Second-order regular variation, convolution and the central limit theorem

AbstractSecond-order regular variation is a refinement of the concept of regular variation which is useful for studying rates of convergence in extreme value theory and asymptotic normality of tail estimators. For a distribution tail 1 − F which possesses second-order regular variation, we discuss how this property is inherited by 1 − F2 and 1 − F∗2. We also discuss the relationship of central limit behavior of tail empirical processes, asymptotic normality of Hill's estimator and second-order regular variation

A one health-focused literature review on bovine and zoonotic tuberculosis in Pakistan from the past two decades:challenges and way forward for control

Bovine tuberculosis (bTB), caused by Mycobacterium bovis (M. bovis), is a globally prevalent zoonotic infectious disease. World Organization for Animal Health (WOAH) estimates indicate that up to 10% of the total human TB cases in developing countries are attributed to M. bovis. Pakistan ranks 4th in global milk production with a livestock population of over 212 million animals. Over 8 million families are involved in raising these animals as a means of livelihood. To date, there is an absence of national-level data on the prevalence of bTB and an effective control program is still lacking. The multifaceted impacts and substantial economic losses render addressing bTB a daunting, but highly important challenge. In this review, we summarise all the freely available literature on M. bovis infection from Pakistan using Google scholar and PubMed databases. A total of 40 animal studies were identified using search terms: "bovine tuberculosis in Pakistan, bTB, Pakistan, Mycobacterium bovis in Pakistan, M. bovis in Pakistan"; while seven human studies were identified using the terms: zoonotic tuberculosis in Pakistan', 'M. bovis in humans Pakistan', 'zTB in TB patients in Pakistan". We have summarized all these studies to identify critical risk factors involved in transmission of bTB among animals and humans. Despite lack of comprehensive and geographically representative studies, the literature suggests a varying prevalence of bTB in animals, ranging from as low as 2% to as high as 19%. Regarding zTB prevalence in humans, estimates range from 1.5% to 13% in high-risk group of farm and abattoir workers, with notably higher percentages in extra-pulmonary TB cases. The review also addresses the challenges that Pakistan faces in formulating an effective policy for the control and eradication of bTB. We conclude with one-health based recommendations as a way forward for controlling TB caused by M. bovis in cattle and humans.</p

Immunologically reactive M. leprae antigens with relevance to diagnosis and vaccine development

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Leprosy is a chronic infectious disease caused by <it>Mycobacterium leprae </it>that can manifest a wide variety of immunological and clinical outcomes ranging from potent humoral responses among borderline lepromatous (BL) and lepromatous (LL) patients to strong cellular responses among tuberculoid (TT) and borderline tuberculoid (BT) patients. Until recently, relatively little has been known about the immune responses to individual proteins of <it>M. leprae </it>recognized during leprosy.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The immune reactivity to a panel of 33 <it>M. leprae </it>recombinant proteins was evaluated among leprosy patients and controls from a high endemic area for leprosy (Goiania/GO, Central Brazil). Serum IgG responses were measured by ELISA (45 participants/group) and T cell responses (20 participants/group) were evaluated by IFN-gamma production in 24 hours whole blood cultures with antigen (whole blood assay-WBA). Study groups were newly diagnosed, untreated TT/BT and BL/LL leprosy patients classified by Ridley Jopling criteria and household contacts of BL/LL patients (HHC). Control groups were HIV-1 negative pulmonary tuberculosis patients (TB) and healthy individuals from the same endemic area (EC). In silico predictions indicated the level of identity of <it>M. leprae </it>proteins with homologues in other mycobacteria and the presence of T cell and B cell epitopes.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Despite the prediction that all proteins would be reactive, 16 of 33 (48%) of the single proteins tested were immunogenic (recognized in WBA or ELISA) and seventeen were non-immunogenic (not recognized in either assay). Among the 16 immunogenic proteins, 9 were considered leprosy specific in WBA inducing cell-mediated IFN-gamma secretion from TT/BT patients and HHC. Three of these proteins were also leprosy specific in serology being recognized by serum IgG from LL/BL patients. Seven of the immunogenic proteins were not leprosy specific.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>New <it>M. leprae </it>antigens recognized by antibody responses of BL/LL patients and cellular responses of TT/BT leprosy patients were identified. An improved serological diagnostic test for leprosy could be developed by incorporating these IgG-reactive antigens to the current PGL-I based tests. Moreover our data indicate that the WBA is a robust, relatively simple and user friendly format for a T cell based diagnostic test. The field use of these test formats in leprosy endemic countries could contribute to early leprosy diagnosis before the development of deformities and disabilities.</p

Pathogen-Specific Epitopes as Epidemiological Tools for Defining the Magnitude of Mycobacterium leprae Transmission in Areas Endemic for Leprosy

