156 research outputs found

    The problem of series of days without rainfall in a view of efficiency of agricultural output under climate change

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    Modelling future is key issue in studying CC impacts on agriculture across disciplines and scales. Improving models basing on empirical data coming from diverse micro regions let obtain synergic effects important in shaping food security. Especially, rainfall distribution is most important factor determining agricultural output.The amount of cereal yield depends on an occurrence of long series of days without rain during a growing season. Based on statistical analysis of daily totals it was found that in Central Poland the length of series of days without rainfall during growing season is 40 days. Statistical analysis was done for years 1971-2015. The data allowed finding empirical probability distribution of a length of the series. Average value of the length of series is 4.31 while SD is 4.41. Values of parameters of gamma distribution estimated by the likelihood method are: α=0.9542, β=4.5150. Value of the parameter α (shape parameter) suggests that distribution of the length of series is similar to exponential distribution.Goodness of fit test with gamma distribution was carried out using λ-Kolmogorov and χ2-Pearson tests. Both prove high conformity between empirical and gamma distribution. Based on assumption that gamma distribution can be accepted as distribution of the length of rainless series, further is determined distribution of the length of the longest series in n-element random sample. On the theory of distributions of asymptotic order statistics it is known that the random variable T(n) with appropriate normalization has asymptotic double exponential distribution. Based on that one can conclude that probability to occur 30-day rainless series or longer equals approx. to 0.48. This is useful in forecasting agricultural output depended on rainfall distribution

    Gene expression of circulating tumour cells and its correlation with tumour stage in breast cancer patients

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    <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Breast cancer (BC) represents one of the leading causes of cancer related deaths worldwide. New tools for diagnostic staging and therapeutic monitoring are needed to improve individualized therapies and improve clinical outcome. The analyses of circulating tumour cells may provide important prognostic information in the clinical setting.</p> <p>Materials and methods</p> <p>Circulating tumour cells (CTC) of 63 BC patients were isolated from peripheral blood (PB) through immunomagnetic separation. Subsequently, RT-PCR or mPCR for the genes <it>ga733.2</it>, <it>muc-1</it>, <it>c-erbB2</it>, <it>mgb-1</it>, <it>spdef </it>and <it>c-erbB2 </it>were performed. Subsequently, expression data were correlated with the tumour stages. Fourteen healthy individuals served as controls.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Significant correlations with tumour stages were found in single gene analyses of <it>ga733.2</it>, <it>muc-1 </it>and in multi-gene analyses of <it>ga733.2</it>/<it>muc-1</it>/<it>mgb1</it>/<it>spdef</it>. Furthermore, a significant correlation of <it>Ca 15-3 </it>and all studied genes was also observed.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Herein, we demonstrated a positive correlation of a gene signature consisting of <it>ga733.2</it>, <it>muc-1</it>, <it>mgb1 </it>and <it>spdef </it>and advanced stages of BC. Moreover, all studied genes and gene patterns revealed a significant correlation with <it>Ca 15-3 </it>positive cases.</p

    Co-opetition models for governing professional football

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    In recent years, models for co-creating value in a business-to-business context have often been examined with the aim of studying the strategies implemented by and among organisations for competitive and co-operative purposes. The traditional concepts of competition and co-operation between businesses have now evolved, both in terms of the sector in which the businesses operate and in terms of the type of goods they produce. Many researchers have, in recent times, investigated the determinants that can influence the way in which the model of co-opetition can be applied to the football world. Research interest lies in the particular features of what makes a good football. In this paper, the aim is to conduct an analysis of the rules governing the “football system”, while also looking at the determinants of the demand function within football entertainment. This entails applying to football match management the co-opetition model, a recognised model that combines competition and co-operation with the view of creating and distributing value. It can, therefore, be said that, for a spectator, watching sport is an experience of high suspense, and this suspense, in turn, depends upon the degree of uncertainty in the outcome. It follows that the rules ensuring that both these elements can be satisfied are a fertile ground for co-operation between clubs, as it is in the interest of all stakeholders to offer increasingly more attractive football, in comparison with other competing products. Our end purpose is to understand how co-opetition can be achieved within professional football

    Optical simulations and optimization of perovskite/CI(G)S tandem solar cells using the transfer matrix method

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    In this work we employ the transfer matrix method for the analysis of optical materials properties to simulate and optimize monolithic tandem solar cell devices based on CuIn1x_{1−x}Gax_xSe2_2, CI(G)S, and perovskite (PVK) absorbers. By finding models that fit well the experimental data of the CI(G)S solar cell, the semitransparent perovskite solar cell (PSC) and the PVK/CI(G)S monolithic tandem solar cell, we were able to perform a detailed optical loss analysis that allowed us to determine sources of parasitic absorption. We found better substitute materials for the transport layers to increase the power conversion efficiency and, in case of semitransparent PSCs, sub-bandgap transmittance. Our results set guidelines for the monolithic PVK/CI(G)S tandem solar cells development, predicting an achievable efficiency of 30%

    Modelling the effects of standard prognostic factors in node-positive breast cancer

