Wind Power Forecasting Methods Based on Deep Learning: A Survey

Accurate wind power forecasting in wind farm can effectively reduce the enormous impact on grid operation safety when high permeability intermittent power supply is connected to the power grid. Aiming to provide reference strategies for relevant researchers as well as practical applications, this paper attempts to provide the literature investigation and methods analysis of deep learning, enforcement learning and transfer learning in wind speed and wind power forecasting modeling. Usually, wind speed and wind power forecasting around a wind farm requires the calculation of the next moment of the definite state, which is usually achieved based on the state of the atmosphere that encompasses nearby atmospheric pressure, temperature, roughness, and obstacles. As an effective method of high-dimensional feature extraction, deep neural network can theoretically deal with arbitrary nonlinear transformation through proper structural design, such as adding noise to outputs, evolutionary learning used to optimize hidden layer weights, optimize the objective function so as to save information that can improve the output accuracy while filter out the irrelevant or less affected information for forecasting. The establishment of high-precision wind speed and wind power forecasting models is always a challenge due to the randomness, instantaneity and seasonal characteristics

Bayesian reinforcement learning with MCMC to maximize energy output of vertical axis wind turbine

Optimization of energy output of small scale wind turbines requires a controller which keeps the wind speed to rotor tip speed ratio at the optimum value. An analytic solution can be obtained if the dynamic model of the complete system is known and wind speed can be anticipated. However, not only aging but also errors in modeling and wind speed prediction prevent a straightforward solution. This thesis proposes to apply a reinforcement learning approach designed to optimize dynamic systems with continuous state and action spaces, to the energy output optimization of Vertical Axis Wind Turbines (VAWT). The dynamic modeling and load control of the wind turbine are accomplished in the same process. The proposed algorithm is a model-free Bayesian Reinforcement Learning using Markov Chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC) to obtain the parameters of an optimal policy. The proposed method learns wind speed pro les and system model, therefore, can utilize all system states and observed wind speed pro les to calculate an optimal control signal by using a Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN). The proposed method is validated by performing simulation studies on a permanent magnet synchronous generator-based VAWT Simulink model to compare with the classical Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT). The results show signi cant improvement over the classical method, especially during the wind speed transients, promising a superior energy output in turbulent settings; which coincide with the expected application areas of VAWT

A Review on Application of Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Microgrids

A microgrid can be formed by the integration of different components such as loads, renewable/conventional units, and energy storage systems in a local area. Microgrids with the advantages of being flexible, environmentally friendly, and self-sufficient can improve the power system performance metrics such as resiliency and reliability. However, design and implementation of microgrids are always faced with different challenges considering the uncertainties associated with loads and renewable energy resources (RERs), sudden load variations, energy management of several energy resources, etc. Therefore, it is required to employ such rapid and accurate methods, as artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, to address these challenges and improve the MG's efficiency, stability, security, and reliability. Utilization of AI helps to develop systems as intelligent as humans to learn, decide, and solve problems. This paper presents a review on different applications of AI-based techniques in microgrids such as energy management, load and generation forecasting, protection, power electronics control, and cyber security. Different AI tasks such as regression and classification in microgrids are discussed using methods including machine learning, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, support vector machines, etc. The advantages, limitation, and future trends of AI applications in microgrids are discussed.©2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.fi=vertaisarvioitu|en=peerReviewed

Energy Optimization of Wind Turbines via a Neural Control Policy Based on Reinforcement Learning Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithm

