25 research outputs found
Microembossing of ultrafine grained Al: microstructural analysis and finite element modelling
Ultra fine grained (UFG) Al-1050 processed by equal channel angular pressing (ECAP) and UFG Al-Mg-Cu-Mn processed by high pressure torsion (HPT) were embossed at both room temperature and 300 °C, with the aim of producing micro-channels. The behaviour of Al alloys during the embossing process was analysed using finite element (FE) modelling. The cold embossing of both Al alloys is characterised by a partial pattern transfer, a large embossing force, channels with oblique sidewalls and a large failure rate of the mould. The hot embossing is characterised by straight channel sidewalls, fully transferred patterns and reduced loads which decrease the failure rate of the mould. Hot embossing of UFG Al-Mg-Cu-Mn produced by HPT shows a potential of fabrication of microelectromechanical system (MEMS) components with micro channels
Resurgence of Ebola virus in 2021 in Guinea suggests a new paradigm for outbreaks
These authors contributed equally: Alpha K. Keita, Fara R. Koundouno, Martin Faye, Ariane Düx, Julia Hinzmann.International audienc
Clinical Presentation of Patients with Ebola Virus Disease in Conakry, Guinea
BACKGROUND: In March 2014, the World Health Organization was notified of an outbreak of Zaire ebolavirus in a remote area of Guinea. The outbreak then spread to the capital, Conakry, and to neighboring countries and has subsequently become the largest epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) to date.
METHODS: From March 25 to April 26, 2014, we performed a study of all patients with laboratory-confirmed EVD in Conakry. Mortality was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included patient characteristics, complications, treatments, and comparisons between survivors and nonsurvivors.
RESULTS: Of 80 patients who presented with symptoms, 37 had laboratory-confirmed EVD. Among confirmed cases, the median age was 38 years (interquartile range, 28 to 46), 24 patients (65%) were men, and 14 (38%) were health care workers; among the health care workers, nosocomial transmission was implicated in 12 patients (32%). Patients with confirmed EVD presented to the hospital a median of 5 days (interquartile range, 3 to 7) after the onset of symptoms, most commonly with fever (in 84% of the patients; mean temperature, 38.6°C), fatigue (in 65%), diarrhea (in 62%), and tachycardia (mean heart rate, \u3e93 beats per minute). Of these patients, 28 (76%) were treated with intravenous fluids and 37 (100%) with antibiotics. Sixteen patients (43%) died, with a median time from symptom onset to death of 8 days (interquartile range, 7 to 11). Patients who were 40 years of age or older, as compared with those under the age of 40 years, had a relative risk of death of 3.49 (95% confidence interval, 1.42 to 8.59; P=0.007).
CONCLUSIONS: Patients with EVD presented with evidence of dehydration associated with vomiting and severe diarrhea. Despite attempts at volume repletion, antimicrobial therapy, and limited laboratory services, the rate of death was 43%
Ten golden rules for optimal antibiotic use in hospital settings: the WARNING call to action
Antibiotics are recognized widely for their benefits when used appropriately. However, they are often used inappropriately despite the importance of responsible use within good clinical practice. Effective antibiotic treatment is an essential component of universal healthcare, and it is a global responsibility to ensure appropriate use. Currently, pharmaceutical companies have little incentive to develop new antibiotics due to scientific, regulatory, and financial barriers, further emphasizing the importance of appropriate antibiotic use. To address this issue, the Global Alliance for Infections in Surgery established an international multidisciplinary task force of 295 experts from 115 countries with different backgrounds. The task force developed a position statement called WARNING (Worldwide Antimicrobial Resistance National/International Network Group) aimed at raising awareness of antimicrobial resistance and improving antibiotic prescribing practices worldwide. The statement outlined is 10 axioms, or “golden rules,” for the appropriate use of antibiotics that all healthcare workers should consistently adhere in clinical practice
The evolving SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Africa: Insights from rapidly expanding genomic surveillance
INTRODUCTION
Investment in Africa over the past year with regard to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) sequencing has led to a massive increase in the number of sequences, which, to date, exceeds 100,000 sequences generated to track the pandemic on the continent. These sequences have profoundly affected how public health officials in Africa have navigated the COVID-19 pandemic.
RATIONALE
We demonstrate how the first 100,000 SARS-CoV-2 sequences from Africa have helped monitor the epidemic on the continent, how genomic surveillance expanded over the course of the pandemic, and how we adapted our sequencing methods to deal with an evolving virus. Finally, we also examine how viral lineages have spread across the continent in a phylogeographic framework to gain insights into the underlying temporal and spatial transmission dynamics for several variants of concern (VOCs).
