45 research outputs found
Biomechanic and Hemodynamic Perspectives in Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Rupture Risk Assessment
Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) pose a significant source of mortality for the elderly, especially if they go on undetected and ultimately rupture. Therefore, elective repair of these lesions is recommended in order to avoid risk of rupture which is associated with high mortality. Currently, the risk of rupture and thus the indication to intervene is evaluated based on the size of the AAA as determined by its maximum diameter. Since AAAs actually present original geometric configurations and unique hemodynamic and biomechanic conditions, it is expected that other variables may affect rupture risk as well. This is the reason why the maximum diameter criterion has often been proven inaccurate. The biomechanical approach considers rupture as a material failure where the stresses exerted on the wall outweigh its strength. Therefore, rupture depends on the pointwise comparison of the stress and strength for every point of the aneurysmal surface. Moreover, AAAs hemodynamics play an essential role in AAAs natural history, progression and rupture. This chapter summarizes advances in AAAs rupture risk estimation beyond the “one size fits all” maximum diameter criterion
Geometric, biomechanical and molecular analyses of abdominal aortic aneurysm
Background
Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is defined as a dilatation of the abdominal
aorta of 30 mm in diameter or more. Main risk factors are smoking, age and male sex.
Pathophysiological features include inflammation, smooth muscle cell loss and destruction
of the extracellular matrix. The AAA is typically asymptomatic but can expand and
eventually rupture, with a mortality of 70-80% as a result. Risk factors for rupture include a
large diameter, female sex, active smoking, high blood pressure and low body mass index
(BMI). There is no medical treatment to inhibit growth or rupture of AAA. The only measure
to prevent rupture in a large AAA is aortic surgery. This intervention carries its own
significant risk of morbidity and mortality, necessitating a risk stratification method. The
diameter is currently used to decide when to operate on an AAA and it is repeatedly
monitored until the threshold for surgery is reached. However, this measurement leaves room
for improvement, as the individual aneurysm growth rate is difficult to predict and some large
AAAs do not rupture while in other patients, small AAAs rupture during surveillance. Finite
element analysis (FEA) is a method by which biomechanical rupture risk can be estimated
based on patient characteristics and a computed tomography (CT)-derived 3D model of an
AAA. Microarray analysis allows high-throughput analyses of tissue gene expression.
Aims
The overall aim of this thesis was to explore and develop new strategies to improve,
refine and individualize management of patients with AAA, by applying geometric,
biomechanical and molecular analyses.
Methods and Results
In study I, the CTs of 146 patients with AAAs of diameters between
40 and 60 mm were analyzed with three-dimensional (3D) segmentation and FEA. Simple
and multiple regression analyses were performed. Female sex, patient height, lumen volume,
body surface area (BSA) and low BMI were shown to be associated with the biomechanical
rupture risk of AAA. Study II included 191 patients with AAAs of diameters between 40-50
mm. The AAAs were analyzed with 3D segmentation and FEA after which prediction
algorithms were developed by use of machine learning strategies. More precise diameter
measurements improved prediction of growth and four-year prognosis of small AAAs.
Biomechanical indices and lumen diameter were predictive of future rupture or symptomatic
AAA. Growth and rupture required different prediction models. In study III, 37 patients, 42
controls and a validation cohort of 51 patients were analyzed with respect to their circulating
levels of neutrophil elastase-derived fibrin degradation products (E-XDP). The results
showed that E-XDP was a sensitive marker for AAA, independently of examined
comorbidities, and its concentration in peripheral blood correlated with the AAA diameter
and the volume and mechanical stress of the intraluminal thrombus (ILT). It was further
increased by the presence of coexisting aneurysms. Study IV included 246 tissue samples,
divided into tunica media and adventitia, from 76 patients with AAA and 13 organ donor
controls, analyzed by microarrays. There were large differences between the transcriptomes
of AAA and control media and adventitia. Processes related to inflammation were transmural,
whereas the upregulation of proteolysis, angiogenesis and apoptosis along with
downregulation of smooth muscle- and differentiation-related gene sets were specific for the
aneurysm media. Active smoking increased oxidative stress in all tissues and increased
inflammation and lipid-related processes in AAA. The growth rate of the AAA diameter
correlated with adaptive immunity in media and lipid processes in adventitia.
