From Epidemic to Pandemic Modelling

We present a methodology for systematically extending epidemic models to multilevel and multiscale spatio-temporal pandemic ones. Our approach builds on the use of coloured stochastic and continuous Petri nets facilitating the sound component-based extension of basic SIR models to include population stratification and also spatio-geographic information and travel connections, represented as graphs, resulting in robust stratified pandemic metapopulation models. This method is inherently easy to use, producing scalable and reusable models with a high degree of clarity and accessibility which can be read either in a deterministic or stochastic paradigm. Our method is supported by a publicly available platform PetriNuts; it enables the visual construction and editing of models; deterministic, stochastic and hybrid simulation as well as structural and behavioural analysis. All the models are available as supplementary material, ensuring reproducibility.Comment: 79 pages (with Appendix), 23 figures, 7 table

Coupling of Petri Net Models of the Mycobacterial Infection Process and Innate Immune Response

Algorithms and the Foundations of Software technologyComputer Systems, Imagery and Medi

A systems biology approach to multi-scale modelling and analysis of planar cell polarity in drosophila melanogaster wing

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Systems biology aims to describe and understand biology at a global scale where biological systems function as a result of complex mechanisms that happen at several scales. Modelling and simulation are computational tools that are invaluable for description, understanding and prediction these mechanisms in a quantitative and integrative way. Thus multi-scale methods that couple the design, simulation and analysis of models spanning several spatial and temporal scales is becoming a new emerging focus of systems biology. This thesis uses an exemplar – Planar cell polarity (PCP) signalling – to illustrate a generic approach to model biological systems at different spatial scales, using the new concept of Hierarchically Coloured Petri Nets (HCPN). PCP signalling refers to the coordinated polarisation of cells within the plane of various epithelial tissues to generate sub-cellular asymmetry along an axis orthogonal to their apical-basal axes. This polarisation is required for many developmental events in both vertebrates and non-vertebrates. Defects in PCP in vertebrates are responsible for developmental abnormalities in multiple tissues including the neural tube, the kidney and the inner ear. In Drosophila wing, PCP is seen in the parallel orientation of hairs that protrude from each of the approximately 30,000 epithelial cells to robustly point toward the wing tip. This work applies HCPN to model a tissue comprising multiple cells hexagonally packed in a honeycomb formation in order to describe the phenomenon of Planar Cell Polarity (PCP) in Drosophila wing. HCPN facilitate the construction of mathematically tractable, compact and parameterised large-scale models. Different levels of abstraction that can be used in order to simplify such a complex system are first illustrated. The PCP system is first represented at an abstract level without modelling details of the cell. Each cell is then sub-divided into seven virtual compartments with adjacent cells being coupled via the formation of intercellular complexes. A more detailed model is later developed, describing the intra- and inter-cellular signalling mechanisms involved in PCP signalling. The initial model is for a wild-type organism, and then a family of related models, permitting different hypotheses to be explored regarding the mechanisms underlying PCP, are constructed. Among them, the largest model consists of 800 cells which when unfolded yields 164,000 places (each of which is described by an ordinary differential equation). This thesis illustrates the power and validity of the approach by showing how the models can be easily adapted to describe well-documented genetic mutations in the Drosophila wing using the proposed approach including clustering and model checking over time series of primary and secondary data, which can be employed to analyse and check such multi-scale models similar to the case of PCP. The HCPN models support the interpretation of biological observations reported in literature and are able to make sensible predictions. As HCPN model multi-scale systems in a compact, parameterised and scalable way, this modelling approach can be applied to other large-scale or multi-scale systems.This study was funded by Brunel University

