118 research outputs found
Changing sediment dynamics of a mature backbarrier salt marsh in response to sea-level rise and storm events
© 2018 Schuerch, Dolch, Bisgwa and Vafeidis. Our study analyses the long-term development of a tidal backbarrier salt marsh in the northern German Wadden Sea. The focus lies on the development of the high-lying, inner, mature part of the salt marsh, which shows a striking history of changing sediment dynamics. The analysis of high-resolution old aerial photographs and sampled sediment cores suggests that the mature part of the marsh was shielded by a sand barrier from the open sea for decades. The supply with fine-grained sediments occurred from the marsh inlet through the tidal channels to the inner salt marsh. Radiometric dating ( 210 Pb and 137 Cs) reveals that the sedimentation pattern changed fundamentally around the early-mid 1980s when the sedimentation rates increased sharply. By analyzing the photographic evidence, we found that the sand barrier was breached during storm events in the early 1980s. As a result, coarse-grained sediments were brought directly throug h this overwash from the sea to the mature part of the salt marsh and increased the sedimentation rates. We show that the overwash and the channels created by these storm events built a direct connection to the sea and reduced the distance to the sediment source which promoted salt marsh growth and a supply with coarse-grained sediments. Consequently, the original sediment input from the tidal channels is found to play a minor role in the years following the breach event. The presented study showcases the morphological development of a mature marsh, which contradicts the commonly accepted paradigm of decreasing sedimentation rates with increasing age of the marsh. We argue that similar trends are likely to be observed in other backbarrier marshes, developing in the shelter of unstabilized sand barriers. It further highlights the question of how resilient these salt marshes are toward sea level rise and how extreme storm events interfere in determining the resilience of a mature salt marsh.This study was financially supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) through the Cluster of Excellence 80 The Future Ocean, funded within the framework of the Excellence Initiative on behalf of the German federal and state governments, and the personal research fellowship of Mark Schuerch (Project Number 272052902)
Scoping carbon dioxide removal options for GermanyâWhat is their potential contribution to Net-Zero CO?
In its latest assessment report the IPCC stresses the need for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to counterbalance residual emissions to achieve net zero carbon dioxide or greenhouse gas emissions. There are currently a wide variety of CDR measures available. Their potential and feasibility, however, depends on context specific conditions, as among others biophysical site characteristics, or availability of infrastructure and resources. In our study, we selected 13 CDR concepts which we present in the form of exemplary CDR units described in dedicated fact sheets. They cover technical CO2 removal (two concepts of direct air carbon capture), hybrid solutions (six bioenergy with carbon capture technologies) and five options for natural sink enhancement. Our estimates for their CO2 removal potentials in 2050 range from 0.06 to 30 million tons of CO2, depending on the option. Ten of the 13 CDR concepts provide technical removal potentials higher than 1 million tons of CO2 per year. To better understand the potential contribution of analyzed CDR options to reaching net-zero CO2 emissions, we compare our results with the current CO2 emissions and potential residual CO2 emissions in 2050 in Germany. To complement the necessary information on technology-based and hybrid options, we also provide an overview on possible solutions for CO2 storage for Germany. Taking biophysical conditions and infrastructure into account, northern Germany seems a preferable area for deployment of many concepts. However, for their successful implementation further socio-economic analysis, clear regulations, and policy incentives are necessary
NetâZero CO 2 Germany - A Retrospect From the Year 2050
Germany 2050: For the first time Germany reached a balance between its sources of anthropogenic CO2 to the atmosphere and newly created anthropogenic sinks. This backcasting study presents a fictional future in which this goal was achieved by avoiding (âŒ645 Mt CO2), reducing (âŒ50 Mt CO2) and removing (âŒ60 Mt CO2) carbon emissions. This meant substantial transformation of the energy system, increasing energy efficiency, sector coupling, and electrification, energy storage solutions including synthetic energy carriers, sector-specific solutions for industry, transport, and agriculture, as well as natural-sink enhancement and technological carbon dioxide options. All of the above was necessary to achieve a net-zero CO2 system for Germany by 2050
The NANOGrav 15-year Data Set: Evidence for a Gravitational-Wave Background
We report multiple lines of evidence for a stochastic signal that is
correlated among 67 pulsars from the 15-year pulsar-timing data set collected
by the North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves. The
correlations follow the Hellings-Downs pattern expected for a stochastic
gravitational-wave background. The presence of such a gravitational-wave
background with a power-law-spectrum is favored over a model with only
independent pulsar noises with a Bayes factor in excess of , and this
same model is favored over an uncorrelated common power-law-spectrum model with
Bayes factors of 200-1000, depending on spectral modeling choices. We have
built a statistical background distribution for these latter Bayes factors
using a method that removes inter-pulsar correlations from our data set,
finding (approx. ) for the observed Bayes factors in the
null no-correlation scenario. A frequentist test statistic built directly as a
weighted sum of inter-pulsar correlations yields (approx. ). Assuming a fiducial
characteristic-strain spectrum, as appropriate for an ensemble of binary
supermassive black-hole inspirals, the strain amplitude is (median + 90% credible interval) at a reference frequency of
1/(1 yr). The inferred gravitational-wave background amplitude and spectrum are
consistent with astrophysical expectations for a signal from a population of
supermassive black-hole binaries, although more exotic cosmological and
astrophysical sources cannot be excluded. The observation of Hellings-Downs
correlations points to the gravitational-wave origin of this signal.Comment: 30 pages, 18 figures. Published in Astrophysical Journal Letters as
part of Focus on NANOGrav's 15-year Data Set and the Gravitational Wave
Background. For questions or comments, please email [email protected]
Coarsening of tidal flat sediments - long-term mud depletion in a tidal bay in the northern Wadden Sea (SE North Sea)
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