Conclusions
In this thesis, we show that known clinical risk factors and certain geometric
properties are associated with biomechanical deterioration of AAAs. Furthermore, geometric
and biomechanical analyses can enhance prediction of outcome. Importantly, there are
differences between prediction of AAA growth and rupture. Finally, a biomarker was
discovered and the transcriptome of AAA including effects of the ILT, smoking and rapid
diameter growth rate, was mapped and we envision that the data may be used for future
biomarker and drug target discovery
Biomechanical and morphological aspects of abdominal aortic aneurysm growth and rupture
Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are dilatations of the abdominal aorta that pose a risk of rupture. The only effective treatment is intervention prior to rupture, but this is also associated with mortality and morbidity. It is therefore important to weigh the risks of intervention with the potential benefit. Current treatment guidelines recommend using the maximal aneurysm diameter (Dmax) as the indicator for rupture risk, and rec-
ommend considering intervention in men with AAAs > 55 mm, and >50 mm in women. Patients with small AAAs are put in surveillance, and the Dmax is followed until it reaches
the threshold. The current policy is relatively efficient on a population-level but lacks specificity for individuals. Some patients rupture before this threshold, and many remain
stable despite passing it. Aneurysm growth is often described as erratic, but measure-
ments are affected by several levels of uncertainty. Biomechanical assessment, where 3D models of AAAs from computed tomography angiographies (CTAs) are analysed by finite element analysis, may improve risk prediction.
In the first study a population-based cohort of 192 patients with ruptured AAAs and
CT imaging available at rupture were studied. A significant portion of patients ruptured
with AAAs smaller than 60 mm, 10% of men and 27 % of women. When normalizing Dmax
for body surface area (so-called aortic size index) there was, however, was not difference
between the sexes. In an analysis of small, ruptured AAAs compared to Dmax, age and sex-matched asymptomatic AAAs, peak wall rupture index (PWRI), but not peak wall
stress (PWS) was increased in the ruptured AAAs.
In the second study, a cohort of 100 patients with at least three computed tomog-
raphy examinations were analysed with 3D morphological and biomechanical analysis.
The growth pattern of AAAs appeared continuous and conferred well to a linear growth model. The evolution of the different analysed indices, Dmax, aneurysm volume and bio-
mechanical stress did, however, not parallel each other. Intraluminal thrombus (ILT) grew
faster than the lumen, but lumen volume growth was more closely related to increase in biomechanical stress.
In the third study, a cohort of 67 patients with 109 CTA examinations prior to rupture
were identified. The relation between biomechanical variables and time-to-rupture was
investigated. In small and medium sized AAAs (< 70 mm), PWRI, but not PWS, was associ-
ated with time-to-rupture, also when adjusting for potential confounders, aneurysm size
and sex. The results further show that women have an approximately two-fold increased hazard ratio for AAA rupture, compared to men, when adjusted for AAA size.
In the fourth study lumen area is indicated as a potentially useful rupture risk marker. Ruptured AAAs, compared to Dmax-matched asymptomatic AAAs, have a larger luminal
area, and the luminal area is related to biomechanical stress, even when adjusting for an-
eurysm size, or ILT area.
In conclusion, the results of this thesis indicate areas of potential improvement in the current care of patients with AAAs, explores the 3D growth of AAAs, and strengthens
the potential role for biomechanical analysis. These results may in the future have rele-
vance for personalizing timing of treatment for patients with AAAs, and the evaluation of
pharmacological therapy for AAAs
Numerical Insights for AAA Growth Understanding and Predicting: Morphological and Hemodynamic Risk Assessment Features and Transient Coherent Structures Uncovering
Les anévrismes de l'aorte abdominale (AAA) sont des dilatations localisées et fréquentes de l'aorte. En cas de rupture, seul un traitement immédiat peut prévenir la morbidité et la mortalité. Le diamètre maximal AAA () et la croissance sont les paramètres actuels pour évaluer le risque associé et planifier l'intervention, avec des seuils inférieurs pour les femmes. Cependant, ces critères ne sont pas personnalisés ; la rupture peut se produire à un diamètre inférieur et les patients vivre avec un AAA important. Si l'on sait que la maladie est associée à une modification de la morphologie et de la circulation sanguine, à un dépôt de thrombus intra-luminal et à des symptômes cliniques, les mécanismes de croissance ne sont pas encore entièrement compris.
