A Hierarchical Model Predictive Control Approach For Battery Systems

Applications in energy systems often require to simultaneously miti- gate long-term peak and short-term electricity costs. The long-term peak electricity demand cost, known as demand charge, constitutes an important component of the electricity bills for large consumption units like building campuses or manufacturing plants. This poses a challenging multiscale planning problem that should make decisions at fine timescales while mitigating long-term costs. We present a hierarchical model predictive control (MPC) approach to tackle this problem in the context of stationary battery systems. The goal is to determine the optimal charge-discharge policy for the battery to minimize the monthly demand charge. We also perform comparative studies of the proposed hierarchical MPC scheme and standard MPC schemes that use ad-hoc approaches to handle the multiple timescales. In the proposed hierarchical MPC approach, we assume that the state of charge (SOC) policy is periodic, which allows us to cast the long-term planning problem as a tractable stochastic programming problem. Here, very period (e.g., a day or week) represents an operational scenario and we seek to determine targets for the periodic SOC levels and the peak cost. The long-term planner MPC communicates the periodic SOC targets and peak cost to a short-term MPC controller. The short-term MPC determines the intra-period charge/discharge policies (at high resolution) while meeting the targets of the long-term planning. We use a case study for a university campus to demonstrate that the hierarchical MPC scheme yields optimal demand charge and charge-discharge policy under nominal (perfect forecast) conditions. Under imperfect forecasts, we show that the hierarchical MPC scheme results in significant improvements in demand charge reduction over a standard MPC scheme that uses a discounting factor to capture long-term effects

Reliability-based economic model predictive control for generalized flow-based networks including actuators' health-aware capabilities

This paper proposes a reliability-based economic model predictive control (MPC) strategy for the management of generalized flow-based networks, integrating some ideas on network service reliability, dynamic safety stock planning, and degradation of equipment health. The proposed strategy is based on a single-layer economic optimisation problem with dynamic constraints, which includes two enhancements with respect to existing approaches. The first enhancement considers chance-constraint programming to compute an optimal inventory replenishment policy based on a desired risk acceptability level, leading to dynamically allocate safety stocks in flow-based networks to satisfy non-stationary flow demands. The second enhancement computes a smart distribution of the control effort and maximises actuators’ availability by estimating their degradation and reliability. The proposed approach is illustrated with an application of water transport networks using the Barcelona network as the considered case study.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

A Parallel Decomposition Scheme for Solving Long-Horizon Optimal Control Problems

We present a temporal decomposition scheme for solving long-horizon optimal control problems. In the proposed scheme, the time domain is decomposed into a set of subdomains with partially overlapping regions. Subproblems associated with the subdomains are solved in parallel to obtain local primal-dual trajectories that are assembled to obtain the global trajectories. We provide a sufficient condition that guarantees convergence of the proposed scheme. This condition states that the effect of perturbations on the boundary conditions (i.e., initial state and terminal dual/adjoint variable) should decay asymptotically as one moves away from the boundaries. This condition also reveals that the scheme converges if the size of the overlap is sufficiently large and that the convergence rate improves with the size of the overlap. We prove that linear quadratic problems satisfy the asymptotic decay condition, and we discuss numerical strategies to determine if the condition holds in more general cases. We draw upon a non-convex optimal control problem to illustrate the performance of the proposed scheme

Model predictive control techniques for hybrid systems

This paper describes the main issues encountered when applying model predictive control to hybrid processes. Hybrid model predictive control (HMPC) is a research field non-fully developed with many open challenges. The paper describes some of the techniques proposed by the research community to overcome the main problems encountered. Issues related to the stability and the solution of the optimization problem are also discussed. The paper ends by describing the results of a benchmark exercise in which several HMPC schemes were applied to a solar air conditioning plant.Ministerio de Eduación y Ciencia DPI2007-66718-C04-01Ministerio de Eduación y Ciencia DPI2008-0581

Learning-based hierarchical control of water reservoir systems

The optimal control of a water reservoir systems represents a challenging problem, due to uncertain hydrologic inputs and the need to adapt to changing environment and varying control objectives. In this work, we propose a real-time learning-based control strategy based on a hierarchical predictive control architecture. Two control loops are implemented: the inner loop is aimed to make the overall dynamics similar to an assigned linear through data-driven control design, then the outer economic model-predictive controller compensates for model mismatches, enforces suitable constraints, and boosts the tracking performance. The effectiveness of the proposed approach as compared to traditional dynamic programming strategies is illustrated on an accurate simulator of the Hoa Binh reservoir in Vietnam. Results show that the proposed approach performs better than the one based on stochastic dynamic programming

Distributed model predictive control of steam/water loop in large scale ships

In modern steam power plants, the ever-increasing complexity requires great reliability and flexibility of the control system. Hence, in this paper, the feasibility of a distributed model predictive control (DiMPC) strategy with an extended prediction self-adaptive control (EPSAC) framework is studied, in which the multiple controllers allow each sub-loop to have its own requirement flexibility. Meanwhile, the model predictive control can guarantee a good performance for the system with constraints. The performance is compared against a decentralized model predictive control (DeMPC) and a centralized model predictive control (CMPC). In order to improve the computing speed, a multiple objective model predictive control (MOMPC) is proposed. For the stability of the control system, the convergence of the DiMPC is discussed. Simulation tests are performed on the five different sub-loops of steam/water loop. The results indicate that the DiMPC may achieve similar performance as CMPC while outperforming the DeMPC method

