42 research outputs found

    Євангельські християни святі сіоністи: особливості життя й побуту

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    У статті Р. Скакуна розглянуто, особливості життя, побуту й релігійного культу євангельських християн святих сіоністів („мурашковців”), громада яких існує в смт. КомінтернівськеОдеської області. Ключові слова: євангельські християни святі сіоністи, мурашковці, юдаїстичний культ, субота, заповіді, релігійна громада.The article discusses a sectarian group of the Evangelical Christians Saint Zionists, also known as Murashkovtsi, which presently exists as a community of 435 people in the town of Kominternivske, Odessa region. The peculiar features of the group, which emerged in early 1930’s from the popular Pentecostalism, include its mystical and ecstatic cult, which gradually declines, and its judaistic system of practical ritualistic prescriptions. The group is also characterized by endogamy, strong solidarity and the persisting model of traditional extended family. Keywords: Evangelical Christians Saint Zionists, Murashkovtsi, judaistic cult, Sabbath, ritualistic prescriptions, religious community

    Ovarian Real-World International Consortium (ORWIC): A multicentre, real-world analysis of epithelial ovarian cancer treatment and outcomes

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    IntroductionMuch drug development and published analysis for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) focuses on early-line treatment. Full sequences of treatment from diagnosis to death and the impact of later lines of therapy are rarely studied. We describe the establishment of an international network of cancer centers configured to compare real-world treatment pathways in UK, Portugal, Germany, South Korea, France and Romania (the Ovarian Real-World International Consortium; ORWIC).Methods3344 patients diagnosed with EOC (2012-2018) were analysed using a common data model and hub and spoke programming approach applied to existing electronic medical records. Consistent definition of line of therapy between sites and an efficient approach to analysis within the limitations of local information governance was achieved.ResultsMedian age of participants was 53-67 years old and 5-29% were ECOG >1. Between 62% and 84% of patients were diagnosed with late-stage disease (FIGO III-IV). Sites treating younger and fitter patients had higher rates of debulking surgery for those diagnosed at late stage than sites with older, more frail patients. At least 21% of patients treated with systemic anti-cancer therapy (SACT) had recurrent disease following second-line therapy (2L); up to 11 lines of SACT treatment were recorded for some patients. Platinum-based SACT was consistently used across sites at 1L, but choices at 2L varied, with hormone therapies commonly used in the UK and Portugal. The use (and type) of maintenance therapy following 1L also varied. Beyond 2L, there was little consensus between sites on treatment choice: trial compounds and unspecified combinations of other agents were common.DiscussionSpecific treatment sequences are reported up to 4L and the establishment of this network facilitates future analysis of comparative outcomes per line of treatment with the aim of optimizing available options for patients with recurrent EOC. In particular, this real-world network can be used to assess the growing use of PARP inhibitors. The real-world optimization of advanced line treatment will be especially important for patients not usually eligible for involvement with clinical trials. The resources to enable this analysis to be implemented elsewhere are supplied and the network will seek to grow in coverage of further sites

    A Two-Locus Model of the Evolution of Insecticide Resistance to Inform and Optimise Public Health Insecticide Deployment Strategies

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    We develop a flexible, two-locus model for the spread of insecticide resistance applicable to mosquito species that transmit human diseases such as malaria. The model allows differential exposure of males and females, allows them to encounter high or low concentrations of insecticide, and allows selection pressures and dominance values to differ depending on the concentration of insecticide encountered. We demonstrate its application by investigating the relative merits of sequential use of insecticides versus their deployment as a mixture to minimise the spread of resistance. We recover previously published results as subsets of this model and conduct a sensitivity analysis over an extensive parameter space to identify what circumstances favour mixtures over sequences. Both strategies lasted more than 500 mosquito generations (or about 40 years) in 24% of runs, while in those runs where resistance had spread to high levels by 500 generations, 56% favoured sequential use and 44% favoured mixtures. Mixtures are favoured when insecticide effectiveness (their ability to kill homozygous susceptible mosquitoes) is high and exposure (the proportion of mosquitoes that encounter the insecticide) is low. If insecticides do not reliably kill homozygous sensitive genotypes, it is likely that sequential deployment will be a more robust strategy. Resistance to an insecticide always spreads slower if that insecticide is used in a mixture although this may be insufficient to outperform sequential use: for example, a mixture may last 5 years while the two insecticides deployed individually may last 3 and 4 years giving an overall ‘lifespan’ of 7 years for sequential use. We emphasise that this paper is primarily about designing and implementing a flexible modelling strategy to investigate the spread of insecticide resistance in vector populations and demonstrate how our model can identify vector control strategies most likely to minimise the spread of insecticide resistance

    High prevalence of epilepsy in onchocerciasis endemic regions in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

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    Background: An increased prevalence of epilepsy has been reported in many onchocerciasis endemic areas. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of epilepsy in onchocerciasis endemic areas in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and investigate whether a higher annual intake of Ivermectin was associated with a lower prevalence of epilepsy. Methodology/Principle findings: Between July 2014 and February 2016, house-to-house epilepsy prevalence surveys were carried out in areas with a high level of onchocerciasis endemicity: 3 localities in the Bas-Uele, 24 in the Tshopo and 21 in the Ituri province. Ivermectin uptake was recorded for every household member. This database allowed a matched case-control pair subset to be created that enabled putative risk factors for epilepsy to be tested using univariate logistic regression models. Risk factors relating to onchocerciasis were tested using a multivariate random effects model. To identify presence of clusters of epilepsy cases, the Kulldorff's scan statistic was used. Of 12, 408 people examined in the different health areas 407 (3.3%) were found to have a history of epilepsy. A high prevalence of epilepsy was observed in health areas in the 3 provinces: 6.8–8.5% in Bas-Uele, 0.8–7.4% in Tshopo and 3.6–6.2% in Ituri. Median age of epilepsy onset was 9 years, and the modal age 12 years. The case control analysis demonstrated that before the appearance of epilepsy, compared to the same life period in controls, persons with epilepsy were around two times less likely (OR: 0.52; 95%CI: (0.28, 0.98)) to have taken Ivermectin than controls. After the appearance of epilepsy, there was no difference of Ivermectin intake between cases and controls. Only in Ituri, a significant cluster (p-value = 0.0001) was identified located around the Draju sample site area. Conclusions: The prevalence of epilepsy in health areas in onchocerciasis endemic regions in the DRC was 2–10 times higher than in non-onchocerciasis endemic regions in Africa. Our data suggests that Ivermectin protects against epilepsy in an onchocerciasis endemic region. However, a prospective population based intervention study is needed to confirm this

