Climate change impact on ecosystems of Prince Edward Islands: role of oceanic mesoscale processes

The subantarctic Prince Edward Islands (PEIs, 47◦S-38◦E) are classified as isolated and hostile regions, in which the terrestrial and marine ecosystems are relatively simple and extremely sensitive to perturbations. The island’s location, between the Subantarctic Front (SAF) and the Polar Front (PF), bordering the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) provides an ideal natural laboratory for studying how organisms, ecological processes and ecosystems respond to a changing climate in the Southern Ocean. Recent studies have proposed that climate changes reported at the islands may correspond in time to a southward shift of the ACC and in particular of the SAF. This southward migration in the geographic position of major ocean fronts is likely to coincide with dramatic changes in the distribution of species and total productivity of this region. However, there are other sources of variability in the hydrodynamic conditions around the PEIs: upstream of the islands, at the South West Indian Ridge (SWIR), a region of high eddy kinetic activity produces mesoscale features that directly irrigate the PEIs and may impact their marine environment. Based on satellite altimetry in that region, the positions of the SAF and PF were found to be highly variable at interannual and monthly time scales. They also revealed a significant long-term southward trend which was highlighted at the Southern Ocean scale. The mesoscale activity also showed an interannual and intra-annual variability and a decrease in eddy kinetic energy over 24 years was observed in the region. At a more local scale, we highlighted that the archipelago’s environment was impacted by the mesoscale features produced at the SWIR. The temperature, the mixed layer and velocities recorded between the islands were clearly affected by the eddies passing in the vicinity of the PEIs. Moreover, a large signal dominating the main current time series appeared to be a tidal signal, another important driver of variability of the circulation in between the two islands. On a second hand, an idealised model configuration was designed for the PEIs region to study the mesoscale eddy properties and the physical mechanisms of their formation at the ridge. The Eddy Available Potential Energy revealed a maximum of energy around 800 m depth, confirming the deep reaching characteristic of the eddy originated in the region and suggested the presence of a local energy source at this depth. This eddies activity was shown to be the result of a combination of barotropic and baroclinic instabilities occurring at the ridge. Finally, we investigated on the potential consequences of a southward shift of the SAF in the region of the islands. Because the model was idealised, it allowed us to simulate an SAF southward shift by shifting the initial and boundary conditions. The main result was the clear decrease of mesoscale activity in the region which could potentially impact the ecosystems of the PEIs

Mesozooplankton community distribution on the Agulhas Bank in autumn: Size structure and production

The Agulhas Bank on the tip of southern Africa, like other shelf seas, is a relatively productive environment which plays a crucial role in the biology and success of many commercially valuable fish species. Fish and their larvae depend on zooplankton to feed on but, despite their importance, little is known about zooplankton distribution and production on the Agulhas Bank. Here we present results from a survey conducted in March 2019 on the East and Central Agulhas Bank, investigating mesozooplankton abundance, biovolume, taxonomic composition, size distribution (normalised biovolume size spectrum (NBSS) approach) and secondary production. A clear cross-shore gradient was observed with the inner-shelf having higher abundance and biovolume of mesozooplankton dominated by small-size organisms, most likely mirroring higher overall productivity of the coastal waters, while the outer-shelf showed the opposite trend (i.e., low abundance and biovolume; shallow NBSS slopes). This general pattern on the outer-shelf was, however, disturbed in one location (between 24 and 25°E) with a distinguishable mesozooplankton community, most likely linked to the passage of a meander on the inshore side of the Agulhas Current. The Central Agulhas Bank was typified by high mesozooplankton biomass (∼4 g C m-2), comparable to upwelling areas and dominated by copepods and doliolids. High copepod biomass was observed in this region before and was linked to a feature called the “Cold Ridge”. However, during our survey, no such ridge was observed. The mixed layer depth was relatively deep (>20 m) and high Chlorophyll a concentration was measured at depth, despite low net primary production rates. We suggest that this region is prone to other mechanisms such as retention due to cyclonic circulation or processes injecting nutrients in the upper mixed layer that require further research. Secondary production on the Agulhas Bank was in the same range as other shelf seas (0.03–1.55 g C m-2 d-1) and was correlated with mesozooplankton biomass. The comparison of primary and secondary production, measured simultaneously, suggested that mesozooplankton exert a significant control on net primary production, and can, in some areas, be food-limited (e.g., Central Agulhas Bank and inshore waters)

Seamount Observatory and SAMOC Overturning, Cruise No. MSM60, January 04 - February 01, 2017, Cape Town (South Africa) - Montevideo (Uruguay)

