Fuzzy subjective evaluation of Asia Pacific airport services

This paper presents a fuzzy decision-making model to determine the ranking of fourteen Asia Pacific airports based on the services provided to passengers. Airport services were represented by six attributes namely comfort, processing time, convenience, courtesy of staff, information visibility and security. Data for the attributes given by travel experts are in the triangular fuzzy number form. Based on fuzzy set and approximate reasoning, the model allows decision makers to make the best choice in accordance with human thinking and reasoning processes.The use of fuzzy rules which are extracted directly from the input data in making evaluation, contributes to a better decision and is less dependent on experts.Experimental results show that the proposed model is comparable to previous studies.The model is suitable for various fuzzy environments

Fuzzy-model-based robust fault detection with stochastic mixed time-delays and successive packet dropouts

This is the Post-Print version of the Article. The official published version can be accessed from the link below - Copyright @ 2012 IEEEThis paper is concerned with the network-based robust fault detection problem for a class of uncertain discrete-time Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy systems with stochastic mixed time delays and successive packet dropouts. The mixed time delays comprise both the multiple discrete time delays and the infinite distributed delays. A sequence of stochastic variables is introduced to govern the random occurrences of the discrete time delays, distributed time delays, and successive packet dropouts, where all the stochastic variables are mutually independent but obey the Bernoulli distribution. The main purpose of this paper is to design a fuzzy fault detection filter such that the overall fault detection dynamics is exponentially stable in the mean square and, at the same time, the error between the residual signal and the fault signal is made as small as possible. Sufficient conditions are first established via intensive stochastic analysis for the existence of the desired fuzzy fault detection filters, and then, the corresponding solvability conditions for the desired filter gains are established. In addition, the optimal performance index for the addressed robust fuzzy fault detection problem is obtained by solving an auxiliary convex optimization problem. An illustrative example is provided to show the usefulness and effectiveness of the proposed design method.This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61028008, 60825303, 61004067, National 973 Project under Grant 2009CB320600, the Key Laboratory of Integrated Automation for the Process Industry (Northeastern University), Ministry of Education, the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) of the U.K. under Grant GR/S27658/01, the Royal Society of the U.K., the University of Hong Kong under Grant HKU/CRCG/200907176129 and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany

Deep Neural Networks for ECG-Based Pulse Detection during Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest

The automatic detection of pulse during out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is necessary for the early recognition of the arrest and the detection of return of spontaneous circulation (end of the arrest). The only signal available in every single defibrillator and valid for the detection of pulse is the electrocardiogram (ECG). In this study we propose two deep neural network (DNN) architectures to detect pulse using short ECG segments (5 s), i.e., to classify the rhythm into pulseless electrical activity (PEA) or pulse-generating rhythm (PR). A total of 3914 5-s ECG segments, 2372 PR and 1542 PEA, were extracted from 279 OHCA episodes. Data were partitioned patient-wise into training (80%) and test (20%) sets. The first DNN architecture was a fully convolutional neural network, and the second architecture added a recurrent layer to learn temporal dependencies. Both DNN architectures were tuned using Bayesian optimization, and the results for the test set were compared to state-of-the art PR/PEA discrimination algorithms based on machine learning and hand crafted features. The PR/PEA classifiers were evaluated in terms of sensitivity (Se) for PR, specificity (Sp) for PEA, and the balanced accuracy (BAC), the average of Se and Sp. The Se/Sp/BAC of the DNN architectures were 94.1%/92.9%/93.5% for the first one, and 95.5%/91.6%/93.5% for the second one. Both architectures improved the performance of state of the art methods by more than 1.5 points in BAC.This work was supported by: The Spanish Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, TEC2015-64678-R, jointly with the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER), UPV/EHU via GIU17/031 and the Basque Government through the grant PRE_2018_2_0260

Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices in Europe: the importance of considering market integration

