126 research outputs found
Oversight or Representation? Public Opinion and Impeachment Resolutions in Argentina and Brazil
Why do legislators introduce impeachment resolutions against the president, even though most of these resolutions never succeed? We explore two possible answers to this puzzle, which are linked to the legislative functions of oversight and representation. First, legislators initiate impeachment procedures to expose (real or alleged) presidential misdeeds, an action that may weaken the president's approval rates, even if an impeachment process remains unlikely. Second, legislators introduce impeachment resolutions to express their constituents' outrage in the context of corruption scandals or poor economic performance- that is, in response to an exogenous decline in presidential approval. To test these hypotheses, we analyze 274 impeachment resolutions introduced against the presidents of Argentina and Brazil since the transition to democracy. We estimate models predicting presidential approval and impeachment resolutions using time-series and simultaneous equations estimators. Our results strongly support the representation hypothesis
La reversión del resultado en la doble vuelta electoral: Una evaluación institucional del Balotaje
En los últimos veinte años, varios países latinoamericanos hanadoptado el sistema de balotaje con el objeto de asegurar mayorías en la elección presidencial. Este trabajo sostiene que el balotaje es generalmente o bien innecesario o bien peligro
Report from the Editor (2017)
Report presented at the meeting of the Executive Council of the Latin American Studies Association in Lima, Peru, April 27, 2017
Report from the Editor (2018)
Report presented at the meeting of the Executive Council of the Latin American Studies Association in Barcelona, Spain, on May 20, 2018
Los legados de la inestabilidad judicial en América Latina
Los institucionalistas han
identificado un patrón de
"reemplazo en serie", distintivo para
los países de América Latina, en los
cuales el cambio institucional se ha
vuelto frecuente y radical. Los
patrones de reemplazo en serie son
la base de las conocidas “trampas"
de la des-institucionalización: los
golpes militares generan más
golpes, los quiebres democráticos
hacen que los colapsos de la
democracia sean más probables, los
reemplazos constitucionales
fomentan la adopción de nuevas
constituciones, los conflictos entre
los distintos poderes de gobierno
fomentan mayores conflictos, etc.
En este trabajo desarrollamos una
“teoría del reemplazo en serie” y la
aplicamos para explicar los ciclos de
recambio de los jueces en las cortes
para 18 países latinoamericanos.
Usando una nueva base de datos que
incluye más de 3,000 jueces de las
Cortes Supremas y Tribunales Constitucionales entre 1900 y 2010,
mostramos que los intentos políticos
de reorganizar las Cortes Supremas
y Tribunales Constitucionales fomentan
nuevos intentos por reorganizar
dichos tribunales en años posteriores,
creando un patrón secuencial
de inestabilidad judicial perdurable
en el tiempo.Students of institutions have
identified a pattern of “serial
replacement,” distinctive of Latin
American countries in which
institutional change has become
frequent as well as radical. Patterns
of serial replacement underlie wellknown
“traps” of deinstitutionalization:
military coups
beget more coups, democratic
breakdowns make breakdowns more
likely, constitutional replacements
encourage the adoption of new
constitutions, inter-branch conflicts
feed further conflicts, and so on. In
this paper we develop a theory of
serial replacement and apply it to
explain cycles of judicial instability
in 18 Latin American countries.
Using a novel dataset covering more
than 3,000 Supreme Court and
Constitutional Tribunal justices
between 1900 and 2010, we show
that political attempts to reshuffle
Supreme Courts and Constitutional
Tribunals encourage new attempts to reshuffle the high courts in later
years, creating a sequential pattern
of judicial instability.University of PittsburghUNSA
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