The scientific program of the MARIA S. MERIAN MSM60 expedition was the first basin-wide section across the South Atlantic following the SAMBA/SAMOC line at 34°30'S. The scientific program consisted of full water depth sampling (up to 5300m) using the CTD/O2/lADCP rosette system. The water samples have been analysed on board for oxygen, dissolved inorganic carbon, alkalinity, salinity, CFC12, and SF6. In addition samples have been taken for later analysis of nutrients, chlorophyll structure (HPLC), POC, and nitrogen isotope analysis. The sampling and measurements where performed against highest standards defined in the GO-SHIP cruise recommendations (http://www.go-ship.org/). An Underwater Vision Profiler (UVP) was mounted on the CTD for full depth particle photography. Underway measurements included hull mounted ADCPs (75kHz and 38kHz) and high resolution (11nm) XBT probes. The data will be analysed for multiple purposes including calculation of the meridional volume, heat, and freshwater transport across the SAMBA/SAMOC line. The biogeochemical data will be compared to historical data acquired at neighbouring sections, e.g. along the WOCE/GO-SHIP A10 section (30°S) occupied by RV Meteor in 1993 as part of the WOCE program. The MSM60 expedition is a contribution to the EU H-2020 AtlantOS project

Impact du changement climatique sur les écosystèmes des îles du Prince Édouard : rôle des processus océaniques mésoéchelle

The subantarctic Prince Edward Islands lie in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, between the Subantarctic Front (SAF) and the Polar Front (PF). These fronts positions were found to be highly variable at interannual and monthly time scales and revealed a significant long-term southward trend in the region. The intense mesoscale activity, observed upstream the islands at the South West Indian Ridge, also showed an interannual and intra-annual variability as well a decrease in eddy kinetic energy over 24 years. At a more local scale, we highlighted that the archipelago’s environment was impacted by the mesoscale features produced upstream.Tides appeared to be another important driver of variability of the circulation in between the two islands.An idealised model configuration was designed for the Prince Edward Islands region to study the mesoscale eddy properties and the physical mechanisms of their formation at the ridge. The Eddy Available Potential Energy revealed a maximum of energy around 800 m depth, confirming the deep reaching characteristic of the eddy originated in the region and suggested the presence of a local energy source at this depth. This eddies activity was shown to be the result of a combination of barotropic and baroclinic instabilities occurring at the ridge.Finally, we investigated on the potential consequences of a southward shift of the SAF in the region of the islands.Because the model was idealised, it allowed us to simulate an SAF southward shift by shifting the initial and boundary conditions. The main result was the clear decrease of mesoscale activity in the region which could potentially impact the ecosystems of the Prince Edward Islands.L’archipel du Prince Édouard est situé dans le Courant Circumpolaire Antarctique, entre le Front Subantarctique (SAF) et le front polaire (PF). Les positions de ces fronts se sont révélées très variables aux échelles interannuelles et mensuelles et ont montré une tendance à long terme à migrer vers le sud dans la région. L'activité tourbillonnaire, observée à la dorsale sud-ouest indienne, en amont de l’archipel, a également affiché une variabilité interannuelle et intra-annuelle ainsi qu’une tendance à la baisse sur ces 24 dernières années. A une échelle plus locale, nous avons souligné que les conditions aux îles sont impactées par ces tourbillons mésoéchelle produits en amont. La marée a également été mise en évidence comme jouant un rôle non négligeable dans la variabilité de la circulation entre les îles. Une configuration idéalisée a été mise en place pour la région afin d’étudier les propriétés des tourbillons et les mécanismes physiques à l’origine de leur formation. L'énergie potentielle tourbillonnaire disponible a révélé un maximum d'énergie aux alentours de 800 m de profondeur, confirmant le caractère « deep-reaching » des tourbillons. Cette activité tourbillonnaire a été montrée comme étant le résultat d'une combinaison d’instabilités barotropes et baroclines. Enfin, nous avons enquêté sur les conséquences potentielles d'une migration vers le sud du SAF dans la région des îles. Le modèle étant idéalisé, il nous a permis de simuler un déplacement vers le sud en déplaçant les conditions initiales ainsi que les conditions aux limites. Le principal résultat a été la nette diminution de l'activité mésoéchelle dans la région, ce qui pourrait avoir un impact sur les écosystèmes de l’archipel du Prince Édouard

Impact du changement climatique sur les écosystèmes des îles du Prince Édouard : rôle des processus océaniques mésoéchelle