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we propose a deep neural network that considers features from connected markets to improve the predictive accuracy in a local market. To measure the importance of these features, we propose a novel feature selection algorithm that, by using Bayesian optimization and functional analysis of variance, evaluates the effect of the features on the algorithm performance. In addition, using market integration, we propose a second model that, by simultaneously predicting prices from two markets, improves the forecasting accuracy even further. As a case study, we consider the electricity market in Belgium and the improvements in forecasting accuracy when using various French electricity features. We show that the two proposed models lead to improvements that are statistically significant. Particularly, due to market integration, the predictive accuracy is improved from 15.7% to 12.5% sMAPE (symmetric mean absolute percentage error). In addition, we show that the proposed feature selection algorithm is able to perform a correct assessment, i.e. to discard the irrelevant features

Phishing Web Page Detection using Optimised Machine Learning

Phishing is a type of social engineering attack that can affect any company or anyone. This paper explores the effect that different features and optimisation techniques have on the accuracy of intelligent phishing detection using machine learning algorithms. This paper explores both hyperparameter optimisation as well as feature selection optimisation. For hyperparameter tuning, both TPE (Tree-structured Parzen Estimator) and GA (Genetic Algorithm) were tested, with the best option being model dependent. For feature selection, GA, MFO (Moth Flame Optimisation) and PSO (Particle Swarm Optimisation) were used with PSO working best with a Random Forest model. This work used URL (Uniform Resource Locator), DOM (Document Object Model) structure, page rank and page information related features. This research found that the best combination was Random Forest using PSO for feature selection and TPE for hyperparameter optimisation, giving an accuracy of 99.33%

A novel framework for medium-term wind power prediction based on temporal attention mechanisms

Wind energy is a widely distributed, recyclable and environmentally friendly energy source that plays an important role in mitigating global warming and energy shortages. Wind energy's uncertainty and fluctuating nature makes grid integration of large-scale wind energy systems challenging. Medium-term wind power forecasts can provide an essential basis for energy dispatch, so accurate wind power forecasts are essential. Much research has yielded excellent results in recent years. However, many of them require additional experimentation and analysis when applied to other data. In this paper, we propose a novel short-term forecasting framework by tree-structured parzen estimator (TPE) and decomposition algorithms. This framework defines the TPE-VMD-TFT method for 24-h and 48-h ahead wind power forecasting based on variational mode decomposition (VMD) and time fusion transformer (TFT). In the Engie wind dataset from the electricity company in France, the results show that the proposed method significantly improves the prediction accuracy. In addition, the proposed framework can be used to other decomposition algorithms and require little manual work in model training

Robust position control of ultrasonic motor using VSS observer

Intrinsic properties of ultrasonic motor (high torque for low speed, high static torque, compact in size, etc.) offer great advantages for industrial applications. However, when load torque is applied, dead-zone occurs in control input. Therefore, sliding mode controller, which is a nonlinear controller, is adopted for ultrasonic motor. The state quantities, such as acceleration, speed, and position are needed to apply the sliding mode controller for position control. However, rotary encoder causes quantization errors in the speed information. This paper presents a robust position control method for ultrasonic motor by using Variable Structure System(VSS) observer. The state variables for sliding mode controller are estimated by the VSS observer. Besides, a small, low cost, and good response sliding mode controller is designed in this paper by using a micro computer that is essential in embedded system for the developments of industrial equipments. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by experimental results

Gaussian Artmap: A Neural Network for Fast Incremental Learning of Noisy Multidimensional Maps

A new neural network architecture for incremental supervised learning of analalog multidimensional maps is introduced. The architecture, called Gaussian ARTMAP, is a synthesis of a Gaussian classifier and an Adaptive Resonance Theory (ART) neural network, achieved by defining the ART choice function as the discriminant function of a Gaussian classifer with separable distributions, and the ART match function as the same, but with the a priori probabilities of the distributions discounted. While Gaussian ARTMAP retains the attractive parallel computing and fast learning properties of fuzzy ARTMAP, it learns a more efficient internal representation of a mapping while being more resistant to noise than fuzzy ARTMAP on a number of benchmark databases. Several simulations are presented which demonstrate that Gaussian ARTMAP consistently obtains a better trade-off of classification rate to number of categories than fuzzy ARTMAP. Results on a vowel classiflcation problem are also presented which demonstrate that Gaussian ARTMAP outperforms many other classifiers.National Science Foundation (IRI 90-00530); Office of Naval Research (N00014-92-J-4015, 40014-91-J-4100