40 research outputs found
Autoregressive Kernels For Time Series
We propose in this work a new family of kernels for variable-length time
series. Our work builds upon the vector autoregressive (VAR) model for
multivariate stochastic processes: given a multivariate time series x, we
consider the likelihood function p_{\theta}(x) of different parameters \theta
in the VAR model as features to describe x. To compare two time series x and
x', we form the product of their features p_{\theta}(x) p_{\theta}(x') which is
integrated out w.r.t \theta using a matrix normal-inverse Wishart prior. Among
other properties, this kernel can be easily computed when the dimension d of
the time series is much larger than the lengths of the considered time series x
and x'. It can also be generalized to time series taking values in arbitrary
state spaces, as long as the state space itself is endowed with a kernel
\kappa. In that case, the kernel between x and x' is a a function of the Gram
matrices produced by \kappa on observations and subsequences of observations
enumerated in x and x'. We describe a computationally efficient implementation
of this generalization that uses low-rank matrix factorization techniques.
These kernels are compared to other known kernels using a set of benchmark
classification tasks carried out with support vector machines
Time Series Cluster Kernel for Learning Similarities between Multivariate Time Series with Missing Data
Similarity-based approaches represent a promising direction for time series
analysis. However, many such methods rely on parameter tuning, and some have
shortcomings if the time series are multivariate (MTS), due to dependencies
between attributes, or the time series contain missing data. In this paper, we
address these challenges within the powerful context of kernel methods by
proposing the robust \emph{time series cluster kernel} (TCK). The approach
taken leverages the missing data handling properties of Gaussian mixture models
(GMM) augmented with informative prior distributions. An ensemble learning
approach is exploited to ensure robustness to parameters by combining the
clustering results of many GMM to form the final kernel.
We evaluate the TCK on synthetic and real data and compare to other
state-of-the-art techniques. The experimental results demonstrate that the TCK
is robust to parameter choices, provides competitive results for MTS without
missing data and outstanding results for missing data.Comment: 23 pages, 6 figure
A nested alignment graph kernel through the dynamic time warping framework
In this paper, we propose a novel nested alignment graph kernel drawing on depth-based complexity traces and the dynamic time warping framework. Specifically, for a pair of graphs, we commence by computing the depth-based complexity traces rooted at the centroid vertices. The resulting kernel for the graphs is defined by measuring the global alignment kernel, which is developed through the dynamic time warping framework, between the complexity traces. We show that the proposed kernel simultaneously considers the local and global graph characteristics in terms of the complexity traces, but also provides richer statistic measures by incorporating the whole spectrum of alignment costs between these traces. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed kernel