Obstetric spinal hypotension: Preoperative risk factors and the development of a preliminary risk score – the PRAM score

Background. Obstetric spinal hypotension is a common and important problem during caesarean delivery. Identifying patients at risk for hypotension may guide clinical decision-making and allow timeous referral.Objective. Using preoperative risk factors, to develop a simple scoring system to predict systolic hypotension.Methods. This prospective, single-centre, observational study of patients undergoing elective or urgent caesarean delivery assessed body mass index, baseline heart rate, baseline mean arterial pressure (MAP), maternal age, urgency of surgery (elective v. non-elective) and preoperative haemoglobin concentration as predictors of spinal hypotension (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg). We used empirical cut-point estimations in a logistic regression model to develop a scoring system for prediction of hypotension.Results. From 504 eligible patients, preoperative heart rate (odds ratio (OR) 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 - 1.03; p=0.012), preoperative MAP (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95 - 0.98; p<0.001) and maternal age (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.08; p=0.002) were found to be predictors of hypotension. We derived a preliminary scoring system (pulse rate >90 bpm, age >25 years, MAP <90 mmHg – the PRAM score) for the prediction of systolic hypotension following obstetric spinal anaesthesia. Patients with three factors had a 53% chance of developing hypotension, compared with the overall incidence of 30%. The PRAM score showed good discrimination, with a c-statistic of 0.626 (95% CI 0.576 - 0.676) and good calibration.Conclusions. Preoperative heart rate, preoperative MAP and maternal age were predictive of hypotension in elective and emergency caesarean delivery. The PRAM score shows promise as a simple, practical means to identify these patients preoperatively, but requires prospective validation

Application opportunities of geographic information systems analysis to support achievement of the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets in South Africa

In an effort to achieve control of the HIV epidemic, 90-90-90 targets have been proposed whereby 90% of the HIV-infected population should know their status, 90% of those diagnosed should be receiving antiretroviral therapy, and 90% of those on treatment should be virologically suppressed. In this article we present approaches for using relatively simple geographic information systems (GIS) analyses of routinely available data to support HIV programme management towards achieving the 90-90-90 targets, with a focus on South Africa (SA) and other high-prevalence settings in low- and middle-income countries. We present programme-level GIS applications to map aggregated health data and individual-level applications to track distinct patients. We illustrate these applications using data from City of Johannesburg Region D, demonstrating that GIS has great potential to guide HIV programme operations and assist in achieving the 90-90-90 targets in SA

A patient-centric Six-Sigma decision support system framework for continuous quality improvement in clinics