On model predictive control for economic and robust operation of generalised flow-based networks

This thesis is devoted to design Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategies aiming to enhance the management of constrained generalised flow-based networks, with special attention to the economic optimisation and robust performance of such systems. Several control schemes are developed in this thesis to exploit the available economic information of the system operation and the disturbance information obtained from measurements and forecasting models. Dynamic network flows theory is used to develop control-oriented models that serve to design MPC controllers specialised for flow networks with additive disturbances and periodically time-varying dynamics and costs. The control strategies developed in this thesis can be classified in two categories: centralised MPC strategies and non-centralised MPC strategies. Such strategies are assessed through simulations of a real case study: the Barcelona drinking water network (DWN). Regarding the centralised strategies, different economic MPC formulations are first studied to guarantee recursive feasibility and stability under nominal periodic flow demands and possibly time-varying economic parameters and multi-objective cost functions. Additionally, reliability-based MPC, chance-constrained MPC and tree-based MPC strategies are proposed to address the reliability of both the flow storage and the flow transportation tasks in the network. Such strategies allow to satisfy a customer service level under future flow demand uncertainty and to efficiently distribute overall control effort under the presence of actuators degradation. Moreover, soft-control techniques such as artificial neural networks and fuzzy logic are used to incorporate self-tuning capabilities to an economic certainty-equivalent MPC controller. Since there are objections to the use of centralised controllers in large-scale networks, two non-centralised strategies are also proposed. First, a multi-layer distributed economic MPC strategy of low computational complexity is designed with a control topology structured in two layers. In a lower layer, a set of local MPC agents are in charge of controlling partitions of the overall network by exchanging limited information on shared resources and solving their local problems in a hierarchical-like fashion. Moreover, to counteract the loss of global economic information due to the decomposition of the overall control task, a coordination layer is designed to influence non-iteratively the decision of local controllers towards the improvement of the overall economic performance. Finally, a cooperative distributed economic MPC formulation based on a periodic terminal cost/region is proposed. Such strategy guarantees convergence to a Nash equilibrium without the need of a coordinator and relies on an iterative and global communication of local controllers, which optimise in parallel their control actions but using a centralised model of the network.Esta tesis se enfoca en el diseño de estrategias de control predictivo basado en modelos (MPC, por sus siglas en inglés) con la meta de mejorar la gestión de sistemas que pueden ser descritos por redes generalizadas de flujo y que están sujetos a restricciones, enfatizando especialmente en la optimización económica y el desempeño robusto de tales sistemas. De esta manera, varios esquemas de control se desarrollan en esta tesis para explotar tanto la información económica disponible de la operación del sistema como la información de perturbaciones obtenida de datos medibles y de modelos de predicción. La teoría de redes dinámicas de flujo es utilizada en esta tesis para desarrollar modelos orientados a control que sirven para diseñar controladores MPC especializados para la gestión de redes de flujo que presentan tanto perturbaciones aditivas como dinámicas y costos periódicamente variables en el tiempo. Las estrategias de control propuestas en esta tesis se pueden clasificar en dos categorías: estrategias de control MPC centralizado y estrategias de control MPC no-centralizado. Dichas estrategias son evaluadas mediante simulaciones de un caso de estudio real: la red de transporte de agua potable de Barcelona en España. En cuanto a las estrategias de control MPC centralizado, diferentes formulaciones de controladores MPC económicos son primero estudiadas para garantizar factibilidad recursiva y estabilidad del sistema cuya operación responde a demandas nominales de flujo periódico, a parámetros económicos posiblemente variantes en el tiempo y a funciones de costo multi-objetivo. Adicionalmente, estrategias de control MPC basado en fiabilidad, MPC con restricciones probabilísticas y MPC basado en árboles de escenarios son propuestas para garantizar la fiabilidad tanto de tareas de almacenamiento como de transporte de flujo en la red. Tales estrategias permiten satisfacer un nivel de servicio al cliente bajo incertidumbre en la demanda futura, así como distribuir eficientemente el esfuerzo global de control bajo la presencia de degradación en los actuadores del sistema. Por otra parte, técnicas de computación suave como redes neuronales artificiales y lógica difusa se utilizan para incorporar capacidades de auto-sintonía en un controlador MPC económico de certeza-equivalente. Dado que hay objeciones al uso de control centralizado en redes de gran escala, dos estrategias de control no-centralizado son propuestas en esta tesis. Primero, un controlador MPC económico distribuido de baja complejidad computacional es diseñado con una topología estructurada en dos capas. En una capa inferior, un conjunto de controladores MPC locales se encargan de controlar particiones de la red mediante el intercambio de información limitada de los recursos físicos compartidos y resolviendo sus problemas locales de optimización de forma similar a una secuencia jerárquica de solución. Para contrarrestar la pérdida de información económica global que ocurra tras la descomposición de la tarea de control global, una capa de coordinación es diseñada para influenciar no-iterativamente la decisión de los controles locales con el fin de lograr una mejora global del desempeño económico. La segunda estrategia no-centralizada propuesta en esta tesis es una formulación de control MPC económico distribuido cooperativo basado en una restricción terminal periódica. Tal estrategia garantiza convergencia a un equilibrio de Nash sin la necesidad de una capa de coordinación pero requiere una comunicación iterativa de información global entre todos los controladores locales, los cuales optimizan en paralelo sus acciones de control utilizando un modelo centralizado de la red