Evaluation of appendicitis risk prediction models in adults with suspected appendicitis

Background Appendicitis is the most common general surgical emergency worldwide, but its diagnosis remains challenging. The aim of this study was to determine whether existing risk prediction models can reliably identify patients presenting to hospital in the UK with acute right iliac fossa (RIF) pain who are at low risk of appendicitis. Methods A systematic search was completed to identify all existing appendicitis risk prediction models. Models were validated using UK data from an international prospective cohort study that captured consecutive patients aged 16–45 years presenting to hospital with acute RIF in March to June 2017. The main outcome was best achievable model specificity (proportion of patients who did not have appendicitis correctly classified as low risk) whilst maintaining a failure rate below 5 per cent (proportion of patients identified as low risk who actually had appendicitis). Results Some 5345 patients across 154 UK hospitals were identified, of which two‐thirds (3613 of 5345, 67·6 per cent) were women. Women were more than twice as likely to undergo surgery with removal of a histologically normal appendix (272 of 964, 28·2 per cent) than men (120 of 993, 12·1 per cent) (relative risk 2·33, 95 per cent c.i. 1·92 to 2·84; P < 0·001). Of 15 validated risk prediction models, the Adult Appendicitis Score performed best (cut‐off score 8 or less, specificity 63·1 per cent, failure rate 3·7 per cent). The Appendicitis Inflammatory Response Score performed best for men (cut‐off score 2 or less, specificity 24·7 per cent, failure rate 2·4 per cent). Conclusion Women in the UK had a disproportionate risk of admission without surgical intervention and had high rates of normal appendicectomy. Risk prediction models to support shared decision‐making by identifying adults in the UK at low risk of appendicitis were identified

Reduced systemic arterial compliance is associated with left ventricular hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction in older people

OBJECTIVES: To study the relationship between left ventricular diastolic function and systemic arterial compliance in the older population. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 67 older volunteer participants (aged 67 ± 5.4 years). MEASUREMENTS: Systemic arterial compliance (SAC) was measured using applanation tonometry and aortic velocimetry, and diastolic function was assessed using Doppler filling. Left ventricular mass was determined echocardiographically. RESULTS: There were significant univariate correlations between diastolic filling, as measured by E/A ratio, systemic arterial compliance (0.34, P < .01), and left ventricular mass (-0.41, P < .001). In multiple regression analysis, using diastolic filling as the dependent variable and heart rate, age, left ventricular mass corrected for body surface area, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, and arterial compliance as independent variables, the major determinants of diastolic filling were heart rate, left ventricular mass, and diastolic blood pressure. Arterial compliance did not make a significant independent contribution. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates a positive relationship between diastolic filling and arterial compliance in the older population. However, in multiple regression analysis, heart rate, diastolic blood pressure, and left ventricular mass were the independent predictors of diastolic filling (E/A), whereas arterial compliance was not. These findings imply that therapeutic modulation of aortic stiffness would not, of itself, contribute to improvement in diastolic function

Withdrawal of hormonal therapy for 4 weeks decreases arterial compliance in postmenopausal women

Background. We demonstrated in a previous cross-sectional study that arterial compliance is elevated in postmenopausal women taking estrogen-containing hormonal therapy, which may partially account for the reduction in cardiovascular risk observed. Objective. To investigate the effects of withdrawal and recommencement of hormonal therapy, each for 4 weeks, on arterial compliance. Methods. Seventeen postmenopausal women [aged 56 ± 4 years (mean ± SD)] taking long-term hormonal therapy (+HT group) were studied at baseline, 4 weeks after withdrawal of hormonal therapy and again 4 weeks after recommencement. Systemic arterial compliance (SAC), pulse wave velocity (PWV) in the aorto-femoral and femoral-dorsalis pedis regions, and hemodynamic variables were measured at baseline, and at the end of each study intervention. As a time-control, seventeen postmenopausal women (aged 63 ± 7 years) not taking hormonal therapy (-HT group) were also investigated. Results. SAC significantly decreased from 0.47 ± 0.06 to 0.40 ± 0.05 arbitrary compliance units (mean ± SEM; P < 0.05) after 4 weeks withdrawal from hormonal therapy. PWV in the femoral-dorsalis pedis region was elevated significantly by the withdrawal of hormonal therapy (8.4 ± 0.4 to 9.4 ± 0.5 m/s; P < 0.05), but PWV in the aortofemoral region did not change. After therapy had been recommenced for 4 weeks, SAC and PWV in the femoral-dorsalis pedis region were restored to baseline values. The -HT group showed no difference in SAC or PWV, and mean arterial pressure did not change in either group throughout the study period. Conclusion. These data suggest that hormonal modulation of distal arterial vascular tone may account for short-term changes in arterial compliance associated with estrogen-containing hormonal therapy