Dans cette étude longitudinale, une analyse morphologique et des simulations de flux sanguins sont effectuées et comparées aux sujets témoins chez 32 patients ayant reçu un diagnostic clinique d'AAA et au moins 3 tomodensitogrammes de suivi par patient. L'objectif est d'abord d'examiner quels paramètres stratifient les patients entre les groupes sains, à faible risque et à risque élevé. Les corrélations locales entre les paramètres hémodynamiques et la croissance de l'AAA sont également explorées, car la croissance hétérogène de l'AAA n'est actuellement pas comprise. Enfin, les paramètres composites sont construits à partir de données cliniques, morphologiques et hémodynamiques et de leur capacité à prédire si un patient sera soumis à un test de risque. La performance de ces modèles construits à partir de l'apprentissage supervisé est évaluée par les ROC AUC : ils sont respectivement de 0.73 ± 0.09, 0.93 ± 0.08 et 0.96 ± 0.10 . En incorporant tous les paramètres, on obtient une AUC de 0.98 ± 0.06. Pour mieux comprendre les interactions entre la croissance et la topologie de l'écoulement de l'AAA, on propose un worflow spécifique au patient pour calculer les exposants de Lyapunov en temps fini et extraire les structures lagrangiennes-cohérentes (SLC). Ce modèle de calcul a d'abord été comparé à l'imagerie par résonance magnétique (IRM) par contraste de phase 4-D chez 5 patients. Pour mieux comprendre l'impact de la topologie de l'écoulement et du transport sur la croissance de l'AAA, des SLC hyperboliques répulsives ont été calculées chez un patient au cours d'un suivi de 8 ans, avec 9 mesures morphologiques volumétriques de l'AAA par tomographie-angiographie. Les SLC ont défini les frontières du jet entrant dans l'AAA. Les domaines situés entre le SLC et le mur aortique ont été considérés comme des zones de stagnation. Leur évolution a été étudiée lors de la croissance de l'AAA. En plus des SLC hyperboliques (variétés attractives et répulsives) découvertes par FTLE, les SLC elliptiques ont également été considérées. Il s'agit de régions dominées par la rotation, ou tourbillons, qui sont de puissants outils pour comprendre les phénomènes de transport dans les AAA.Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) are localized, commonly-occurring dilations of the aorta. In the event of rupture only immediate treatment can prevent morbidity and mortality. The AAA maximal diameter () and growth are the current metrics to evaluate the associated risk and plan intervention, with lower thresholds for women. However, these criteria lack patient specificity; rupture may occur at lower diameter and patients may live with large AAA. If the disease is known to be associated with altered morphology and blood flow, intra-luminal thrombus deposit and clinical symptoms, the growth mechanisms are yet to be fully understood.
In this longitudinal study, morphological analysis and blood flow simulations for 32 patients with clinically diagnosed AAA and at least 3 follow-up CT-scans per patient, are performed and compared to control subjects. The aim is first to investigate which metrics stratify patients between healthy, low risk and high risk groups. Local correlations between hemodynamical metrics and AAA growth are also explored, as AAA heterogeneous growth is currently not understood. Finally, composite metrics are built from clinical, morphological, and hemodynamical data, and their ability to predict if a patient will become at risk tested. Performance of these models built from supervised learning is assessed by ROC AUCs: they are respectively, 0.73 ± 0.09, 0.93 ± 0.08 and 0.96 ± 0.10. Mixing all metrics, an AUC of 0.98 ± 0.06 is obtained. For further insights into AAA flow topology/growth interaction, a workout of patient-specific computational flow dynamics (CFD) is proposed to compute finite-time Lyapunov exponents and extract Lagrangian-coherent structures (LCS). This computational model was first compared with 4-D phase-contrast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on 5 patients. To better understand the impact of flow topology and transport on AAA growth, hyperbolic, repelling LCS were computed in 1 patient during 8-years follow-up, including 9 volumetric morphologic AAA measures by computed tomography-angiography (CTA). LCS defined barriers to Lagrangian jet cores entering AAA. Domains enclosed between LCS and the aortic wall were considered to be stagnation zones. Their evolution was studied during AAA growth. In addition to hyperbolic (attracting and repelling) LCS uncovered by FTLE, elliptic LCS were also considered. Those encloses rotation-dominated regions, or vortices, which are powerful tools to understand the flow transport in AAA
In vivo quantification of metabolic activity in aortic aneurysms using PET