    As for Fig 9 except that the deployment decision is based on whether an Adaptive mixture can increase the time to resistance by at least 20% compared to Sequential.

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    <p>The red triangles now indicate run where time to resistance in Adaptive mixtures are between 19 and 21% longer than in a Sequential strategy. The gradient of the red line is given in <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.e048" target="_blank">Eq 8</a> in the main text.</p

    The importance of genetic dominance and the need for different ‘niches’ in the model.

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    <p>(A) The rate of spread of insecticide resistance depending on whether the resistance mutation is dominant, semi-dominant, or recessive. (B) An illustration showing how the concentration of insecticide alters selection for resistance and the dominance level of resistance alleles. Declining concentration of insecticide resistance is represented by the purple line and the colour of the genotypes indicates whether they survive (green), die (red) or have borderline sensitivity (yellow) at that insecticide concentration. Initially, insecticide concentration may be so high that no genotypes survive and there is consequently no selection for resistance; note that this stage may not occur if resistance alleles encode very high levels of resistance and/or if the insecticide is applied at sub-optimal concentrations. As concentrations decline, they start to select for resistance. At relatively high concentrations only the RR individuals survive so resistance is recessive; as concentrations decline further some RS mosquitoes survive making resistance semi-dominant and at low concentration both RR and RS mosquitoes survive, making resistance dominant; at very low concentrations all three genotype survive and there is no further selection for resistance (for further discussion see, for example, [<a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.ref020" target="_blank">20</a>, <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.ref021" target="_blank">21</a>]).</p

    Variables used in the main text, Figures and Tables.

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    <p>Their definitions, the corresponding symbols used in Equations, and their parameter distributions used for sensitivity analysis.</p

    Investigation of the two insecticide deployment scenarios presented by Curtis using arbitrary data on insecticide resistance.

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    <p>Curtis argued that mixtures may sometimes be counterproductive compared to sequential use of the insecticides so, following Curtis, we defined time to resistance as the time, in mosquito generations, until resistance to both insecticides exceeds 50%. The Curtis study may also be interpreted (see <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#sec011" target="_blank">Discussion</a> in main text) as postulating that resistance to the insecticide with a lower starting frequency of resistance may spread faster if deployed in a mixture compared to being deployed alone; we therefore calculated the time, in mosquito generations, for resistance to reach 50% for that insecticide under the two policies. Note that the starting frequency of resistance at the locus with a higher frequency is immaterial when the insecticide with lower starting frequency is deployed alone. We have assumed that the insecticide with lower levels of resistance would be a “newer” insecticide replacing an older insecticide where resistance had already reached relatively high frequencies; we therefore assume the “new” insecticide is the one deployed second in a sequential deployment. The idealised example presented in Table 1, example (vi) in [<a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.ref017" target="_blank">17</a>], assumed both resistance alleles are fully dominant and have different starting frequencies; Note that the fourth row, where frequency of starting resistance at loci A and B are 0.01 and 0.001 respectively corresponds to the specific case given by Curtis (Table 1, example (iv) in [<a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.ref017" target="_blank">17</a>]) which is recreated as described in the main text. Locus B encodes the rarer allele so the time for it to reach 50% determines the lifespan of the deployment so these are the parameters presented in the results column.</p

    Model calibration.

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    <p>This follows conventional population genetic methodology and is achieved by assigning the fitness of each genotype at each locus, assuming that Locus 1 encodes resistance to insecticide A and Locus 2 encodes resistance to insecticide B. The symbols ‘w’ define the genotype fitnesses whose superscripts indicate the genotype (SS, RS, RR) and the locus at which it is located (1, 2) and whose subscripts (-/a/A/b/B) indicate the niche in which fitness is defined where ‘-‘ is insecticide-free and a/A and b/B indicate the presence of insecticides a/A or b/B respectively, in high (upper case) or low (lower case) concentration,. These fitnesses are determined by the effectiveness of the insecticides φ, (i.e. the proportion of SS genotypes killed after contact with the insecticide); setting φ <1 allows a proportion of SS genotypes to survive contact with the insecticide, h is the dominance coefficient, s is selection coefficient favouring IR, and z is fitness cost of carrying resistance alleles in the absence of insecticide.</p

    The partial rank correlations (PRRC) between the parameters of the sensitivity analysis (Table 4) and strategy choice.

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    <p>The effect of strategy choice was calculated as follows: For each of the 10,000 parameter combination in the sensitivity analysis, the time to 50% resistance was recorded for sequential, mixture and adaptive mixtures and used to calculate (A) time to resistance in mixture minus that under sequential deployment. (B) time to resistance in adaptive mixture minus that under sequential. X axis parameters are as defined in <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.t004" target="_blank">Table 4</a> except from resist_start_1_div_2 and resist_start_hi_div_lo which are defined in the caption to <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005327#pcbi.1005327.g005" target="_blank">Fig 5</a>.</p
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