Climate, human behaviour or environment: individual-based modelling of Campylobacter seasonality and strategies to reduce disease burden

Acknowledgements: We thank colleagues within the Modelling, Evidence and Policy Research Group for useful feedback on this manuscript. Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Availability of data and materials: The R code used in this research is available at https://gitlab.com/rasanderson/campylobacter-microsimulation; it is platform independent, R version 3.3.0 and above. Funding: This research was funded by Medical Research Council Grant, Natural Environment Research Council, Economic and Social Research Council, Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council, and the Food Standards Agency through the Environmental and Social Ecology of Human Infectious Diseases Initiative (Sources, seasonality, transmission and control: Campylobacter and human behaviour in a changing environment (ENIGMA); Grant Reference G1100799-1). PRH, SJO’B, and IRL are funded in part by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Gastrointestinal Infection, at the University of Liverpool. PRH and IRL are also funded in part by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emergency Preparedness and Response, at King’s College London. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health or Public Health England.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Supporting a Healthier Takeaway Meal Choice: Creating a Universal Health Rating for Online Takeaway Fast-Food Outlets

Digital food ordering platforms are used by millions across the world and provide easy access to takeaway fast-food that is broadly, though not exclusively, characterised as energy dense and nutrient poor. Outlets are routinely rated for hygiene, but not for their healthiness. Nutritional information is mandatory in pre-packaged foods, with many companies voluntarily using traffic light labels to support making healthier choices. We wanted to identify a feasible universal method to objectively score takeaway fast-food outlets listed on Just Eat that could provide users with an accessible rating that can infer an outlet’s ‘healthiness’. Using a sample of takeaway outlets listed on Just Eat, we obtained four complete assessments by nutrition researchers of each outlet’s healthiness to create a cumulative score that ranged from 4 to 12. We then identified and manually extracted nutritional attributes from each outlet’s digital menu, e.g., number of vegetables that have the potential to be numerated. Using generalized linear modelling we identified which attributes were linear predictors of an outlet’s healthiness assessment from nutritional researchers. The availability of water, salad, and the diversity of vegetables were positively associated with academic researchers’ assessment of an outlet’s healthiness, whereas the availability of chips, desserts, and multiple meal sizes were negatively associated. This study shows promise for the feasibility of an objective measure of healthiness that could be applied to all outlet listings on Just Eat and other digital food outlet aggregation platforms. However, further research is required to assess the metric’s validity, its desirability and value to users, and ultimately its potential influence on food choice behaviour

Risk factors for the development of pleural empyema in children

Pediatric pleural empyema has increased substantially over the past 20 years and reasons for this rise remain not fully explained. We investigated potential risk factors for the development of empyema in children by examining a cohort of patients with community-acquired pneumonia. Demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic characteristics, use of Ibuprofen prior to presentation and selected potential epidemiological risk factors were analyzed. Data were collected from a prospective etiological study of radiologically confirmed pneumonia in hospitalized children aged ≤16 years. One hundred sixty children were enrolled; 56% were male and 69% age

Whole beetroot consumption reduces systolic blood pressure and modulates diversity and composition of the gut microbiota in older participants