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    Prognostic models that predict the clinical course of a breast cancer patient are important in oncology. We propose an approach to constructing such models based on fractional polynomials in which useful transformations of the continuous factors are determined. The idea may be applied with all types of regression model, including Cox regression, the method of choice for survival-time data. We analyse a prospective study of node-positive breast cancer. Seven standard prognostic factors – age, menopausal status, tumour size, tumour grade, number of positive lymph nodes, progesterone and oestrogen receptor concentrations – were investigated in 686 patients, of whom 299 had an event for recurrence-free survival and 171 died. We determine a final model with transformations of prognostic factors and compare it with the more traditional approaches using categorized variables or assuming a straight line relationship. We conclude that analysis using fractional polynomials can extract important prognostic information which the traditional approaches may miss. © 1999 Cancer Research Campaig

    Protease-activated receptor-2 mediates the expression of inflammatory cytokines, antimicrobial peptides, and matrix metalloproteinases in keratinocytes in response to Propionibacterium acnes

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    Propionibacterium acnes (P. acnes) has been known to produce various exogenous proteases, however, their role in acne pathogenesis remains largely unknown. Proteases elicit cellular responses, at least in part, via proteinase-activated receptor-2 (PAR-2), which is known to mediate inflammation and immune response. In this study, we investigated whether proteases from P. acnes could activate PAR-2 on keratinocytes and induce pro-inflammatory cytokines, antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) via PAR-2 signaling. We examined PAR-2 expression and protease activity in acne lesions using immunofluorescence staining and in situ zymography. The effect of the culture supernatant of P. acnes on Ca2+ signaling in immortalized keratinocytes (HaCaT) was measured using a fluorescence method. HaCaT cells were treated with P. acnes strain ATCC 6919 culture supernatant, with or without pretreatment with serine protease inhibitor or selective PAR-2 antagonist and the gene expression of pro-inflammatory cytokines, AMPs, and MMPs was detected using real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. We found that the protease activity and PAR-2 expression were increased in acne lesions. The P. acnes culture supernatant induced calcium signaling in keratinocytes via PAR-2 and stimulated the mRNA expression of interleukin (IL)-1α, -8, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, human beta defensin (hBD)-2, LL-37, MMP-1, -2, -3, -9, and -13 in keratinocytes, which was significantly inhibited by serine protease inhibitor as well as selective PAR-2 specific antagonist. These results indicate that PAR-2 plays an important role in the pathogenesis of acne by inducing inflammatory mediators in response to proteases secreted from P. acnes

    Differential Attraction of Malaria Mosquitoes to Volatile Blends Produced by Human Skin Bacteria

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    The malaria mosquito Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto is mainly guided by human odour components to find its blood host. Skin bacteria play an important role in the production of human body odour and when grown in vitro, skin bacteria produce volatiles that are attractive to A. gambiae. The role of single skin bacterial species in the production of volatiles that mediate the host-seeking behaviour of mosquitoes has remained largely unknown and is the subject of the present study. Headspace samples were taken to identify volatiles that mediate this behaviour. These volatiles could be used as mosquito attractants or repellents. Five commonly occurring species of skin bacteria were tested in an olfactometer for the production of volatiles that attract A. gambiae. Odour blends produced by some bacterial species were more attractive than blends produced by other species. In contrast to odours from the other bacterial species tested, odours produced by Pseudomonas aeruginosa were not attractive to A. gambiae. Headspace analysis of bacterial volatiles in combination with behavioural assays led to the identification of six compounds that elicited a behavioural effect in A. gambiae. Our results provide, to our knowledge, the first evidence for a role of selected bacterial species, common on the human skin, in determining the attractiveness of humans to malaria mosquitoes. This information will be used in the further development of a blend of semiochemicals for the manipulation of mosquito behaviour

    Control of Propionibacterium acnes by natural antimicrobial substances: Role of the bacteriocin AS-48 and lysozyme

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    We report the high susceptibility of several clinical isolates of Propionibacterium acnes from different sources (skin, bone, wound exudates, abscess or blood contamination) to the head-to-tail cyclized bacteriocin AS-48. This peptide is a feasible candidate for further pharmacological development against this bacterium, due to its physicochemical and biological characteristics, even when it is growing in a biofilm. Thus, the treatment of pre-formed biofilms with AS-48 resulted in a dose- and time-dependent disruption of the biofilm architecture beside the decrease of bacterial viability. Furthermore, we demonstrated the potential of lysozyme to bolster the inhibitory activity of AS-48 against P. acnes, rendering high reductions in the MIC values, even in matrix-growing cultures, according to the results obtained using a range of microscopy and bioassay techniques. The improvement of the activity of AS-48 through its co-formulation with lysozyme may be considered an alternative in the control of P. acnes, especially after proving the absence of cytotoxicity demonstrated by these natural compounds on relevant human skin cell lines. In summary, this study supports that compositions comprising the bacteriocin AS-48 plus lysozyme must be considered as promising candidates for topical applications with medical and pharmaceutical purposes against dermatological diseases such as acne vulgaris.This research was funded by a grant from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (SAF2013-48971-C2-1-R that included funds from European Regional Development, ERDF), and the Research Group General (BIO160, UGR)
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