CITATION: Hlongwane, S., Ngongoni, C. & Grobbelaar, S. S. 2019. A patient-centric Six-Sigma decision support system framework for continuous quality improvement in clinics. South African Journal of Industrial Engineering, 30(3):224-237, doi:10.7166/30-3-2241.The original publication is available at http://sajie.journals.ac.zaENGLISH ABSTRACT: Primary health care facilities are widely regarded as the backbone of the South African healthcare system. For this reason, formalised standards such as the ‘ideal clinic’ and ‘national core standards’ dictate expected service levels for clinics. Although this is a big step towards the improvement of service delivery at the facilities, the level of uptake of and adherence to these standards is concerning. Service quality plays a huge role in the level of patient satisfaction, and emphasis is placed on the features of quality that are of importance to the patient. To this end, the focus on the patient is an important dimension in healthcare quality management in order to improve the service quality in healthcare facilities. This article provides an overview of quality and how it is managed in the context of clinics in South Africa. It outlines the gaps, aligned with how well quality is managed, from a patient perspective. The paper proposes a decision support framework aimed at continuous improvement of quality in clinics. The tool was developed using the Six Sigma methodology, complemented by service quality assessment instruments. The structure of the tool provides an integrated systematic approach that can assist the healthcare decision-maker in tracking the continuous improvement of processes and activities in clinics. The tool also takes the first step towards digitising a typical paper-based system.AFRIKAANS OPSOMMING: Primêre gesondheidsorgfasiliteite word wyd beskou as die ruggraat van die Suid-Afrikaanse gesondheidsorgstelsel. Om hierdie rede word formele standaarde deur die ‘ideale kliniek’ en ‘Nasionale kernstandaarde’ bepaal. Alhoewel dit ʼn groot stap is vir die verbetering van dienslewering by die fasiliteite, is die vlak van opname en nakoming van hierdie standaarde kommerwekkend. Diensgehalte speel ʼn groot rol in die vlak van pasiëntbevrediging, en klem word geplaas op die eienskappe van kwaliteit wat van belang is vir die pasiënt. Vir hierdie doel is die fokus op die pasiënt ʼn belangrike dimensie in gesondheidsorgkwaliteitsbestuur ten einde die diensgehalte in gesondheidsorgfasiliteite te verbeter. Hierdie artikel bied ʼn oorsig oor kwaliteit en hoe dit in die konteks van klinieke in Suid-Afrika bestuur word. Dit beskryf die gapings van hoe goed kwaliteit bestuur word, uit ʼn pasiëntperspektief. Die artikel stel ʼn besluitsteunraamwerk voor wat op deurlopende verbetering van gehalte in klinieke gemik is. Die instrument is ontwikkel met behulp van die Ses-Sigma metodologie, aangevul deur dienskwaliteit assesseringsinstrumente. Die struktuur van die instrument bied ʼn geïntegreerde sistematiese benadering wat die gesondheidsorgbesluitnemer kan help om die deurlopende verbetering van prosesse en aktiwiteite in klinieke te monitor. Die instrument neem ook die eerste stap in die rigting van digitalisering van ʼn tipiese papiergebaseerde stelsel.http://sajie.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/2241Publisher's versio

Toxin release by conditional remodelling of ParDE1 from Mycobacterium tuberculosis leads to gyrase inhibition

Mycobacterium tuberculosis, the causative agent of tuberculosis, is a growing threat to global health, with recent efforts towards its eradication being reversed in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Increasing resistance to gyrase-targeting second-line fluoroquinolone antibiotics indicates the necessity to develop both novel therapeutics and our understanding of M. tuberculosis growth during infection. ParDE toxin-antitoxin systems also target gyrase and are regulated in response to both host-associated and drug-induced stress during infection. Here, we present microbiological, biochemical, structural, and biophysical analyses exploring the ParDE1 and ParDE2 systems of M. tuberculosis H37Rv. The structures reveal conserved modes of toxin-antitoxin recognition, with complex-specific interactions. ParDE1 forms a novel heterohexameric ParDE complex, supported by antitoxin chains taking on two distinct folds. Curiously, ParDE1 exists in solution as a dynamic equilibrium between heterotetrameric and heterohexameric complexes. Conditional remodelling into higher order complexes can be thermally driven in vitro. Remodelling induces toxin release, tracked through concomitant inhibition and poisoning of gyrase activity. Our work aids our understanding of gyrase inhibition, allowing wider exploration of toxin-antitoxin systems as inspiration for potential therapeutic agents. [Abstract copyright: © The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Nucleic Acids Research.

Obstetric spinal hypotension: Preoperative risk factors and the development of a preliminary risk score – the PRAM score

Background. Obstetric spinal hypotension is a common and important problem during caesarean delivery. Identifying patients at risk for hypotension may guide clinical decision-making and allow timeous referral.Objective. Using preoperative risk factors, to develop a simple scoring system to predict systolic hypotension.Methods. This prospective, single-centre, observational study of patients undergoing elective or urgent caesarean delivery assessed body mass index, baseline heart rate, baseline mean arterial pressure (MAP), maternal age, urgency of surgery (elective v. non-elective) and preoperative haemoglobin concentration as predictors of spinal hypotension (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg). We used empirical cut-point estimations in a logistic regression model to develop a scoring system for prediction of hypotension.Results. From 504 eligible patients, preoperative heart rate (odds ratio (OR) 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 - 1.03; p=0.012), preoperative MAP (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95 - 0.98; p<0.001) and maternal age (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.08; p=0.002) were found to be predictors of hypotension. We derived a preliminary scoring system (pulse rate >90 bpm, age >25 years, MAP <90 mmHg – the PRAM score) for the prediction of systolic hypotension following obstetric spinal anaesthesia. Patients with three factors had a 53% chance of developing hypotension, compared with the overall incidence of 30%. The PRAM score showed good discrimination, with a c-statistic of 0.626 (95% CI 0.576 - 0.676) and good calibration.Conclusions. Preoperative heart rate, preoperative MAP and maternal age were predictive of hypotension in elective and emergency caesarean delivery. The PRAM score shows promise as a simple, practical means to identify these patients preoperatively, but requires prospective validation.