Objective: To investigate the role of hybrid 18F-FDG PET/CT as a potential risk-stratification tool of aneurysm expansion by measuring metabolic activity on PET and textural analysis on CT in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Histological markers of AAA wall inflammatory cell infiltrate and enzymatic degradation have been associated with increased 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG)-Positron Emission Tomography /Computed Tomography (PET/CT) uptake. Methods: Fifty patients with asymptomatic infrarenal AAA enrolled under surveillance at one of our institutions underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT. Seventeen subjects were investigated for increased glucolysis in the AAA wall and optimal circulation imaging time for 18F-FDG. In 25 subjects the relationship between aneurysm metabolic activity and expansion was explored. Forty subjects had AAA CT textural analysis (CTTA) parameters performed on the CT component of PET/CT and were studied in relation to aneurysm expansion. Twenty-four subjects had circulating biomarkers analysed. Whole vessel assessment, region of interest analysis and the role of correcting for background blood pool activity were explored. Results: Thirteen of seventeen subjects investigated for increased 18F-FDG uptake had an AAA wall SUVmax > 2.5. In 17 subjects assessed for optimal circulation imaging time for 18F-FDG, no significant advantage in imaging at 3h over 1h after 18F-FDG injection was observed. 18F-FDG uptake correlated inversely with future AAA expansion in the preliminary group of 25 patients and in 40 subjects who also had CTTA. In subjects who had CTTA, coarse texture showed an inverse association with 18F-FDG uptake and medium coarse texture correlated with future AAA expansion. In 24 AAA patients who had serum biomarker assays, significantly higher levels of high sensitivity matrix metalloproteinase-9 (hsMMP-9) and hsMMP-2 compared to healthy controls were found. There was no correlation between AAA 18F-FDG uptake and levels of hsMMP-9, hsMMP-2, hs-interferon-γ and hs-C-reactive protein. Conclusions: In-vivo 18F-FDG PET/CT data indicated that small AAA show increased glucose metabolism. Relationships between AAA 18F-FDG uptake, CTTA and future expansion were identified. AAA18F-FDG PET/CT shows potential to identify subjects at risk of significant expansion. AAA metabolism may not relate to serum levels of certain inflammatory biomarkers
Abdominal aortic aneurysms : identification by self-examination and analysis of variation in matrix metalloproteinases with peak wall stress
Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) cause 5,000 deaths a year in the UK. Self-examination for AAAs may provide an economic and practical solution. Matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) concentration is elevated and levels of their natural inhibitors - Tissue Inhibitors of Matrix Metalloproteinases (TIMPs) are reduced at sites of AAA rupture. Finite element analysis (FEA) of AAAs can define the area of peak wall stress area, the most likely site of rupture in engineering terms.Study 1Aim: To assess the effectiveness of self-examination for detection of AAAs compared to ultrasound measurement. The psychological consequences were also evaluated.6,888(65%) of 10,591 male patients aged ≥65 years who were invited to participate, joined the study.The sensitivity of self-examination for all AAAs (≥3cm) was 37% and for clinically significant AAAs (≥5cm) was 49%. Specificities were 80% and 79% respectively.The psychological consequences of screening were assessed with the HAD (Hospital Anxiety and Depression) scale. There was no clinical anxiety or depression but there was a statistically significant reduction in both domains on completion.Self-examination for AAAs cannot be recommended as an effective screening tool.Study 2Aim: To assess the tissue concentration of MMPs & TIMPs in AAAs at the site of peak wall stress.22 patients undergoing elective AAA repair had FEA performed on their CT scans, identifying the peak stress site. Biopsies from this site and the arteriotomy site were stored at -80°C, and tested for MMP & TIMP concentrations with an enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).No significant difference was found between the 2 sites for MMP2, 8, 9, TIMP1 or 2.These findings suggest either that the peak stress and rupture sites are geographically different, or that the event of rupture is temporally related to a fundamental biochemical change
Automatic classification and 3D visualisation of abdominal aortic aneurysms to predict aneurysm expansion
Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) are a major cause of death in men above the
age of 65 in the western world. Currently decisions for AAA management are
based on the size of maximum AAA diameter (>5.5cm), measured using
ultrasound imaging. However, as a proportion of AAAs rupture whilst still below
this diameter threshold, while larger AAAs may never rupture, better methods
for AAA expansion and rupture prediction are required. Previous research
suggested that the presence of “hotspots” (focal areas) of inflammation as
detected with USPIO-enhanced MRI may have potential in identifying faster-growing
AAAs. However, the identification of these USPIO “hotspots” had been up
to this point restricted to manual processing of the MRI data in a time-consuming
and laborious slice-by-slice method, which only used 2D information. Inter- and
intra- observer variability were an issue, as well as the use of empirically-defined
signal thresholds which were dependent on each acquisition protocol.