Background: Age-associated decline in physiological function has been identified as the main factor increasing disease risk, including cardiovascular (CVD) and gastrointestinal tract (GIT) diseases. Nutritional interventions encompassing dietary inorganic nitrates, such as nitrate rich beetroot may reduce the risk for CVD and GIT. Objective: Assess the impact of whole beetroot on blood pressure (BP), microbiota profile and functional measures (physical and bowel). Design: Thirty-six healthy participants were recruited (mean age 67 ± 6 years; body mass index (BMI) 25 ± 2 kg/m) and assigned randomly to a beetroot (n = 19) or control group (n = 17). Beetroot group consumed 150 g of whole beetroot and a medium-sized banana and the control group consumed a medium-sized banana every second day for 8 weeks. Resting BP, microbiota profiling, physical activity, urinary nitrate, short-chain fatty acids (SCFA) and Bristol Stool Score (BSS) were measured at 0, 4 and 8 weeks. Plasma nitrate was measured at weeks 0 and 8. Results: The beetroot group had a resting systolic BP reduction of 8.0 mmHg (p = 0.03), lower relative abundance of the phyla Bacteroidetes (p = 0.04), and a higher relative abundance of genus Alistipes (p = 0.03), increased Shannon diversity index (p = 0.03), fibre intake of 7 g/day (p < 0.01), nitrate intake 145 mg/day (p < 0.01), urinary nitrate of 460 μmol/L (p = 0.02) and SCFA concentrations (p < 0.05). However, 8 weeks of beetroot consumption did not have any impact upon functional measures, urine or plasma nitrate and BSS. Conclusion: In a randomised controlled trial, consuming whole beetroot for 8 weeks resulted in modification of risk factors for CVD and GIT disorders in older participants. Physical measures were unaffected and further assessment of more sensitive measures of functional performance are required to ascertain if whole beetroot may offer additional physiological benefits in older populations. Although the data here is promising, further mechanistic studies and larger clinical trials are required to confirm the findings

Cognitive deficits in adult m.3243A>G‐ and m.8344A>G‐related mitochondrial disease: importance of correcting for baseline intellectual ability

Abstract Objective To determine the cognitive profile of adult patients with mitochondrial disease, and the effect of disease severity on cognition. Methods Using a prospective case‐control design, we compared cognition of patients to normative data and to matched controls, assessed three times over 18 months. Forty‐nine patients with m.3243A>G (N = 36) and m.8344A>G (N = 13) mtDNA mutations and 32 controls, matched by age (±5 years) and premorbid cognition (±10 WTAR FSIQ points), participated. Participants completed neuropsychological assessments of general cognition (WAIS‐IV), executive function (D‐KEFS), and memory (WMS‐IV). Potential predictors of cognition were explored. Results Patients show mild‐to‐moderate premorbid cognitive impairment, but substantial impairment in current general cognition and distinct domains, including verbal comprehension, perceptual reasoning, working memory, processing speed, and memory retrieval. Executive dysfunction may be caused by slower decision‐making. Patients performed worse than controls, except on memory tasks, indicating intact memory, when premorbid cognition is controlled for. Premorbid cognition and disease severity were consistent predictors of cognition in patients; however, cognitive decline appears slow and is unlikely in the short‐term, when other disease‐specific factors remain stable. Interpretation Patients should be monitored to facilitate early identification of a complex profile of cognitive deficits and individuals with higher disease burden should be followed up more closely. On development of cognitive difficulties, appropriate compensatory strategies should be determined through in‐depth assessment. Using strategies such as slower presentation of information, multiple modes of presentation, active discussion to aid understanding and decision‐making, and use of memory aids, may ameliorate difficulties

Analysis of the functional capacity outcome measures for myotonic dystrophy

Objectives: Defining clinically relevant outcome measures for myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1) that can be valid and feasible for different phenotypes has proven problematic. The Outcome Measures for Myotonic Dystrophy (OMMYD) group proposed a battery of functional outcomes: 6‐minute walk test, 30 seconds sit and stand test, timed 10 m walk test, timed 10 m walk/run test, and nine‐hole peg test. This, however, required a large‐scale investigation. Methods: A cohort of 213 patients enrolled in the natural history study, PhenoDM1, was analyzed in cross‐sectional analysis and subsequently 98 patients were followed for longitudinal analysis. We aimed to assess: (1) feasibility and best practice; (2) intra‐session reliability; (3) validity; and (4) behavior over time, of these tests. Results: OMMYD outcomes proved feasible as 96% of the participants completed at least one trial for all tests and more than half (n = 113) performed all three trials of each test. Body mass index and disease severity associate with functional capacity. There was a significant difference between the first and second trials of each test. There was a moderate to strong correlation between these functional outcomes and muscle strength, disease severity and patient‐reported outcomes. All outcomes after 1 year detected a change in functional capacity except the nine‐hole peg test. Conclusions: These tests can be used as a battery of outcomes or independently based on the shown overlapping psychometric features and strong cross‐correlations. Due to the large and heterogeneous sample of this study, these results can serve as reference values for future studie