27,970 research outputs found
Global modelling of the early Martian climate under a denser CO2 atmosphere: Water cycle and ice evolution
We discuss 3D global simulations of the early Martian climate that we have
performed assuming a faint young Sun and denser CO2 atmosphere. We include a
self-consistent representation of the water cycle, with atmosphere-surface
interactions, atmospheric transport, and the radiative effects of CO2 and H2O
gas and clouds taken into account. We find that for atmospheric pressures
greater than a fraction of a bar, the adiabatic cooling effect causes
temperatures in the southern highland valley network regions to fall
significantly below the global average. Long-term climate evolution simulations
indicate that in these circumstances, water ice is transported to the highlands
from low-lying regions for a wide range of orbital obliquities, regardless of
the extent of the Tharsis bulge. In addition, an extended water ice cap forms
on the southern pole, approximately corresponding to the location of the
Noachian/Hesperian era Dorsa Argentea Formation. Even for a multiple-bar CO2
atmosphere, conditions are too cold to allow long-term surface liquid water.
Limited melting occurs on warm summer days in some locations, but only for
surface albedo and thermal inertia conditions that may be unrealistic for water
ice. Nonetheless, meteorite impacts and volcanism could potentially cause
intense episodic melting under such conditions. Because ice migration to higher
altitudes is a robust mechanism for recharging highland water sources after
such events, we suggest that this globally sub-zero, `icy highlands' scenario
for the late Noachian climate may be sufficient to explain most of the fluvial
geology without the need to invoke additional long-term warming mechanisms or
an early warm, wet Mars.Comment: Minor revisions to text, one new table, figs. 1,3 11 and 18 redon
Comparison of Solar and Other Influences on Long-term Climate
Examples are shown of climate variability, and unforced climate fluctuations are discussed, as evidenced in both model simulations and observations. Then the author compares different global climate forcings, a comparison which by itself has significant implications. Finally, the author discusses a new climate simulation for the 1980s and 1990s which incorporates the principal known global climate forcings. The results indicate a likelihood of rapid global warming in the early 1990s
Understanding climate: A strategy for climate modeling and predictability research, 1985-1995
The emphasis of the NASA strategy for climate modeling and predictability research is on the utilization of space technology to understand the processes which control the Earth's climate system and it's sensitivity to natural and man-induced changes and to assess the possibilities for climate prediction on time scales of from about two weeks to several decades. Because the climate is a complex multi-phenomena system, which interacts on a wide range of space and time scales, the diversity of scientific problems addressed requires a hierarchy of models along with the application of modern empirical and statistical techniques which exploit the extensive current and potential future global data sets afforded by space observations. Observing system simulation experiments, exploiting these models and data, will also provide the foundation for the future climate space observing system, e.g., Earth observing system (EOS), 1985; Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) North, et al. NASA, 1984
Extension of four-dimensional atmospheric models
The cloud data bank, the 4-D atmospheric model, and a set of computer programs designed to simulate meteorological conditions for any location above the earth are described in turns of space vehicle design and simulation of vehicle reentry trajectories. Topics discussed include: the relationship between satellite and surface observed cloud cover using LANDSAT 1 photographs and including the effects of cloud shadows; extension of the 4-D model to the altitude of 52 km; and addition of the u and v wind components to the 4-D model of means and variances at 1 km levels from the surface to 25 km. Results of the cloud cover analysis are presented along with the stratospheric model and the tropospheric wind profiles
Efficient dynamical downscaling of general circulation models using continuous data assimilation
Continuous data assimilation (CDA) is successfully implemented for the first
time for efficient dynamical downscaling of a global atmospheric reanalysis. A
comparison of the performance of CDA with the standard grid and spectral
nudging techniques for representing long- and short-scale features in the
downscaled fields using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model is
further presented and analyzed. The WRF model is configured at 25km horizontal
resolution and is driven by 250km initial and boundary conditions from
NCEP/NCAR reanalysis fields. Downscaling experiments are performed over a
one-month period in January, 2016. The similarity metric is used to evaluate
the performance of the downscaling methods for large and small scales.
Similarity results are compared for the outputs of the WRF model with different
downscaling techniques, NCEP reanalysis, and Final Analysis. Both spectral
nudging and CDA describe better the small-scale features compared to grid
nudging. The choice of the wave number is critical in spectral nudging;
increasing the number of retained frequencies generally produced better
small-scale features, but only up to a certain threshold after which its
solution gradually became closer to grid nudging. CDA maintains the balance of
the large- and small-scale features similar to that of the best simulation
achieved by the best spectral nudging configuration, without the need of a
spectral decomposition. The different downscaled atmospheric variables,
including rainfall distribution, with CDA is most consistent with the
observations. The Brier skill score values further indicate that the added
value of CDA is distributed over the entire model domain. The overall results
clearly suggest that CDA provides an efficient new approach for dynamical
downscaling by maintaining better balance between the global model and the
downscaled fields
Earthshine as an Illumination Source at the Moon
Earthshine is the dominant source of natural illumination on the surface of
the Moon during lunar night, and at locations within permanently shadowed
regions that never receive direct sunlight. As such, earthshine may enable the
exploration of areas of the Moon that are hidden from solar illumination. The
heat flux from earthshine may also influence the transport and cold trapping of
volatiles present in the very coldest areas. In this study, Earth's spectral
radiance at the Moon is examined using a suite of Earth spectral models created
using the Virtual Planetary Laboratory (VPL) three dimensional modeling
capability. At the Moon, the broadband, hemispherical irradiance from Earth
near 0 phase is approximately 0.15 watts per square meter, with comparable
contributions from solar reflectance and thermal emission. Over the simulation
timeframe, spanning two lunations, Earth's thermal irradiance changes less than
a few mW per square meter as a result of cloud variability and the
south-to-north motion of sub-observer position. In solar band, Earth's
diurnally averaged light curve at phase angles < 60 degrees is well fit using a
Henyey Greenstein integral phase function. At wavelengths > 0.7 microns, near
the well known vegetation "red edge", Earth's reflected solar radiance shows
significant diurnal modulation as a result of the longitudinal asymmetry in
projected landmass, as well as from the distribution of clouds. A simple
formulation with adjustable coefficients is presented for estimating Earth's
hemispherical irradiance at the Moon as a function of wavelength, phase angle
and sub-observer coordinates. It is demonstrated that earthshine is
sufficiently bright to serve as a natural illumination source for optical
measurements from the lunar surface.Comment: 27 pages, 15 figures, 1 tabl
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