Online Bearing Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on a Novel Degradation Indicator and Convolutional Neural Networks

In industrial applications, nearly half the failures of motors are caused by the degradation of rolling element bearings (REBs). Therefore, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) for REBs are of crucial importance to ensure the reliability and safety of mechanical systems. To tackle this challenge, model-based approaches are often limited by the complexity of mathematical modeling. Conventional data-driven approaches, on the other hand, require massive efforts to extract the degradation features and construct health index. In this paper, a novel online data-driven framework is proposed to exploit the adoption of deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) in predicting the RUL of bearings. More concretely, the raw vibrations of training bearings are first processed using the Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) and a novel nonlinear degradation indicator is constructed as the label for learning. The CNN is then employed to identify the hidden pattern between the extracted degradation indicator and the vibration of training bearings, which makes it possible to estimate the degradation of the test bearings automatically. Finally, testing bearings' RULs are predicted by using a $\epsilon$-support vector regression model. The superior performance of the proposed RUL estimation framework, compared with the state-of-the-art approaches, is demonstrated through the experimental results. The generality of the proposed CNN model is also validated by transferring to bearings undergoing different operating conditions

Characterizing Intermittency of 4-Hz Quasi-periodic Oscillation in XTE J1550-564 using Hilbert-Huang Transform

We present the time-frequency analysis results based on the Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) for the evolution of a 4-Hz low-frequency quasi-periodic oscillation (LFQPO) around the black hole X-ray binary XTE J1550-564. The origin of LFQPOs is still debated. To understand the cause of the peak broadening, we utilized a recently developed time-frequency analysis, HHT, for tracking the evolution of the 4-Hz LFQPO from XTE J1550 564. By adaptively decomposing the ~4-Hz oscillatory component from the light curve and acquiring its instantaneous frequency, the Hilbert spectrum illustrates that the LFQPO is composed of a series of intermittent oscillations appearing occasionally between 3 Hz and 5 Hz. We further characterized this intermittency by computing the confidence limits of the instantaneous amplitudes of the intermittent oscillations, and constructed both the distributions of the QPO's high and low amplitude durations, which are the time intervals with and without significant ~4-Hz oscillations, respectively. The mean high amplitude duration is 1.45 s and 90% of the oscillation segments have lifetimes below 3.1 s. The mean low amplitude duration is 0.42 s and 90% of these segments are shorter than 0.73 s. In addition, these intermittent oscillations exhibit a correlation between the oscillation's rms amplitude and mean count rate. This correlation could be analogous to the linear rms-flux relation found in the 4-Hz LFQPO through Fourier analysis. We conclude that the LFQPO peak in the power spectrum is broadened owing to intermittent oscillations with varying frequencies, which could be explained by using the Lense-Thirring precession model.Comment: 27 pages, 9 figures, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journa

A tutorial review on time-frequency analysis of non-stationary vibration signals with nonlinear dynamics applications

Time-frequency analysis (TFA) for mechanical vibrations in non-stationary operations is the main subject of this article, concisely written to be an introducing tutorial comparing different time-frequency techniques for non-stationary signals. The theory was carefully exposed and complemented with sample applications on mechanical vibrations and nonlinear dynamics. A particular phenomenon that is also observed in non-stationary systems is the Sommerfeld effect, which occurs due to the interaction between a non-ideal energy source and a mechanical system. An application through TFA for the characterization of the Sommerfeld effect is presented. The techniques presented in this article are applied in synthetic and experimental signals of mechanical systems, but the techniques presented can also be used in the most diverse applications and also in the numerical solution of differential equation

RealTime Implementation Of An Internal-Model-Principle Signal Identifier

This thesis presents a new means approach of tuning an adaptive internal model principle based signal identification algorithm whose computational costs are low enough to allow a realtime implementation. The algorithm allows an instantaneous Fourier decomposition of nonstationary signals that have a strongly predictable component. The algorithm is implemented as a feedback loop resulting in a closed loop system with a frequency response of a bandpass filter with notches at the frequencies of the Fourier decomposition. This is achieved through real time selection of the coefficients of the transfer functions in the feedback loop. Previous work showed how the dynamics of the algorithm could be chosen to be represented by a bandpass filter with notches. However this involved solving a large set of coupled linear equations. This thesis shows how the equations can be decoupled into pairs of linear equations which have explicit solutions. In other word, rules for explicitly solving for these parameters are given that only involve evaluating frequency responses at the frequencies of the instantaneous Fourier decomposition. Last but not the least, alternative approach for choosing suitable coefficients to eliminate the DC component of the signal under consideration has been proposed as well by replacing a frequency response of a bandpass filter with lowpass filter and adding a model of the constant signal to the feedback loop