Hormonal therapy increases arterial compliance in postmenopausal women

Objectives. This study investigated the effects of hormonal therapy on large arterial properties. Background. Arterial stiffness is an emerging risk marker for coronary heart disease and is potentially modifiable. Postmenopausal use of hormonal therapy is associated with a lower risk of coronary heart disease. Methods. Total systemic arterial compliance (SAC) and pulse wave velocity (PWV) were determined in 26 premenopausal and 53 postmenopausal women, 26 of whom were taking hormonal therapy. Results. Arterial compliance was greater in the premenopausal group (mean ± SEM 0.57 ± 0.04 arbitrary compliance units [ACU]) than in the postmenopausal group not taking hormonal therapy (0.26 ± 0.02 ACU, p = 0.001). Postmenopausal women taking hormonal therapy had a significantly increased total SAC compared with women not taking hormonal therapy (0.43 ± 0.02 vs. 0.26 ± 0.02 ACU, p = 0.001). PWV in the aortofemoral region in the premenopausal women was 6.0 ± 0.2 vs. 8.9 ± 0.3 m/s (p < 0.001) in untreated postanenopausal women. However, postmenopausal women taking hormonal therapy had a significantly lower PWV than those not taking hormonal therapy (7.9 ± 0.2 vs. 8.9 ± 0.3 m/s, p = 0.01). Eleven postmenopausal women had their hormone replacement therapy withdrawn for 4 weeks, resulting in a significant decrease in SAC and a significant increase in aortofemoral PWV. Conclusions. The increased SAC and decreased PWV in women receiving hormonal therapy suggest that such therapy may decrease stiffness of the aorta and large arteries in postmenopausal women, with potential benefit for age-related cardiovascular disorders. The reduction of arterial compliance with age appears to be altered with hormonal therapy

Arterial stiffness, ambulatory blood pressure and low-grade albuminuria in non-diabetic African and caucasian men: the SABPA study

Official journal of the Japanese Society of HypertensionRecent evidence suggests that low-grade urinary albumin excretion is a marker of early general attenuation of vascular function, but studies are limited to Caucasian population groups. We compared low-grade urinary albumin excretion (<3.5 mg mmol−1 or 30 μg mg−1) between non-diabetic African (aged, 41.7 years; n=70) and Caucasian (aged, 44.6 years; n=91) men and ethnic-specific associations thereof with arterial stiffness and ambulatory blood pressure. The albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) was determined from an 8 h overnight urine collection. We recorded ambulatory blood pressure over 24 h during a typical workday and the carotid–dorsalis pedis pulse wave velocity measured the next morning after a controlled overnight stay. ACR was higher in Africans compared with Caucasians (P<0.001), also after adjusting for 24 h systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure and hypertension prevalence (P<0.001) or when grouped by similar 24 h mean arterial pressures (P<0.01 for all categories). Daytime (P=0.002) and night time (P< 0.001) systolic and daytime (P<0.001) and night time (P<0.001) diastolic blood pressures were higher in Africans compared with Caucasians, but no differences existed for daytime and night time pulse pressure and pulse wave velocity. In African men only, after adjustment for covariates, night time systolic blood pressure (β=0.347; P=0.003), diastolic blood pressure (β=0.298; P=0.010) and mean arterial pressure (β=0.331; P=0.004) correlated positively with ACR. In addition, daytime (β=0.265; P=0.032) and night time (β=0.258; P=0.038) pulse pressure as well as pulse wave velocity (β=0.271; P=0.032) correlated positively with ACR. In conclusion, arterial stiffness and ambulatory blood pressure are already associated with low-grade albuminuria in non-diabetic African men with normal kidney function