15 research outputs found

    Global surveillance of cancer survival 1995-2009: analysis of individual data for 25,676,887 patients from 279 population-based registries in 67 countries (CONCORD-2)

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    BACKGROUND: Worldwide data for cancer survival are scarce. We aimed to initiate worldwide surveillance of cancer survival by central analysis of population-based registry data, as a metric of the effectiveness of health systems, and to inform global policy on cancer control. METHODS: Individual tumour records were submitted by 279 population-based cancer registries in 67 countries for 25·7 million adults (age 15-99 years) and 75,000 children (age 0-14 years) diagnosed with cancer during 1995-2009 and followed up to Dec 31, 2009, or later. We looked at cancers of the stomach, colon, rectum, liver, lung, breast (women), cervix, ovary, and prostate in adults, and adult and childhood leukaemia. Standardised quality control procedures were applied; errors were corrected by the registry concerned. We estimated 5-year net survival, adjusted for background mortality in every country or region by age (single year), sex, and calendar year, and by race or ethnic origin in some countries. Estimates were age-standardised with the International Cancer Survival Standard weights. FINDINGS: 5-year survival from colon, rectal, and breast cancers has increased steadily in most developed countries. For patients diagnosed during 2005-09, survival for colon and rectal cancer reached 60% or more in 22 countries around the world; for breast cancer, 5-year survival rose to 85% or higher in 17 countries worldwide. Liver and lung cancer remain lethal in all nations: for both cancers, 5-year survival is below 20% everywhere in Europe, in the range 15-19% in North America, and as low as 7-9% in Mongolia and Thailand. Striking rises in 5-year survival from prostate cancer have occurred in many countries: survival rose by 10-20% between 1995-99 and 2005-09 in 22 countries in South America, Asia, and Europe, but survival still varies widely around the world, from less than 60% in Bulgaria and Thailand to 95% or more in Brazil, Puerto Rico, and the USA. For cervical cancer, national estimates of 5-year survival range from less than 50% to more than 70%; regional variations are much wider, and improvements between 1995-99 and 2005-09 have generally been slight. For women diagnosed with ovarian cancer in 2005-09, 5-year survival was 40% or higher only in Ecuador, the USA, and 17 countries in Asia and Europe. 5-year survival for stomach cancer in 2005-09 was high (54-58%) in Japan and South Korea, compared with less than 40% in other countries. By contrast, 5-year survival from adult leukaemia in Japan and South Korea (18-23%) is lower than in most other countries. 5-year survival from childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia is less than 60% in several countries, but as high as 90% in Canada and four European countries, which suggests major deficiencies in the management of a largely curable disease. INTERPRETATION: International comparison of survival trends reveals very wide differences that are likely to be attributable to differences in access to early diagnosis and optimum treatment. Continuous worldwide surveillance of cancer survival should become an indispensable source of information for cancer patients and researchers and a stimulus for politicians to improve health policy and health-care systems

    Permeability changes in coal seams: the role of anisotropy

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    International audienceThe permeability of coal seams is pore pressure-dependent. A number of analytical models have been proposed to investigate this problem, but many disregard a crucial factor: the anisotropy of coal. This paper is devoted to investigating the role of anisotropy in modeling the change of horizontal permeability with pressure. Analysis is conducted using a fully anisotropic model that incorporates both the anisotropies of mechanical properties and of the permeability dependence on stresses. Analytical expressions of the pressure-permeability relationship are derived in oedometric and isochoric geomechanical conditions, and validations are conducted against both laboratory and field data. Then, the roles of the anisotropy of stiffness and of permeability dependence on stresses in the permeability-change model are explored. We demonstrate that the mechanical anisotropy can be simplified to an isotropic model without introducing significant errors in prediction of pressure-permeability relationship, while neglecting the anisotropy of permeability dependence on stresses leads to considerable errors. When both anisotropy sources are disregarded, the pressure-permeability curve can be exactly reproduced by a totally isotropic material in both oedometric and isotropic conditions. However, the material properties (e.g., bulk modulus) are skewed; moreover, such an equivalent material might lead to significant errors in other geomechanical conditions. Finally, the permeability change is investigated at the reservoir scale, and the reservoir simulation results confirm the conclusions obtained from the analytical analysis

    Quantum polarization properties of two-mode energy eigenstates

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    We show that any pure, two-mode, N-photon state with N odd or equal to two can be transformed into an orthogonal state using only linear optics. According to a recently suggested definition of polarization degree, this implies that all such states are fully polarized. This is also found to be true for any pure, two-mode, energy eigenstate belonging to a two-dimensional SU(2) orbit. Complete two- and three-photon bases whose basis states are related by only phase shifts or geometrical rotations are also derived. © 2005 The American Physical Society

    Quasi-probability distributions for the simplest dynamical groups

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    We show that any pure, two-mode, N-photon state with N odd or equal to two can be transformed into an orthogonal state using only linear optics. According to a recently suggested definition of polarization degree, this implies that all such states are fully polarized. This is also found to be true for any pure, two-mode, energy eigenstate belonging to a two-dimensional SU(2) orbit. Complete two- and three-photon bases whose basis states are related by only phase shifts or geometrical rotations are also derived. " 2005 The American Physical Society.",,,,,,"10.1103/PhysRevA.71.033818",,,"http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12104/44014","http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-18444398958&partnerID=40&md5=18516ed3a68403bf26617a6070afcc58",,,,,,"3",,"Physical Review A - Atomic, Molecular, and Optical Physics",,,,"71",,"Scopu

    Оптимизация маркетинговых решений : учебно-метод. пособие для студентов специальности «Маркетинг» всех форм обучения

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    Пособие содержит систематизированный материал по основным темам курса «Оптимизация маркетинговых решений». Практическое применение методов показано на примерах. В конце каждой темы приведен список дополнительной литературы по рассматриваемым вопросам. Для студентов специальности «Маркетинг» высших учебных заведений, магистрантов, аспирантов

    A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios

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    To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land-use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e., nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)-SSP1xRCP2.6, SSP3xRCP6.0, SSP5xRCP8.6-to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenario selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem services models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modeling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modeling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios
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