The primary focus of this paper is centered on the numerical analysis and optimal control of vertical axis wind turbines (VAWT) using Bayesian reinforcement learning (RL). We specifically tackle small-scale wind turbines with permanent magnet synchronous generator, which are well-suited to local and compact production of electrical energy in small scale such as urban and rural infrastructure installations. Through this work, we formulate and implement an RL strategy using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to optimize the long-term energy output of the wind turbine. Our MCMC-based RL algorithm is a model-free and gradient-free algorithm, where the designer does not have to know the precise dynamics of the plant and their uncertainties. The method specifically overcomes the shortcomings typically associated with conventional solutions including but not limited to component aging, modeling errors and inaccuracies in the estimation of wind speed patterns. It has been observed to be especially successful in capturing power from wind transients; it modulates the generator load and hence rotor torque load so that the rotor tip speed reaches the optimum value for the anticipated wind speed. This ratio of rotor tip speed to wind speed is known to be critical in wind power applications. The wind to load energy efficiency of the proposed method is shown to be superior to the classical maximum power point tracking method

Skip Training for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Controller for Industrial Wave Energy Converters

Recent Wave Energy Converters (WEC) are equipped with multiple legs and generators to maximize energy generation. Traditional controllers have shown limitations to capture complex wave patterns and the controllers must efficiently maximize the energy capture. This paper introduces a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning controller (MARL), which outperforms the traditionally used spring damper controller. Our initial studies show that the complex nature of problems makes it hard for training to converge. Hence, we propose a novel skip training approach which enables the MARL training to overcome performance saturation and converge to more optimum controllers compared to default MARL training, boosting power generation. We also present another novel hybrid training initialization (STHTI) approach, where the individual agents of the MARL controllers can be initially trained against the baseline Spring Damper (SD) controller individually and then be trained one agent at a time or all together in future iterations to accelerate convergence. We achieved double-digit gains in energy efficiency over the baseline Spring Damper controller with the proposed MARL controllers using the Asynchronous Advantage Actor-Critic (A3C) algorithm.Comment: 2022 IEEE 18th International Conference on Automation Science and Engineering (CASE) August 20-24, 202

Energy Management of Prosumer Communities

The penetration of distributed generation, energy storages and smart loads has resulted in the emergence of prosumers: entities capable of adjusting their electricity production and consumption in order to meet environmental goals and to participate profitably in the available electricity markets. Significant untapped potential remains in the exploitation and coordination of small and medium-sized distributed energy resources. However, such resources usually have a primary purpose, which imposes constraints on the exploitation of the resource; for example, the primary purpose of an electric vehicle battery is for driving, so the battery could be used as temporary storage for excess photovoltaic energy only if the vehicle is available for driving when the owner expects it to be. The aggregation of several distributed energy resources is a solution for coping with the unavailability of one resource. Solutions are needed for managing the electricity production and consumption characteristics of diverse distributed energy resources in order to obtain prosumers with more generic capabilities and services for electricity production, storage, and consumption. This collection of articles studies such prosumers and the emergence of prosumer communities. Demand response-capable smart loads, battery storages and photovoltaic generation resources are forecasted and optimized to ensure energy-efficient and, in some cases, profitable operation of the resources

Towards data-driven and data-based control of wave energy systems: Classification, overview, and critical assessment

Currently, a significant effort in the world research panorama is focused on finding efficient solutions to a carbon-free energy supply, wave energy being one of the most promising sources of untapped renewable energy. However, wave energy is not currently economic, though control technology has been shown to significantly increase the energy capture capabilities. Usually, the synthesis of a wave energy control strategy requires the adoption of control-oriented models, which are prone to error, particularly arising from unmodelled hydrodynamics, given the complexity of the hydrodynamic interactions between the device and the ocean. In this context, data-driven and data-based control strategies provide a potential solution to some of these issues, using real-time data to gather information about the system dynamics and performance. Thus motivated, this study provides a detailed analysis of different approaches to the exploitation of data in the design of control philosophies for wave energy systems, establishing clear definitions of data-driven and data-based control in this field, together with a classification highlighting the various roles of data in the control synthesis process. In particular, we investigate intrinsic opportunities and limitations behind the use of data in the process of control synthesis, providing a comprehensive review together with critical considerations aimed at directly contributing towards the development of efficient data-driven and data-based control systems for wave energy devices