Joint economic design of EWMA control charts for mean and variance

Cataloged from PDF version of article.Control charts with exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistics (mean and variance) are used to jointly monitor the mean and variance of a process. An EWMA cost minimization model is presented to design the joint control scheme based on pure economic or both economic and statistical performance criteria. The pure economic model is extended to the economic-statistical design by adding constraints associated with in-control and out-of-control average run lengths. The quality related production costs are calculated using Taguchi's quadratic loss function. The optimal values of smoothing constants, sampling interval, sample size, and control chart limits are determined by using a numerical search method. The average run length of the control scheme is computed by using the Markov chain approach. Computational study indicates that optimal sample sizes decrease as the magnitudes of shifts in mean and/or variance increase, and higher values of quality loss coefficient lead to shorter sampling intervals. The sensitivity analysis results regarding the effects of various inputs on the chart parameters provide useful guidelines for designing an EWMA-based process control scheme when there exists an assignable cause generating concurrent changes in process mean and variance. (C) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Pattern Recognition in Intensive Care Online Monitoring

Clinical information systems can record numerous variables describing the patient’s state at high sampling frequencies. Intelligent alarm systems and suitable bedsidedecision support are needed to cope with this flood of information. A basic task here is the fast and correct detection of important patterns of change such as level shifts and trends in the data. We present approaches for automated pattern detection in online-monitoring data. Several methods based on curve fitting and statistical time series analysis are described. Median filtering can be used as a preliminary step to reduce the noise and to remove clinically irrelevant short term fluctuations. Our special focus is the potential of these methods for online-monitoring in intensive care. The strengths and weaknesses of the methods are discussed in this special context. The best approach may well be a suitable combination of the methods for achieving reliable results. Further investigations are needed to further improve the methods and their performance should be compared extensively in simulation studies and applications to real data

Practical Design of Generalized Likelihood Ratio Control Charts for Autocorrelated Data

Control charts based on Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) tests are attractive from both a theoretical and practical point of view. In particular, in the case of an autocorrelated process, the GLR test uses the information contained in the time-varying response after a change and, as shown by Apley and Shi, is able to outperfom traditional control charts applied to residuals. In addition, a GLR chart provides estimates of the magnitude and the time of occurrence of the change. In this paper, we present a practical approach to the implementation of GLR charts for monitoring an autoregressive and moving average process assuming that only a Phase I sample is available. The proposed approach, based on automatic time series identification, estimates the GLR control limits via stochastic approximation using bootstrap resampling. Thus, it is able to take into account the uncertainty about the underlying model. A Monte Carlo study shows that our methodology can be used to design in a semi-automatic fashion a GLR chart with a prescribed rate of false alarms when as few as 50 Phase I observations are available. A real example is used to illustrate the designing procedure

Univariate And Multivariate Synthetic Control Charts For Monitoring The Process Mean Of Skewed Distributions

Alat yang paling berkuasa dalam Kawalan Kualiti Berstatistik (SQC) ialah carta kawalan. The most powerful tool in Statistical Quality Control (SQC) is the control chart. Control charts are now widely accepted and used in industries

Integrated Projection and Regression Models for Monitoring Multivariate Autocorrelated Cascade Processes

This dissertation presents a comprehensive methodology of dual monitoring for the multivariate autocorrelated cascade processes using principal component analysis and regression. Principle Components Analysis is used to alleviate the multicollinearity among input process variables and reduce the dimension of the variables. An integrated principal components selection rule is proposed to reduce the number of input variables. An autoregressive time series model is used and imposed on the time correlated output variable which depends on many multicorrelated process input variables. A generalized least squares principal component regression is used to describe the relationship between product and process variables under the autoregressive regression error model. The combined residual based EWMA control chart, applied to the product characteristics, and the MEWMA control charts applied to the multivariate autocorrelated cascade process characteristics, are proposed. The dual EWMA and MEWMA control chart has advantage and capability over the conventional residual type control chart applied to the residuals of the principal component regression by monitoring both product and the process characteristics simultaneously. The EWMA control chart is used to increase the detection performance, especially in the case of small mean shifts. The MEWMA is applied to the selected set of variables from the first principal component with the aim of increasing the sensitivity in detecting process failures. The dual implementation control chart for product and process characteristics enhances both the detection and the prediction performance of the monitoring system of the multivariate autocorrelated cascade processes. The proposed methodology is demonstrated through an example of the sugar-beet pulp drying process. A general guideline for controlling multivariate autocorrelated processes is also developed

Procedure to evaluate multivariate statistical process control using ARIMA-ARCH models

Technological development and production processes require statistical process control in the use of alternative techniques to evaluate a productive process. This paper proposes an alternative procedure for monitoring a multivariate productive process using residuals obtained from the principal component scores modeled by the general class of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) processes. We seek to obtain and investigate non-correlated and independent residuals by means of X-bar and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts as a way to capture large and small variations in the productive process. The principal component analysis deals with the correlation among the variables and reduces the dimensions. The ARIMA-GARCH model estimates the mean and volatility of the principal components selected, providing independent residuals that are analyzed using control charts. Thus, a multivariate process can be assessed using univariate techniques, taking into account both the mean and the volatility behavior of the process. Therefore, we present an alternative procedure to evaluate a process with multivariate features to determine the level of volatility persistence in the productive process when an external action occurs

A semi-empirical Bayesian chart to monitor Weibull percentiles

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that occur when monitoring rare events as in high-reliability applications or genetic mutations. The chart monitors the parameters of the Weibull distribution directly, instead of transforming the data as most Weibull-based charts do in order to comply with their normality assumption. The chart uses the whole accumulated knowledge resulting from the likelihood of the current sample combined with the information given by both the initial prior knowledge and all the past samples. The chart is adapting since its control limits change (e.g. narrow) during the Phase I. An example is presented and good Average Run Length properties are demonstrated. In addition, the paper gives insights into the nature of monitoring Weibull processes by highlighting the relationship between distribution and process parameters.Comment: 21 pages, 3 figures, 5 table

A Modified \u3cem\u3eX̄\u3c/em\u3e Control Chart for Samples Drawn from Finite Populations

The X̄ chart works well under the assumption of random sampling from infinite populations. However, many process monitoring scenarios may consist of random sampling from finite populations. A modified X̄ chart is proposed in this article to solve the problems encountered by the standard X̄ chart when samples are drawn from finite populations