The work presented in this thesis aimed to evaluate current methodologies for
AAA assessment and growth prediction and to contribute to improved prediction
models by introducing novel techniques. Ultrasound was found to under-measure
AAA size and the use of maximum AAA diameter was found to be problematic,
especially for growth calculations. Automatically calculated alternatives which
account for the total size and shape of the AAA, as measured with MRI, were
introduced for more reproducible measurements. Furthermore, automation and
standardisation of the previously-employed manual methods for hotspot
detection and AAA classification were achieved, with the development of an
efficient algorithm with excellent agreement levels. Taken a step further, two
improved algorithms were introduced, adaptive to the data and USPIO
distribution of individual AAAs and eliminating the universal threshold
previously used. These algorithms incorporated information on 3D USPIO
distribution along the length of the AAAs to detect and visualise 3D hotspots of
inflammation for the first time. Novel 2D and 3D metrics were introduced, while
the algorithms were also incorporated into a GUI for ease of clinical use.
Additional aneurysm metrics automatically derived by the algorithms were
incorporated into multiple linear regression models to investigate prediction of
AAA growth rate. This investigation introduced three significant predictors
which have not been used in previous predictive models of AAA expansion: the
“mean thrombus major axis” metric, which reflected baseline size of AAA
throughout multiple axial slices of the AAA; the “eccentricity WT” metric which
reflected the relationship between wall shape and thrombus; and the presence of
“3D hotspots” which may potentially reflect transported USPIO within a network
of vascular channels along the length of the aneurysm. In line with previous
literature, family history of AAA and high diastolic BP were also found to be
significant predictors, but larger cohorts are needed for more reliable assessment
of the predictive models suggested in this thesis
Determination of biomechanical, anatomical and patophysiological factors influencing wall strength of the abdominal aortic aneurysm and their role in the abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture risk assessment
Uvod. Aneurizma abdominalne aorte je potencijalno fatalno oboljenje koje se preventivno
može lečiti hirurški. Rizik od hirurškog lečenja je sve manji međutim ma koliko bile retke
komplikacije mogu biti fatalne ili prouzrokovati težak invaliditet. Upravo zato je od velikog
značaja poznavanje rizika od rutpure aeurizme koji se trenutno procenjuje samo na osnovu
najvećeg prečnika aneurizme što se pokazuje kao nedovoljno precizno. Ispitivanje uticaja
drugih parametara (biomehaničkih, anatomskih, patomorfoloških) na nastanak rupture bi
moglo da napredi procenu rizika od ove fatalne komplikacije.
Metod. Ispitivanje je sprovedeno po tipu prospektivne studije koja je obuhvatila 288 bolesnika
sa aneurizmom abdominalne aorte koji su ispitivani ili operisani na Klinici za vaskularnu i
endovaskularnu hirurgiju KCS u periodu od januara 2012 do decembra 2015 godine. Na osnovu
podataka dobijenih multislajsnom kompjuterizovanom tomografijom kod bolesnika su
ispitivani biomehanički parametri koji deluju na zid aneurizme (napon, prečnik ekvivalentan
riziku od rupture) kao i morfoloki parametri koji bi mogli da ukažu na patofiziološke procese
u aneurizmatskoj kesi (zapreminu aneurizme, intraluminalnog tromba, angulacije). Uzorci
prednjeg zida aneurizmatske kese ispitivani su testom inflacije i na taj način im je određivana
snaga i elastičnost dok je iz uzorka seruma odreživana aktivnost matriksne metaloproteinaze 9.