RESULTS
Our results indicate that the number of countries in Africa that can sequence the virus within their own borders is growing and that this is coupled with a shorter turnaround time from the time of sampling to sequence submission. Ongoing evolution necessitated the continual updating of primer sets, and, as a result, eight primer sets were designed in tandem with viral evolution and used to ensure effective sequencing of the virus. The pandemic unfolded through multiple waves of infection that were each driven by distinct genetic lineages, with B.1-like ancestral strains associated with the first pandemic wave of infections in 2020. Successive waves on the continent were fueled by different VOCs, with Alpha and Beta cocirculating in distinct spatial patterns during the second wave and Delta and Omicron affecting the whole continent during the third and fourth waves, respectively. Phylogeographic reconstruction points toward distinct differences in viral importation and exportation patterns associated with the Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron variants and subvariants, when considering both Africa versus the rest of the world and viral dissemination within the continent. Our epidemiological and phylogenetic inferences therefore underscore the heterogeneous nature of the pandemic on the continent and highlight key insights and challenges, for instance, recognizing the limitations of low testing proportions. We also highlight the early warning capacity that genomic surveillance in Africa has had for the rest of the world with the detection of new lineages and variants, the most recent being the characterization of various Omicron subvariants.
CONCLUSION
Sustained investment for diagnostics and genomic surveillance in Africa is needed as the virus continues to evolve. This is important not only to help combat SARS-CoV-2 on the continent but also because it can be used as a platform to help address the many emerging and reemerging infectious disease threats in Africa. In particular, capacity building for local sequencing within countries or within the continent should be prioritized because this is generally associated with shorter turnaround times, providing the most benefit to local public health authorities tasked with pandemic response and mitigation and allowing for the fastest reaction to localized outbreaks. These investments are crucial for pandemic preparedness and response and will serve the health of the continent well into the 21st century
Effect of geometrical uncertainty on cemented hip implant structural integrity
A large number of parameters such as material properties, geometry, and structural strength are involved in the design and analysis of cemented hip implants. Uncertainties in these parameters have a potential to compromise the structural performance and lifetime of implants. Statistical analyses are well suited to investigating this type of problem as they can estimate the influence of these uncertainties on the incidence of failure. Recent investigations have focused on the effect of uncertainty in cement properties and loading condition on the integrity of the construct. The present study hypothesizes that geometrical uncertainties will play a role in cement mantle failure. Finite element input parameters were simulated as random variables and different modes of failure were investigated using a response surface method (RSM). The magnitude of random von Mises stresses varied up to 8 MPa, compared with a maximum nominal value of 2.38 MPa. Results obtained using RSM are shown to match well with a benchmark direct Monte Carlo simulation method. The resulting probability that the maximum cement stress will exceed the nominal stress is 62%. The load and the bone and prosthesis geometries were found to be the parameters most likely to influence the magnitude of the cement stresses and therefore to contribute most to the probability of failur
Stochastic component mode synthesis
In this paper, a stochastic component mode synthesis method is developed for the dynamic analysis of large-scale structures with parameter uncertainties. The main idea is to represent each component displacement using a subspace spanned by a set of stochastic basis vectors in the same fashion as in stochastic reduced basis methods [1, 2]. These vectors represent however stochastic modes in contrast to the deterministic modes used in conventional substructuring methods [3]. The Craig-Bampton reduction procedure is used for illustration. A truncated set of stochastic fixed-free modes and a complete set of stochastic constraint modes are used to generate reduced matrices for each component. These are then coupled together through necessary compatibility constraints to form the global system matrices. The advantage of using stochastic component modes is that the Bubnov-Galerkin scheme can be applied for the computation of undetermined coefficients in the reduced approximation. Explicit expressions can be obtained for the responses in terms of the random parameters. Therefore the statistical moments of responses can be efficiently computed. The method is applied to a test case problem. Results obtained are compared with the traditional Craig-Bampton method, the first-order Taylor series and Monte Carlo Simulation benchmark results. We will refer to the proposed method as ROBUST or Reduced Order By Using Stochastic Techniques
Statistical analysis of the forced response of mistuned bladed disks using stochastic reduced basis methods
This paper is concerned with the forced response statistics of mistuned bladed disk assemblies subjected to a deterministic sinusoidal excitation. A stochastic reduced basis method (SRBM) is used to compute the statistics of the system component amplitudes. In this approach, the system response in the frequency domain is represented using a linear combination of stochastic basis vectors with undermined coefficients. The three terms of the second-order perturbation approximation (which span the stochastic Krylov subspace) are used as basis vectors and the undetermined coefficients are
evaluated using stochastic variants of the Bubnov- Galerkin Scheme. This results in explicit expressions for the response quantities in terms of the random system parameters. The statistics of the system response can hence be efficiently computed in the post-processing stage. Numerical results are presented for a model problem to demonstrate that the stochastic reduced basis formulation gives highly accurate results for the response statistical moments
A Fuzzy Approach to Allocate Reliability to Systems Components
International audienceThis paper proposes an approach based on fuzzy sets to exploit experts conclusions for reliability allocation to systems components. One of the usual methods used for reliability apportionment, called “feasible technique objectives”, is selected to illustrate the principle of reliability allocation. This model roughly allocates reliability to serial subsystems. Some of the model parameters are estimated based on experts conclusions, as it is the case for the more elaborate models. The approach proposed in this paper uses the fuzzy logic technique to merge experts conclusions and field experience available data. More reliable parameters can thus be provided for the reliability allocation models