Modelling of a post-combustion CO₂ capture process using neural networks

This paper presents a study of modelling post-combustion CO₂ capture process using bootstrap aggregated neural networks. The neural network models predict CO₂ capture rate and CO₂ capture level using the following variables as model inputs: inlet flue gas flow rate, CO₂ concentration in inlet flue gas, pressure of flue gas, temperature of flue gas, lean solvent flow rate, MEA concentration and temperature of lean solvent. In order to enhance model accuracy and reliability, multiple feedforward neural network models are developed from bootstrap re-sampling replications of the original training data and are combined. Bootstrap aggregated model can offer more accurate predictions than a single neural network, as well as provide model prediction confidence bounds. Simulated CO₂ capture process operation data from gPROMS simulation are used to build and verify neural network models. Both neural network static and dynamic models are developed and they offer accurate predictions on unseen validation data. The developed neural network models can then be used in the optimisation of the CO₂ capture process

Developed nonlinear model based on bootstrap aggregated neural networks for predicting global hourly scale horizontal irradiance

This research study examines the use of two models of artificial intelligence based on a single neural network (SNN) and bootstrap aggregated neural networks (BANN) for the prediction value of hourly global horizontal irradiance (GHI) received over one year in Tamanrasset City (Southern Algeria). The SNN and BANN were created using overall data points. To improve the accuracy and durability of neural network models generated with a limited amount of training data, stacked neural networks are developed. To create many subsets of training data, the training dataset is re-sampled using bootstrap re-sampling with replacement. A neural network model is created for each set of training datasets. A stacked neural network is created by combining multiple individual neural networks (INN). For the testing phase, higher correlation coefficients (R = 0.9580) were discovered when experimental global horizontal irradiance (GHI) was compared to predicted global horizontal irradiance (GHI). The performance of the models (INN, BANN, and SNN) demonstrates that models generated with BANN are more accurate and robust than models built with individual neural networks (INN) and (SNN)

Neural network applications in polymerization processes

Neural networks currently play a major role in the modeling, control and optimization of polymerization processes and in polymer resin development. This paper is a brief tutorial on simple and practical procedures that can help in selecting and training neural networks and addresses complex cases where the application of neural networks has been successful in the field of polymerization.401418Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq

Nonlinear process modeling of pH neutralization process in CSTR using,selective combination of multiple neural Networks.

pH control problem is very important in many chemical and biological systems and especially in waste treatment plants. The neutralization is very fast and occurs as a result of a simple reaction. However, from the control point of view it is very difficult problem to handle because of its high nonlinearity due to the varying gain and varying dynamics with respect to the operating point. Masalah pengawalan pH adalah amat penting dalam kebanyakan proses kimia mahupun biologi terutamanya dalam sistem rawatan air sisa. Dalam sistem ini, proses peneutralan berlaku begitu pantas dan hanya disebabkan oleh tindakbalas yang ringkas

Data-driven modelling and monitoring of industrial processes with applications in nuclear waste vitrification

PhD ThesisProcess models are critical for process monitoring, control, and optimisation. With the increasing amount of process data and advancements in computational hardware, data-driven models are a good alternative to mechanistic models, which often have inaccuracies or are too costly to develop. One problem with data-driven models is the difficulty in ensuring that the models perform well on new data and produce accurate predictions in complex situations, which are frequently encountered in the process industry. Within this context, part of this thesis explores developing better data-driven models through using a latent variable technique, known as slow feature analysis, as a pre-processing step to regression. Slow feature analysis extracts slow varying features that contain underlying trends in the data, which can improve model performance through providing more meaningful information to regression, reducing noise, and reducing dimensionality. Firstly, the effectiveness of combining linear slow feature analysis with a neural network is demonstrated on two industrial case studies of soft sensor development and is compared with conventional techniques, such as neural networks and integration of principal component analysis with a neural network. It is shown that integration of slow feature analysis with neural networks can significantly improve model performance. However, linear slow feature analysis can fail to extract the driving forces behind data in nonlinear situations such as batch processes. Therefore, using kernel slow feature analysis with a neural network is proposed to further enhance process model performance. A numerical example was used to demonstrate the effective extraction of driving forces in a nonlinear case where linear slow feature analysis cannot. Model generalisation performance was improved using the proposed method on both this numerical example, and an industrial penicillin process case study. Dealing with radioactive nuclear waste is an important obstacle in nuclear energy. Sellafield Ltd have a nuclear waste vitrification plant which converts high-level nuclear waste into a more stable, lower volume glass form, which is more appropriate for long term storage in sealed containers. This thesis presents three applications of data-driven modelling to this nuclear waste vitrification process. A predictive model of the pour rate of processed nuclear waste into containers, an early detection system for blockages in the dust scrubber, and a model of the long-term chemical durability of the stored glass waste. These applications use the previously developed slow feature analysis methods, as well as other data-driven techniques such as extreme learning machine and bootstrap aggregation, for enhancing the model performance.Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and Sellafield Lt

