Dengue in Madeira Island

This is a preprint of a paper whose final and definite form will be published in the volume Mathematics of Planet Earth that initiates the book series CIM Series in Mathematical Sciences (CIM-MS) published by Springer. Submitted Oct/2013; Revised 16/July/2014 and 20/Sept/2014; Accepted 28/Sept/2014.Dengue is a vector-borne disease and 40% of world population is at risk. Dengue transcends international borders and can be found in tropical and subtropical regions around the world, predominantly in urban and semi-urban areas. A model for dengue disease transmission, composed by mutually-exclusive compartments representing the human and vector dynamics, is presented in this study. The data is from Madeira, a Portuguese island, where an unprecedented outbreak was detected on October 2012. The aim of this work is to simulate the repercussions of the control measures in the fight of the disease

Frequency, diversity, and productivity study on the Aedes aegypti most preferred containers in the City of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil

The most preferred containers by Aedes aegypti were studied April and July (rainy and dry periods) in two Manaus neighbourhoods. In all, 2,700 premises and 13,912 containers were examined, most (87%) recorded outdoors. Out of the 13,100 inspected premises, only 1.6% showed to be positive for Aedes aegypti, summing up to 7,916 collected samples. Most frequently found containers outdoors in either neighbourhood regardless of rain or dry period were Bottles flasks and Storage, and indoors, Fixed, Flowerpots, and buckets. Productivity was estimated according to the number of premises and positive containers investigated, showing the actual container groups productivity. Considering both rainy and dry periods outdoors at Praça 14 the groups of Tyre, Flask, Bottle, Construction Equipment and Fixed, had the highest averages respectively. Construction Equipment and Flask groups were the most productive in Coroado in April. Flask, Construction Equipment and Storage groups stood out in July

Sensitivity of malaria, schistosomiasis and dengue to global warming.

Global assessment of the potential impacts of anthropogenically-induced climate change on vector-borne diseases suggests an increase in extent of the geographical areas susceptible to transmission of malarial Plasmodium parasites, dengue Flavivirus and Schistosoma worms. The transmission potential of the three associated vector-borne diseases studied is highly sensitive to climate changes on the periphery of the currently endemic areas and at higher altitudes within such areas. Our findings vis-à-vis the present endemic areas indicate that the increase in the epidemic potential of malaria and dengue transmission may be estimated at 12–27% and 31–47%, respectively, while in contrast, schistosomiasis transmission potential may be expected to exhibit a 11–17% decreas

Produtividade de criadouro de Aedes albopictus em ambiente urbano Productivity of container-breeding Aedes albopictus in an urban environment

INTRODUÇÃO: O encontro de Aedes albopictus na cidade de Cananéia, região Sudeste do Estado de São Paulo, Brasil, ensejou a ocasião de realizar observações que visassem avaliar a produtividade de criadouro grande e permanente. Como objetivo, após selecionar o habitat a ser estudado, tentou-se avaliar-lhe a contribuição para a densidade local do mosquito. MATERIAL E MÉTODO: Em área predeterminada procedeu-se a levantamento de criadouros potenciais. Constatada a presença da espécie, foi selecionado um dos recipientes que preenchia os requisitos desejados. O acompanhamento foi feito de maneira ininterrupta, no período de novembro de 1996 a maio de 1997. As observações obdeceram a ritmo quinzenal retirando, cada vez, amostra da água correspondente a 0,14, ou seja, um sétimo do volume total de 70 litros. Procurou-se coletar, identificar e numerar, por sexo, as pupas existentes. Concomitantemente, procedeu-se à captura de formas adultas. Foi utilizada a isca humana das 15:00 às 18:00h, instalada a cerca de 6 metros do mencionado criadouro. Finda essa coleta, foi feita aspiração com 30 min. de duração em locais de abrigo representados pela abundante vegetação circunjacente. RESULTADOS: Nas coletas de formas imaturas do criadouro, o Ae. albopictus compareceu com 44,9%. Ao longo de 15 amostras regularmente realizadas obteve-se a média de 31,13 pupas pertencentes a essa espécie. O índice de emergência(E) foi de 2,1. A multiplicação desse valor por sete forneceu a média diária de 14,7 fêmeas. Nas coletas de adultos desse sexo, a média de Williams para a isca humana foi de 30,7, enquanto a densidade média horária da aspiração dos locais de abrigo foi de 9,2. O cálculo do acúmulo diário concluiu pela presença de 22,8 fêmeas, por dia, capazes de freqüentar a isca humana, nessa situação e condições. DISCUSSÃO: A contagem de pupas possibilitou estimar a produtividade de criadouro de Ae. albopictus, tipo grande (dez litros ou mais) e de caráter permanente. A água acumulada no recipiente estudado apresentou-se rica em matéria orgânica, predominantemente de natureza vegetal. Neste particular, não há como compará-lo a reservatórios destinados ao armazenamento de água para uso doméstico. A falta de manutenção desses reservatórios poderá contribuir para levar a situação, se não idêntica, pelo menos próxima da evidenciada no trabalho. Embora se trate de espécie até agora não incriminada como vetora, é de se admitir que as observações encontradas possam ser utilizadas no programa de erradicação de Ae. aegypti que está em curso no Brasil.<br>INTRODUCTION: Aedes albopictus has been found at Cananeia city in the Southeastern State of S. Paulo, Brazil. A study was carried out to evaluate the productivity of its breeding place. MATERIAL AND METHOD: A container classified as large and permament was chosen. Water had accumulated at the bottom and was rich in organic matter, mainly of vegetal origin. From November 1996 until May 1997, fortnightly observations were perfomed, sampling immature stages found in a seventh part of the container's total water volume (nearly 70 litres). Pupae were collected, identified and sexed. The productivity of the breeding place was estimated using Focks et al's. (1981) formula adapted for a single large container. At the same time adults were caught by using human bait and the aspiration of resting places. The first catch was performed at six meters from the breeding place studied. Williams' mean was calculated for the human bait and mean hourly density for the aspiration results of the resting places (Subbarao et al., 1988). RESULTS: Immature stages of Ae. albopictus represented 44.9% of the total collected through fifteen fortnightly regular samplings (November 1996 to May 1997). The pupae mean was 31.13 and so the emergence index was 2.1. Multiplied by seven the result was 14.7 as the estimated mean number of females per day produced in that container. Adult females caught on human bait gave a general Williams' mean of 30.7, while the mean hour by density was 9.2. According to the accumulated calculated adult number, 22.8 females per day were available to seek human bait, under the conditions of the observations performed. DISCUSSION: Counting pupae is an efficient method of estimating the productivity of the breeding place of Ae . albopictus. The richness of the organic matter in the water in the container made it quite inappropiate to establish comparisons with water reservoirs for domestic use. Nevertheless, a lack of or deficient maintenance approximate these containers to the one here studied. So cleaning is an important factor and it must be emphasized as necessary to prevent the installation of mosquito breeding. Though it is a distinct species it is reasonable to expect that the application of these study methods to Ae. aegypti would be useful in the attempt being made to erradicate this latter species from our country