Probabilistic Flow Regime Map Modeling of Two-Phase Flow

The purpose of this investigation is to develop models for two-phase heat transfer, void fraction, and pressure drop, three key design parameters, in single, smooth, horizontal tubes using a common probabilistic two-phase flow regime basis. Probabilistic two-phase flow maps are experimentally developed for R134a at 25 ??C, 35 ??C, and 50 ??C, R410A at 25 ??C, mass fluxes from 100 to 600 kg/m2-s, qualities from 0 to 1 in 8.00 mm, 5.43 mm, 3.90 mm, and 1.74 mm I.D. horizontal, smooth, adiabatic tubes in order to extend probabilistic two-phase flow map modeling to single tubes. An automated flow visualization technique, utilizing image recognition software and a new optical method, is developed to classify the flow regimes present in approximately one million captured images. The probabilistic two-phase flow maps developed are represented as continuous functions and generalized based on physical parameters. Condensation heat transfer, void fraction, and pressure drop models are developed for single tubes utilizing the generalized flow regime map developed. The condensation heat transfer model is compared to experimentally obtained condensation data of R134a at 25 ??C in 8.915 mm diameter smooth copper tube with mass fluxes ranging from 100 to 300 kg/m2-s and a full quality range. The condensation heat transfer, void fraction, and pressure drop models developed are also compared to data found in the literature for a wide range of tube sizes, refrigerants, and flow conditions.Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Project 18

Assessing village food needs following a natural disaster in Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea is vulnerable to natural disasters, including drought and frost associated with El Niño weather events and excessive rainfall associated with La Niña events. Drought, frost and excessive rainfall can cause major disruptions to village food supplies. Drought also reduces villagers’ access to clean drinking water, which in turn has a negative impact on peoples’ health and the capacity of schools and hospitals to operate. There are often other impacts — damage to crops and property by wildfires, out-migration and an increased death rate. In 1997–98, and again in 2015–16, a major El Niño event caused significant disruption to drinking water and food supply for many Papua New Guinean villagers. Staff of many agencies, including those working through the Church Partnership Program El Niño Drought Response Program, were involved in assessing the impact and providing relief in 2015–16. This publication brings together the experiences of those working on the Church Partnership Program response to the 2015–16 El Niño event and serves as a guide for assessing future food shortages and to help those in need.Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT

PICES Press, Vol. 7, No. 1, January 1999

Taking stock and looking to the future - note from former PICES Chairman The state of the western North Pacific in the first half of 1998 The status of the Bering Sea in the first eight month of 1998 The state of the eastern North Pacific since February 1998 Highlights of PICES VII, review of SB activities and future workplan The second PICES Workshop on the Okhotsk Sea and ajacent area PICES-GLOBEC Climate Change and Carrying Capacity Program: A report from PICES VII Data management for the CCCC Program Report on GOOS Living Marine Resource Panel Meeting Photos from PICES VII Vjatcheslav Petrovich Shuntov GLOBEC Canada: Who we are, what we’ve been doing and where we’re headed The Ocean Carrying Capacity Research Program (OCC) at the Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Auke Bay Laboratory, Juneau, Alaska JAMSTEC research activities in the northern North Pacific People and event

PICES Press, Vol. 11, No. 2, July 2003

Cover [pdf, 1.2 Mb] PICES Science Board and Governing Council hold their first joint meeting [pp. 1-3] [pdf, 0.2 Mb] 3rd International Zooplankton Production Symposium [pp. 4-7] [pdf, 0.6 Mb] The state of the eastern North Pacific entering spring 2003 [pp. 8-9] [pdf, 0.4 Mb] The state of the western North Pacific in 2002 [pp. 10-13] [pdf, 0.6 Mb] The Bering Sea: Current status and recent events [pp. 14-15] [pdf. 0.7 Mb] Patricia Livingston [pp. 16-19] [pdf. 0.5 Mb] Recent changes in the abundance of northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax) off the Pacific Northwest, tracking a regime shift? [pp. 20-21] [pdf. 0.6 Mb] Developing new scientific programs in PICES [pp. 22-26] [pdf. 0.2 Mb] Report of the Yokohama 2003 MODEL Task Team Workshop to develop a marine ecosystem model of the North Pacific Ocean including pelagic fishes [pp. 27-29] [pdf. 0.5 Mb] 3rd PICES Workshop on the Okhotsk Sea and adjacent Areas [pp.30-31] [pdf. 0.4 Mb] Recent oceanographic and marine environmental studies at FERHRI [pp.32-34] [pdf. 0.4 Mb] Symposium Announcement [p. 35] [pdf. 0.3 Mb] PICES announcements [p. 36] [pdf. 0.3 Mb