IMPROVING NONLINEAR PROCESS MODELING USING MULTIPLE NEURAL NETWORK COMBINATION THROUGH BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING (BMA)

Improving model generalization of aggregated multiple neural networks for nonlinear dynamic process modeling using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) is proposed in this paper. Using BMA method, the posterior probability of a particular network being the true model is used as the combination weight for aggregating the network despite of using fixed combination weight as the model. The posterior probabilities are calculated using the sum square error (SSE) from the training data on each of the sample time, and tested to the testing data. The selections for the final weight are based on the least SSE calculated when each of the posterior probability is applied to the testing data. The likelihood method is employed for calculating the network error for each input data. Then, it is used to calculate the combination weight for the networks. Two non-linear dynamic system-modeling case studies are selected for this proposed method, which are water tank level prediction and pH neutralization process. Application result demonstrates that the combination using BMA technique can significantly improve model generalization compared to other linear combination approaches

A hybrid adaptive time-delay neural network model for multi-step-ahead prediction of sunspot activity

Author name used in this publication: Chun-Tian Cheng2006-2007 > Academic research: refereed > Publication in refereed journalAccepted ManuscriptPublishe

Multi-tier framework for the inferential measurement and data-driven modeling

A framework for the inferential measurement and data-driven modeling has been proposed and assessed in several real-world application domains. The architecture of the framework has been structured in multiple tiers to facilitate extensibility and the integration of new components. Each of the proposed four tiers has been assessed in an uncoupled way to verify their suitability. The first tier, dealing with exploratory data analysis, has been assessed with the characterization of the chemical space related to the biodegradation of organic chemicals. This analysis has established relationships between physicochemical variables and biodegradation rates that have been used for model development. At the preprocessing level, a novel method for feature selection based on dissimilarity measures between Self-Organizing maps (SOM) has been developed and assessed. The proposed method selected more features than others published in literature but leads to models with improved predictive power. Single and multiple data imputation techniques based on the SOM have also been used to recover missing data in a Waste Water Treatment Plant benchmark. A new dynamic method to adjust the centers and widths of in Radial basis Function networks has been proposed to predict water quality. The proposed method outperformed other neural networks. The proposed modeling components have also been assessed in the development of prediction and classification models for biodegradation rates in different media. The results obtained proved the suitability of this approach to develop data-driven models when the complex dynamics of the process prevents the formulation of mechanistic models. The use of rule generation algorithms and Bayesian dependency models has been preliminary screened to provide the framework with interpretation capabilities. Preliminary results obtained from the classification of Modes of Toxic Action (MOA) indicate that this could be a promising approach to use MOAs as proxy indicators of human health effects of chemicals.Finally, the complete framework has been applied to three different modeling scenarios. A virtual sensor system, capable of inferring product quality indices from primary process variables has been developed and assessed. The system was integrated with the control system in a real chemical plant outperforming multi-linear correlation models usually adopted by chemical manufacturers. A model to predict carcinogenicity from molecular structure for a set of aromatic compounds has been developed and tested. Results obtained after the application of the SOM-dissimilarity feature selection method yielded better results than models published in the literature. Finally, the framework has been used to facilitate a new approach for environmental modeling and risk management within geographical information systems (GIS). The SOM has been successfully used to characterize exposure scenarios and to provide estimations of missing data through geographic interpolation. The combination of SOM and Gaussian Mixture models facilitated the formulation of a new probabilistic risk assessment approach.Aquesta tesi proposa i avalua en diverses aplicacions reals, un marc general de treball per al desenvolupament de sistemes de mesurament inferencial i de modelat basats en dades. L'arquitectura d'aquest marc de treball s'organitza en diverses capes que faciliten la seva extensibilitat així com la integració de nous components. Cadascun dels quatre nivells en que s'estructura la proposta de marc de treball ha estat avaluat de forma independent per a verificar la seva funcionalitat. El primer que nivell s'ocupa de l'anàlisi exploratòria de dades ha esta avaluat a partir de la caracterització de l'espai químic corresponent a la biodegradació de certs compostos orgànics. Fruit d'aquest anàlisi s'han establert relacions entre diverses variables físico-químiques que han estat emprades posteriorment per al desenvolupament de models de biodegradació. A nivell del preprocés de les dades s'ha desenvolupat i avaluat una nova metodologia per a la selecció de variables basada en l'ús del Mapes Autoorganitzats (SOM). Tot i que el mètode proposat selecciona, en general, un major nombre de variables que altres mètodes proposats a la literatura, els models resultants mostren una millor capacitat predictiva. S'han avaluat també tot un conjunt de tècniques d'imputació de dades basades en el SOM amb un conjunt de dades estàndard corresponent als paràmetres d'operació d'una planta de tractament d'aigües residuals. Es proposa i avalua en un problema de predicció de qualitat en aigua un nou model dinàmic per a ajustar el centre i la dispersió en xarxes de funcions de base radial. El mètode proposat millora els resultats obtinguts amb altres arquitectures neuronals. Els components de modelat proposat s'han aplicat també al desenvolupament de models predictius i de classificació de les velocitats de biodegradació de compostos orgànics en diferents medis. Els resultats obtinguts demostren la viabilitat d'aquesta aproximació per a desenvolupar models basats en dades en aquells casos en els que la complexitat de dinàmica del procés impedeix formular models mecanicistes. S'ha dut a terme un estudi preliminar de l'ús de algorismes de generació de regles i de grafs de dependència bayesiana per a introduir una nova capa que faciliti la interpretació dels models. Els resultats preliminars obtinguts a partir de la classificació dels Modes d'acció Tòxica (MOA) apunten a que l'ús dels MOA com a indicadors intermediaris dels efectes dels compostos químics en la salut és una aproximació factible.Finalment, el marc de treball proposat s'ha aplicat en tres escenaris de modelat diferents. En primer lloc, s'ha desenvolupat i avaluat un sensor virtual capaç d'inferir índexs de qualitat a partir de variables primàries de procés. El sensor resultant ha estat implementat en una planta química real millorant els resultats de les correlacions multilineals emprades habitualment. S'ha desenvolupat i avaluat un model per a predir els efectes carcinògens d'un grup de compostos aromàtics a partir de la seva estructura molecular. Els resultats obtinguts desprès d'aplicar el mètode de selecció de variables basat en el SOM milloren els resultats prèviament publicats. Aquest marc de treball s'ha usat també per a proporcionar una nova aproximació al modelat ambiental i l'anàlisi de risc amb sistemes d'informació geogràfica (GIS). S'ha usat el SOM per a caracteritzar escenaris d'exposició i per a desenvolupar un nou mètode d'interpolació geogràfica. La combinació del SOM amb els models de mescla de gaussianes dona una nova formulació al problema de l'anàlisi de risc des d'un punt de vista probabilístic