Signal Optimal Smoothing by Means of Spectral Analysis

This chapter introduces two new empirical methods for obtaining optimal smoothing of noise‐ridden stationary and nonstationary, linear and nonlinear signals. Both methods utilize an application of the spectral representation theorem (SRT) for signal decomposition that exploits the dynamic properties of optimal control. The methods, named as SRT1 and SRT2, produce a low‐resolution and a high‐resolution filter, which may be utilized for optimal long‐ and short‐run tracking as well as forecasting devices. Monte Carlo simulation applied to three broad classes of signals enables comparing the dual SRT methods with a similarly optimized version of the well‐known and reputed empirical Hilbert‐Huang transform (HHT). The results point to a more satisfactory performance of the SRT methods and especially the second, in terms of low and high resolution as compared to the HHT for any of the three signal classes, in many cases also for nonlinear and stationary/nonstationary signals. Finally, all of the three methods undergo statistical experimenting on eight select real‐time data sets, which include climatic, seismological, economic and solar time series

Learning-Based Modeling of Weather and Climate Events Related To El Niño Phenomenon via Differentiable Programming and Empirical Decompositions

This dissertation is the accumulation of the application of adaptive, empirical learning-based methods in the study and characterization of the El Niño Southern Oscillation. In specific, it focuses on ENSO’s effects on rainfall and drought conditions in two major regions shown to be linked through the strength of the dependence of their climate on ENSO: 1) the southern Pacific Coast of the United States and 2) the Nile River Basin. In these cases, drought and rainfall are tied to deep economic and social factors within the region. The principal aim of this dissertation is to establish, with scientific rigor, an epistemological and foundational justification of adaptive learning models and their utility in the both the modeling and understanding of a wide-reaching climate phenomenon such as ENSO. This dissertation explores a scientific justification for their proven accuracy in prediction and utility as an aide in deriving a deeper understanding of climate phenomenon. In the application of drought forecasting for Southern California, adaptive learning methods were able to forecast the drought severity of the 2015-2016 winter with greater accuracy than established models. Expanding this analysis yields novel ways to analyze and understand the underlying processes driving California drought. The pursuit of adaptive learning as a guiding tool would also lead to the discovery of a significant extractable components of ENSO strength variation, which are used with in the analysis of Nile River Basin precipitation and flow of the Nile River, and in the prediction of Nile River yield to p=0.038. In this dissertation, the duality of modeling and understanding is explored, as well as a discussion on why adaptive learning methods are uniquely suited to the study of climate phenomenon like ENSO in the way that traditional methods lack. The main methods explored are 1) differentiable Programming, as a means of construction of novel self-learning models through which the meaningfulness of parameters arises from emergent phenomenon and 2) empirical decompositions, which are driven by an adaptive rather than rigid component extraction principle, are explored further as both a predictive tool and as a tool for gaining insight and the construction of models

An Inquiry: Effectiveness of the Complex Empirical Mode Decomposition Method, the Hilbert-Huang Transform, and the Fast-Fourier Transform for Analysis of Dynamic Objects

A review of current signal analysis tools show that new techniques are required for an enhanced fidelity or data integrity. Recently, the Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) and its inherent property, the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) technique, have been formerly investigated. The technique of Complex EMD (CEMD) was also explored. The scope of this work was to assess the CEMD technique as an innovative analysis tool. Subsequent to this, comparisons between applications of the Hilbert transform (HT) and the Fast-Fourier transform (FFT) were analyzed. MATLAB was implemented to model signal decomposition and the execution of mathematical transforms for generating results. The CEMD technique successfully decomposed the data into its oscillatory modes. After comparative graphical analysis of the HT and FFT, application of the HT provided marginal enhancements of the data modeled previously by the FFT. Altogether, the HHT could not be determined as a helpful analysis tool. Nevertheless, the CEMD technique, an inherent component of the HHT, exhibited a possible improvement as an analysis tool for signal processing data. Further evaluation of the CEMD technique and the HHT is needed for ultimate determination of their usefulness as an analysis tool

Recent Developments and Challenges on AC Microgrids Fault Detection and Protection Systems–A Review

The protection of AC microgrids (MGs) is an issue of paramount importance to ensure their reliable and safe operation. Designing reliable protection mechanism, however, is not a trivial task, as many practical issues need to be considered. The operation mode of MGs, which can be grid-connected or islanded, employed control strategy and practical limitations of the power electronic converters that are utilized to interface renewable energy sources and the grid, are some of the practical constraints that make fault detection, classification, and coordination in MGs different from legacy grid protection. This article aims to present the state-of-the-art of the latest research and developments, including the challenges and issues in the field of AC MG protection. A broad overview of the available fault detection, fault classification, and fault location techniques for AC MG protection and coordination are presented. Moreover, the available methods are classified, and their advantages and disadvantages are discussed

How do you make a time series sing like a choir? Using the Hilbert-Huang transform to extract embedded frequencies from economic or financial time series

The Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) was developed late last century but has still to be introduced to the vast majority of economists. The HHT transform is a way of extracting the frequency mode features of cycles embedded in any time series using an adaptive data method that can be applied without making any assumptions about stationarity or linear data-generating properties. This paper introduces economists to the two constituent parts of the HHT transform, namely empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and Hilbert spectral analysis. Illustrative applications using HHT are also made to two financial and three economic time series.business cycles; growth cycles; Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT); empirical mode decomposition (EMD); economic time series; non-stationarity; spectral analysis