PICES Press, Vol. 16, No. 2, July 2008

The 2008 Inter-Sessional Science Board Meeting (pp.1-2, pdf, 0.1 Mb) FUTURE – From Science Plan to Implementation Plan (pp. 3-4, pdf, 0.1 Mb) CFAME Task Team Workshop – Linking and Visualising (p. 5, pdf, 0.1 Mb) PICES WG 21 Meets in Busan, Korea: The Database Meeting (pp. 6-7, pdf, 0.1 Mb) ICES-PICES-IOC Symposium on Climate Change (pp. 8-12, pdf, 1.2 Mb) Zooplankton and Climate: Response Modes and Linkages (pp. 13-15, pdf, 0.2 Mb) PICES Fishery Science Committee Workshop in Gijón (pp. 16-18, pdf, 0.1 Mb) The North Pacific Continuous Plankton Recorder Survey (pp. 19-21, pdf, 0.4 Mb) PICES Ecosystem Status Report Wins Design Award (p. 21, pdf, 0.4 Mb) Canada’s Three Oceans (C3O): A Canadian Contribution to the International Polar Year (pp. 22-25, pdf, 0.8 Mb) New Surface Mooring at Station Papa Monitors Climate (pp. 26-27, pdf, 0.2 Mb) The State of the Western North Pacific in the Second Half of 2007 (pp. 28-29, pdf, 0.4 Mb) The Bering Sea: Current Status and Recent Events (pp. 30-31, pdf, 0.4 Mb) Recent Trends in Waters of the Subarctic NE Pacific (pp.32-33, pdf, 0.3 Mb) 2009 Vintage of Fraser River Sockeye Salmon: A Complex Full Bodied Redd with Mysterious Bouquet (p. 34, pdf, 0.1 Mb) Pacific Biological Station Celebrates Centennial Anniversary, 1908–2008 (p. 35, pdf, 0.3 Mb) Marine and Coastal Fisheries: American Fisheries Society Open Access E-journal (p. 36, pdf, 0.1 Mb) Latest and Upcoming PICES Publications (p. 36, pdf, 0.1 Mb

Toward an imminent extinction of Colombian glaciers?

This study documents the current state of glacier coverage in the Colombian Andes, the glacier shrinkage over the twentieth century and discusses indication of their disappearance in the coming decades. Satellite images have been used to update the glacier inventory of Colombia reflecting an overall glacier extent of about 42.4 ± 0.71 km2 in 2016 distributed in four glacierized mountain ranges. Combining these data with older inventories, we show that the current extent is 36% less than in the mid-1990s, 62% less than in the mid-twentieth century and almost 90% less than the Little Ice Age maximum extent. Focusing on Nevado Santa Isabel (Los Nevados National Park), aerial photographs from 1987 and 2005 combined with a terrestrial LiDAR survey show that the mass loss of the former ice cap, which is nowadays parceled into several small glaciers, was about −2.5 m w.e. yr−1 during the last three decades. Radar measurements performed on one of the remnant glaciers, La Conejeras glacier, show that the ice thickness is limited (about 22 m in average in 2014) and that with such a mass loss rate, the glacier should disappear in the coming years. Considering their imbalance with the current climate conditions, their limited altitudinal extent and reduced accumulation areas, and in view of temperature increase expected in future climate scenarios, most of the Colombian glaciers will likely disappear in the coming decades. Only the largest ones located on the highest summits will probably persist until the second half of the twenty-first century although very reducedThis study was conducted in the context of the project Capacity Building and Twinning for Climate Observing Systems (CATCOS) supported by the Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss [contract no. 7F-08114.1], between the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) and MeteoSwiss, by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO). This work was also supported by SNO GLACIOCLIM; LMI GREAT ICE (IRD); Labex OSUG@2020, Investissements d’avenir: [Grant Number ANR10 LABX56]. M. Ménégoz is supported by the project VOLCADEC funded by the Spanish programme Retos (MINECO/FEDER, ref. CGL2015–70177-R).Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