The subantarctic Prince Edward Islands lie in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, between the Subantarctic Front (SAF) and the Polar Front (PF). These fronts positions were found to be highly variable at interannual and monthly time scales and revealed a significant long-term southward trend in the region. The intense mesoscale activity, observed upstream the islands at the South West Indian Ridge, also showed an interannual and intra-annual variability as well a decrease in eddy kinetic energy over 24 years. At a more local scale, we highlighted that the archipelago’s environment was impacted by the mesoscale features produced upstream.Tides appeared to be another important driver of variability of the circulation in between the two islands.An idealised model configuration was designed for the Prince Edward Islands region to study the mesoscale eddy properties and the physical mechanisms of their formation at the ridge. The Eddy Available Potential Energy revealed a maximum of energy around 800 m depth, confirming the deep reaching characteristic of the eddy originated in the region and suggested the presence of a local energy source at this depth. This eddies activity was shown to be the result of a combination of barotropic and baroclinic instabilities occurring at the ridge.Finally, we investigated on the potential consequences of a southward shift of the SAF in the region of the islands.Because the model was idealised, it allowed us to simulate an SAF southward shift by shifting the initial and boundary conditions. The main result was the clear decrease of mesoscale activity in the region which could potentially impact the ecosystems of the Prince Edward Islands.L’archipel du Prince Édouard est situé dans le Courant Circumpolaire Antarctique, entre le Front Subantarctique (SAF) et le front polaire (PF). Les positions de ces fronts se sont révélées très variables aux échelles interannuelles et mensuelles et ont montré une tendance à long terme à migrer vers le sud dans la région. L'activité tourbillonnaire, observée à la dorsale sud-ouest indienne, en amont de l’archipel, a également affiché une variabilité interannuelle et intra-annuelle ainsi qu’une tendance à la baisse sur ces 24 dernières années. A une échelle plus locale, nous avons souligné que les conditions aux îles sont impactées par ces tourbillons mésoéchelle produits en amont. La marée a également été mise en évidence comme jouant un rôle non négligeable dans la variabilité de la circulation entre les îles. Une configuration idéalisée a été mise en place pour la région afin d’étudier les propriétés des tourbillons et les mécanismes physiques à l’origine de leur formation. L'énergie potentielle tourbillonnaire disponible a révélé un maximum d'énergie aux alentours de 800 m de profondeur, confirmant le caractère « deep-reaching » des tourbillons. Cette activité tourbillonnaire a été montrée comme étant le résultat d'une combinaison d’instabilités barotropes et baroclines. Enfin, nous avons enquêté sur les conséquences potentielles d'une migration vers le sud du SAF dans la région des îles. Le modèle étant idéalisé, il nous a permis de simuler un déplacement vers le sud en déplaçant les conditions initiales ainsi que les conditions aux limites. Le principal résultat a été la nette diminution de l'activité mésoéchelle dans la région, ce qui pourrait avoir un impact sur les écosystèmes de l’archipel du Prince Édouard

Improved Surface Currents from Altimeter-Derived and Sea Surface Temperature Observations: Application to the North Atlantic Ocean

We present a study on the ocean surface currents reconstruction by merging Level-4 (L4, gap-free) altimeter-derived geostrophic currents and satellite sea surface temperature. Building upon past studies on the multi-variate reconstruction of geostrophic currents from satellite observations, we regionalized and optimized an algorithm to improve the altimeter-derived surface circulation estimates in the North Atlantic Ocean. A ten-year-long time series (2010–2019) is presented and validated by means of in situ observations. The newly optimized algorithm allowed us to improve the currents estimate along the main axis of the Gulf Stream and in correspondence of well-known upwelling areas in the North Eastern Atlantic, with percentage improvements of around 15% compared to standard operational altimetry products

Projected climate change impacts on the ecosystems of the Agulhas Bank, South Africa

Marine ecosystems are expected to be increasingly affected by climate change, impacting their physical and biogeochemical environment. Changes in primary production, temperatures and hence species distribution, may lead to critical consequences for fishery exploitation. Therefore, future projections are essential to develop sustainable strategies and climate change adaptation plans for fisheries, and fishery-dependent societies. In this study, we focus on the Agulhas Bank, a broad extension of the continental shelf of the South African coast, along which flows the western boundary Agulhas Current. The Agulhas Bank is known for being biologically productive and is an important nursery ground for many commercially exploited fish species, including the chokka squid fishery, a vital source of income for many people in the Eastern Cape Province. Squid catches manifest strong interannual fluctuations, at times causing fishery crashes. Additional impacts due to climate change will have significant socio-economic consequences for this all-important fishery. To investigate future variations of the physical and biogeochemical environment on the Agulhas Bank, we used the global ocean model NEMO-MEDUSA, forced by the high emissions scenario RCP8.5. Our simulations show a significant increase in sea surface temperature and bottom temperature, but limited changes in primary production. Projections highlight an increase in current velocity on the Agulhas Bank throughout the course of this century, induced by an onshore shift of the Agulhas current. This current shift may pose a threat to squid recruitment success as a large fraction of squid paralarvae may be removed from their shelf feeding grounds and lost to the greater ocean via the Agulhas current. The results further show that planktonic food for the paralarvae is less likely to become the main limiting factor in the future, while increasing temperatures may affect growth rates and spawning success

Population Politics and Women's Health in a Free Market Economy

This article looks critically at the paradigm shift that so many claim occurred at Cairo. It summarizes the thinking of some of the key critical thinkers in the current debate on sexual and reproductive health and rights in the context of neo-liberalism. Development (2005) 48, 43–51. doi:10.1057/palgrave.development.1100192