Neural Network Forecasting of the Production Level of Chinese Construction Industry

Increased efforts have been devoted over the past several decades to the development and improvement of time series forecasting models. In this paper, we determine whether the forecasting performance of variables under study can be improved using neural network models. Among the best 10 retained networks, an MLP 3- layer network: 1:1-31-1:1 is selected as the ANN model with the minimum RMSE. The performance of the model is evaluated by comparing it with the ARIMA model. The root mean squared forecast error of the best neural network model is 49 per cent lower than the ARIMA model counterpart. It shows that the neural network yields significant forecast improvements. The gains in forecast accuracy seem to originate from the ability of neural networks to capture asymmetric relationships. This methodology has been applied to forecast the Chinese construction industry (CI). Since CI contributes to GDP considerably, it has an important and supportive role in the national economy of China. The empirical results show that the trend of steadily increasing production levels of CI implies a strong potential for future growth

Design and Realization of a Fully On-Chip High-Q Resonator at 15 GHz on Silicon

Cataloged from PDF version of article.We develop and demonstrate an on-chip resonator working at 15 GHz with a high quality factor (Q-factor) of 93.81 while only requiring a small chip size of 195 mu m x 195 mu m on Si by using our new design methodology. In our design, unlike previous approaches, we avoid the need for any external capacitance for tuning; instead, we utilize the film capacitance as the capacitor of the LC tank circuit and realize a fully on-chip resonator that shows a strong transmission dip of > 30 dB on resonance as required for telemetric-sensing applications. We present the design, theory, methodology, microfabrication, experimental characterization, and theoretical analysis of these resonators. We also demonstrate that the experimental results are in excellent agreement with the theoretical (both analytical and numerical) results. Based on our proof-of-concept demonstration, such high-Q on-chip resonators hold great promise for use in transmissive telemetric sensors

Family organization and the wage labor transition in a Tamang community of Nepal

This paper explores familial contexts of transition to a wage labor economy using ethnographic and survey data from Tamang communities at the northern edge of Nepal's Kathmandu Valley. Historically agro-pastoralist, the Tamang of this area have experienced social watersheds drawing them into ever closer relationships with Kathmandu. The earliest was their nineteenth century induction into corvée labor for national elites; more recent has been the accelerating monetization of the twentieth century. This analysis demonstrates trends and frames hypotheses about the social structuring of this latest process, testing them at the individual level with combined ethnographic and survey data from 1028 respondents. Multivariate analyses explore the effects of birth cohort, education, domestic group status, and settlement location on participation in non-family organized wage work. Substantive findings are related to the broader historical literature on household and family with special attention to varieties of subsistence to monetized transition .Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/44484/1/10745_2004_Article_BF00889157.pd

Environmental DNA of aquatic macrophytes: The potential for reconstructing past and present vegetation and environments

1. Environmental DNA is increasingly being used to reconstruct past and present biodiversity including from freshwater ecosystems. Macrophytes are especially good environmental indicators, thus their environmental DNA palaeorecord might shed light on past postglacial environments. 2. Here, we first review and compare studies that use metagenomics, targeted capture, and various barcoding and metabarcoding markers, in order to explore how each of these methods can be used to capture aquatic vegetation diversity and change. We then investigate the extent to which such a record can be leveraged for reconstructing local environmental conditions, using a case study based on macrophyte ecological niches. 3. We find that, with state-of-the-art DNA barcode reference libraries, using metabarcoding to target the P6 loop region of the chloroplast trnL (UAA) intron is optimal to maximise taxonomic resolution and the diversity of past macrophyte communities. Shotgun sequencing also retrieves a high proportion of aquatic macrophyte diversity, but has the lowest taxonomic resolution, and targeted capture needs to be more widely applied before comparisons can be made. 4. From our case study, we infer past aquatic habitats from sedimentary ancient DNA records of macrophyte taxa. We reconstructed Holocene thermal range, continentality, water pH, trophic status, and light conditions in northern Fennoscandia. We show an overall stability since 9,000 years ago, even though individual lakes display different trends and variation in local climatic and physicochemical conditions. 5. Combined with the availability of near-exhaustive barcode and traits databases, metabarcoding data can support wider ecological reconstructions that are not limited to aquatic plant taxonomic inventories but can also be used to infer past changes in water conditions and their environmental drivers. Sedimentary DNA is also a powerful tool to measure present diversity, as well as to reconstruct past lacustrine and fluvial communities of aquatic macrophytes

uMED: Sensibilidade ao contexto na medicina ubíqua.

ERAD

Administração e descoberta de recursos no Middleware EXEHDA.

ERAD

Descoberta semântica de recursos na Ubicomp: um estudo de caso aplicado a casas de vegetação.

Na Computação Ubíqua (Ubicomp) os recursos que constituem os ambientes devem estar compartilhados para serem acessados de qualquer lugar e a qualquer momento. Este artigo apresenta o EXEHDA-SD (SemanticDiscovery), um mecanismo para descoberta de recursos, que agrega em sua arquitetura tecnologias para o processamento semantico de requisições por recursos. Com isso, busca-se aumentara expressividade na representação e consulta de recursos. Para avaliar as funcionalidades do mecanismo é apresentado um estudo de caso desenvolvido na Embrapa ClimaTemperado

Prospective evaluation of the impact of sonography on the management and surgical intervention of neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis

Background/aimEstablished indications for surgery in necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) are pneumoperitoneum and failure to improve or clinical deterioration with medical treatment alone. It has been proposed that infants with intestinal necrosis may benefit from surgery in the absence of one of these indications yet the diagnosis of definitive intestinal necrosis is challenging. Recent data suggest that abdominal ultrasound (US) examination focused on the gastrointestinal tract and the peritoneal cavity may be of utility in this regard. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of abdominal US to detect intestinal necrosis in infants with radiographically confirmed NEC.MethodsTwenty-six consecutive infants with Bell stage II or III NEC were prospectively included in the study between September 2013 and July 2014. Infants with a pre-existing indication for surgery were excluded. At least one abdominal US examination was performed in each patient using a standardized previously described method. Surgery was performed at the discretion of the attending surgeon based on clinical and imaging findings. Clinical, radiographic, US, and intra-operative data were recorded to allow comparison between US findings, surgical findings and outcome.ResultsUS demonstrated signs of intestinal necrosis in 5 of the 26 patients. All of these five had laparotomy. Intestinal necrosis requiring resection was confirmed in four and the other was found to have NEC but no necrosis was identified. In 21 patients US did not suggest intestinal necrosis. Of these, only one had surgery in whom NEC but no necrosis was identified. The remaining 20 responded to medical treatment for NEC and were assumed not to have had intestinal necrosis based on improvement without surgical intervention. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive values of US for the detection of bowel necrosis were calculated as 100, 95.4, 80.0, and 100 %, respectively.ConclusionOur prospective findings suggest that abdominal US can identify those infants with NEC who may need surgery by detecting bowel necrosis (prior to the development of perforation or medical deterioration) with high sensitivity and specificity. Early surgical intervention in the clinical pathway of NEC may lead to improved outcomes

Poverty or plenty : innovative responses to population pressure in an eastern Nepalese Hill Community

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Hawaii at Manoa, 1983.Bibliography: leaves [345]-357.Microfiche.xv, 357 leaves, bound ill., maps 29 c