A Land Data Assimilation System (ldas) Based Dataset For Regional Agro-Climatic Assessments

This study is part of a USDA sponsored project ----Useful to Usable (U2U): Transforming Climate Variability and Change Information for Cereal Crop Producers . The broader objective includes improving farm resilience and profitability in the U.S. Corn Belt region by transforming existing climate/weather data into usable knowledge and tools for the agricultural community. The specific tasks of this research are: (1) Build a high-resolution (4 km, daily) agro-climatic dataset using a Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS). (2) Estimate regional corn yield across the Corn Belt with crop models and the agro-climatic dataset. (3) Evaluate the impacts of climate variability due to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on corn yield in the Corn Belt. Accordingly, a high-resolution (4 km, 1979-2012, daily) agro-climatic dataset across the U.S. Corn Belt has been built using the North America Land Data Assimilation System version 2 (NLDAS2) product. This newly developed dataset includes daily maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, solar radiation, soil moisture, and soil temperature at four soil depths (0-10 cm, 10-40 cm, 40-100 cm, and 100-200 cm). Validations indicate strong agreement between this dataset and field measurements. The agro-climatic dataset was then used with a Hybrid-Maize crop model to estimate regional corn yield at grid scale. The crop model was first validated at the field and county scale and found to consistently overestimate yields at the county scale. This was attributed to the optimum field conditions considered in the model and the overall uncertainties. Comparison with NASS yield survey data indicates a 0.6 multiplicative factor provides good agreement with actual yields, and is recommended for county-scale simulations. Following the field/county scale model tests, a modeling framework was developed to simulate gridded crop yields. Results indicate that integrating spatial climatic information improved the regional performance of the Hybrid Maize model and this agro-climatic dataset shows good potential for developing agro-meteorological related applications. Finally, the impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on observed and simulated corn yields were examined. As a result, La Niña shows a significant negative impact on corn yield in the Corn Belt while the impact from El Niño is insignificant. It also has been found that La Niña correlates with relatively late planting dates in the Corn Belt. Based on a crop model study, the results indicate that for some counties, under optimal conditions, late planting dates can mitigate the negative impacts from the La Niña phase. Based on the studies above, reliable performance of the Hybrid Maize crop model and superior data ability of the new agro-climatic dataset have good potential to simulate regional corn yield with climate projections. The significant impacts of ENSO on corn yield indicate that advance ENSO warning may benefit field management in the Corn Belt

PICES Press, Vol. 18, No. 2, Summer 2010

•The 2010 Inter-sessional Science Board Meeting: A Note from the Science Board Chairman (pp. 1-3) •2010 Symposium on “Effects of Climate Change on Fish and Fisheries” (pp. 4-11) •2009 Mechanism of North Pacific Low Frequency Variability Workshop (pp. 12-14) •The Fourth China-Japan-Korea GLOBEC/IMBER Symposium (pp. 15-17, 23) •2010 Sendai Ocean Acidification Workshop (pp. 18-19, 31) •2010 Sendai Coupled Climate-to-Fish-to-Fishers Models Workshop (pp. 20-21) •2010 Sendai Salmon Workshop on Climate Change (pp. 22-23) •2010 Sendai Zooplankton Workshop (pp. 24-25, 28) •2010 Sendai Workshop on “Networking across Global Marine Hotspots” (pp. 26-28) •The Ocean, Salmon, Ecology and Forecasting in 2010 (pp. 29, 44) •The State of the Northeast Pacific during the Winter of 2009/2010 (pp. 30-31) •The State of the Western North Pacific in the Second Half of 2009 (pp. 32-33) •The Bering Sea: Current Status and Recent Events (pp. 34-35, 39) •PICES Seafood Safety Project: Guatemala Training Program (pp. 36-39) •The Pacific Ocean Boundary Ecosystem and Climate Study (POBEX) (pp. 40-43) •PICES Calendar (p. 44