A generic approach to behaviour-driven biochemical model construction

This thesis was submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy and awarded by Brunel University.Modelling of biochemical systems has received considerable attention over the last decade from bioengineering, biochemistry, computer science, and mathematics. This thesis investigates the applications of computational techniques to computational systems biology, for the construction of biochemical models in terms of topology and kinetic rates. Due to the complexity of biochemical systems, it is natural to construct models representing the biochemical systems incrementally in a piecewise manner. Syntax and semantics of two patterns are defined for the instantiation of components which are extendable, reusable and fundamental building blocks for models composition. We propose and implement a set of genetic operators and composition rules to tackle issues of piecewise composing models from scratch. Quantitative Petri nets are evolved by the genetic operators, and evolutionary process of modelling are guided by the composition rules. Metaheuristic algorithms are widely applied in BioModel Engineering to support intelligent and heuristic analysis of biochemical systems in terms of structure and kinetic rates. We illustrate parameters of biochemical models based on Biochemical Systems Theory, and then the topology and kinetic rates of the models are manipulated by employing evolution strategy and simulated annealing respectively. A new hybrid modelling framework is proposed and implemented for the models construction. Two heuristic algorithms are performed on two embedded layers in the hybrid framework: an outer layer for topology mutation and an inner layer for rates optimization. Moreover, variants of the hybrid piecewise modelling framework are investigated. Regarding flexibility of these variants, various combinations of evolutionary operators, evaluation criteria and design principles can be taken into account. We examine performance of five sets of the variants on specific aspects of modelling. The comparison of variants is not to explicitly show that one variant clearly outperforms the others, but it provides an indication of considering important features for various aspects of the modelling. Because of the very heavy computational demands, the process of modelling is paralleled by employing a grid environment, GridGain. Application of the GridGain and heuristic algorithms to analyze biological processes can support modelling of biochemical systems in a computational manner, which can also benefit mathematical modelling in computer science and bioengineering. We apply our proposed modelling framework to model biochemical systems in a hybrid piecewise manner. Modelling variants of the framework are comparatively studied on specific aims of modelling. Simulation results show that our modelling framework can compose synthetic models exhibiting similar species behaviour, generate models with alternative topologies and obtain general knowledge about key modelling features

Toward Accessible Multilevel Modeling in Systems Biology: A Rule-based Language Concept

Promoted by advanced experimental techniques for obtaining high-quality data and the steadily accumulating knowledge about the complexity of life, modeling biological systems at multiple interrelated levels of organization attracts more and more attention recently. Current approaches for modeling multilevel systems typically lack an accessible formal modeling language or have major limitations with respect to expressiveness. The aim of this thesis is to provide a comprehensive discussion on associated problems and needs and to propose a concrete solution addressing them

Spatial-temporal modelling and analysis of bacterial colonies with phase variable genes

2015 Copyright is held by the owner/author(s). This article defines a novel spatial-temporal modelling and analysis methodology applied to a systems biology case study, namely phase variation patterning in bacterial colony growth. We employ coloured stochastic Petri nets to construct the model and run stochastic simulations to record the development of the circular colonies over time and space. The simulation output is visualised in 2D, and sector-like patterns are automatically detected and analysed. Space is modelled using 2.5 dimensions considering both a rectangular and circular geometry, and the effects of imposing different geometries on space are measured. We close by outlining an interpretation of the Petri net model in terms of finite difference approximations of partial differential equations (PDEs). One result is the derivation of the “best” nine-point diffusion model. Our multidimensional modelling and analysis approach is a precursor to potential future work on more complex multiscale modelling.EPSRC Research Grant EP I036168/1; German BMBF Research Grant 0315449H

Tangible user interfaces : past, present and future directions

In the last two decades, Tangible User Interfaces (TUIs) have emerged as a new interface type that interlinks the digital and physical worlds. Drawing upon users' knowledge and skills of interaction with the real non-digital world, TUIs show a potential to enhance the way in which people interact with and leverage digital information. However, TUI research is still in its infancy and extensive research is required in or- der to fully understand the implications of tangible user interfaces, to develop technologies that further bridge the digital and the physical, and to guide TUI design with empirical knowledge. This paper examines the existing body of work on Tangible User In- terfaces. We start by sketching the history of tangible user interfaces, examining the intellectual origins of this field. We then present TUIs in a broader context, survey application domains, and review frame- works and taxonomies. We also discuss conceptual foundations of TUIs including perspectives from cognitive sciences, phycology, and philoso- phy. Methods and technologies for designing, building, and evaluating TUIs are also addressed. Finally, we discuss the strengths and limita- tions of TUIs and chart directions for future research