2,841 research outputs found
Epidemiological modeling of Trypanosoma cruzi: Low stercorarian transmission and failure of host adaptive immunity explain the frequency of mixed infections in humans
People living in areas with active vector-borne transmission of Chagas disease have multiple contacts with its causative agent, Trypanosoma cruzi. Reinfections by T. cruzi are possible at least in animal models leading to lower or even hardly detectable parasitaemia. In humans, although reinfections are thought to have major public health implications by increasing the risk of chronic manifestations of the disease, there is little quantitative knowledge about their frequency and the timing of parasite re-inoculation in the course of the disease. Here, we implemented stochastic agent-based models i) to estimate the rate of re-inoculation in humans and ii) to assess how frequent are reinfections during the acute and chronic stages of the disease according to alternative hypotheses on the adaptive immune response following a primary infection. By using a hybrid genetic algorithm, the models were fitted to epidemiological data of Argentinean rural villages where mixed infections by different genotypes of T. cruzi reach 56% in humans. To explain this percentage, the best model predicted 0.032 (0.008–0.042) annual reinfections per individual with 98.4% of them occurring in the chronic phase. In addition, the parasite escapes to the adaptive immune response mounted after the primary infection in at least 20% of the events of re-inoculation. With these low annual rates, the risks of reinfection during the typically long chronic stage of the disease stand around 14% (4%-18%) and 60% (21%-70%) after 5 and 30 years, with most individuals being re-infected 1–3 times overall. These low rates are better explained by the weak efficiency of the stercorarian mode of transmission than a highly efficient adaptive immune response. Those estimates are of particular interest for vaccine development and for our understanding of the higher risk of chronic disease manifestations suffered by infected people living in endemic areas.Fil: Tomasini, Nicolás. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Patología Experimental. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud. Instituto de Patología Experimental; ArgentinaFil: Ragone, Paula Gabriela. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Patología Experimental. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud. Instituto de Patología Experimental; ArgentinaFil: Gourbière, Sébastien. Université de Perpignan Via Domitia; FranciaFil: Aparicio, Juan Pablo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energia No Convencional. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas. Departamento de Física. Instituto de Investigaciones en Energia No Convencional; ArgentinaFil: Diosque, Patricio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Salta. Instituto de Patología Experimental. Universidad Nacional de Salta. Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud. Instituto de Patología Experimental; Argentin
Preliminary test results of a flight management algorithm for fuel conservative descents in a time based metered traffic environment
A flight management algorithm designed to improve the accuracy of delivering the airplane fuel efficiently to a metering fix at a time designated by air traffic control is discussed. The algorithm provides a 3-D path with time control (4-D) for a test B 737 airplane to make an idle thrust, clean configured descent to arrive at the metering fix at a predetermined time, altitude, and airspeed. The descent path is calculated for a constant Mach/airspeed schedule from linear approximations of airplane performance with considerations given for gross weight, wind, and nonstandard pressure and temperature effects. The flight management descent algorithms and the results of the flight tests are discussed
Evaluation of display and control concepts for a terminal configured vehicle in final approach in a windshear environment
A revised treatment of nonrandom inputs was incorporated in the model. Response behavior was observed for two display configurations (a pictorial EADI presentation and a flight-director configuration requiring use of a panel-mounted airspeed indicator), two control configurations (attitude and velocity control wheel steering), and two shear environments, each of which contained a head-to-tail shear and a vertical component. In general, performance trends predicted by the model were confirmed experimentally. Experimental and analytical results both indicated superiority to the EADI display with respect to regulation of height and airspeed errors. Velocity steering allowed tighter regulation of height errors, but control parameters had little influence on airspeed regulation. Model analysis indicated that display-related differences could be ascribed to differences in the quality of speed-related information provided by the two displays
Optimized up-down asymmetry to drive fast intrinsic rotation in tokamaks
Breaking the up-down symmetry of the tokamak poloidal cross-section can
significantly increase the spontaneous rotation due to turbulent momentum
transport. In this work, we optimize the shape of flux surfaces with both
tilted elongation and tilted triangularity in order to maximize this drive of
intrinsic rotation. Nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations demonstrate that adding
optimally-tilted triangularity can double the momentum transport of a tilted
elliptical shape. This work indicates that tilting the elongation and
triangularity in an ITER-like device can reduce the energy transport and drive
intrinsic rotation with an Alfv\'{e}n Mach number on the order of . This
rotation is four times larger than the rotation expected in ITER and is
sufficient to stabilize MHD instabilities. It is shown that this optimal shape
can be created using the shaping coils of several experiments.Comment: 16 pages, 5 figure
A human operator simulator model of the NASA Terminal Configured Vehicle (TCV)
A generic operator model called HOS was used to simulate the behavior and performance of a pilot flying a transport airplane during instrument approach and landing operations in order to demonstrate the applicability of the model to problems associated with interfacing a crew with a flight system. The model which was installed and operated on NASA Langley's central computing system is described. Preliminary results of its application to an investigation of an innovative display system under development in Langley's terminal configured vehicle program are considered
Optimisation of out-vessel magnetic diagnostics for plasma boundary reconstruction in tokamaks
To improve the low frequency spectrum of magnetic field measurements of
future tokamak reactors such as ITER, several steady state magnetic sensor
technologies have been considered. For all the studied technologies it is
always advantageous to place the sensors outside the vacuum vessel and as far
away from the reactor core to minimize radiation damage and temperature
effects, but not so far as to compromise the accuracy of the equilibrium
reconstruction. We have studied to what extent increasing the distance between
out-vessel sensors and plasma can be compensated for sensor accuracy and/or
density before the limit imposed by the degeneracy of the problem is reached.
The study is particularized for the Swiss TCV tokamak, due to the quality of
its magnetic data and its ability to operate with a wide range of plasma shapes
and divertor configurations. We have scanned the plasma boundary reconstruction
error as function of out-vessel sensor density, accuracy and distance to the
plasma. The study is performed for both the transient and steady state phases
of the tokamak discharge. We find that, in general, there is a broad region in
the parameter space where sensor accuracy, density and proximity to the plasma
can be traded for one another to obtain a desired level of accuracy in the
reconstructed boundary, up to some limit. Extrapolation of the results to a
tokamak reactor suggests that a hybrid configuration with sensors inside and
outside the vacuum vessel could be used to obtain a good boundary
reconstruction during both the transient and the flat-top of the discharges, if
out-vessel magnetic sensors of sufficient density and accuracy can be placed
sufficiently far outside the vessel to minimize radiation damage.Comment: 36 pages, 17 figures, Accepted for publication in Nuclear Fusio
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