Modelling and optimisation of post-combustion carbon capture process integrated with coal-fired power plant using computational intelligence techniques

PhD ThesisCoal-fired power plants are the major source of CO2 emission which contributes significantly to global climate change. An effective way to reduce CO2 emission in coal-fired power plants is post-combustion carbon dioxide (CO2) capture (PCC) with chemical absorption. The aim of this project is to carry out some research in model development, process analysis, controller design and process optimization for reliable, optimal design and control of coal-fired supercritical power plant integrated with post-combustion carbon capture plant. In this thesis, three different advanced neural network models are developed: bootstrap aggregated neural networks (BANNs) model, bootstrap aggregated extreme learning machine (BAELM) model and deep belief networks (DBN) model. The bootstrap aggregated model can offer more accurate predictions than a single neural network, as well as provide model prediction confidence bounds. However, both BANNs and BAELM have a shallow architecture, which is limited to represent complex, highly-varying relationship and easy to converge to local optima. To resolve the problem, the DBN model is proposed. The unsupervised training procedure is helpful to get the optimal solution of supervised training. The purpose of developing neural network models is to find a best model which can be used in the optimization of the CO2 capture process precisely. This thesis also presents a comparison of centralized and decentralized control structures for post-combustion CO2 capture plant with chemical absorption. As for centralized configuration, a dynamic multivariate model predictive control (MPC) technique is used to control the post-combustion CO2 capture plant attached to a coal-fired power plant. When consider the decentralized control structures based on multi-loop proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controllers, two different control schemes are designed using relative disturbance gain (RDG) analysis and dynamic relative gain array (DRGA) analysis, respectively. By comparing the two control structures, the MPC structure performs better in terms of closed-loop settling time, integral squared error, and disturbance injection