5,270 research outputs found
Uncertainty Quantification of Future Design Rainfall Depths in Korea
One of the most common ways to investigate changes in future rainfall extremes is to use future rainfall data simulated by climate models with climate change scenarios. However, the projected future design rainfall intensity varies greatly depending on which climate model is applied. In this study, future rainfall Intensity???Duration???Frequency (IDF) curves are projected using various combinations of climate models. Future Ensemble Average (FEA) is calculated using a total of 16 design rainfall intensity ensembles, and uncertainty of FEA is quantified using the coefficient of variation of ensembles. The FEA and its uncertainty vary widely depending on how the climate model combination is constructed, and the uncertainty of the FEA depends heavily on the inclusion of specific climate model combinations at each site. In other words, we found that unconditionally using many ensemble members did not help to reduce the uncertainty of future IDF curves. Finally, a method for constructing ensemble members that reduces the uncertainty of future IDF curves is proposed, which will contribute to minimizing confusion among policy makers in developing climate change adaptation policies
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Towards Identifying and closing Gaps in Assurance of autonomous Road vehicleS - a collection of Technical Notes Part 2
This report provides an introduction and overview of the Technical Topic Notes (TTNs) produced in the Towards Identifying and closing Gaps in Assurance of autonomous Road vehicleS (Tigars) project. These notes aim to support the development and evaluation of autonomous vehicles. Part 1 addresses: Assurance-overview and issues, Resilience and Safety Requirements, Open Systems Perspective and Formal Verification and Static Analysis of ML Systems. This report is Part 2 and discusses: Simulation and Dynamic Testing, Defence in Depth and Diversity, Security-Informed Safety Analysis, Standards and Guidelines
Non-uniform Feature Sampling for Decision Tree Ensembles
We study the effectiveness of non-uniform randomized feature selection in
decision tree classification. We experimentally evaluate two feature selection
methodologies, based on information extracted from the provided dataset:
\emph{leverage scores-based} and \emph{norm-based} feature selection.
Experimental evaluation of the proposed feature selection techniques indicate
that such approaches might be more effective compared to naive uniform feature
selection and moreover having comparable performance to the random forest
algorithm [3]Comment: 7 pages, 7 figures, 1 tabl
HoloDetect: Few-Shot Learning for Error Detection
We introduce a few-shot learning framework for error detection. We show that
data augmentation (a form of weak supervision) is key to training high-quality,
ML-based error detection models that require minimal human involvement. Our
framework consists of two parts: (1) an expressive model to learn rich
representations that capture the inherent syntactic and semantic heterogeneity
of errors; and (2) a data augmentation model that, given a small seed of clean
records, uses dataset-specific transformations to automatically generate
additional training data. Our key insight is to learn data augmentation
policies from the noisy input dataset in a weakly supervised manner. We show
that our framework detects errors with an average precision of ~94% and an
average recall of ~93% across a diverse array of datasets that exhibit
different types and amounts of errors. We compare our approach to a
comprehensive collection of error detection methods, ranging from traditional
rule-based methods to ensemble-based and active learning approaches. We show
that data augmentation yields an average improvement of 20 F1 points while it
requires access to 3x fewer labeled examples compared to other ML approaches.Comment: 18 pages
Ensemble Reinforcement Learning: A Survey
Reinforcement Learning (RL) has emerged as a highly effective technique for
addressing various scientific and applied problems. Despite its success,
certain complex tasks remain challenging to be addressed solely with a single
model and algorithm. In response, ensemble reinforcement learning (ERL), a
promising approach that combines the benefits of both RL and ensemble learning
(EL), has gained widespread popularity. ERL leverages multiple models or
training algorithms to comprehensively explore the problem space and possesses
strong generalization capabilities. In this study, we present a comprehensive
survey on ERL to provide readers with an overview of recent advances and
challenges in the field. First, we introduce the background and motivation for
ERL. Second, we analyze in detail the strategies that have been successfully
applied in ERL, including model averaging, model selection, and model
combination. Subsequently, we summarize the datasets and analyze algorithms
used in relevant studies. Finally, we outline several open questions and
discuss future research directions of ERL. By providing a guide for future
scientific research and engineering applications, this survey contributes to
the advancement of ERL.Comment: 42 page
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