced substantially different results with each phylogeny, and overall suggest a negative relationship between forebrain size and FID. Our analyses suggest that the evolutionary assumptions of the comparative analysis, and consideration of starting distance make a profound difference to the interpretation of the effect of brain components on FID in birds

Flow-weighted values of runoff tracers (δ18O, DOC, Ba, alkalinity) from the six largest Arctic rivers

Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2008. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Geophysical Research Letters 35 (2008): L18606, doi:10.1029/2008GL035007.We present new flow-weighted data for δ 18OH2O, dissolved organic carbon (DOC), dissolved barium and total alkalinity from the six largest Arctic rivers: the Ob', Yenisey, Lena, Kolyma, Yukon and Mackenzie. These data, which can be used to trace runoff, are based upon coordinated collections between 2003 and 2006 that were temporally distributed to capture linked seasonal dynamics of river flow and tracer values. Individual samples indicate significant variation in the contributions each river makes to the Arctic Ocean. Use of these new flow-weighted estimates should reduce uncertainties in the analysis of freshwater transport and fate in the upper Arctic Ocean, including the links to North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, as well as regional water mass analysis. Additional improvements should also be possible for assessing the mineralization rate of the globally significant flux of terrigenous DOC contributed to the Arctic Ocean by these major rivers.Supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation (OPP-0229302), the U.S. Geological Survey and the Water Resources Division of Canada’s Department of Indian Affairs and Northern Development

The Role of the Business Press as an Information Intermediary

This paper investigates whether the business press serves as an information intermediary. The press potentially shapes firms\u27 information environments by packaging and disseminating information, as well as by creating new information through journalism activities. We find that greater press coverage reduces information asymmetry (i.e., lower spreads and greater depth) around earnings announcements, with broad dissemination of information having a bigger impact than the quantity or quality of press-generated information. These results are robust to controlling for firm-initiated disclosures, market reactions to the announcement, and other information intermediaries. Our findings suggest that the press helps reduce information problems around earnings announcements

Variation at the DRD4 locus is associated with wariness and local site selection in urban black swans

 BACKGROUND: Interactions between wildlife and humans are increasing. Urban animals are often less wary of humans than their non-urban counterparts, which could be explained by habituation, adaptation or local site selection. Under local site selection, individuals that are less tolerant of humans are less likely to settle in urban areas. However, there is little evidence for such temperament-based site selection, and even less is known about its underlying genetic basis. We tested whether site selection in urban and non-urban habitats by black swans (Cygnus atratus) was associated with polymorphisms in two genes linked to fear in animals, the dopamine receptor D4 (DRD4) and serotonin transporter (SERT) genes. RESULTS: Wariness in swans was highly repeatable between disturbance events (repeatability = 0.61) and non-urban swans initiated escape from humans earlier than urban swans. We found no inter-individual variation in the SERT gene, but identified five DRD4 genotypes and an association between DRD4 genotype and wariness. Individuals possessing the most common DRD4 genotype were less wary than individuals possessing rarer genotypes. As predicted by the local site selection hypothesis, genotypes associated with wary behaviour were over three times more frequent at the non-urban site. This resulted in moderate population differentiation at DRD4 (FST = 0.080), despite the sites being separated by only 30 km, a short distance for this highly-mobile species. Low population differentiation at neutrally-selected microsatellite loci and the likely occasional migration of swans between the populations reduces the likelihood of local site adaptations. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that wariness in swans is partly genetically-determined and that wary swans settle in less-disturbed areas. More generally, our findings suggest that site-specific management strategies may be necessary that consider the temperament of local animals

DOP17 Identification of biomarkers and mechanistic insight for upadacitinib in ulcerative colitis: Analysis of serum inflammatory mediators in the phase 2b U-ACHIEVE study

Abstract Background The U-ACHIEVE trial evaluated upadacitinib (UPA), an oral JAK1 selective inhibitor, in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC). Patient-reported and endoscopic outcomes improved after UPA treatment. This analysis used pharmacodynamic profiling to link changes in serum biomarkers to changes in UC disease activity, and to assess the UPA mechanism of action in UC. Methods U-ACHIEVE (NCT02819635) was a randomised, double-blind, placebo (PBO)-controlled phase 2b clinical trial. Adults with an inadequate response, loss of response, or intolerance to corticosteroids, immunosuppressants, or biologic therapies were randomised to receive 7.5, 15, 30, or 45 mg UPA once daily or PBO for 8 weeks (weeks). Serum samples (baseline [BL], weeks 2, 4, and 8) were analysed by OLINK® inflammation panel (92 proteins) and by Singulex immunoassay for interleukin-1b (IL-1b), IL-17A, IL-17F, and IL-22. Protein-level changes were analysed by a mixed-effect model; BL protein level was adjusted as a covariate; treatment group, time point, and their interaction were included as fixed effects. Spearman rank-correlation coefficients were used to determine the relationship between changes of serum biomarker levels and improvements in adapted Mayo scores and endoscopic subscores. Multiplicity adjusted P values were calculated using 1000 runs of random permutations. Results Paired BL and week 8 serum samples were available from 114 patients (PBO, n = 17; UPA 7.5 mg, n = 21; UPA 15 mg, n = 21; UPA 30 mg, n = 29; UPA 45 mg, n = 26). UPA treatment reduced expression of pro-inflammatory mediators associated with immune cell migration, type I/II IFN responses, T-cell responses, macrophage and dendritic cell activity and increased expression of biomarkers associated with haematopoiesis, neuroprotection and mucosal repair in a dose-dependent manner. Improvements in adapted Mayo score, endoscopic subscore, and stool frequency correlated with increases in CX3CL1, DNER and FLt3L (p < 0.05 for all). Endoscopic improvements correlated with reductions in OSM, and improvements in fatigue correlated with increases in CCL25 and NT-3. There was a substantial overlap in biomarkers modulated by UPA in patients with UC and Crohn's disease (Figure). Conclusion UPA modulated expression of serum pro-inflammatory mediators found in pathways associated with the pathogenesis of UC, including immune cell migration, type I/II IFN responses, T-cell responses, macrophage and dendritic cell activity, haematopoiesis, neuroprotection, and mucosal repair. Consistent correlations were observed between changes in biomarker expression and improvements in disease activity and symptoms of UC