Data-driven weather forecasting models performance comparison for improving offshore wind turbine availability and maintenance

Wind power is highly dependent on wind speed and operations offshore are affected by wave height; these together called turbine weather datasets that are variable and intermittent over various time-scales and signify offshore weather conditions. In contrast to onshore wind, offshore wind requires improved forecasting since unfavorable weather prevents repair and maintenance activities. This study proposes two data-driven models for long-term weather conditions forecasting to support operation and maintenance (O&M) decision-making process. These two data-driven approaches are long short-term memory network, abbreviated as LSTM, and Markov chain. An LSTM is an artificial recurrent neural network, capable of learning long-term dependencies within a sequence of data and is typically used to avoid the long-term dependency problem. While, Markov is another data-driven stochastic model, which assumes that, the future states depend only on the current states, not on the events that occurred before. The readily available weather FINO3 datasets are used to train and validate the performance of these models. A performance comparison between these weather forecasted models would be carried out to determine which approach is most accurate and suitable for improving offshore wind turbine availability and support maintenance activities. The entire study outlines the weakness and strength associated with proposed models in relations to offshore wind farms operational activities

How effective is microfinance in reaching the poorest? Empirical evidence on programme outreach in rural Pakistan

Microfinance has emerged on the global scale as a key strategy to reduce poverty and promote development. Most literature however, tends to concentrate on breadth as opposed to depth of programme outreach. This paper is based on a primary household survey of 1,132 respondents in the Punjab Province of Pakistan to assess which category of the poor is being served by microfinance institutions: are they the very poor, middle poor or less poor ones? In order to make comparisons, borrower (treatment) and non-borrower (control) households are ranked by poverty scores generated by employing Principal Component Analysis. The study reveals that the depth of poverty outreach is significantly lower than what has been claimed by lenders. The paper reflects on policy implications to enhance depth (as opposed to breadth) of outreach to address the needs of the ‘poorest of the poor’ in order to contribute meaningfully and effectively towards combating poverty

False Alarms Analysis ofWind Turbine Bearing System

Wind turbines are complex systems that use advanced condition monitoring systems for analyzing their health status.The gear box is one of the most critical components due to its elevated downtime and failure rate. Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition systems are employed in wind farms for condition monitoring and control in realtime. The volume and variety of the data require novel and robust techniques for data analysis.The main novelty of this work is the development of a new modelling of the temperature curve of the gear box bearing versus wind speed to detect false alarms. An approach based on data partitioning and data mining centers is employed.The wind speed range is divided into intervals to increase the accuracy of the model, where the centers are considered representative samples in the modelling. A method based on the alarm detection is developed and studied to get her with the alarms report provided by a real case study. The results obtained allow the identification of critical alarm periods outside the confidence interval. It is validated that the study of alarm identification, pre-filtered data, state variable, and output power contribute to the detection of the false alarms

Machine Learning for Wind Turbine Blades Maintenance Management

Delamination in Wind Turbine Blades (WTB) is a common structural problem that can generate large costs. Delamination is the separation of layers of a composite material, which produces points of stress concentration. These points suffer greater traction and compression forces in working conditions, and they can trigger cracks, and partial or total breakage of the blade. Early detection of delamination is crucial for the prevention of breakages and downtime. The main novelty presented in this paper has been to apply an approach for detecting and diagnosing the delamination WTB. The approach is based on signal processing of guided waves, and multiclass pattern recognition using machine learning. Delamination was induced in the WTB to check the accuracy of the approach. The signal is denoised by wavelet transform. The autoregressive Yule–Walker model is employed for feature extraction, and Akaike’s information criterion method for feature selection. The classifiers are quadratic discriminant analysis, k-nearest neighbors, decision trees, and neural network multilayer perceptron. The confusion matrix is employed to evaluate the classification, especially the receiver operating characteristic analysis by: recall, specificity, precision, and F-score

A fault detection method for railway point systems

Failures of railway point systems (RPSs) often lead to service delays or hazardous situations. A condition monitoring system can be used by railway infrastructure operators to detect the early signs of the deteriorated condition of RPSs and thereby prevent failures. This paper presents a methodology for early detection of the changes in the measurement of the current drawn by the motor of the point operating equipment (POE) of an RPS, which can be used to warn about a possible failure in the system. The proposed methodology uses the one-class support vector machine classification method with the similarity measure of edit distance with real penalties. The technique has been developed taking into account specific features of the data of infield RPSs and therefore is able to detect the changes in the measurements of the current of the POE with greater accuracy compared with the commonly used threshold-based technique. The data from infield RPSs, which relate to incipient failures of RPSs, were used after the deficiencies in the data labelling were removed using expert knowledge. In addition, possible improvements in the proposed methodology were identified in order for it to be used as an automatic online condition monitoring system

Advanced analytics for detection and diagnosis of false alarms and faults: A real case study

Onshore and offshore wind farms require a high level of advanced maintenance. Supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) and condition monitoring systems are now being employed, generating large amounts of data. They require robust and flexible approaches to convert dataset into useful information. This paper presents a novel approach based on the correlations of SCADA variables to detect and identify faults and false alarms in wind turbines. A correlation matrix between all the SCADA variables is used for pattern recognition. A new method based on curve fittings is employed for detecting false alarms and abnormal behaviours or faults in the components. The study is done in a real case study, validated with false alarms

Generation Units Maintenance in Combined Heat and Power Integrated Systems Using the Mixed Integer Quadratic Programming Approach

Yearly generation maintenance scheduling (GMS) of generation units is important in each system such as combined heat and power (CHP)-based systems to decrease sudden failures and premature degradation of units. Imposing repair costs and reliability deterioration of system are the consequences of ignoring the GMS program. In this regard, this research accomplishes GMS inside CHP-based systems in order to determine the optimal intervals for predetermined maintenance required duration of CHPs and other units. In this paper, cost minimization is targeted, and violation of units’ technical constraints like feasible operation region of CHPs and power/heat demand balances are avoided by considering related constraints. Demand-response-based short-term generation scheduling is accomplished in this paper considering the maintenance intervals obtained in the long-term plan. Numerical simulation is performed and discussed in detail to evaluate the application of the suggested mixed-integer quadratic programming model that implemented in the General Algebraic Modeling System software package for optimization. Numerical simulation is performed to justify the model effectiveness. The results reveal that long-term maintenance scheduling considerably impacts short-term generation scheduling and total operation cost. Additionally, it is found that the demand response is effective from the cost perspective and changes the generation schedul

A Survey of Artificial Neural Network in Wind Energy Systems

Wind energy has become one of the most important forms of renewable energy. Wind energy conversion systems are more sophisticated and new approaches are required based on advance analytics. This paper presents an exhaustive review of artificial neural networks used in wind energy systems, identifying the methods most employed for different applications and demonstrating that Artificial Neural Networks can be an alternative to conventional methods in many cases. More than 85% of the 190 references employed in this paper have been published in the last 5 years. The methods are classified and analysed into four groups according to the application: forecasting and predictions; design optimization; fault detection and diagnosis; and optimal control. A statistical analysis of the current state and future trends in this field is carried out. An analysis of each application group about the strengths and weaknesses of each ANN structure is carried out. A quantitative analysis of the main references is carried out showing new statistical results of the current state and future trends of the topic. The paper describes the main challenges and technological gaps concerning the application of ANN to wind turbines, according to the literature review. An overall table is provided to summarize the most important references according to the application groups and case studies