Preoperative predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resection with and without neoadjuvant therapy. METHODS: Included were patients who underwent PDAC resection (2014-2016). Multivariable multinomial regression was performed to identify preoperative predictors for manifestation of recurrence within 3, 6 and 12 months after PDAC resection. RESULTS: 836 patients with a median follow-up of 37 (interquartile range [IQR] 30-48) months and overall survival of 18 (IQR 10-32) months were analyzed. 670 patients (80%) developed recurrence: 82 patients (10%) <3 months, 96 patients (11%) within 3-6 months and 226 patients (27%) within 6-12 months. LogCA 19-9 (OR 1.25 [95% CI 1.10-1.41]; P < 0.001) and neoadjuvant treatment (OR 0.09 [95% CI 0.01-0.68]; P = 0.02) were associated with recurrence <3 months. LogCA 19-9 (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.10-1.38]; P < 0.001) and 0-90° venous involvement on CT imaging (OR 2.93 [95% CI 1.60-5.37]; P < 0.001) were associated with recurrence within 3-6 months. A Charlson Age Comorbidity Index ≥4 (OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.09-2.16]; P = 0.02) and logCA 19-9 (OR 1.24 [95% CI 1.14-1.35]; P < 0.001) were related to recurrence within 6-12 months. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates preoperative predictors that are associated with the manifestation of early and very early recurrence after PDAC resection. Knowledge of these predictors can be used to guide individualized surveillance and treatment strategies

Diagnosis and management of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage : a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Postpancreatectomy hemorrhage is a potentially lethal complication after pancreatic resection. The objective of this systematic review is to provide insight in the current status of incidence, detection, management and clinical outcomes of late postpancreatectomy hemorrhage. Methods: A systematic search was conducted on the literature from February 2007 to July 2018 in PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane library. Included were clinical studies with clinical outcomes on late postpancreatectomy hemorrhage defined according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery definition (i.e. occurring >24 h after pancreatic resection). Results: A total of 14 studies on 467 patients with late postpancreatectomy hemorrhage were included. The incidence of late postpancreatectomy hemorrhage ranged from 3% to 16% (weighted mean: 5%). Seventy-four patients received conservative treatment; 252 patients underwent primary endovascular intervention; 82 patients underwent primary relaparotomy; 56 patients underwent primary endoscopic intervention; and three patients died before any intervention could be performed. CT-scan and diagnostic angiography were able to identify the source of hemorrhage in 67% (66/98) and 69% (114/166) of patients, respectively. The most frequent origin of the hemorrhage was the gastroduodenal artery stump (79/275; 29%), followed by the common hepatic artery (51/275; 19%) and splenic artery (32/275; 12%). Overall mortality was 21% (98/464 patients; range 0%–38%). Mortality was lower after primary interventional angiography as compared to primary relaparotomy (16% vs 37% respectively). Conclusions: This systematic review provides a comprehensive overview of the current literature for severe late postpancreatectomy hemorrhages. CT-scan and diagnostic angiography are equally sensitive in detecting the bleeding source. Interventional angiography appears to be associated to lower mortality as compared to relaparotomy and endoscopy as first intervention for postpancreatectomy hemorrhage

Isolated pulmonary recurrence after resection of pancreatic cancer : the effect of patient factors and treatment modalities on survival

Background: The literature suggests favorable survival for patients with isolated pulmonary recurrence after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) as compared to other recurrence patterns. Within this cohort, it remains unclear what factors are associated with improved survival. Methods: Patients who developed pulmonary recurrence after pancreatectomy were selected from a prospective database. Predictors for post-recurrence survival (PRS) were analyzed using a multivariable Cox regression model. Results: Ninety-six patients were included. Median recurrence-free survival (RFS), PRS and overall survival (OS) were 16.3, 18.8 and 39.6 months, respectively. Further systemic treatment and/or metastasectomy (n = 64, 67%) was associated with significantly improved PRS and OS when compared to best supportive care (n = 35, 22%) (26.3 vs. 5.3 and 48.1 vs. 18.4, respectively; both P 16 months and treatment for recurrence were independently associated with improved PRS. Conclusions: Isolated pulmonary recurrence occurs in 13% of patients with recurrent PDAC and is associated with a median OS of 40 months. Aggressive treatment in highly selected patients was correlated with improved survival

Early Recurrence After Resection of Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Following Induction Therapy: An International Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE: To establish an evidence-based cut-off and predictors for early recurrence in patients with resected locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: It is unclear how many and which patients develop early recurrence after LAPC resection. Surgery in these patients is probably of little benefit. METHODS: We analyzed all consecutive patients undergoing resection of LAPC after induction chemotherapy who were included in prospective databases in the Netherlands (2015-2019) and the Johns Hopkins Hospital (2016-2018). The optimal definition for "early recurrence" was determined by the post-recurrence survival (PRS). Patients were compared for overall survival (OS). Predictors for early recurrence were evaluated using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 168 patients were included. After a median follow-up of 28 months, recurrence was observed in 118 patients (70.2%). The optimal cut-off for RFS to differentiate between early (n=52) and late recurrence (n=66) was 6 months (P<0.001). OS was 8.4 months (95%CI 7.3-9.6) in the early recurrence group (n=52) versus 31.1 months (95%CI 25.7-36.4) in the late/no recurrence group (n=116) (P<0.001). A preoperative predictor for early recurrence was post-induction therapy CA19-9≥100 U/mL (OR4.15, 95%CI 1.75-9.84, P=0.001). Postoperative predictors were poor tumor differentiation (OR4.67, 95%CI 1.83-11.90, P=0.001) and no adjuvant chemotherapy (OR6.04, 95%CI 2.43-16.55, P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Early recurrence was observed in one third of patients after LAPC resection and was associated with poor survival. Patients with post-induction therapy CA19-9 ≥100 U/mL, poor tumor differentiation and no adjuvant therapy were especially at risk. This information is valuable for patient counseling before and after resection of LAPC

Preoperative predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Background: This study aimed to identify predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resection with and without neoadjuvant therapy. Methods: Included were patients who underwent PDAC resection (2014–2016). Multivariable multinomial regression was performed to identify preoperative predictors for manifestation of recurrence within 3, 6 and 12 months after PDAC resection. Results: 836 patients with a median follow-up of 37 (interquartile range [IQR] 30–48) months and overall survival of 18 (IQR 10-32) months were analyzed. 670 patients (80%) developed recurrence: 82 patients (10%) <3 months, 96 patients (11%) within 3–6 months and 226 patients (27%) within 6–12 months. LogCA 19–9 (OR 1.25 [95% CI 1.10–1.41]; P < 0.001) and neoadjuvant treatment (OR 0.09 [95% CI 0.01–0.68]; P = 0.02) were associated with recurrence <3 months. LogCA 19–9 (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.10–1.38]; P < 0.001) and 0–90° venous involvement on CT imaging (OR 2.93 [95% CI 1.60–5.37]; P < 0.001) were associated with recurrence within 3–6 months. A Charlson Age Comorbidity Index ≥4 (OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.09–2.16]; P = 0.02) and logCA 19–9 (OR 1.24 [95% CI 1.14–1.35]; P < 0.001) were related to recurrence within 6–12 months. Conclusion: This study demonstrates preoperative predictors that are associated with the manifestation of early and very early recurrence after PDAC resection. Knowledge of these predictors can be used to guide individualized surveillance and treatment strategies