Implementing 'universal' access to antiretroviral treatment in South Africa:a scoping review on research priorities

‘Universal’ access to antiretroviral treatment (ART) has become the global standard for treating people living with HIV and achieving epidemic control; yet, findings from numerous ‘test and treat’ trials and implementation studies in sub-Saharan Africa suggest that bringing ‘universal' access to ART to scale is more complex than anticipated. Using South Africa as a case example, we describe the research priorities and foci in the literature on expanded ART access. To do so, we adapted Arksey and O’Malley’s six-stage scoping review framework to describe the peer-reviewed literature and opinion pieces on expanding access to ART in South Africa between 2000 and 2017. Data collection included systematic searches of two databases and hand-searching of a sub-sample of reference lists. We used an adapted socio-ecological thematic framework to categorize data according to where it located the challenges and opportunities of expanded ART eligibility: individual/client, health worker–client relationship, clinic/community context, health systems infrastructure and/or policy context. We included 194 research articles and 23 opinion pieces, of 1512 identified, addressing expanded ART access in South Africa. The peer-reviewed literature focused on the individual and health systems infrastructure; opinion pieces focused on changing roles of individuals, communities and health services implementers. We contextualized our findings through a consultative process with a group of researchers, HIV clinicians and programme managers to consider critical knowledge gaps. Unlike the published literature, the consultative process offered particular insights into the importance of researching and intervening in the relational aspects of HIV service delivery as South Africa’s HIV programme expands. An overwhelming focus on individual and health systems infrastructure factors in the published literature on expanded ART access in South Africa may skew understanding of HIV programme shortfalls away from the relational aspects of HIV services delivery and delay progress with finding ways to leverage non-medical modalities for achieving HIV epidemic control

Water and CSP - linking CSP water demand models and national hydrology data to sustainably manage CSP development and water resources in arid regions

CITATION: Duvenhage, D. Frank et al. 2020. Water and CSP - linking CSP water demand models and national hydrology data to sustainably manage CSP development and water resources in arid regions. Sustainability, 12(8): 3373, doi:10.3390/su12083373.The original publication is available at: https://www.mdpi.comENGLISH ABSTRACT: A systematic approach to evaluate Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plant fleet deployment and sustainable water resource use in arid regions is presented. An overview is given of previous work carried out. Once CSP development scenarios, suitable areas for development, and the water demand from CSP operations were evaluated, appropriate spatiotemporal CSP performance models were developed. The resulting consumptive patterns and the impact of variable resource availability on CSP plant operation are analysed. This evaluation considered the whole of South Africa, with focus on the areas identified as suitable for CSP, in order to study the impact on local water resources. It was found that the hydrological limitations imposed by variable water resources on CSP development are severe. The national annual theoretical net generation potential of wet-cooled Parabolic Trough decreased from 11,277 to 120 TWh, and that of wet-cooled Central Receiver decreased from 12,003 to 170 TWh. Dry cooled versions also experience severe limitations, but to a lesser extent—the national annual theoretical net generation potential of Parabolic Trough decreased from 11,038 to 512 TWh, and that of Central Receiver decreased from 11,824 to 566 TWh. Accordingly, policy guidelines are suggested for sustainable CSP development and water resource management within the context of current South African water use regulation.Publisher's versio

Yellow Fever Outbreak, Southern Sudan, 2003

In May 2003, an outbreak of fatal hemorrhagic fever, caused by yellow fever virus, occurred in southern Sudan. Phylogenetic analysis showed that the virus belonged to the East African genotype, which supports the contention that yellow fever is endemic in East Africa with the potential to cause large outbreaks in humans