7 research outputs found
Western Mediterranean precipitation over the last 300 years from instrumental observations
The paper reports the results of the analysis of the 14 longest precipitation
instrumental series, covering the last 300 years, that have been recovered in six subareas
of the Western Mediterranean basin, i.e., Portugal, Northern and Southern Spain, Southern
France, Northern and Southern Italy. This study extends back by one century our knowledge
about the instrumental precipitation over theWestern Mediterranean, and by two centuries in
some specific subareas. All the time series show repeated swings. No specific trends have been found over the whole period, except in a few cases, but with modest time changes and
sometimes having opposite tendency. The same can be said for the most recent decades
although with some more marked departures from the average. The correlation between the
various Mediterranean subareas is generally not significant, or almost uncorrelated. The
Wavelet Spectral Analysis applied to the precipitation identifies only a minor 56-year cycle
in autumn, i.e., the same return period that has been found in literature for the Sea Surface
Temperature over North Atlantic. A comparison with a gridded dataset reconstruction based on
mixed multiproxy and instrumental observations, shows that the grid reconstruction is in good
agreement with the observed data for the period after 1900, less for the previous period
Padrões das síndromes de dispersão de plantas em áreas com diferentes graus de pluviosidade, PE, Brasil
Interactive short-term effects of equivalent temperature and air pollution on human mortality in Berlin and Lisbon.
There is substantial evidence that both temperature and air pollution are predictors of mortality. Thus far, few studies have focused on the potential interactive effects between the thermal environment and different measures of air pollution. Such interactions, however, are biologically plausible, as (extreme) temperature or increased air pollution might make individuals more susceptible to the effects of each respective predictor. This study investigated the interactive effects between equivalent temperature and air pollution (ozone and particulate matter) in Berlin (Germany) and Lisbon (Portugal) using different types of Poisson regression models. The findings suggest that interactive effects exist between air pollutants and equivalent temperature. Bivariate response surface models and generalised additive models (GAMs) including interaction terms showed an increased risk of mortality during periods of elevated equivalent temperatures and air pollution. Cold effects were mostly unaffected by air pollution. The study underscores the importance of air pollution control in mitigating heat effects
500-year temperature reconstruction in the Mediterranean Basin by means of documentary data and instrumental observations
The paper reports the main results of the EU project Millennium in the Mediterranean area over the last 500 years. It analyses a long series of temperature from Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece. The series are obtained by combining indices from documentary sources from AD 1500 to the onset of regular instrumental observations. There is an ongoing discussion regarding the proper way of combining documentary and instrumental data and how to translate accurately the conventional indices from -3 to +3 into modern units, i.e. degree Celsius. This paper produces for the first time a number of early instrumental observations, in some cases (i.e. Italy and France) covering 350 years, including thereby the earliest regular observations after the invention of the thermometer. These Mediterranean data show that anomalous temperatures usually had only a locally limited effect, while only few extreme events had a widespread impact over the whole region, such as the summer of 2003. During the period from 1850 to the present day, the Mediterranean temperature anomaly was close to the Northern Hemisphere in spring and summer, while it was warmer in autumn and winter. Compared with the long-term instrumental records (i.e. 1655 onwards), the recent warming has not exceeded the natural past variability characterized by heating\u2013cooling cycles with no significant long-term trends