A method for calculating the strength of evidence associated with an earwitness’s claimed recognition of a familiar speaker

The present paper proposes and demonstrates a method for assessing strength of evidence when an earwitness claims to recognize the voice of a speaker who is familiar to them. The method calculates a Bayes factor that answers the question: What is the probability that the earwitness would claim to recognize the offender as the suspect if the offender was the suspect versus what is the probability that the earwitness would claim to recognize the offender as the suspect if the offender was not the suspect but some other speaker from the relevant population? By “claim” we mean a claim made by a cooperative earwitness not a claim made by an earwitness who is intentionally deceptive. Relevant data are derived from naïve listeners' responses to recordings of familiar speakers presented in a speaker lineup. The method is demonstrated under recording conditions that broadly reflect those of a real case

Dynamic Rule Covering Classification in Data Mining with Cyber Security Phishing Application

Data mining is the process of discovering useful patterns from datasets using intelligent techniques to help users make certain decisions. A typical data mining task is classification, which involves predicting a target variable known as the class in previously unseen data based on models learnt from an input dataset. Covering is a well-known classification approach that derives models with If-Then rules. Covering methods, such as PRISM, have a competitive predictive performance to other classical classification techniques such as greedy, decision tree and associative classification. Therefore, Covering models are appropriate decision-making tools and users favour them carrying out decisions. Despite the use of Covering approach in data processing for different classification applications, it is also acknowledged that this approach suffers from the noticeable drawback of inducing massive numbers of rules making the resulting model large and unmanageable by users. This issue is attributed to the way Covering techniques induce the rules as they keep adding items to the rule’s body, despite the limited data coverage (number of training instances that the rule classifies), until the rule becomes with zero error. This excessive learning overfits the training dataset and also limits the applicability of Covering models in decision making, because managers normally prefer a summarised set of knowledge that they are able to control and comprehend rather a high maintenance models. In practice, there should be a trade-off between the number of rules offered by a classification model and its predictive performance. Another issue associated with the Covering models is the overlapping of training data among the rules, which happens when a rule’s classified data are discarded during the rule discovery phase. Unfortunately, the impact of a rule’s removed data on other potential rules is not considered by this approach. However, When removing training data linked with a rule, both frequency and rank of other rules’ items which have appeared in the removed data are updated. The impacted rules should maintain their true rank and frequency in a dynamic manner during the rule discovery phase rather just keeping the initial computed frequency from the original input dataset. In response to the aforementioned issues, a new dynamic learning technique based on Covering and rule induction, that we call Enhanced Dynamic Rule Induction (eDRI), is developed. eDRI has been implemented in Java and it has been embedded in WEKA machine learning tool. The developed algorithm incrementally discovers the rules using primarily frequency and rule strength thresholds. These thresholds in practice limit the search space for both items as well as potential rules by discarding any with insufficient data representation as early as possible resulting in an efficient training phase. More importantly, eDRI substantially cuts down the number of training examples scans by continuously updating potential rules’ frequency and strength parameters in a dynamic manner whenever a rule gets inserted into the classifier. In particular, and for each derived rule, eDRI adjusts on the fly the remaining potential rules’ items frequencies as well as ranks specifically for those that appeared within the deleted training instances of the derived rule. This gives a more realistic model with minimal rules redundancy, and makes the process of rule induction efficient and dynamic and not static. Moreover, the proposed technique minimises the classifier’s number of rules at preliminary stages by stopping learning when any rule does not meet the rule’s strength threshold therefore minimising overfitting and ensuring a manageable classifier. Lastly, eDRI prediction procedure not only priorities using the best ranked rule for class forecasting of test data but also restricts the use of the default class rule thus reduces the number of misclassifications. The aforementioned improvements guarantee classification models with smaller size that do not overfit the training dataset, while maintaining their predictive performance. The eDRI derived models particularly benefit greatly users taking key business decisions since they can provide a rich knowledge base to support their decision making. This is because these models’ predictive accuracies are high, easy to understand, and controllable as well as robust, i.e. flexible to be amended without drastic change. eDRI applicability has been evaluated on the hard problem of phishing detection. Phishing normally involves creating a fake well-designed website that has identical similarity to an existing business trustful website aiming to trick users and illegally obtain their credentials such as login information in order to access their financial assets. The experimental results against large phishing datasets revealed that eDRI is highly useful as an anti-phishing tool since it derived manageable size models when compared with other traditional techniques without hindering the classification performance. Further evaluation results using other several classification datasets from different domains obtained from University of California Data Repository have corroborated eDRI’s competitive performance with respect to accuracy, number of knowledge representation, training time and items space reduction. This makes the proposed technique not only efficient in inducing rules but also effective

Generalized FLIC: Learning with Misclassification for Binary Classifiers

This work formally introduces a generalized fuzzy logic and interval clustering (FLIC) technique which, when integrated with existing supervised learning algorithms, improves their performance. FLIC is a method that was first integrated with neural network in order to improve neural network's performance in drug discovery using high throughput screening (HTS). This research strictly focuses on binary classification problems and generalizes the FLIC in order to incorporate it with other machine learning algorithms. In most binary classification problems, the class boundary is not linear. This pose a major problem when the number of outliers are significantly high, degrading the performance of the supervised learning function. FLIC identifies these misclassifications before the training set is introduced to the learning algorithm. This allows the supervised learning algorithm to learn more efficiently since it is now aware of those misclassifications. Although the proposed method performs well with most binary classification problems, it does significantly well for data set with high class asymmetry. The proposed method has been tested on four well known data sets of which three are from UCI Machine Learning repository and one from BigML. Tests have been conducted with three well known supervised learning techniques: Decision Tree, Logistic Regression and Naive Bayes. The results from the experiments show significant improvement in performance. The paper begins with a formal introduction to the core idea this research is based upon. It then discusses a list of other methods that have either inspired this research or have been referred to, in order to formalize the techniques. Subsequent sections discuss the methodology and the algorithm which is followed by results and conclusion