During recent years, comparative genomic analysis has allowed the identification of Mycobacterium leprae-specific genes with potential application for the diagnosis of leprosy. In a previous study, 58 synthetic peptides derived from these sequences were tested for their ability to induce production of IFN-γ in PBMC from endemic controls (EC) with unknown exposure to M. leprae, household contacts of leprosy patients and patients, indicating the potential of these synthetic peptides for the diagnosis of sub- or preclinical forms of leprosy. In the present study, the patterns of IFN-γ release of the individuals exposed or non-exposed to M. leprae were compared using an Artificial Neural Network algorithm, and the most promising M. leprae peptides for the identification of exposed people were selected. This subset of M. leprae-specific peptides allowed the differentiation of groups of individuals from sites hyperendemic for leprosy versus those from areas with lower level detection rates. A progressive reduction in the IFN-γ levels in response to the peptides was seen when contacts of multibacillary (MB) patients were compared to other less exposed groups, suggesting a down modulation of IFN-γ production with an increase in bacillary load or exposure to M. leprae. The data generated indicate that an IFN-γ assay based on these peptides applied individually or as a pool can be used as a new tool for predicting the magnitude of M. leprae transmission in a given population

Peptides Derived from Mycobacterium leprae ML1601c Discriminate between Leprosy Patients and Healthy Endemic Controls

The stable incidence of new leprosy cases suggests that transmission of infection continues despite worldwide implementation of MDT. Thus, specific tools are needed to diagnose early stage Mycobacterium leprae infection, the likely sources of transmission. M. leprae antigens that induce T-cell responses in M. leprae exposed and/or infected individuals thus are major targets for new diagnostic tools. Previously, we showed that ML1601c was immunogenic in patients and healthy household contacts (HHC). However, some endemic controls (EC) also recognized this protein. To improve the diagnostic potential, IFN-γ responses to ML1601c peptides were assessed using PBMC from Brazilian leprosy patients and EC. Five ML1601c peptides only induced IFN-γ in patients and HHC. Moreover, 24-hour whole-blood assay (WBA), two ML1601c peptides could assess the level of M. leprae exposure in Ethiopian EC. Beside IFN-γ, also IP-10, IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α, and MCP-1 were increased in EC from areas with high leprosy prevalence in response to these ML1601c peptides. Thus, ML1601c peptides may be useful for differentiating M. leprae exposed or infected individuals and can also be used to indicate the magnitude of M. leprae transmission even in the context of various HLA alleles as present in these different genetic backgrounds

The course of cytokine and chemokine gene expression in clinically suspect arthralgia patients during progression to inflammatory arthritis

Objectives: Autoantibody responses increase years before the onset of inflammatory arthritis (IA) and are stable during transitioning from clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA) to IA. Cytokine and chemokine levels also increase years before IA onset. However, the course in the at-risk stage of CSA during progression to disease or non-progression is unknown. To increase the understanding of processes mediating disease development, we studied the course of cytokine, chemokine and related receptors gene expression in CSA patients during progression to IA and in CSA patients who ultimately did not develop IA. Methods: Whole-blood RNA expression of 37 inflammatory cytokines, chemokines and related receptors was determined by dual-colour reverse transcription multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification in paired samples of CSA patients at CSA onset and either at IA development or after 24 months without IA development. ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative CSA patients developing IA were compared at CSA onset and during progression to IA. Generalised estimating equations tested changes over time. A false discovery rate approach was applied. Results: None of the cytokine/chemokine genes significantly changed in expression between CSA onset and IA development. In CSA patients without IA development, G-CSF expression decreased (P = 0.001), whereas CCR6 and TNIP1 expression increased (P Horizon 2020 (H2020)714312Pathophysiology and treatment of rheumatic disease

Evaluation of cytokine responses against novel Mtb antigens as diagnostic markers for TB disease.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the accuracy of host markers detected in Mtb antigen-stimulated whole blood culture supernatant in the diagnosis of TB. METHODS: Prospectively, blood from 322 individuals with presumed TB disease from six African sites was stimulated with four different Mtb antigens (Rv0081, Rv1284, ESAT-6/CFP-10, and Rv2034) in a 24 h whole blood stimulation assay (WBA). The concentrations of 42 host markers in the supernatants were measured using the Luminex multiplex platform. Diagnostic biosignatures were investigated through the use of multivariate analysis techniques. RESULTS: 17% of the participants were HIV infected, 106 had active TB disease and in 216 TB was excluded. Unstimulated concentrations of CRP, SAA, ferritin and IP-10 had better discriminating ability than markers from stimulated samples. Accuracy of marker combinations by general discriminant analysis (GDA) identified a six analyte model with 77% accuracy for TB cases and 84% for non TB cases, with a better performance in HIV uninfected patients. CONCLUSIONS: A biosignature of 6 cytokines obtained after stimulation with four Mtb antigens has moderate potential as a diagnostic tool for pulmonary TB disease individuals and stimulated marker expression had no added value to unstimulated marker performance