Rezultati. Značajno više osoba ženskog pola je bilo u grupi bolesnika sa simptomatskom
odnosno rupturiranom aneurizmom abdominalne aorte, 5/23 (21.73%) prema 12/75 (16%),
p=0.005. Multivarijantni model kojim su uključeni pol, životna dob, maksimalni prečnik
aneurizme (MAD,OR=1.063), relativna zapremina intraluminalnog tromba (rILT, OR=1.039)
i ukupna zapremina aneurizme (UZA,OR=1.006) su značajni prediktori rupture aneurizme
abdominalne aorte sa najvećim naponom u zidu (PWS,OR=1.010) dijametra ekvivalentan
riziku od rupture (RRED,OR=1.031). Merene su vrednosti AUC i cc za iste parametre u modelu
koji kombinuje MAD, TZA i rILT: MAD (0.790, cc=75%), PWS (0.713, cc=73%), RRED
(0.717, cc=55%), TAV (0.756, cc=79%), rILT (0.656, cc=60%) i MAD+TAV+rILT (0.797,
cc=82%). Nije dobijena statistički značajna razlika između vrednosti serumske MMP 9 i snage
zida, test korelacije je iznosio 0.174, p=0.135. Konstatovana je statistički značajna povezanost
između serumske koncentracije MMP 9 i srednjeg napona u intraluminalnom trombu (cc -
0.371, p=0.016), najvećeg rizika od rupture (p=0.04) i volumena intraluminalnog tromba (cc
0.324, p=0.03).
Zaključak. Imajući u vidu zadate ciljeve kao i prikazane rezultate može se zaključiti da je zid
aneurizme abdominalne aorte slabije snage kod aneurizmi koje su već rupturirale ili izazivale
simptome čime je pokazano da snaga zida ima važnu ulogu u procesu nastanka rupture. Na
snagu aneurizmatskog zida je uticala jedino relativna debljina intraluminalnog tromba.
Serumska koncetracija MMP – 9 se, prema rezultatima ovog istraživanja, ne može koristiti za
procenu snage aneurizmatskog tkiva prilikom predviđanja rizika od rupture aneurizme
abdominalne aorte. Biomehanički, anatomski odnosno morfološki parametri mogu začajno
unaprediti predviđanje rizika od rupture u odnosu na korišćenje samog dijametra. Najkorisniji
su najveći napon, zapremina aneurizme, relativna zapremina intraluminalnog tromba i
dijametar ekvivalentan riziku od rupture. Korišćenjem ovih parametara moć predviđanja
nastanka rupture se povećava sa 73% na 83.9%.Introduction. Abdominal aortic aneurysm is potentialy fatal disease that can be treated with
preventive operation. Surgical risk, although improving, can lead to death or disability. In this
regard it is of high importance to assess risk of rupture that is nowdays expressed in correlation
to aneurysm diameter what was shown to be less accurate. Assessment of correlation between
other parameters (biomechanical, anatomical, patomorphological) and risk of aneurysm rupture
might improve rupture risk assesment and facilitate decision making.
Methods. This research was conducted in prospective manner at the Clinic for Vascular and
Endovascular surgery and included 288 patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm in the period
from January 2012 to December 2015. Images from multisliced computed tomography were
used for biomechanical analysys to estimate peak wall stress and rupture risk equvivalent
diameter by finite element analysys. Morphological parameters as aneurysm and intraluminal
thrombus volume, angulations and anatomical parmeters were assessed from these images as
well. Samples of anterior wall of aneurysm were tested with inflation test estimating tissue
elasticity and strength while serum level of matrix metalloproteinase 9 were measured as well.
Results. There were significantly more females in the R group: 5/23 (21.73%) comparing to
12/75 (16%) in 4A group, p=0.005. In a multivariable model, including gender and age as
confounder variables, maximal aneurysm diameter (MAD,OR= 1.063), relative intraluminal
thrombus (rILT,OR=1.039) and total aneurysm (TAV,OR=1.006) volume continued to be a
significant predictors of AAA rupture with peak wall stress (PWS,OR=1.010) and rupture risk
equivalent diameter (RRED,OR=1.031). AUC values and correct classification (cc) for the
same parameters and model that combines MAD, TAV and rILT were measured: MAD
(0.790, cc=75%), PWS (0.713, cc=73%), RRED (0.717, cc=55%), TAV (0.756, cc=79%),
rILT (0.656, cc=60%) and MAD+TAV+rILT (0.797, cc=82%)
Conclusion. Based on aim and presented results aneurysm wall is weaker in ruptured and
symptomatic aneurysm outlining importance of wall strength in rupture developement. Wall
strength correlated with relative thrombus thickness. Serum level of MMP-9, based on these
restults, can not be used for tissue strength assessment however thrombus formation can be
suspected in elevated levels of MMP 9. Biomechanical, anatomical and moprhological
paramters can improve rupture prediction in comparison to maximal diameter only. The most
usefull paramters are peak wall stress, aneurysm volume, relative intraluminal thrombus and
rupture risk equivalent diameter. Using these paramters rupture prediction is increased from
73% to 83.9%
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