A modified multi-class association rule for text mining

Classification and association rule mining are significant tasks in data mining. Integrating association rule discovery and classification in data mining brings us an approach known as the associative classification. One common shortcoming of existing Association Classifiers is the huge number of rules produced in order to obtain high classification accuracy. This study proposes s a Modified Multi-class Association Rule Mining (mMCAR) that consists of three procedures; rule discovery, rule pruning and group-based class assignment. The rule discovery and rule pruning procedures are designed to reduce the number of classification rules. On the other hand, the group-based class assignment procedure contributes in improving the classification accuracy. Experiments on the structured and unstructured text datasets obtained from the UCI and Reuters repositories are performed in order to evaluate the proposed Association Classifier. The proposed mMCAR classifier is benchmarked against the traditional classifiers and existing Association Classifiers. Experimental results indicate that the proposed Association Classifier, mMCAR, produced high accuracy with a smaller number of classification rules. For the structured dataset, the mMCAR produces an average of 84.24% accuracy as compared to MCAR that obtains 84.23%. Even though the classification accuracy difference is small, the proposed mMCAR uses only 50 rules for the classification while its benchmark method involves 60 rules. On the other hand, mMCAR is at par with MCAR when unstructured dataset is utilized. Both classifiers produce 89% accuracy but mMCAR uses less number of rules for the classification. This study contributes to the text mining domain as automatic classification of huge and widely distributed textual data could facilitate the text representation and retrieval processes

LC an effective classification based association rule mining algorithm

Classification using association rules is a research field in data mining that primarily uses association rule discovery techniques in classification benchmarks. It has been confirmed by many research studies in the literature that classification using association tends to generate more predictive classification systems than traditional classification data mining techniques like probabilistic, statistical and decision tree. In this thesis, we introduce a novel data mining algorithm based on classification using association called “Looking at the Class” (LC), which can be used in for mining a range of classification data sets. Unlike known algorithms in classification using the association approach such as Classification based on Association rule (CBA) system and Classification based on Predictive Association (CPAR) system, which merge disjoint items in the rule learning step without anticipating the class label similarity, the proposed algorithm merges only items with identical class labels. This saves too many unnecessary items combining during the rule learning step, and consequently results in large saving in computational time and memory. Furthermore, the LC algorithm uses a novel prediction procedure that employs multiple rules to make the prediction decision instead of a single rule. The proposed algorithm has been evaluated thoroughly on real world security data sets collected using an automated tool developed at Huddersfield University. The security application which we have considered in this thesis is about categorizing websites based on their features to legitimate or fake which is a typical binary classification problem. Also, experimental results on a number of UCI data sets have been conducted and the measures used for evaluation is the classification accuracy, memory usage, and others. The results show that LC algorithm outperformed traditional classification algorithms such as C4.5, PART and Naïve Bayes as well as known classification based association algorithms like CBA with respect to classification accuracy, memory usage, and execution time on most data sets we consider

A review of associative classification mining

Associative classification mining is a promising approach in data mining that utilizes the association rule discovery techniques to construct classification systems, also known as associative classifiers. In the last few years, a number of associative classification algorithms have been proposed, i.e. CPAR, CMAR, MCAR, MMAC and others. These algorithms employ several different rule discovery, rule ranking, rule pruning, rule prediction and rule evaluation methods. This paper focuses on surveying and comparing the state-of-the-art associative classification techniques with regards to the above criteria. Finally, future directions in associative classification, such as incremental learning and mining low-quality data sets, are also highlighted in this paper

Discovering Higher-order SNP Interactions in High-dimensional Genomic Data

In this thesis, a multifactor dimensionality reduction based method on associative classification is employed to identify higher-order SNP interactions for enhancing the understanding of the genetic architecture of complex diseases. Further, this thesis explored the application of deep learning techniques by providing new clues into the interaction analysis. The performance of the deep learning method is maximized by unifying deep neural networks with a random forest for achieving reliable interactions in the presence of noise

Simple low cost causal discovery using mutual information and domain knowledge

PhDThis thesis examines causal discovery within datasets, in particular observational datasets where normal experimental manipulation is not possible. A number of machine learning techniques are examined in relation to their use of knowledge and the insights they can provide regarding the situation under study. Their use of prior knowledge and the causal knowledge produced by the learners are examined. Current causal learning algorithms are discussed in terms of their strengths and limitations. The main contribution of the thesis is a new causal learner LUMIN that operates with a polynomial time complexity in both the number of variables and records examined. It makes no prior assumptions about the form of the relationships and is capable of making extensive use of available domain information. This learner is compared to a number of current learning algorithms and it is shown to be competitive with them

Automated testing and machine-learning-based modeling of air discharge ESD

An IEC 16000-4-2 compliant, high-accuracy air-discharge automation system is used to study the properties of air discharge electrostatic discharge (ESD). This work corroborates conclusions of previous works and presents new insights into the effects of approach speed on ESD. A methodology for machine-learning-based ESD modeling is presented. Models are validated with a high degree of accuracy against measurement data